Leans For Friday 1/30/09....Friday Night At College = Party Night

[SamsNCharge99]

Another Good Day Today

Sam's Card 1/29/09
Suns -1.5 $55 to win $50
College of Charleston -8.5 1st Half...$110 to win $100 (CK S. Play) WIN
Santa Clara 1st Half -10 $110 to win $100 (CK Secret Play) WIN
Illinois PK $77 to win $70 LOSS

Day 3-2 Up $138

Pending....St. Mary's +9.5 $77 to win $70 WIN
Pending....Suns -1.5 $55 to win $50 LOSE

First Friday of new semister, we're 100% going out tonight. I'll of course be D.D., but that doesn't mean I can't DO WORK w/ the ladies.

ANYWAY......


Friday Set of Games is always a big card. Tonight is no different. 11 games. Only 5 lines out as of now, so many games will be projected lines. Let's see how I can do projecting these bad boys.

Wizards at 76ers (-11) 76er's are playing some good basketball as of now. Big win on Wednesday night at the Rockets. They were down a lot of the game, but pulled it off in the end. Wizards are again going through a bad stretch and can't get anything going. No Play from me in this game.

Bucks at Toronto (Projected -6) Toronto isn't playing like Champs, but not playing bad right now. Actually, it really doesn't matter how they are playing, they are playing the REDD less Bucks. That's all that matters. Toronto should handle the Bucks. THIS IS MOST LIKELY A PLAY. NO HIGHER THAN 8.

Boston (-5) at Detroit...WOW. I already bet this game for a good size bet. Boston have won 8 straight by an average of 19.6 points. Detroit isn't playing that good to consider them only 5 points worse at home. I see this line going up, so get it early if possible. Already 93% of bettors are on Boston, so this could be a gift.

Heat at Pacers (NL) Only reason I'm not projecting a line is b/c Danny Granger didn't play on Wednesday for the Pacers. The line will 100% rely on him. It will go one way if he plays, another if he doesn't, so no opinion yet.

NYNets at Atlanta (-7) Nets blew the game vs. Toronto on Wednesday at home and lost by 1. Now, they go on the road to a Hawks team who is one of the best in the league playing at home. Hawks come off loss in NY and are now ready to beat up on the Nets. NO PLAY FOR ME HERE.

Clippers at Cavs (-16) Cavs lost last night as everyone knows and now they play again tonight. They should be tired....IDC. They have won every game this year after a loss by at least 10 points. Tonight, they play at home to the Clippers. 16 is a lot, but I think they can cover that. I may bet them straight, but def. in a teaser.

Lakers (-9.5) at TimberWolves... Lakers coming off bad loss, Timber Wolves, just bad...enough said.

OKC at Utah (-8) OKC is a covering machine. They pulled it off in OT against Memphis and actually got the cover. Now, on the road against a strong home team in the Jazz. But, the Jazz are still a bit beat up and the Spurs handled them in their last game. OKC is a covering machine I say again and maybe a play on them.

Charlotte at Denver.....No opinion

G. State At NO (Projected NO -6) NO is still dealing w/ some injuries but still manage to play extremely well. Ohh yeah, CP3 could be that reason. G. State can be a good team, they have the talent, just not all the right things as a team. They are like the Knicks from the past. (Knicks not bad right now) NO should win, by the spread...ehh we shall see.

Bulls (-1.5) at Kings....Bulls won on the road at Clippers on Wednesday, now playing the Kings who find a way to lose. If I'm doing good, I may play the Bulls, if I'm out Patrying, I guess I won't.

So early leans
Boston -5 (already Played them....$165 to win $150)
Toronto -6 to -8 (b/t that or even less, make it a play)
Cavs -16 (def. playing them in a teaser....maybe in a single)
OKC +8 (wait on the line, it could go up, take it late)
NO -6 or less (not that confident in this one)

Ok Guys, let's continue to have fun and DO WORK.

[Hanger]

Something doesn't seem right with the BOS line. Hesitant to jump on it, but gotta be at least 7 by morning. Probably going to lay a good chunk down on them tonight.

Nice write up

[BelieveTheHype]

early leans out of lines out.. will update when others posted...

okc +10
boston -5
chicago -1.5
butler -17
cornell -13.5

i will most likely be playing minnesota +10 vs la.. will probably wait until closer to game time and try to get an extra point or two.

[CarloTwoGuns]

i put all my money on boston tomorrow

[pho3nix32]

Oh well...the Suns/Spurs decided to run today...but it's ok, it's normal to run into a wall once in awhile. The key is that we get back at the books tomorrow!!! Here is my lean:

line: dp@bc 180.5
pick: 180.5 under

Numbers don't lie:

- the under is 16-6 for Boston in road games this season.
- the under is 14-4 for Detroit after a non-conference game this season.
- head to head, the under for both teams is 12-3 in meetings for the last 3 seasons.
- head to head, the under is 6-1 for both teams in games played in Detroit for the last 3 seasons.

