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Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL) -
Sportsbook Review Forum
I'm a semi-professional sports bettor who has been doing this for 15+ years.
I've had winning and losing seasons in the past, however over the last 2-3 years I have started to produce consistent profits placing positive EV wagers on sports I am knowledgeable in.
My main areas of expertise are NBA, Tennis, AFL, NRL.
I also occasionally wager on Rugby Union, Boxing and Netball.
For now this thread will be 90% NBA & Tennis picks and of course I will keep records so you can see how I am doing as we move forward.
Unit size will be 1-5 units.
I never place any wager without researching the selection first.
Pick analysis will be provided when time allows...
Note - I have just recently come off a very successful AFL season, an average NRL season (break even), an excellent ITM cup season (Rugby Union) and have been hot in tennis over the last month. Now seemed liked the perfect time to start sharing my picks.
Let's get that money...
daimoshokage
SBR Hall of Famer
02-07-11
8935
#2
is this a fukking joke.. sando the euro trash GTFO!!!
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#3
Paris Masters 1000
Big Indoor tournament
Round 1 starts in a few hours
Marcos Baghdatis m/l @ +135 (v. Simon) 2 Units
Marcos Baghdatis +2.5 games @ -110 2 Units
Odds are clearly wrong. Simon only favourite because tournament is in France and he has a higher rank.
Baghdatis coming off a nice indoor tournament in Stockholm where he was playing really well before an injury in the semi's against Tsonga. Simon has not played well in this tournament in the past despite being a Frenchy playing at home.
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#4
Paris Masters 1000
Alejandro Falla m/l +138 (v. Mayer) 2 Units
Mayer has lost last 2 matches on indoor hard as a strong favourite. He has been playing with a rib injury and it is showing in his results. Falla is playing well at the moment, with recent wins over Dolgopolov and Bellucci. Falla has come through qualifying with 2 wins over solid opponents and so already has a feel for the courts. Definite value at these odds.
Thanks mate, much appreciated. I hope not to get on the wrong side of the fraud squad haha.
Comment
JNic
SBR MVP
01-03-10
4272
#7
the Falla pick is real good, it just looks like Mayer has lost a lot of form and might not have the motivation to finish this season strong while Falla continues to be consistent as hell
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#8
Originally posted by JNic
the Falla pick is real good, it just looks like Mayer has lost a lot of form and might not have the motivation to finish this season strong while Falla continues to be consistent as hell
Thank you sir, lets hope we cash this...
Comment
Texas956
SBR Hustler
10-16-12
95
#9
Falla win$
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#10
Baghdatis no good. Falla cashes in straight sets.
YTD 1-1 (-1.24 Units)
Should be putting out 1 to 3 picks daily over the next week or so of the Paris Masters 1000, however it is unlikely I will have any NBA picks during the first week of the season, as usually I like to see 1-2 games to get a feel of a team before I even start thinking about wagering. If anything really stands out I might play it for 1-2 units. I am lucky as I can watch games on league pass at work, however their is still so much work to do at the beginning of an NBA season with 30 teams to study...
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11
Got a nice play I've had my eyes on for last couple of days boys.
Paris Masters 1000 (Indoor Hard)
Oct 30 2012 14:30 GMT Sam Querry (v. Verdasco) -2 games (-110 Pinnacle) 3 Units
Querry v Verdasco, two similar players with big serves and heavy forehands, however Querry at 6'6" has a bigger serve and these days a more reliable forehand. Go back to 2009 and Verdasco had one of the best forehands in the game, but these days his playboy attitude (ala Mark Phillipousos) make him a nice fade on a regular basis. Just as importantly Querry is Mr. consistent these days, and IMO he is the #1 American player, (although giant Johnny Isner may be higher in the rankings).
-Querry's records against left handers is exceptional.
-Verdasco's mentally not in the right state of mind after his poor efforts in front of his adoring home friends, family and fans in Valencia.
-Faster surface favoring the better server, Querrey.
- H2H Querry leads 2-1
-October 1st 2012 in Beijing Querry defeats Verdasco 5-7 6-3 6-4 (Hard Court)
Last edited by sando; 10-30-12, 01:25 AM.
Reason: Analysis added
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#12
WTA Tournament Of Champions (Bulgaria)
Carpet (yes carpet haha)
Round 1
Oct 30 2012 13:50 GMT
R.Vinci (v. Hantuchova) m/l (-175 @ Sportingbet) 2 Units
Vinci won a hard court tournament in August and has generally been playing solid tennis, apart from a recent hiccup as a shock first round loser in Beijing. The same cannot be said for Hantuchova's last 3 months.
*Notice Hantuchova has dropped down to International level (to regain confidence) last two tourney's and has still struggled...
