SuicideKings NBA Dec 2009

[suicidekings]

LIVE:

WAS/DET UNDER 183 (-108) x0.5 (1 min remaining in the 3Q)

[suicidekings]

SNF Parlay (+300) 0.5 to win 1.5
- MIN -3.5
- Over 48

[suicidekings]

PHX/LAL Under 221 (-122) x1

[suicidekings]

LAL 1q -3 (-120)

[suicidekings]

Sac 2h -3 (-113)

[Mybologne]

[suicidekings]

12/6: 7-10-1
YTD: 132-153-4 (-12.16u)

Looks like I should have slept in and skipped the early games toiday after all, which went 3-6...

[suicidekings]

12/7 Leans

POR -4
GSW +7.5
GSW / OKC OVER 222
UTA 1Q
UTA 1H

[suicidekings]

12/7 Booked Plays

UTA 1Q pk (-115) x2
DEN 1Q -2 (-105)
NYK ML (+136)

[suicidekings]

12/7 Booked Plays

UTA 1Q pk (-115) x2
DEN 1Q -2 (-105)
NYK ML (+136)

Adding:

DEN / PHI Under 217 (-110)

[suicidekings]

DEN 2H -6 (-112) x0.5
PARLAY: SAN ML / Under 194 (+292) x0.5
SAN +2 (-108)

[suicidekings]

NYK 2H +4 (-106) x0.5

[suicidekings]

GSW 2H +4.5 (-110) x0.5

[suicidekings]

LIVE (at end of 1Q)

SAN -2.5 (-116) x2

Jazz are listless, missing shots and not moving well. SAN is going to roll them

[suicidekings]

LIVE (at end of 1Q)

SAN -2.5 (-116) x2

Jazz are listless, missing shots and not moving well. SAN is going to roll them

Correction: x2.5

[suicidekings]

Spurs ML (+585) x0.5

[suicidekings]

12/8 Plays

- DEN / CHR - Under 204 (-110)
- NJN / CHI - Under 192 (-108)
- SAC / NOH - Under 212 (-108)
- CLE -7.5 (-102)

- TEASER (+250) x0.5
---- CHR +8
---- BOS -7
---- CLE -2.5
---- SAC +13.5

[suicidekings]

12/8 Plays

- DEN / CHR - Under 204 (-110)
- NJN / CHI - Under 192 (-108)
- SAC / NOH - Under 212 (-108)
- CLE -7.5 (-102)

- TEASER (+250) x0.5
---- CHR +8
---- BOS -7
---- CLE -2.5
---- SAC +13.5

2-3, -0.6u

[landers781]

Good luck tonight man, havent been too focused as of late so I haven't really posted in nba handicapping much.

[suicidekings]

12/9 Early plays

ATL -10.5 (-106)
PHI 1Q -1 (-116) x0.5

[suicidekings]

Good luck tonight man, havent been too focused as of late so I haven't really posted in nba handicapping much.

Thanks buddy. Seems like I can't pick a winner to save my life recently... but keeping at it. Good luck to you too.

[darkenergy]

Best of luck today SK

[suicidekings]

NJN ML (-108)

TEASER (+450) x0.25
-- MIL pk
-- NOH +1.5
-- CLE +1.5
-- SAN -7.5
-- LAL -6

PARLAY (+2517) x0.25
-- MIL -4.5
-- NOH -3
-- CLE -3
-- SAN -12
-- LAL -10.5

[suicidekings]

Cle / hou - over 194 (-104)

[suicidekings]

POR 2H pk (+109) x0.5

[koby25]

Good luck.

[suicidekings]

CLE 2H -4.5 (-105)

Good luck.

Thanks man

[suicidekings]

san 2h -4 (+100)

[djiddish98]

Also booked the cleveland second half line - normally don't do halves so we'll see how it goes - good luck!

[suicidekings]

Also booked the cleveland second half line - normally don't do halves so we'll see how it goes - good luck!

I'm starting to think that any top tier team that's down at the half should pretty much always be taken 2H. Good luck to you as well.

[suicidekings]

12/9: 2-5 (-3.2u)

[suicidekings]

12/10 Plays

BOS 1Q -2 (-106)
BOS 1H -4 (-102)
BOS GM -7 (-108)

[shoebox]

today

[suicidekings]

12/10 Plays

BOS 1Q -2 (-106)
BOS 1H -4 (-102)
BOS GM -7 (-108)

12/10: 1-2 (-1.14u)

[suicidekings]

12/11 Early Play

PARLAY: IND ML / UNDER 198.5 (+221) x0.25

I got bored and decided to build myself a simulation model as well. It runs ** sims, 5000 trials per game, and uses PF/PA subdivided by road and home, with the boundaries defined by a function of each team's standard deviation for their PF/PA. Mostly it was just fun to make and play around with.

For this game (5000 simulations):
Fair line: NJN @ IND -4
IND ATS (55.4%)
IND ML (73.6%)
UNDER 192 (82.7%)

percentages based on available lines at Pinnacle