(1.5x) over suns 206
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best of luck today guysComment -
the lesser plays you play...the better off you areComment -
good luck tonight Dex!Comment -
Baseball has 12-15 game cards at least 4 times a week. It's very tempting to make a lot of plays but I'm pretty sure you'll be fine with 3 a day on those big cards.
I'm really going to look into TTs this year. LB made a killing off them.Comment -
Tue 3/1:
(4x) grizzlies -120Comment -
Tony Parker (calf) will be sidelined 2-4 weeks with a strained left soleus muscle.Comment -
good luck today dexComment -
+46u last week, -47u this week.
at least im consistently inconsistent...
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scoresandodds has suns -3...no offshore has the side at 3...that is why I think they are slanted to the favComment -
shoebox.....email me.
(if anyone has his email, pls send to me via pm..Thx)Last edited by Dexter; 02-28-11, 09:07 PM.Comment -
OT in NJ.....lucky me.
Over was the sharp play...
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yeah man, that PHO game was something...I played NJ at +3 and scratch the game few minutes into the 4th, OT and cover...nice...does shoebox still post here, I havent seen him for awhile, missing his way to determine the playsComment -
I understand the theory behind less plays, however, aren't you really supposed to play every game where you have +ev? Why not just go to a flat betting system and play every game you feel there to be an advantage. Or, play a unit range of 1 to 3 and don't get out of control with 10 unit wagers. You're obviously a talented capper, but may need to retire the autobets for 10 units because that is what has killed you this year (although probably made your year past years). Nevertheless, perhaps a transition to a more mundane flat betting system is in order for next season. Jmo, good luck!Comment -
Take a look at tomorrow's card, Dex. Really fukking weird.Comment -
exactly - for the prior 2 seasons, A1 was 55% and 62%. however, i never played them for more then 3-5x. figures the year i decide to play them for 10x a pop they are terrible.
obviously next year i will not be playing them for 10x. may backtest and see how they did if i only backed a team on rest vs a team playing 4 in 5.....
do you flatbet? i just think its a very conservative way of betting, and unless you can consistently pick 55% ats, you're not going to win much.
In the NFL this year i only hit around 52%, but b/c i did weighted bets i finished the year +25u...Comment -
yea I liked shoe a lot too. he was always cool to me when I asked what I am sure where dumb questions.Comment -
Really big on the Mavs today, Dex... 2k.
Hoping they can pull through. I like Memphis also.Comment -
Dallas is a way better team now, IMO. I really think they got this. Phi is 2-8 against the NBA elite and they should have lost against San An if Ginobili wasn't such a ball hog.Comment -
I like Sixers to get the win here. When they met last time Sixers weren't even near where they are right now! Don't forget hey started 3-13 into the season and were 2-6 before losing to Dallas. Look how Sixers are performing now.
I don't think Mavs are in a good spot anyways. Sixers who are motivated like hell should build a lead in the 1H and bring it home in the second.Comment -
No we shouldn't have lol, did you see that game? Our defense was stellar, we deserved that win. If you want to try and give it to the Spurs and said they lost it then you can have fun with that and see where that gets you with betting against the 76ers.
Let me show you something that actually does hold merit though:
27-16 in their last 33 games
17-5 in their last 22 home games after their 3-13 start
4 straight wins
Lost to the celtics by 1, lost to them again by 4, lost to the lakers by 4, lost to the magic by 1, lost to the magic by 4
Best record ATS by any team in the NBA this season
Trust me, I'm not just saying this because I'm a diehard 76ers fan, my bias is not in this. I just can't stand seeing people trying to rationalize the 76ers as to why they should have lost this, why they are a fluke, showing their overall record (Come on people, two seperate seasons!! 3-13 start, 27-16 since! throw that 3-13 out the window, the sooner you do, the sooner you will stop losing money on the 76ers)
Betting on this game would be retarded. Two very hot teams and who knows what will go down tonight with the 76ers at home.Comment -
Sorry, Sixers might be tough at home but they are outclassed. This is a bottom feeder playoff team in the East. .500 team overall.
Dallas is the elite, they are title contenders. Spurs have no Parker, Mavs are on a 7-game winning streak and want to keep on going so they can get Seed #1 and avoid facing Lakers/Spurs in the 2nd round of playoffs.
I have made a lot of money on 76ers this season, don't get me wrong. The 3-13 was because of the tough schedule, they lost to good teams: OKC, Dallas, Miami (2x), Atlanta and San An to start the season, including against Indiana and one having to fly to Toronto and losing there. They are 2-8 against the elite which is what they face today. Dallas is better at PG, SG, PF and C, deeper with 2 of the best closers in the game.
The only reason Dallas isn't the best team in the NBA record-wise is they lost both Dirk and CAron at the same time and had a 6 or 7 game losing streak, they would be close or tied otherwise. I'll lay small chalk on the ML in a situation against this anytime.
Like I said, the 76ers are a good team but they are not elite. Period.Comment -
Nobody said Sixers are elite. But Dallas isn't in a good spot at all. So I don't get why ppl placing a big bet on Dallas here.
I will be on Sixers for sure.Comment -
HEard you say more than once that Dallas is not in a good spot. Please explain.Comment
