Sj55 nba playoff picks

**jpot34** · 05-07-10, 11:25 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

2-1 night with a HEAVY 5 unit WINNER on Spurs 1H and 1 unit win on Cavs 1Q, small 1 unit loss on UNDER by 0.5 point.

29-9-1 (76%) my last 39 NBA playoff plays
29-14-1 (67%) NBA PLAYOFF PICKS
59-27-1 (69%) my last 87 plays
174-114-4 (60.4%) total NBA record.
5-0 my last 5 heavy/big 5+ unit plays.

Nice work, Sweet! You found your niche.

**tealish** · 05-07-10, 11:31 PM

Smart guy, took Spurs 1H and not for the game. I took both

**fly fisher** · 05-07-10, 11:34 PM

SJ, Thanks again for another great night. To show thanks I added 5 pts to your last post. What can I say other than great job and thanks again.

**rtx1125** · 05-07-10, 11:41 PM

Cavs 1Q PK WINNER!!
Spurs 1H -3 WINNER!!
Spurs/Suns UNDER 206 TIE
Suns +2 2H WINNER
Spurs/Suns 2H OVER 103 WINNER

Sweet...Thanks SJ for most of the picks =]

**fixedgames** · 05-07-10, 11:47 PM

shit sj i gotta start tailing you... bad night tonight..

**sweetjones55** · 05-07-10, 11:48 PM

Originally posted by rtx1125

Cavs 1Q PK WINNER!!
Spurs 1H -3 WINNER!!
Spurs/Suns UNDER 206 TIE
Suns +2 2H WINNER
Spurs/Suns 2H OVER 103 WINNER

Sweet...Thanks SJ for most of the picks =]

Nice job my man

**jcygts6** · 05-07-10, 11:57 PM

still liking JAZZ heavy mr. SJ?

**jcygts6** · 05-07-10, 11:57 PM

I think +4.5 points is wayyy too much to give the lakers

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by jcygts6

I think +4.5 points is wayyy too much to give the lakers

Lol that is exactly why I like the Jazz. Why do you think Vegas opened the line LA +3.5 and then with the public pounding LA they said "OK so everyone is taking LA at +3.5, let's give them an extra point now to +4.5 and get even more people on LA". Also don't forget about the LAL +170 ML that the public is salivating all over on. Vegas got smoked with PHX +7 and the ML today. I would not be shocked to see the two huge nonpublic plays, Atlanta and Jazz to both win outright. Home teams have been very good at home in the playoffs thusfar.

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 12:05 AM

Originally posted by jcygts6

still liking JAZZ heavy mr. SJ?

Very much so at the ML -165 I posted two days ago.

**tealish** · 05-08-10, 12:11 AM

-165 is a steal, but even at -195 I like em a lot

**fly fisher** · 05-08-10, 12:13 AM

Sweet. For various reason i have not been able to get on this jazz game so my choices are jazz -4.5, ML at -190, and o/u at 202.5. I am thinking of going at least 2 units on jazz to cover -4.5 and 1-2 units on the over. What do you think about those? I know thay you have ML at -165 but I don't so wondering what you thought if you had what i have. Your thought are appreciated.

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 12:27 AM

Originally posted by fly fisher

Sweet. For various reason i have not been able to get on this jazz game so my choices are jazz -4.5, ML at -190, and o/u at 202.5. I am thinking of going at least 2 units on jazz to cover -4.5 and 1-2 units on the over. What do you think about those? I know thay you have ML at -165 but I don't so wondering what you thought if you had what i have. Your thought are appreciated.

Do not take the OVER. The UNDER is a very strong play on that game and I am just waiting to see the refs on that game to play it. Also don't take the Jazz -4.5, the line should move down. Try and take them at -3.5.

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 12:28 AM

I just did a little homework on Hawks 1Q at home since I am thinking about playing it. Here is the last 3 years of ATL 1Q at home. Hawks are 9-4 1Q and 3-1 in opening home game of series. We wil be catching points tomorrow in the 1Q so they could tie and still cash the 1Q.

34-17 win game 1 mil
28-20 win game 2 mil
24-23 loss game 5 loss
20-13 win game 7 mil

24-21 win hawks game 1 vs heat
24-18 loss heat game 2
24-20 win hawks game 5
20-18 win hawks game 7

22-18 loss cavs game 3
22-15 win caves game 4

32-26 win celtics game 3
29-24 win celtics game 4
32-20 loss celtics game 6

**ANGRYBLACK** · 05-08-10, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by TNT28

That douche bag!!! I pushed cuz I got it at UNDER 207

Naw, mayne! I got it at 207 and CASHED!!! 206 was the total. I woulda had 205.5, but I placed my wager later on in the day...

**fly fisher** · 05-08-10, 12:36 AM

Thanks SJ I will wait on the line dropping and thankfully i haven't taken anything yet so I am not on the over. Jazz are pretty tough at home but the lakers are so talented when they want to be. I am going to sit and wait like you said and try to get 3.5. Yea just looked on covers, the over is very unlikely, but I do agree and thing the jazz win. I figure either this game or the next game the lakers will take off and the jazz will win. After that, I think the Lake show is just to big and better. I better get to bed got to get up real early for work so I will see what you have posted tomorrow.

