4th game in 5 nights ...... myth or reallity?

[Artieaa]

Had been trying to work this out and finally did it and wanted to share it, here are records ATS in NBA this season for teams playing a 4th game in 5 nights:


Overall: 20 teams have covered ,37 did not cover, if we had played fading every single team playing 4th in 5 would be a nice 64.91% .

For those 20 wins or covers, 5 have been home teams (4th game) and 15 away, for the 37 teams that did not cover 14 were at home in the 4th game and 23 away.

Will finish a record team by team and will post it when ready, so far I found Dallas, Memphis and Utah haven´t played a 4th in 5 yet.

Hopes helps or at least entertains

GLTA

[CDMKMP]

I'd be curious to see the amount of rest or schedule on the other side too.

Like for example yesterday OKC had played 4 in 5 nights but sat a lot vs the Bobcats. I think the bigger factor was Popovich having an extra day of practice for his squad coming off an embarrassing loss. I won't bet against him in similar situations anymore, he's too good of a coach.

[Artieaa]

I'd be curious to see the amount of rest or schedule on the other side too.

Like for example yesterday OKC had played 4 in 5 nights but sat a lot vs the Bobcats. I think the bigger factor was Popovich having an extra day of practice for his squad coming off an embarrassing loss. I won't be against him in similar situations anymore, he's too good of a coach.

Teams that have failed to cover in this situation go from elite teams to scrubs, even Indiana twice, Miami twice, and Spurs once have failed vs scrub teams, inetresting fact here is that OKC has lost their 3 games playing the 4th in 5.

[Vinnie Paz]

If dexter were still here, hed be able to letyou more in depth. One of his auto plays, im sure hed have past season results

[Artieaa]

Will keep this thread open to track the record ´til end of season.

Tonight Nets were 4th in 5 they covered

That would updated records as follow:

6-14 home
15-23 away
21-37 Overall 63.79%

Tomorrow´s card give us:

Bucks (4th in 5) at Wizards
Wolves (4th in 5) at Indiana

[jgro85]

Yea this was one of Dexter's autoplays, however it required the team not playing their 4th game in 5 days to have at least 1 day of rest. For example, the Bucks @ Wizards game wouldn't factor in because both teams played the night before.

I'm still interested to see how it pans out.

[Artieaa]

Today games both Bucks and wolves did not cover that update record as follow:

6-14 home
15-25 away
21-39 Overall 65%

[Artieaa]

For tomorrow we have :

Wizards (4th in 5) vs Suns
Memphis (4th in 5) at Utah

will keep updating this thread till end of season.

[Git Lo]

Nice stats, does it matter if the opponent is also on 4th and 5 or back to back? Suns are a b2b i want to see how this will play out.

[figue]

[Enjoi]

Good work mate hope you keep updating this thread.

I would like to know what the consensus is on how a team is affected both offensively and defensively by playing back to back games? Are they better or worst defensively and offensively playing lets say, 4 games in 5 nights?

I think that a teams defence is affected most in these situations as it would be logical to assume that they are more tired and prone to slack off defensively.

[Artieaa]

Tonight Wizards wins ATS and Memphis loses ATS, I will start to look at games where bith teams are on b2b and one of them is on 4th to 5, will do some research as well on O/U on those games record updated stays as follow:

7-14 home
15-26 away
22-40 Overall 64.5%

[comppicks35]

Tonight Wizards wins ATS and Memphis loses ATS, I will start to look at games where bith teams are on b2b and one of them is on 4th to 5, will do some research as well on O/U on those games record updated stays as follow:

7-14 home
15-26 away
22-40 Overall 64.5%

Hey Artie - this system has a lot of merit especially if the team on the "4th in 5" is the away team; check out the chart....the home team since the All-Star break has covered 4 out of 6, while the away team has lost all situations (0-6).

	FATIGUE FACTOR - 4 Games in 5 days
		AT	HT
	23-Feb	Indy	Det	L
	24-Feb	Clev	Miami	L
	27-Feb	Tor	Clev	W
L	2-Mar	GSW	Philly
L	6-Mar	Philly	Atl
	7-Mar	OKC	NYK	W
L	11-Mar	OKC	SA
	12-Mar	Nor	Brk	W
L	13-Mar	Minny	Indy
L	13-Mar	Milw	Wash
L	16-Mar	Mem	Utah
	16-Mar	Phoe	Wash	W
	18-Mar	Dal	Atl
	19-Mar	Orl	Indy
	22-Mar	Port	Atl
	30-Mar	Mem	Minny
	30-Mar	LAC	Hous
	4-Apr	SA	OKC
	10-Apr	Miami	Wash
	13-Apr	Milw	Char
	15-Apr	Chi	Orl

There are 9 more such situations left in the regular season; 6 away and 3 home....been cashing on this system and it is valid.
Aloha!

[thunderous]

Hey Artie - this system has a lot of merit especially if the team on the "4th in 5" is the away team; check out the chart....the home team since the All-Star break has covered 4 out of 6, while the away team has lost all situations (0-6).

