Tommy Karate ~ NBA 2014/2015

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  • atthehalf
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-31-13
    • 5140

    #526
    On Sanitation as advertised and also

    Bucks PK 2nd half
    Comment
    • Tommy Karate
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-12-13
      • 13445

      #527
      Saturday 11.15

      (6u) Wizards -9 (N1)
      (3u) Bulls -8.5 (N4)
      (3u) Blazers -2.5 (N4)
      (2u) Wolves (N5); NBY
      Comment
      • meader99
        SBR MVP
        • 10-30-10
        • 4223

        #528
        Rose out yet again....shocker... Not sure if you need to remove the Bulls from a system play with as many games as Rose is in and then out again.
        Comment
        • KRIT
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-11-14
          • 12878

          #529
          LaMarcus Aldridge is doubtful today and Batum is inactive.
          Comment
          • NBA Maniac
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-11-12
            • 5290

            #530
            Tommy PM on the way....
            Comment
            • Tommy Karate
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-12-13
              • 13445

              #531
              one time wizards
              Comment
              • Tommy Karate
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-12-13
                • 13445

                #532
                booked wolves @ +11.5
                Comment
                • Tommy Karate
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-12-13
                  • 13445

                  #533
                  getting absolutely smoked in all sports except the NFL; wish that hot run would start already. fukkin drilled
                  the only good thing is ive reduced the size of some of these plays then what i planned for them to be; s/b down even more...
                  Comment
                  • Tommy Karate
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-12-13
                    • 13445

                    #534
                    (3u) Nets +3.5 (N2)
                    Comment
                    • atthehalf
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-31-13
                      • 5140

                      #535
                      It's a long season Dex~take the bitter with the sweet.

                      I haven't been posting here in a long time-one thing I see is that you have forgotten or abandoned is the bet out theory that we employed back in the Underground days which I still use to this very day. A lot of guys who tailed me back in the day found it nerve racking because I will do it in a split second and if those tailing you aren't constantly refreshing your thread they may get cross with you-but that's their bad. At the end of the day all that you want is the money right?

                      If you have a change of heart on a particular game then bet out of it instead of just plan switching sides-this will protect your money-for instance yesterday you had the Blazers-2.5 and never bet it-but then had a change of heart and bet the Nets+3.5 without a margin of safety despite the fact that this was their 10 thousandth road game against the Blazers. Now to be fair you did in fact get a good number to bet (+3.5), the issue was the Nets schedule (5 games in 8 days). That's tough on any team let alone an aged team like the Nets.

                      Go with your first mind and if you don't like it later a good strategy is to simply bet out of it, especially with a SHORT NUMBER (Blazers ML and Nets+3.5) so that all you stand to lose is the vigorous.

                      I did this the other night when the number for the Hawks 2nd half (-4) went bad (-3.5). I had already bet the Hawks at -4; once the number went sour I bet the Jazz at +3.5 and lost nothing but the vigorous and then moved on from it as if nothing ever happened. For tracking purposes it won't look good sometimes if you are tailed by others because the uninformed will label you as being unsure of yourself but the main thing here is that the money is protected and thus a margin of safety is created. It's basically fading yourself if the number isn't right anymore-and if you remember I caught hell with some followers who couldn't understand/grasp this concept. Did you think that I really cared if I was avoiding a loss? The truth is it wasn't at anyone's expense but my own.

                      The one who follows another's advice on false pretenses is in line for the worst outcome. The one who does their own due diligence and is knowledgeable that unforeseen circumstances will arise from time to time is the best type to rub shoulders with; for he/she will help you with identifying a challenging situation arising.

                      You actually have some good guys on your thread with an occasional nut. You are doing just fine. I am a cerebral man. What I like to do is to read the poem "Invictus" after a bad night the next morning before I bet a single dollar. It gets my battery re-charged for the next day and it helps me shake it off. Check it out-it's a good read
                      Comment
                      • atthehalf
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-31-13
                        • 5140

                        #536
                        Gotta always look out for my homies- we go way back like Cadillac seats
                        Comment
                        • Tommy Karate
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-12-13
                          • 13445

                          #537
                          Originally posted by atthehalf
                          Gotta always look out for my homies- we go way back like Cadillac seats
                          thanks - these runs happen; have to just be prepared for them..
                          Comment
                          • Tommy Karate
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-12-13
                            • 13445

                            #538
                            Sunday 11.16

                            (1u) OKC +5
                            Comment
                            • NBA Maniac
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-11-12
                              • 5290

                              #539
                              Kobe can't do worst then 1/14...
                              And they lost earlier by 23 points away vs Warriors...
                              But why pull the trigger, it is a long season...
                              Lets just enjoy and laugh with splash brothers and kobe
                              Comment
                              • Tommy Karate
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-12-13
                                • 13445

                                #540
                                (1u) Lakers +8.5
                                Comment
                                • NBA Maniac
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-11-12
                                  • 5290

                                  #541
                                  Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                  (1u) Lakers +8.5
                                  you pulled
                                  Comment
                                  • Ebumdude
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-15-12
                                    • 2189

                                    #542
                                    Whew. Whudda nail biter!
                                    Comment
                                    • meader99
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-30-10
                                      • 4223