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 12:38 AM

Originally posted by ANGRYBLACK

Naw, mayne! I got it at 207 and CASHED!!! 206 was the total. I woulda had 205.5, but I placed my wager later on in the day...

Really glad a lot of you guys cashed on my UNDER pick. I am a complete moron for not waiting.

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 12:46 AM

I am going to be taking the Lakers/Jazz UNDER and Hawks 1Q/1H (haven't decided which) tomorrow. I will wait on those because I see the line getting better on those. I also really want to see the refs in both games.

**goldengoat** · 05-08-10, 12:50 AM

word life

straight thugganomics

**trojanman** · 05-08-10, 01:35 AM

thanks sweet.....i had the bet twice - once at 207 online can't believe it got that number and won and the other with local at 206 pushed ... damn but whatever - friggen late 3 was hard to watch but still came up......let cash jazz tomorrow big - thanks for the map to the playoffs.

**Siksid** · 05-08-10, 02:34 AM

great job sweet

**Krutoy** · 05-08-10, 03:43 AM

Great Job SJ
Thanks for the picks

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 07:58 AM

Originally posted by trojanman

thanks sweet.....i had the bet twice - once at 207 online can't believe it got that number and won and the other with local at 206 pushed ... damn but whatever - friggen late 3 was hard to watch but still came up......let cash jazz tomorrow big - thanks for the map to the playoffs.

Originally posted by Siksid

great job sweet

Originally posted by Krutoy

Great Job SJ
Thanks for the picks

**BRoZ** · 05-08-10, 08:24 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Nice job my man

CONG. Bro

**doctor_on_call** · 05-08-10, 08:32 AM

no sides for tom sj?

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 08:34 AM

Originally posted by doctor_on_call

no sides for tom sj?

I got Utah Jazz ML -165. I might have a play on ATL 1H, still deciding and waiting for the line to get better.

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 08:36 AM

Lakers/Jazz UNDER ??? (wait on it to go up with steam) LOCKED

We got the best ref in the NBA for UNDERS in Dick Bavetta. We also got Joe Crawford who is the 4th best ref in the NBA for UNDERS. Combined they are 85-50 (63%) UNDER this year. We also got this stat in support of the play, Game 3 is 35-15-6 (70%) Under/Over if the first two games went over the total since 1990. This total has big RLM as the total came out at 203.5 and went down to 202 some places with the public pounding the OVER.

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 08:51 AM

Here is a little insight on my Jazz ML -165 pick

I went back to check out how these current Lakers fared after going up 2-0 in a playoff series. These are the game 3's on the road for the Laker results after going up 2-0. These Lakers are 1-5 in game 3 when leading 2-0. Also don't forget that the Lakers are 1-2 on the road in the playoffs this year with their only win coming by 1 point on that crazy Gasol buzzer beater. Jazz are 3-0 at home this year in the playoffs.

4-23-2009 @ UTAH 88-86 LOSS
6-9-2009 @ ORL 108-104 LOSS
4-26-2008 @ DEN 102-84 WIN (Lakers swept them, this Den team was way worse than Utah is)
5-9-2009 @ UTAH 104-99 LOSS
5-25-200 @ SA 104-83 LOSS
4-22-2010 @ OKC 102-97 LOSS

**doctor_on_call** · 05-08-10, 09:20 AM

tnx sj55. love the analyses. im on board. bol.

**pako74** · 05-08-10, 09:26 AM

thanks sj. great work.

**ANGRYBLACK** · 05-08-10, 09:41 AM

You aren't a moron. I was going to jump on 205.5. My Wi-Fi was acting up, so I had to place my wager later. Luck, I suppose. I really wish that I would have tailed you since you broke on the scene. I'm up 27 units, but that's from chasing. Disposable income. I ain't nowhere near your 65-70% clip. I'll be waiting for your next big/heavy play...

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 09:47 AM

Originally posted by ANGRYBLACK

You aren't a moron. I was going to jump on 205.5. My Wi-Fi was acting up, so I had to place my wager later. Luck, I suppose. I really wish that I would have tailed you since you broke on the scene. I'm up 27 units, but that's from chasing. Disposable income. I ain't nowhere near your 65-70% clip. I'll be waiting for your next big/heavy play...

Lol you don't have to wait very long. I got Jazz ML -165 HEAVY today.

**Flopa3** · 05-08-10, 09:54 AM

SJ nice wins yesterday, I was only able to tail on the ones you posted the day before but i'll take them.

So what is your thoughts on alt .5 for 1Q? is that one I should wait on?

**sweetjones55** · 05-08-10, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by Flopa3

SJ nice wins yesterday, I was only able to tail on the ones you posted the day before but i'll take them.

So what is your thoughts on alt .5 for 1Q? is that one I should wait on?

Yes wait til like 3:00pm then take it. Also wait on the lal/Utah under.

**TakeIt** · 05-08-10, 10:09 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I got Jazz ML -165 HEAVY today.

unfortunately the money line is now -195 (5Dimes) so do you think that most of the value has been wrung out at that price? I'm thinking about passing at that number...missed my chance to get -165

just went to -200