	FATIGUE FACTOR - 4 Games in 5 days
		AT	HT
	23-Feb	Indy	Det	L
	24-Feb	Clev	Miami	L
	27-Feb	Tor	Clev	W
L	2-Mar	GSW	Philly
L	6-Mar	Philly	Atl
	7-Mar	OKC	NYK	W
L	11-Mar	OKC	SA
	12-Mar	Nor	Brk	W
L	13-Mar	Minny	Indy
L	13-Mar	Milw	Wash
L	16-Mar	Mem	Utah
	16-Mar	Phoe	Wash	W
	18-Mar	Dal	Atl
	19-Mar	Orl	Indy
	22-Mar	Port	Atl
	30-Mar	Mem	Minny
	30-Mar	LAC	Hous
	4-Apr	SA	OKC
	10-Apr	Miami	Wash
	13-Apr	Milw	Char
	15-Apr	Chi	Orl

There are 9 more such situations left in the regular season; 6 away and 3 home....been cashing on this system and it is valid.
Aloha!

Can you please tell which are the 9 games?

[nammertl]

dude, it's on the table. dal, indy, port, minny.etc.

dallas looks like a good fade tomorrow.

[Enjoi]

dude, it's on the table. dal, indy, port, minny.etc.

dallas looks like a good fade tomorrow.

Nope, OKC covers tomorrow. Take em against Hawks as per the chart

[thunderous]

dude, it's on the table. dal, indy, port, minny.etc.

dallas looks like a good fade tomorrow.

Oops didn't even look on that chart..sorry and thanks.

[Artieaa]

@commpicks yeap indeed home teams are doing better , anyway I will try to work this today to see exactly what other factor may be affecting this type of games. either way I think we can call this as a valid factor to take into consideration to cap games.

[Artieaa]

TEAM	WIN HOME	LOSE HOME	WIN AWAY	LOSE AWAY
KNICKS	2	0	0	0
ATLANTA	1	0	1	1
NETS	1	1	1	0
CHICAGO	1	0	0	0
CLEVELAND	0	1	2	0
DENVER	0	1	1	0
GSTATE	0	1	1	1
INDIANA	0	1	1	1
CLIPPERS	1	0	1	1
LAKERS	0	0	1	0
MIAMI	0	1	1	1
SUNS	0	0	1	1
PORTLAND	0	0	1	0
SPURS	0	0	1	1
TORONTO	0	0	2	0
DALLAS	0	0	0	0
MEMPHIS	0	0	0	1
UTAH	0	0	0	0
BOSTON	0	0	0	1
CHARLOTTE	0	2	0	1
DETROIT	0	2	0	1
HOUSTON	0	0	0	2
BUCKS	0	2	0	1
MINNESOTA	0	0	0	2
NORLEANS	0	1	0	1
OKC	0	0	0	3
ORLANDO	0	1	0	0
76ERS	0	0	0	2
KINGS	0	0	0	2
WIZARDS	1	0	0	2
	7	14	15	26
	22	40	64.5%

So far this every single team record on 4th in 5

[Artieaa]

Tonight we have Dallas (4th in 5) at Hawks

[vyomguy]

Tonight we have Dallas (4th in 5) at Hawks

but dallas will win today. You need to look at intangibles late in the season.

[Artieaa]

but dallas will win today. You need to look at intangibles late in the season.

Both are pushing into the playoffs mate, don´t count out a win by the Hawks here!!!!

[vyomguy]

Both are pushing into the playoffs mate, don´t count out a win by the Hawks here!!!!

Hawks dont care about tonight. They have already made the playoffs. They are just fighting for seed position which is not a big deal.

Whereas this is MUST WIN game for dallas.

My point is, this is not an auto play on hawks.

[Artieaa]

ah no, this thread is just to follow the myth of a 4th in 5 actually I am thinking to leave alone Dallas game , cause as you said there´s too much in game for Dallas and they own a pretty impressive stats ATS. I just post here the games involving a 4th in 5 not meaning they are a play.

[natelli1]

Hawks dont care about tonight. They have already made the playoffs. They are just fighting for seed position which is not a big deal.

Whereas this is MUST WIN game for dallas.

My point is, this is not an auto play on hawks.

Hawks win tonight, seeding is very important to them.

[Artieaa]

Dallas win updated record stands as follow

7-14 home
16-26 away
23-40 Overall 63.5%

[R.P. McMurphy]

Tonights play should be on the Orlando Tragic... 4th in 5 for Indy and David West should be out tonight. GL

[Artieaa]

Tonights play should be on the Orlando Tragic... 4th in 5 for Indy and David West should be out tonight. GL

Well it´s kind of temptive isn´t it?

So we have tonight Indiana (4th in 5 ) vs Orlando, let´s see how this goes at the end.

[R.P. McMurphy]

Went against my better judgement and played them +11 very small. I truly despise this trash team even going back to last year with super dope playing for them. They are too unpredictable for me and on my auto no play list with Atl, and Brooklyn... but fukk it $20 for shits and grins!

[Vinnie Paz]

Magic actually been playing better lately murph

[R.P. McMurphy]

They have been a little more competitive lately but still plenty capable of losing by 20+ on almost any night. This is a small fade 4th in 5 degen wager for beer $$ lol!

[Artieaa]

They have been a little more competitive lately but still plenty capable of losing by 20+ on almost any night. This is a small fade 4th in 5 degen wager for beer $$ lol!

Agree with Vinnie Orlando have played better and do not forget Indiana lost 2 straigh where they were supposed to win, I think you will do fine with those 11 points, gl!!!

[R.P. McMurphy]

So much for my beer $$ degen wager. Everytime I bet this trash it feels like I just gave a donation before tip-off even lol. Oh well I knew better

[Artieaa]

So much for my beer $$ degen wager. Everytime I bet this trash it feels like I just gave a donation before tip-off even lol. Oh well I knew better

I hear you mate, sorry about your loss

[Artieaa]

Indiana wins
Updated record

8-14 home
16-26 away
24-40 Overall 62.5%