Expect a slow and deliberate game in tomorrow's eastern conference rivalry.

[lambogb]

any thoughts on why the celtics line is so low?

[gameday10]

I do like the under in the bos/det game. Checked some stuff out and a lot of things point to the under. I will look at it more tomorrow and will probably make it a play.

[LUNT101]

Honestly Sam I think you're doing a good job running the thread, but there's no reason to toot your own horn, talking about how great you are doing. I mean I appreiciate what you're doing but no bragging is necessary. I'm 10-0 over the past 2 days too but you gotta be modest you know? maybe I'm just too ****d up rite now and the "FRiday Night=party night" seems really weird to me but w/e. My bad. I'm just glad we both had good nights and let the good times roll. I'll post my picks in the morning..

[stakagrp]

Glad you're doing the write-ups while CK is on NCAA. I would like to say that Minnesota isn't a great team but lately they've been playing much better and covering in most of their games. With the Lakers you don't know what to expect because they play down to their opponents. I can't believe that they lost against Charlotte at home. With Minnesota they'll play their hearts out even if they can't win, but with the Lakeshow they tend to lose interest once they have a good lead and then send in the scrubs. Either I'll play Minnesota plus points or no play.

Onto the Utah game. OKC does extremely well covering ats, but I think that Utah has revenge on their mind with the loss back at OKC in the second game these two teams met. Utah has been on a slump losing 5 of their last 6 games and failing to cover any of them. Last time I thought Utah was going to bounce back from their slump against the Spurs but I was wrong. OKC can no way be compared to Spurs as we all know. Utah should bounce back having homecourt advantage and with revenge on their mind losing to OKC by 21 points last game. Sam in my opinion I think that Utah might be a better pick or no play at all. There are better games to lay your money on than an inferior team against one of the top contending teams in the west, especially with reasons that I have stated.

I like your Boston play, but a little concerned about how low the line opened up. Is this really a blessing or can this be a trap. Boston has beaten Detroit twice already this season by 12 and 18 pts. I see them winning again, but a bit scared that the line goes up and Boston doesn't make the cover.

The Toronto game can be an ugly one. Mil without their main player and a bad Toronto team that is getting healthy. Although Mil lost to Indiana they did make a nice comeback from a large deficit to close out the game. Toronto on the other hand had a good lead and lost it against NJN, but winning the game by 1 pt and failing to cover. How ugly is that? Can't trust either team to put money in my pockets so I will stay away....I hope.

Let me know what you guys think and BOL.

[WADE333]

shark79 is the power....

[bobbyfk]

LOVE Boston tomorrow, might lay some on the bulls too

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Interesting Friday night info for the past four weeks. If you go the home teams you are generally going to do pretty well on a Friday night. See the info below.

7-3 ATS & 7-3 ML
6-4 ATS & 6-4ML
8-3-1 ATS & 9-3 ML
10-5 ML & 10-5 ATS



Also, the reason why the Boston line is so low, is that Detroit 1-1 home dog (this season) and that Boston have NOT been favoured at Detroit at all in their past 20 games head to head... so the linesmaker will set a low line, not a massive blow out line. This is the first time Boston is favoured in Detroit and should rightfully win, considering their recent form.

I'm liking the Timberwolves ATS (on fire recently), 76ers ATS (wash have been terrible and been getting thrashed recently), Cavs & Boston 1Q and NO ATS.

[WADE333]

tor
nj
utah

[SamsNCharge99]

Boston line already up to -6.5, told you that would happen. Get it early. I still think the line will rise. 73% of bettors on Boston as of now.

[shoebox]

Booked celtics and cavs

[SamsNCharge99]

LUNT......let me know your picks for the day and maybe both of us can continue to cash.

[shoebox]

Sam why you change your pic?

[SamsNCharge99]

Sam why you change your pic?

mix it up a bit. And, madd people were saying shit about it. I really didn't care, but people didn't like the fact that I WAS HAVING FUN ON HALLOWEEN. THEY THOUGHT I DRESSED LIKE THAT DAILY.

So, they kept saying shit and still continue to believe I'm BS and I suck. So, I changed it to my motto...I will probably change it back eventually, but it's good to switch it up.

[shoebox]

If your university don't let you look at gambling sites just get an iPhone Sam

[SamsNCharge99]

no no it's not that...I gamble in my room all the time, the University doesn't care or probably have nay idea. it was the people on SBR saying shit about my outfit. But, now IDC....best of both worlds.

I got class now, be back around 130

[NBA Hero]

coz sam thinks some people hate his pic but not his picks. dont want to waste the opportunity to rhyme.