                                      #543
                                      Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                      getting absolutely smoked in all sports except the NFL; wish that hot run would start already. fukkin drilled
                                      the only good thing is ive reduced the size of some of these plays then what i planned for them to be; s/b down even more...
                                      Just fade me now and you will get rolling again. I like Heat +6, Boston +1.5 and Houston +4. Fire away opposite and take that money to the bank.
                                      Comment
                                      • RavensFan2k3
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-18-12
                                        • 17378

                                        #544
                                        Originally posted by meader99
                                        Just fade me now and you will get rolling again. I like Heat +6, Boston +1.5 and Houston +4. Fire away opposite and take that money to the bank.
                                        Thats not good news as I like Miami
                                        Comment
                                        • KRIT
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-11-14
                                          • 12878

                                          #545
                                          Originally posted by meader99
                                          Just fade me now and you will get rolling again. I like Heat +6, Boston +1.5 and Houston +4. Fire away opposite and take that money to the bank.
                                          I like Miami with Nets coming off the west coast roadie. I too am cold in NBA, Brook is probably a lock now.
                                          Comment
                                          • Tommy Karate
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-12-13
                                            • 13445

                                            #546
                                            Originally posted by KRIT
                                            I like Miami with Nets coming off the west coast roadie. I too am cold in NBA, Brook is probably a lock now.
                                            agree....i have to go small for a while. prob just 1u although i would like to go 3-5 if i wasnt just jack-hammered
                                            Comment
                                            • GT21Megatron
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-20-13
                                              • 10818

                                              #547
                                              I like Suns and Houston....hmmm
                                              Comment
                                              • Tommy Karate
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-12-13
                                                • 13445

                                                #548
                                                Monday 11.17

                                                (1u) Heat +7
                                                (2u) Nuggets +12 (N5)
                                                (2u) Suns -1.5 (N2)
                                                Comment
                                                • Tommy Karate
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-12-13
                                                  • 13445

                                                  #549
                                                  nuggets are on the last game of a 3 game with no rest; fading these teams are 3-1 ats this season; was around 50% last year.
                                                  had to stick with N5, but a hammer job would not surprise me
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Tommy Karate
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-12-13
                                                    • 13445

                                                    #550
                                                    (1u) Over Suns 215.5
                                                    Comment
                                                    • GT21Megatron
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-20-13
                                                      • 10818

                                                      #551
                                                      Scratch Houston...

                                                      Suns
                                                      Bulls +5
                                                      Pelicans +3

                                                      good luck TK
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tommy Karate
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-12-13
                                                        • 13445

                                                        #552
                                                        (1u) Under Rockets 187.5
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KRIT
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-11-14
                                                          • 12878

                                                          #553
                                                          Keep an eye on Rudy Gay tomorrow. He is questionable for tomorrow's game against Pelicans. In an ideal world: Pelicans win tonight, Rudy is out tomorrow, we can all hop on Sac at a nice number. Rudy Gay is up there with Josh Smith as one of NBAs best losers.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • NBA Maniac
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-11-12
                                                            • 5290

                                                            #554
                                                            Philadelphia @ San Antonio Joe Crawford

                                                            Of course i have to Fade Spurs now GRRRRRR
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Tommy Karate
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-12-13
                                                              • 13445

                                                              #555
                                                              wtf is up with the live odds tonight.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tommy Karate
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-12-13
                                                                • 13445

                                                                #556
                                                                Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                                11/3-11/9: 17-14 (-10.5u)
                                                                N1: 1-1
                                                                N2: 1-2
                                                                N3: 1-2
                                                                N4: 1-6

                                                                N5: 2-0
                                                                N6: 2-1
                                                                N7: 2-0

                                                                N8: 1-1
                                                                Non-Auto: 8-3 (+3.6u)
                                                                ===================

                                                                NBA YTD: 30-24 (-2.8u)
                                                                N1: 2-1
                                                                N2: 4-3

                                                                N3: 2-3
                                                                N4: 2-7

                                                                N5: 5-1
                                                                N6: 2-1
                                                                N7: 3-0
                                                                N8: 1-1
                                                                Non-Auto: 16-9 (+3.7u)
                                                                11/10-11/16: 10-17 (-45.6u)
                                                                N1: 0-2
                                                                N2: 1-2
                                                                N3: 0-1
                                                                N4: 1-4
                                                                N5: 1-2

                                                                N8: 1-1
                                                                Non-Auto: 6-7 (-4.1u)
                                                                ======================
                                                                NBA YTD: 40-41 (-48.4u)
                                                                N1: 2-3
                                                                N2: 5-5
                                                                N3: 2-4
                                                                N4: 3-11

                                                                N5: 6-3
                                                                N6: 2-1
                                                                N7: 3-0
                                                                N8: 2-2
                                                                Non-Auto: 22-16 (-.4u)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Tommy Karate
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-12-13
                                                                  • 13445

                                                                  #557
                                                                  (3u) Bulls (N4); NBY
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • meader99
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-30-10
                                                                    • 4223

                                                                    #558
                                                                    Gasol out
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tommy Karate
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-12-13
                                                                      • 13445

                                                                      #559
                                                                      booked bulls @ +7
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Tommy Karate
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-12-13
                                                                        • 13445

                                                                        #560
                                                                        let this shit begin tonight; team on your back butler
                                                                        Comment
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