WNBA Dating Tips

**MIAMIHURRICANE** · 07-02-09, 07:04 AM

big card tonight...just awaiting ck/sm final plays...can not wait...build the bankroll.

**RoagBettor** · 07-02-09, 07:42 AM

I was so pissed off at that push on the over I went to Bookmaker Poker and won another $100 from the rookie players. I have no guilt!

**RoagBettor** · 07-02-09, 08:10 AM

3 Team/8 Pt Teaser booked:

CT +12
MN +2.5
MN/SAC under 167

$120 to win $100

**Biff Webster** · 07-02-09, 08:33 AM

I got lucky, i had the over at 173 and Phoenix -2 combine that with 2-0 in CFL, great day.

**cocknocker** · 07-02-09, 09:31 AM

Later on today another no nonsense dating tip for gaining control over your woman and establishing an ideal order without going to jail

**Panekkkk** · 07-02-09, 09:41 AM

CK, some new stats up for WIN/EDM cfl courtesy of yours truly. Not sure what to make of it all but have a look

**kmarinouofm** · 07-02-09, 09:45 AM

Originally posted by Panekkkk

CK, some new stats up for WIN/EDM cfl courtesy of yours truly. Not sure what to make of it all but have a look

our homie from across the boarder was putting in work this morning no doubt...

**RoagBettor** · 07-02-09, 09:50 AM

MN/SAC o/u 160 at Bookmaker now. Line is -5.5.

**muffin_pirate** · 07-02-09, 10:19 AM

some trends to consider for the Indiana vs Connecticut. Will post other games if anyone wants.

ATS Trends

Connecticut

Sun are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Sun are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Sun are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Sun are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Sun are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Indiana

Fever are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Fever are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Fever are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Fever are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Fever are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
Fever are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Fever are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.

OU Trends

Connecticut

Under is 5-0 in Sun last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-0 in Sun last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Under is 4-1 in Sun last 5 Thursday games.
Under is 8-2 in Sun last 10 overall.
Under is 7-2 in Sun last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 7-3 in Sun last 10 road games.

Indiana

Over is 13-5 in Fever last 18 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Fever last 7 home games.
Over is 9-4 in Fever last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 19-9 in Fever last 28 Thursday games.

Head to Head

Sun are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Indiana.
Sun are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

**cocknocker** · 07-02-09, 10:20 AM

Sexymit, wake up!

Now there is some SERIOUS REVERSE MOVEMENT with Sacramento and Minnesota. The chicken dinner line of the day: With only 13% of bettors on their side, the Monarchs have controlled the line activity moving the line from 6.5 to 5.5, now that is a STEAM MOVE if I ever saw one. And it is very significant because a KEY NUMBER was jumped (6). Now how in the hell are 87% of f*cker going to be right? This is the kind of game that keeps the lights on in Vegas.

I am still stuck on the unders, although the one that I like the least (Detroit/New York) will more tan likely go over te total because it is perceived as being a low scoring matchup. So here are my spins on the games updated

Connecticut+4.5*

Connecticut/Fever under 141*

Shock/Liberty over 144 (Iffy)

Sacramento/Minnesota under 159*

Sacramento+6* (Where there's smoke there's fire. You always make money on the shit that looks like it can't possibly happen. The Monarchs may even f*ck around and win it. Don't forget that Minnesota won on national television. Teams that win nationally televised games in the NBA always have problems in the next game when the lights are off)

*= Games that I am intending on playing

**cocknocker** · 07-02-09, 10:22 AM

We only have 434 entries left to go for the magic 3,000th! I am gonna get it!

**muffin_pirate** · 07-02-09, 10:25 AM

CK, you like New York -4?

**jdogdee** · 07-02-09, 10:33 AM

CK, what a hit on the CFL games! You, and Sexy, have single handedly brought my bankroll to places it has never been before. I am forever thankful. Keep up the good work. Going to a condo on the beach today for the weekend all paid for courtesy of the WNBA and CFL. Don't know if I should say that out loud. Kind of sounds like I am an absolute degenerate, but there is money in the WNBA and CFL and you guys are on FIRE! Keep it up and the next round is on me if your heading to Biloxi this weekend!

**RoagBettor** · 07-02-09, 10:34 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

We only have 434 entries left to go for the magic 3,000th! I am gonna get it!

Bring it on!

**Bull_Shark** · 07-02-09, 10:39 AM

agree on Sac, especially given the way they let it slip late in Chicago

**cocknocker** · 07-02-09, 10:43 AM

Muffin Pirate,

In a word, no. New York are enigmatic underacheivers. They are well coached for 75% of the game, but they have a penchant for losing leads in the 4th quarters

They runs some of the best half court sets in the WNBA, but the problem with them is that they are not a good clutch team. The wrong players end up wit the ball in their hands at the end of games..... namely Janel McCarville, who some kind of magical way always ends up with the ball in her hands at the end of games and immediately blows the cover either with a fumbled pass or blown free throws. She has done this quite a bit for the last couple of years, and it shows that the coach isn't doing such a hot job with the teamif the same things keep happening at the end of game.