Back to business. Bos train continues. jazz goin back to their winning ways, they had two days off, i dont have the data but they should be able to regroup with a good coach and young talented guys.okc maybe stubborn but they will get the idea as the game wears them out

[kitsters2k]

Went 0-3 last night ****, looking to bounce back tonight.

cle loss
phx loss
phx under loss


NBA W-L-T Record

5-4-0

[ZBOIZ]

Boston -5.5
Toronto- if the spread is not higher than 6

[ANDYW15]

Sam, first great job for running this thread past few days

NBA for me today guys -

Celtics -5.5 (big), booked in last night - fishy, trap, odd... I don't care, the Celtics are blowing teams off the court at the moment and I fully expect a DD win against the Pistons here. There are no reasons why the line has been set low that I have been able to come up with, given how the teams are performing in recent times. No injuries, no possible letdown effects, no B2B for the Celts. Detroit are starting to pull things together a little but the Celts will still exploit the weaknesses which remain. This is a rivalry game in which KG and Co will come out firing. I am riding the Celts train with many on here till it runs out of steam and it won't be against this Detroit squad.

Toronto - I am still not getting a line for this game which is obviously hinging on Bogut's return. Even if he does I think he will only be able to play limited minutes as they will not want to risk him after losing their stud for the season. I feel sorry for the Bucks whereas they were going in one direction, Toronto were going in another. It has done a full 360 and now Toronto are turning it around. The reuturn of Calderon is I believe the key reason for this aswell. Jermain O'neal is also coming into his own. One point to note, Luke Ridnour went out of the game against the pacers with suspected concussion he is probable to play and listed day to day. He has been cleared although if he doesn't play the Bucks will be done in this game. Toronto by DD.

[LUNT101]

Yo sorry bout that last post Sam. I was drunk and in a bad mood last night. Keep up the good work bro.

[Karayilan9]

For the past few Celtic games we have said the same thing every time, "that line looks fishy" but they keep on bringing in the bucks, I'm gonna carry on riding them 1st QTR, half and game untill this train flies off the tracks.

[jgbgsox]

any opinions on the hornets giving 9 to warriors, looking for another good play to parlay boston with any advice would be appreciated

[SamsNCharge99]

Another Good Day Today

Sam's Card 1/29/09
Suns -1.5 $55 to win $50
College of Charleston -8.5 1st Half...$110 to win $100 (CK S. Play) WIN
Santa Clara 1st Half -10 $110 to win $100 (CK Secret Play) WIN
Illinois PK $77 to win $70 LOSS

Day 3-2 Up $138

Pending....St. Mary's +9.5 $77 to win $70 WIN
Pending....Suns -1.5 $55 to win $50 LOSE

First Friday of new semister, we're 100% going out tonight. I'll of course be D.D., but that doesn't mean I can't DO WORK w/ the ladies.

ANYWAY......


Friday Set of Games is always a big card. Tonight is no different. 11 games. Only 5 lines out as of now, so many games will be projected lines. Let's see how I can do projecting these bad boys.

Wizards at 76ers (-11) 76er's are playing some good basketball as of now. Big win on Wednesday night at the Rockets. They were down a lot of the game, but pulled it off in the end. Wizards are again going through a bad stretch and can't get anything going. No Play from me in this game.

Bucks at Toronto (Projected -6) Toronto isn't playing like Champs, but not playing bad right now. Actually, it really doesn't matter how they are playing, they are playing the REDD less Bucks. That's all that matters. Toronto should handle the Bucks. THIS IS MOST LIKELY A PLAY. NO HIGHER THAN 8.

Boston (-5) at Detroit...WOW. I already bet this game for a good size bet. Boston have won 8 straight by an average of 19.6 points. Detroit isn't playing that good to consider them only 5 points worse at home. I see this line going up, so get it early if possible. Already 93% of bettors are on Boston, so this could be a gift.

Heat at Pacers (NL) Only reason I'm not projecting a line is b/c Danny Granger didn't play on Wednesday for the Pacers. The line will 100% rely on him. It will go one way if he plays, another if he doesn't, so no opinion yet.

NYNets at Atlanta (-7) Nets blew the game vs. Toronto on Wednesday at home and lost by 1. Now, they go on the road to a Hawks team who is one of the best in the league playing at home. Hawks come off loss in NY and are now ready to beat up on the Nets. NO PLAY FOR ME HERE.

Clippers at Cavs (-16) Cavs lost last night as everyone knows and now they play again tonight. They should be tired....IDC. They have won every game this year after a loss by at least 10 points. Tonight, they play at home to the Clippers. 16 is a lot, but I think they can cover that. I may bet them straight, but def. in a teaser.

Lakers (-9.5) at TimberWolves... Lakers coming off bad loss, Timber Wolves, just bad...enough said.

