John Morrison 2010 NBA

[Wallco99]

Wallco99, there was a Memphis series earlier in the year that lost by not buying the 3 points and then Dallas so those where the only two this season that so far I have not needed to buy ANY points, all at -110 odds.

Thanks, that's what I thought. Did you ever check on what a fourth game chase would have done for those two losses, and actually the six of JM's. A four game loss @ -110 is relatively the same money as a three game loss @ -170. May have picked up yet a few more wins. I know Utah lost the fourth game, because they led right into a Chase 110 series that went to a (D) bet, but I am not sure about the rest of them. It may be an interesting find though.

[Wallco99]

Nice GG. I love that movie. "Cannn youuuu dig it!!!!"

Wiz turned out to be money, I thought they would, just the plain fact they were getting a ton of points.
Haven't played the chase 110 system but am intrigued by it, good luck with the Warriors.

With the upcoming 'D' bet and the recent 'D' bet, I would qualify this system, just like Morrison does in the NFL, and say do not play a team when they are out of the playoff hunt. Just too much risk on crappy teams who don't give a sh1t at this point in the year.

Just my two cents.

I would agree with you, but my backtest showed not many losses at all near the end of the season, which means even the bad teams were covering. Most of the losses were in mid season. Not to mention, JM probably added that filter to make "1" loss disappear from his record, possibly sacrificing many victories.

[hagball52]

I would agree with you, but my backtest showed not many losses at all near the end of the season, which means even the bad teams were covering. Most of the losses were in mid season. Not to mention, JM probably added that filter to make "1" loss disappear from his record, possibly sacrificing many victories.

C'mon now Wallco, you know JM never sacrifices a victory. Wait until the next email comes out after the Wiz covered last night.

[million2one]

I would agree with you, but my backtest showed not many losses at all near the end of the season, which means even the bad teams were covering. Most of the losses were in mid season. Not to mention, JM probably added that filter to make "1" loss disappear from his record, possibly sacrificing many victories.

Good point, just a thought, more of a hunch not sure how all the numbers would play out.
Thank you for all your hard work and backtesting.

What else is interesting about this year's JM NBA system, all three versions, is that all of the losses have been by teams at or below .500 (Thank you krzychu78)

I wonder what teams have lost in years past. Next year I may try upping my units when there is a JM play on a team above .500

The subjective aspect, however, is early in the year when you are not quite sure who the below .500 teams will be, but if your an NBA fan you can pretty much guess at that.

[stevex]

Still more money to be made with JM NBA folks. Lets start with tonight and NOH!

[J.M. Disciple]

JM NBA - NOH -1.5 [A] vs UTAH
Crusher NHL: Phil ML (-160) vs PITS
Crusher BAsketball: Butler +5.5 vs WIS

SBP updated: utah +5 [B] vs NOH

[Wallco99]

C'mon now Wallco, you know JM never sacrifices a victory. Wait until the next email comes out after the Wiz covered last night.

I agree, but making losses disappear is his #1 priority. Gotta keep that 97%. Soon he is going to be down to 10 games a year, and have to hit them all to salvage his precious 97%.

[dukipl]

Lets go baby!!! GL on NOH

[jas19illini]

Man i sure hope GS gets their head out of their ass for this D Bet coming up in Chase 110. Theyve been playing so badly lately.

[lawalahmed]

Good point, just a thought, more of a hunch not sure how all the numbers would play out.
Thank you for all your hard work and backtesting.

What else is interesting about this year's JM NBA system, all three versions, is that all of the losses have been by teams at or below .500 (Thank you krzychu78)

I wonder what teams have lost in years past. Next year I may try upping my units when there is a JM play on a team above .500

The subjective aspect, however, is early in the year when you are not quite sure who the below .500 teams will be, but if your an NBA fan you can pretty much guess at that.

What is meaning of .500 ?

[Kev the Brit]

What is meaning of .500 ?

win/games played ratio expressed as a decimal. eg if a teams plays 10 games and wins 6 (and loses 4), their rating is .600

[bombCanada]

Still more money to be made with JM NBA folks. Lets start with tonight and NOH!

Given that NOH opened -1' and is now -5, I think I have to put some $$ on Utah just on GP.

Good luck tonight, guys!

[Rickyblee]

Hornets will cover today -5

[atari5200]

GS spread is at -6.5. If you've been betting SBP original the past 2 times, you know how ugly this spread number is. I think -6.5 against the raptors is horrible. Both teams can shoot and get hot, GS will win this, but the spread...I don't know.

[J.M. Disciple]

03/25/11
JM NBA:
nothing


Chase 110:
(3/25/11) Milwaukee@ New York Knicks(B)
(3/25/11) Toronto @ GoldenState(D)


J.M. Disciples Cover Four
Memphis [A] @ Chi


J.M. Disciples Fade 110 (78-2)
NYK vs MIL [A]
*NYK gave me a win on the 18th, which doesn't count towards the rules
which makes this an [A] bet instead of a B.


SBP original:
Will update later
SBP updated:
Will update later


Next JM nhl v1 plays:nothing until 28th

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:
Will update later
(System Record: 77-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 77-69-2

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:
Will update later
(System Record: 70-2, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 70-65-3

[J.M. Disciple]

These are the days, when I do not care, that the two systems fade 110 and chase110 go against each other because one is going to be on the money line and the other one is going to be on the underdog, getting a lot of points, so we have to try and middle the two systems.

[bauerranch]

These are the days, when I do not care, that the two systems fade 110 and chase110 go against each other because one is going to be on the money line and the other one is going to be on the underdog, getting a lot of points, so we have to try and middle the two systems.

