"70% math play" system tracking

[ico2525]

Cavs -9.5 PLAY

[corona]

Cavs -9.5 PLAY

doesn't ben wallace start?

and i don't think i can find the line at -9.5 anymore.

[xerac]

sorry guys for delay had trouble getting on the forum

04/01 0 Plays





Orlando No play double digit spread.

New Orleans No play back to back games.


Record
Win 17
Loss 7
70.83%


_______________________________________


Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


04/01 2 Plays


New Orleans -3
Orlando -10.5


Record
Win 46
Loss 49
Push 1
47.92%

[xerac]

04/02 0 Plays





Cleveland No play Williams (finger) has return back from his injury played 30 minutes so need to leave it 7 days for his return.


Record
Win 17
Loss 7
70.83%


_______________________________________


Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


04/02 1 Play


Cleveland -9


Record
Win 47
Loss 50
Push 1
47.96%

[xerac]

04/03 0 Plays





system has not given any plays tonight.

posted whole last 3 day plays just incase made any mistakes but dont think i have.


Record
Win 17
Loss 7
70.83%


_______________________________________


Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


04/03 0 Plays




Record
Win 47
Loss 51
Push 1
47.47%

[mundane]

70% indeed!

'might as well resurrect this one!

good job xerac! btw will u be able to track again this year? dunno if u r still around!

[skywalker95]

wow, just stumbled into this thread. this is the Larry Walt Formula posted a few years back on various forums. It's definately good but there were some tweaks done to it. but all in all, I've been using it and has been very successful. can't wait till game 20..

[dirk93]

This looks promising, but it seems there is a lack of record keeping from 2001-2006 or so. Anyone have any idea as to how it performed? Looking forward to this year as well.

[therber2]

70% indeed!

'might as well resurrect this one!

good job xerac! btw will u be able to track again this year? dunno if u r still around!

Welcome back mundane. GJ with your test run here.

[vitalogist]

anything else going on here lately? plays?

[mundane]

we need 20 games first! so this system play isn't in effect yet!

[Boner_18]

Just getting back to look in on this now. Glad to see it was profitable last season. I hope someone will be tracking it this year (doing the work) as I would be interested to see how it performs year over year.

[mundane]

maybe!

[BillAccpetor]

Would be nice...

[corona]

system seemed to do well starting a bit early last season.

Atlanta -9 over Toronto is a play if you disregard the 'don't play first 20 games of season' rule.

706 - 386 = 338
338 / 20 = 16.9
16.9 + 3 = 19.9
19.9 - 9 = 10.9 (play)

Dallas would also be a play if Josh Howard were healthy.

[scratbandit]

Very interesting approach for sure...

[therber2]

Where do you get 20?

[mundane]

idk exactly but browse through the thread! u'll find some interesting answers!

[RobMoney215]

lol ur right..people give some interesting answers when it comes to wheres te 20 come from?

[losturmarbles]

it's 20 games because two-fold:
1) you use the win % of a team in this system, so you need enough games to kinda normalize that number. (unless you use preseason or last year's numbers)
2) it gives the bookmakers enough time to start using the current season's stats to make the lines.

btw i would use caution involving any matchup with new jersey since their win % is currently .000

also if you want to do the work, you could go back through this thread and try to identify why certain picks lost last year, and maybe build from that a better system using other stats. i dunno.

[demo]

Could you buy points for this system once it gives u the play?

[demo]

Are people still going to grind out this system this year?

[corona]

nm.

[pelos879]

Will be following this system... Maybe throwing some of the plays in parlays and teasers.

[netinfo]

This is a good system.

I will try and follow it again this year.

netinfo

[Boner_18]

might try to fill out the spread sheets all year... GL all.

[pelos879]

Denver was a play vs the 76ers last night

[Meestermike]

I was using this system for last season and will again this year. Thanks mundane and to all others who have tweaked and added to this. As was stated, the 20 game time line is a great filter and if you do not variate from the original guidelines you can grind out a decent profit.

Many times people have many variables which they feel are valid and might be adapted to this. I suggest to anyone, make numerous copies of the original spreadsheet and test out your ideas with no actual wagering to see if those ideas are viable. Just name each copy of the spreadsheet for each idea. I have about 15 different variations each of which I plan on testing this season.

[ngates815]

According to the system, there would be no plays tonight, unless you count Chicago vs New Jersey.

Denver is above the 10pts, but they played last night, and it says no back to back games.

[mundane]

guys new tracking thread here ~ http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...-tracking.html

hopefully it's another tool we can use (again) to make it a a profitable nba season!

[pelos879]

Well if the Pacers were a play at +4.5 shouldn't they have to be a play at +6?

[lapi7]

Just found this thread and found it interesting.
I would like to back test it going back over at least 10 previous NBA seasons.
I looked over the other "rules" thread links and I believe that I have a fairly good grasp on how to implement the system on a mathematical basis.
One question, however,...how does one determine if we are to play the HOME team or the ROAD team. Or how is it determined if the punter plays the FAV. or the DOG?
Any help is appreciated in advance...thanks.