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oakley doakleyComment -
Boston have clinched a play-off place, which is why JFM has not listed them as a play. My own view is that Boston will try to get home team advantage status in the last few games, so they are still motivated to win. Play the system, guys. I'll be waiting at the B Bet.
KevComment -
K, while you wait for the B bet, I'll cash my Boston A bet.Comment -
It's paying $1.90 here- I went a bit heavy on it but not as much because it is an A bet- But Boston should be able to handle Houston.Comment -
People are not talking about the loss because they recomend using labby with that system. It is profitable to chase or flat bet as well. Losses happen in sports betting, its one of the things that you have to have the mind set for.
A lot of professional sports bettors hit around 55%, so losses are going to happen. I'm sure we are not talking too much about it cause we are still up a bunch of money overall for this entire season.
1 loss is not going to put a big dent in our bankroll. Still up a lot so just move on and stick to the system and you will make it back.
bankroll management is key. if you get stressed out from a bet, usually means you are not following good bankroll management. Think of it as stock market, just another day wtih ups and downs but overall you will be up in the end.
Just have faith and dont think of it as money, think of it as a really long game you are playing against bookies in a chess match or something.
im starting to flat bet from here on out in hockey cause season almost over i believe so teams stop playing defense.
BOL to everyone today. GO wiz! Go MIN!Comment -
Gotta love an under bet that is screwed after one periodComment -
dam boston is getting sparked!! i may make a second half bet for boston.Comment -
D bet coming upComment -
When was the last time chase110 went to the D bet?Comment -
f*ck boston and washington... bunch of pussy c*cksuckersDO WORK + KROW OD
do work! do work! do work! do work!
od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
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Don't mind the loss since both are an A bet (I play A,B C for the over/under) it's just I exposed 3% for Boston and I know the payout tomorrow against New Orleans will NOT be the $1.90 price on the ML we had today- most likely $1.40 (this is the way the book in Australia do there pricing as opposed to -110). So I'll have to expose about 10% of my roll to get this back.Comment -
wow wallco, great timing to start the B & C bets there haha. had a bad night. think i'm gonna stick to only B and C bets till the end of the season myself.Comment -
Good C bet win with the T'Wolves and also SBP Original finally starting to gain a little steam here so hopefully that continues.....Comment -
I lot of it has to due with Rambis being the coach. Also earlier I mentioned betting against LA in the 1st half until xmas (spread) when they play dogs- today was a perfect example of that. JW you have not been in your thread lately. Everyone's giving up but I'm hanging tough. Wash@NJD was a great win today- Taking Toronto tomorrow on the fence with Nashville-Comment -
Nothing gets in the way of this system..Gun down the haters...$$ being madeComment -
60% of the time you will cash your A Bets. Last night was in the 40%
But, lets see how you and I stand now, at the B Bet:
Assuming decimal odds of 1.55
You: Last night you would have lost 1.82 units and tonight you will be risking 5.13 Units to win back your lost 1.82 units plus the unit you wanted to win last night. Profit: 1 Unit
Me: Last night I slept easy and tonight I will be risking 5.46 Units to win 3 Units, which will be all profit. I need the extra 2 units of profit to cover the ongoing slight chance that the A Bets, overall, will win 2 out of every 3 bets, which they don't (60% success at best; see krzychu's stats).
Therefore, for approx the same risk, I will either win more money than you, or we will both lose approx the same amount of money if, ultimately, the C bet fails.
Its nothing more than arithmetic.
Betting on the A Bets is only worth it if they win more than 2 out 3 times (67%), overall. But they don't.
Hopefully, see you at the cashier tonight
Good luck
Kev
PS. According to Krzychu's stats, the A Bets are 55% strike rate this season. I think every A bet now has to win to get the stats up to 66%.Comment -
on boston to cash that ticket. would like some points, but we're never gonna get 'em when the celts face the hornets. g/l to us all.Comment -
I have only been doing (B) and (C) for a week. So far, I missed on 4 (A) bet wins, and won a (B) and a (C), for +3 units each. Both ways have cashed for 6 units this week. The difference lies in our two open (B) bets.60% of the time you will cash your A Bets. Last nigjht was in the 40%
But, lets see how you and I stand now, at the B Bet:
Assuming decimal odds of 1.55
You: Last night you would have lost 1.82 units and tonight you will be risking 5.13 Units to win back your lost 1.82 units plus the unit you wanted to win last night. Profit: 1 Unit
Me: Last night I slept easy and tonight I will be risking 5.46 Units to win 3 Units, which will be all profit. I need the extra 2 units of profit to cover the ongoing slight chance that the A Bets, overall, will win 2 out of every 3 bets, which they don't (60% success at best; see krzychu's stats).
Therefore, for approx the same risk, I will either win more money than you, or we will both lose approx the same amount of money if, ultimately, the C bet fails.
Its nothing more than arithmetic.
Betting on the A Bets is only worth it if they win more than 2 out 3 times (67%), overall. But they don't.
Hopefully, see you at the cashier tonight
Good luck
Kev
PS. According to Krzychu's stats, the A Bets are 55% strike rate this season. I think every A bet now has to win to get the stats up to 66%.
If we win these, we will be up 6 units, and the (A) (B) (C) method will be up 2. Overall at the end of one week would be: (B) and (C) method = +12 units for the week, (A) (B) (C) method = +8 units for the week. That's four extra units, for virtually the same risk in one week. Apply those numbers to a whole season, and the difference could be enormous. I agree with Kevin, Wilba, krzychu, and whoever else plugged this method.Comment -
whats your pick tonight?Comment -
Chase 110
2010-11 System to date: 73-0
System Rules can be found in post #5000
System Backtest can be found in post #5000
(3/18/11) Washington (+8½) (C) –Loss
(A) 43-31
(B) 19-12
(C) 8-4
(D) 3-0
There are no system plays for (3/19/11)
Next games:
(3/20/11) New Jersey @ Washington Wizards (D)
(3/20/11) Golden State Warriors @ Dallas (A)Comment -
Hope the Wizards can pull it out for everyone!!Comment -
What are we suppose to do with Boston tonight money line or spreed,
sorry i'm new in the bet business.
ThanksComment -
What are we suppose to do with Boston tonight money line or spreed, sorry i'm new in the bet business.
ThanksComment -
i think its supposed to be +2 but im just going with the spreadComment -
boston is -1 on my book so its the spread for boston. +2 after buying 3 points.
I'm rather worried bout this b bet as Boston are 3-11 ATS with 0 day rest while NOH has not had a game since 16th.
I hope I'm just reading too much into it.Comment -
Does any body have the road game for the Morrison MLB games 2011Comment -
Charlote in by 11.5 points today against the Spurs.
Good luckComment -
