Tommy Karate ~ NBA 2014/2015

[thetrinity]

ya i dont know about the last game i been under the weather and should sleep if i bet it ill watch it for sure though

[Tommy Karate]

Well the thing that I see around here is that guys are betting bad numbers and handicapping teams instead of the number. By far that is the biggest difference that I see from when i was posting daily here and now.

You and I go way back to the initial stages of online bet forums. So you already know that there was a time when bettors didn't have much to go on other than the number. There wasn't any uh Rotoworld or teamrankings or any search engines, lol! It was a rolled up newspaper in your inner pocket and a cigar.

I don't bet on teams. I bet on good numbers irregardless of the teams playing. Kind of hard to put into layman's terms about good numbers because it is an art form that sharps like myself understand. You won't win all of your bets but you will win over 57%....identifying reverse line movement will make you a 50% or so bettor. Understanding WHY the line is moving will make you into....well me.

Damn this is like explaining how to solve the Rubic's Cube. If you look at the body of my work

http://contests.sportsbookreview.com/the-greek-5000-nba-shootout-contest-5098/

you will see a pattern of certain numbers that I am betting. I only bet on pronounced favorites and I bet with short numbers about 75% of the time. Certain short numbers tell you more about a game than anything else-which is why I handicap the number only instead of the teams. As a sharp, I don't care who is playing. I can't remember the last time I looked up a matchup history between two teams....if the number is right and the percentages of a cover are in my favor we are banging it...

I hope this helps a bit. This explanation will take a lot of time, much more than tonight. This is novel material, lol!

well said my friend; good stuff

[GT21Megatron]

Hornets ML
Clippers +5(large)

Thats one down....

Atthehalf.......I didn't like the move on the HOme team and then you posted playing numbers and took Raptors 2nd half? Does this make me "SHARP"?

[GT21Megatron]

(1u) Warriors -5

Mega - this line makes no sense and i feel the trap has been set...

Understandable I mean Clips have looked bad and Warriors are at home and 3-0....I think it's to many IMO

[atthehalf]

Thats one down....

Atthehalf.......I didn't like the move on the HOme team and then you posted playing numbers and took Raptors 2nd half? Does this make me "SHARP"?

Lol! Yes you made a good play. The thing here is that Boston, or any team for that matter had better beat down the Raptors all the way-because they are one of the best conditioned teams in the NBA. When Boston succumbed to the Raptors pressure in the second quarter that action provided clarity that the Celtics aren't capable of handling the Raptors "A" game. The PK at the break made it certain that the line maker feels the same way.

[GT21Megatron]

Lol! Yes you made a good play. The thing here is that Boston, or any team for that matter had better beat down the Raptors all the way-because they are one of the best conditioned teams in the NBA. When Boston succumbed to the Raptors pressure in the second quarter that action provided clarity that the Celtics aren't capable of handling the Raptors "A" game. The PK at the break made it certain that the line maker feels the same way.

Do you only play halfs so you can buy out at half if you want out?

[Tommy Karate]

one time celts! get it rondo!

[Tommy Karate]

I don't bet on teams. I bet on good numbers irregardless of the teams playing. Kind of hard to put into layman's terms about good numbers because it is an art form that sharps like myself understand. You won't win all of your bets but you will win over 57%....identifying reverse line movement will make you a 50% or so bettor. Understanding WHY the line is moving will make you into....well me.

good lord - get over yourself homie!!

[KRIT]

one time celts! get it rondo!

Horrible last shot by Green.

[sportcap]

CK u reppin that soil tonight on the dubs? I would think chasing them to win either 1H and 2H would yield a profit...

[GT21Megatron]

Adding Nuggets +4

[atthehalf]

2 seconds left. A play is run for Brandon Jennings...he promptly on cue misses the front end-tear up the ticket lol!

[atthehalf]

CK u reppin that soil tonight on the dubs? I would think chasing them to win either 1H and 2H would yield a profit...

Good proposition. I am gonna watch the first half. I do like the Nuggets to exact some revenge-just not enough to bet them without watching how they perform a bit first. Brian Shaw is a wonderful coach-just not with the type of personnel he inherited-which is George Karl all the way

[GT21Megatron]

TK you got any autos on Teams who have consecutively covered ATS so for instance right now.....Clips 0-4 ATS Golden State 3-0 ATS? Maniac has to have some numbers on that you would think but he's MIA....This has nothing to do with me taking Clippers either for the record.

[KRIT]

2 seconds left. A play is run for Brandon Jennings...he promptly on cue misses the front end-tear up the ticket lol!

Sickening.

[atthehalf]

Suns+1 2nd half

[KRIT]

Can we all agree that any game Josh Smith is inactive for it needs to be called a N100 and warrents a minimum 10u bet on the Pistons?

[Tommy Karate]

Can we all agree that any game Josh Smith is inactive for it needs to be called a N100 and warrents a minimum 10u bet on the Pistons?

haha - without doubt

[Tommy Karate]

TK you got any autos on Teams who have consecutively covered ATS so for instance right now.....Clips 0-4 ATS Golden State 3-0 ATS? Maniac has to have some numbers on that you would think but he's MIA....This has nothing to do with me taking Clippers either for the record.

no - but i have a friend who is into statistics and quant models etc; can ask him to backtest something.

[GT21Megatron]

Adding Nuggets +4

Down 21 after the 1st....let's see if these pricks got some heart...,unreal

[atthehalf]

Suns+1 2nd half

Money thrown into the fireplace

[atthehalf]

Late night tweek

Clippers/Warriors UNDER 104 2nd half

[mlb]

good lord - get over yourself homie!!

Thank god you said something like this - this guy is a conceited clown

[GT21Megatron]

Buried on late games. GONNA lose by a combined 50+

[Tommy Karate]

looks like the public will be heavy on Hou tonight; tough backing the spurs in this spot but i might have to.
wish the second game was more lopsided but it looks like will be a 50/50 game maybe a little more on portland

[Tommy Karate]

scratch that - spurs won last night; if duncan and parker play the rockets are the play for me.

[thetrinity]

tim duncan out

[KRIT]

Duncan, Ginobili, Belleneli, and Splitter all out. Classic NBA TNT game tonight.

[Tommy Karate]

Classic is right. Wait till tip. Leonard has his 2014 coming out party.

[NBA Maniac]

Classic is right. Wait till tip. Leonard has his 2014 coming out party.

i now we will get at least 7. do you think we can get higher ??

Damm this girl is so sexy

[RollinDo]

good lord - get over yourself homie!!

[GT21Megatron]

Houston is a death trap...seen this movement get spanked last year when spurs sat guys

[Tommy Karate]

Thursday 11.6

(4u) Spurs +7 (N4)

[GT21Megatron]

Thursday 11.6

(4u) Spurs (N4); NBY

Mine is sitting at 6.5....will it go up

[Tommy Karate]

Friday 11.7

(4u) Jazz (N3); NBY