By the movement and all of the factors involved including record and positioning in the standings, New York should be able to get the job done.

But moreover than that, Sexymit and I have made a pact to NOT wager on the Shocks' games, but rather wait for them to lose and then fade whoever beats them in their next game.

**RoagBettor** · 07-02-09, 11:02 AM

Sac/MN o/u 161.5 on Bookmaker now - wow.

**Biff Webster** · 07-02-09, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Sac/MN o/u 161.5 on Bookmaker now - wow.

My book is up to 163

**kmarinouofm** · 07-02-09, 11:20 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Sexymit, wake up!

Now there is some SERIOUS REVERSE MOVEMENT with Sacramento and Minnesota. The chicken dinner line of the day: With only 13% of bettors on their side, the Monarchs have controlled the line activity moving the line from 6.5 to 5.5, now that is a STEAM MOVE if I ever saw one. And it is very significant because a KEY NUMBER was jumped (6). Now how in the hell are 87% of f*cker going to be right? This is the kind of game that keeps the lights on in Vegas.

I am still stuck on the unders, although the one that I like the least (Detroit/New York) will more tan likely go over te total because it is perceived as being a low scoring matchup. So here are my spins on the games updated

Connecticut+4.5*

Connecticut/Fever under 141*

Shock/Liberty over 144 (Iffy)

Sacramento/Minnesota under 159*

Sacramento+6* (Where there's smoke there's fire. You always make money on the shit that looks like it can't possibly happen. The Monarchs may even f*ck around and win it. Don't forget that Minnesota won on national television. Teams that win nationally televised games in the NBA always have problems in the next game when the lights are off)

*= Games that I am intending on playing

homie i got the sac/min o/u at 163

**Panekkkk** · 07-02-09, 11:27 AM

Yeah, all the trends are leaning heavily towards the over ... which might make it a good contrarian play lol. Not sure why CK likes the under.

**cocknocker** · 07-02-09, 11:40 AM

I have it at 162.5 now, and the line for Sacramento is firm at 5.5. The line has teetered between 5.5 and 6 all morning, but one thing is constant, the moneyline for Minnesota is a moneyline for a typical 5.5 line as the moneyline is -265/+225, and a moneyline that corresponds with a 6 point line should read -270/+210.

What is not lost on me is the value that you get for playing Sacramento moneyline +225 which is a great line for a 5.5 dog. Ordinarily in order to get +225, you would have to have a line of 6.5. As the day goes on, I absolutely love Sacramento in this game. Why? Because it doesn't make any sense going against the Lynx!

I see the line for New York has fallen a half point to 3.5, and the over/under is at 141.5 now, which is a grand 3 point movement from just earlier this morning.

As far as our big game is concerned, the Sun have not gotten any additional points, which is a great sign too. Indiana has a "soft" 4.5 as well. A line of 4.5 should be accompanied by a moneyline of -220/+180, yet the line for them is -4.5 -210/+175. What I see is that this line is off and that it will decline in number and value . I see this line dipping to 3.5 by gametime. My advice is to take the wager at 2:00pm pst or so. All that we will need for this wager to fly is 4 points.

Usually this is the time of day when the lines spiral out of control. So as stated, let's burn a blunt for awhile and come back to this when it's dry and ready to smoke

**cocknocker** · 07-02-09, 11:45 AM

Well let's lay off of the totals until the smoke clears. All of the games went over Tuesday. It won't happen today. And secondly don't let the movement fool you into changing your stance on games in WNBA betting. If you don't have a plan coming in you will be made to fear making your play by watching the lines. It's exactly what they want. The money is on the overs today, and the lines are supposed to go up. We're supposed to go the other way, and go under. THAT'S what CK sees in the under plays.

**haserfauld** · 07-02-09, 12:08 PM

My book has Sac +6, ML +225, and o/u 163

**oda11** · 07-02-09, 12:09 PM

Sac at +7 now.

**JumpoffJoeBeezy** · 07-02-09, 12:15 PM

Can't see myself taking Sacramento. I'm just gonna ride the Lynx *in particular Candice Wiggins

until they lose..

**oda11** · 07-02-09, 12:26 PM

07/02/2009 Day 24
Day Starting Bankroll - $6446.50

Waiting on Plays.

WNBA Dating Tips Record 21 - 8 - 0

**haserfauld** · 07-02-09, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

As far as our big game is concerned, the Sun have not gotten any additional points, which is a great sign too. Indiana has a "soft" 4.5 as well. A line of 4.5 should be accompanied by a moneyline of -220/+180, yet the line for them is -4.5 -210/+175. What I see is that this line is off and that it will decline in number and value . I see this line dipping to 3.5 by gametime. My advice is to take the wager at 2:00pm pst or so. All that we will need for this wager to fly is 4 points.

I'm confused here ck. In the writeup earlier, you posted sun +4.5 as your lean. Why then would you wait for 4 or 3.5 to jump on it?

**UndersSuck** · 07-02-09, 12:39 PM