Thanks for your work JM

[PanamaKid]

How the F is GS such a favorite??? Anyway, ML for both GS and NYN right?

[Wallco99]

Chase 110 - Plays for 3/25/11
2010-11 System to date: 75-0
System Rules can be found in post #5000
System Backtest can be found in post #5000



Toronto @ Golden State (M/L) (D)
Milwaukee @ New York Knicks (M/L) (B)

[Wallco99]

The "D" bet complaint department is currently closed. It will re-open Saturday at 8:00 A.M. Sorry for any inconvenience. If immediate assistance is needed, please P.M. a forum moderator.

[hagball52]

Just a thought for everyone. Here is one option. Both the Knicks and the Warriors are 6 and 6.5 favs. I like both teams to win but the 110 system calls for the moneyline. The juice is high with those spreads and it's late in the season so anything can happen. My play is going to be a 6pt. 2 team teaser with -130 juice. I know it's riskier but I don't like laying -200 plus odds either. Just a thought.

Wallco, flipped you some points. Love your system. Thanks

[GGPLAYER]

Lets go baby!!! GL on NOH

I hope everyone hit this one. OT ususally screws me but it helped out on this one. Personally I did not play it because I usually skip the A bet. I'm more concerned with GS and the fading Knicks at this point. Let's finish strong!!

[million2one]

I am surprised that GSW is such a big favorite. Good Luck to all involved.
Hopefully they blow 'em out and you all can cash, stress free.

[bigassos]

If Toronto @ GS (D) bet loses we''ll lose the series?
Let's go and win tonight. Go GS, go Knicks

[clamchowder]

If Toronto @ GS (D) bet loses we''ll lose the series?
Let's go and win tonight. Go GS, go Knicks

That is correct.

[atari5200]

Just a thought for everyone. Here is one option. Both the Knicks and the Warriors are 6 and 6.5 favs. I like both teams to win but the 110 system calls for the moneyline. The juice is high with those spreads and it's late in the season so anything can happen. My play is going to be a 6pt. 2 team teaser with -130 juice. I know it's riskier but I don't like laying -200 plus odds either. Just a thought.

Wallco, flipped you some points. Love your system. Thanks

well i like the teaser option, but GS alongside NYK is very risky. The knicks could go either way here. GS should win but the M/L is not an option for me. No complaints here Wallco, just trying to minimize potential losses this late in the season. JMD, your system(s) will be a welcome addition for next season but is there anyone here that's really going to play these right now? Plus I thought you were done for this season. Anyways the point is we need to keep our profits and move into baseball with confidence and cash in hand.

BOL
I teased GS with Indiana 5 points

[teecee]

golden state d, here we come! -250!!

[hagball52]

well i like the teaser option, but GS alongside NYK is very risky. The knicks could go either way here. GS should win but the M/L is not an option for me. No complaints here Wallco, just trying to minimize potential losses this late in the season. JMD, your system(s) will be a welcome addition for next season but is there anyone here that's really going to play these right now? Plus I thought you were done for this season. Anyways the point is we need to keep our profits and move into baseball with confidence and cash in hand.

BOL
I teased GS with Indiana 5 points

I also really like Indiana today but I teased them with Denver. GL all

[teecee]

i'm on golden st. m/l, and i've also parlayed the g.s. m/l with the knicks m/l. let's get it.

[Wallco99]

i'm on golden st. m/l, and i've also parlayed the g.s. m/l with the knicks m/l. let's get it.

That is exactly what I was just going to suggest. The two team money line parlay is only around 9% juice if you lose. A $114 bet will only cost $124., vs the teaser method of 30%, and still possibly giving up points. A $114 teaser loss would be $148, if your book even offers 6 pt teasers in BB. Don't know why anyone would opt for that.

[alex81]

I did 2 teasers today.. Gs -2 + nyk -1.5 and gs -2 + phx -1. Both are 4.5 teasers that pay even $$$

[J.M. Disciple]

03/25/11
JM NBA:
nothing


Chase 110:
(3/25/11) Milwaukee@ New York Knicks ML (B)
(3/25/11) Toronto @ GoldenState ML (D)


J.M. Disciples Cover Four
Memphis +9.5 [A] @ Chi


J.M. Disciples Fade 110 (78-2)
NYK vs MIL +6 [A]
*NYK gave me a win on the 18th, which doesn't count towards the rules
which makes this an [A] bet instead of a B.


SBP original:
Will update later
SBP updated:
Will update later


Next JM nhl v1 plays:nothing until 28th

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:
Marquette + NC UNDER 151 [A]
(System Record: 77-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 77-69-2

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:
Tampa -145 over Carolina [C]
(System Record: 70-2, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 70-65-3




I did not parlay anything, so since I only started with 50 unit bankroll this time around, i have 1/2 my bankroll on the line tonight with all these plays, with SBP bets pending. sbp probably be on warriors since one of his key spreads is -6.5

[J.M. Disciple]

GL to me 28 units to win 10 units Parlay ML on ORL, LAKERS, Boston. All big favorites, but just want to add money to my bankroll as fast as possible. It is really just a small amount, since unit size is so small, so not too worried. Having this small of a bankroll will be only time I really ever make "dumb plays" like this.

BOL to everyone today

[GGPLAYER]

Yeah I can't justify ML. I always just buy points in these situations. No complaints from me if it loses.

[shinnman]

GL to me 28 units to win 10 units Parlay ML on ORL, LAKERS, Boston. All big favorites, but just want to add money to my bankroll as fast as possible. It is really just a small amount, since unit size is so small, so not too worried. Having this small of a bankroll will be only time I really ever make "dumb plays" like this.

BOL to everyone today

good luck jm, lookesd so nice i put a small wager on it