OKC at Utah (-8) OKC is a covering machine. They pulled it off in OT against Memphis and actually got the cover. Now, on the road against a strong home team in the Jazz. But, the Jazz are still a bit beat up and the Spurs handled them in their last game. OKC is a covering machine I say again and maybe a play on them.

Charlotte at Denver.....No opinion

G. State At NO (Projected NO -6) NO is still dealing w/ some injuries but still manage to play extremely well. Ohh yeah, CP3 could be that reason. G. State can be a good team, they have the talent, just not all the right things as a team. They are like the Knicks from the past. (Knicks not bad right now) NO should win, by the spread...ehh we shall see.

Bulls (-1.5) at Kings....Bulls won on the road at Clippers on Wednesday, now playing the Kings who find a way to lose. If I'm doing good, I may play the Bulls, if I'm out Patrying, I guess I won't.

So early leans
Boston -5 (already Played them....$165 to win $150)
Toronto -6 to -8 (b/t that or even less, make it a play)
Cavs -16 (def. playing them in a teaser....maybe in a single)
OKC +8 (wait on the line, it could go up, take it late)
NO -6 or less (not that confident in this one)

Ok Guys, let's continue to have fun and DO WORK.

LUNT Don't worry about it...that's why I personally don't drink or one reason

So all lines are out
Toronto is at -7.5...so small play on them
Cavs -15.5....using them in a tease
NO -9....too high for me...no play
Already Played Boston
OKC line still rising slowly...still going to wait and see if I can get them at +10

Now to new lines that I projected
Indiana (NL for me projected) real line at -2....If Granger is 100% and playing, small play on Pacers...maybe

Lakers (my prjected -9.6) actual -6...not bad, Minnesota has been hot as of late. 10-3 in January which is top 5 for best record in month. But, lakers coming off bad loss at home in OT to Charlotte. Maybe they will be fired up, I don't see Lakers losing 2 straight.

Denver (NL from me) Actual -10...Nothing

So again my plays/ leans

Boston -5 ($165 to win $150)
Toronto -7.5 (maybe..if anything small play $55 to win $50)
Cavs (In a teaser...probably w/ Toronto)
OKC +9 (wait on line to see if I can get it at +10)
Lakers -6 (potential for a play)
Indiana..Most Likely will stay away
Bulls...only if I'm having a good day, will play them for late game

[hunt3rtheone]

HELLO, here is some valuable information about the today game Detroit vs Boston !

-6,5 right now in Boston favor, the line started at -5 or hmm Boston ho is on fire last matches against struggling Detroit at first site you will say that the ood for Boston -6,5 is just to good but the bookmakers now this..everybody will be on Boston today ..guess what.. i WILL NOT BE ON BOSTON SIDE TODAY !

Here is my point: ITS A TRAP
Here is my another point: stay away from this game
If u must bet at this game take OVER 181 or Detroit+6,5 !
Why? ok you guys just dont belive me ! just look closer for a whyle.. Boston comes after winning series game after game with good results..they bet the handicapp every time.. but lets go back some games u just have to remember toronto vs boston .. boston had -6 or something like that and they won struggling at exactly -6 ..be very carrefull with this one !


Detroit are still a class act in NBA , even they had some bag matches they recover.. there is no injury problems for both size..but i think Boston will be tired .

I expekt a very nice match to watch but i will not whant to go crazy all over the 4 quarters so tight game over 181 and for sure Detroit will not loose more that 5 points.

bet with the head here !

Hunt3r!

[SamsNCharge99]

I like those stats, but I also like stats like winning 8 straight by an average of 19.6. Other stats like how they are defending champions and are actually better from last year. How, they have same record as last year as of now, but more points and less points against them.

In the NBA it's all about runs, and as long as the Celtics continue their run, I'll stick w/ them and bet them all day. Especially at -5 or -6.

[SamsNCharge99]

2 Team Parlay I added
Boston -5.5
Lakers -6

$40 to win $104



I'll have a teaser soon and that will be it. Teaser...Parlay...Single Bet

[shoebox]

Hunt,
Boston was blowing them out got bored and let them back in the game. Plus, Boston was struggling then and now they look more complete. If you have to bet the game Boston - whatever. I disagree with you completly trap my ass. Boston will continue to be Boston get paid and stop trying to out think yourself

[kitsters2k]

Locked in

Tor -7.5 (Big)
Bos -5.5 (Big)
LAL -6 (Big)

Phi -10
No -9
Cle -15.5
Den -10
Okc +9

NBA W-L-T Record

5-4-0

[LUNT101]

If I don't take the game, which I probably will, I'm going to take Boston 1H

[hunt3rtheone]

shoebox we will see ..i want this game to be over Boston will score 95 ok? and Detroit will not score at least 86? i will take the over to be safe what do you think?