Oct 15 2012
Luxembourg WTA Int'l (LUX) Match Stats, Indoor Hard, Rank 38, Rating 2.76
Semi Final
Lost to Monica Niculescu(70,3.88) (ROU) 6-1 6-3 RecapMatch Stats
US Open WTA Slam (USA) Match Stats, Hard Court, Rank 41, Rating 1.82
Round of 128
Lost to (17)Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova(20,3.27) (RUS) 6-4 7-6(1) RecapMatch Stats
$2.929
Aug 20 2012
New Haven WTA Premier (USA) Match Stats, Hard Court, Rank 40, Rating 2.48
Round of 32
Lost to Mona Barthel(37,3.35) (GER) 6-3 7-5 RecapMatch Stats
$2.523
Aug 13 2012
Cincinnati WTA Premier (USA) Match Stats, Hard Court, Rank 35, Rating 3.10
Round of 32
Lost to (7)Sara Errani(10,2.91) (ITA) 6-4 6-4 RecapMatch Stats
$2.248
Round of 56
Def. Jie Zheng(29,2.73) (CHN) 2-6 7-6(1) 6-3 RecapMatch Stats
$1.763
Aug 6 2012
Montreal WTA Premier (CAN) Match Stats, Hard Court, Rank 35, Rating 2.64
Round of 48
Lost to (WC)Aleksandra Wozniak(55,2.92) (CAN) 7-5 7-6(5) RecapMatch Stats
$1.846
Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-06-14, 01:29 PM.
Reason: Analysis added
Comment
daimoshokage
SBR Hall of Famer
02-07-11
8935
#13
Baghdatis
Another loser thread from the sando the eurotrash..
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#14
Paris Masters 1000
Paul-Henri Mathieu -3 games @ -123 (Pinnacle) 3 Units v. Roberto Bautista-Agut
PHM was particularly good in his last Indoor tournament (Basel), he played a great all court game against the GOAT (Federer) and he always plays well at home in France. No obvious weakness in PHM's game. More talent and higher motivation (Masters event, last of the year, loves playing at home).
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#15
WTA Tournament of Champions (Carpet)
Oct 30 2012 18:00 GMT
Carolin Wozniacki v. SU-Wei Hseih
Over 19.5 -103 (Pinnacle) - 1 Unit
Comment
Bostongambler
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-01-08
35581
#16
gl Sal Bando
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#17
Originally posted by Bostongambler
gl Sal Bando
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#18
ATP Eckental Challenger
Round 1
MATCH STARTS IN 30 MINUTES
(Sorry for the late pick, I've been tossing this up for a while and finally decided to run with it)
Ernests Gulbis 2-0 sets @ -166 (Sportingbet) - 2 Units v. Alexey Vatutin
Quick analysis - Gulbis is one of the most talented young tennis players going around. Un-fortunately he has a playboy attitude and hates to train. His opponent is a nobody ranked around 500 with 3 recorded matches to his pro career. Ernest's has shown some interest in this tournament by dispatching his first round opponent in easy straight sets. A fully motivated and fired up Gulbis wins this something like 6-2 6-1 (and that's being generous to his opponent)
Great start to the night/day boys!
PHM -3 cashes (3 units)
Gulbis 2-0 cashes easily (2 Units)
Lets get that money!
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Cappinpicks
SBR Posting Legend
03-11-10
14986
#21
against you on Sam Queer
Comment
nosaij
SBR Wise Guy
03-16-12
986
#22
nice work mate! cheers from Melbourne!
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#23
Originally posted by nosaij
nice work mate! cheers from Melbourne!
No shit! I'm from Adelaide. Who do you follow in AFL?
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#24
Originally posted by Cappinpicks
against you on Sam Queer
Good luck mate. Just curious what do you like about Verdasco ATM? And are you taking the +2 or m/l?
Comment
Cappinpicks
SBR Posting Legend
03-11-10
14986
#25
Originally posted by sando
Good luck mate. Just curious what do you like about Verdasco ATM? And are you taking the +2 or m/l?
ML... too many people like Sam USA stinks
Comment
MeatWad
SBR MVP
01-18-12
1572
#26
Nice call on fading Hantuchova, hopefully the second set goes as smoothly as the first. Hantuchova has steadily declined the past couple of years, and seems to be sinking to a new low with each passing month.
Vinci is playing the best tennis of her life, going in the exact opposite direction this year. Huge mismatch based on current and recent form. The odds were tighter than they should have been perhaps because of the 2-2 h2h record and Hantuchova's past ranking/reputation.
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#27
Originally posted by MeatWad
Nice call on fading Hantuchova, hopefully the second set goes as smoothly as the first. Hantuchova has steadily declined the past couple of years, and seems to be sinking to a new low with each passing month.
Vinci is playing the best tennis of her life, going in the exact opposite direction this year. Huge mismatch based on current and recent form. The odds were tighter than they should have been perhaps because of the 2-2 h2h record and Hantuchova's past ranking/reputation.
Thanks mate, superb analysis of the current situation, I couldn't believe the odds they were offering on Vinci to be honest.
Comment
Cappinpicks
SBR Posting Legend
03-11-10
14986
#28
easy winner on Sam the man dasco should retire
Comment
nosaij
SBR Wise Guy
03-16-12
986
#29
follow pies
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#30
Originally posted by Cappinpicks
easy winner on Sam the man dasco should retire
Haha from your point of view I'd be wanting him to retire as well mate...
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#31
Originally posted by nosaij
follow pies
Oh the big boys of the competition haha. I'm swannies (lifelong) so pretty happy at the moment.
Comment
Cappinpicks
SBR Posting Legend
03-11-10
14986
#32
oh well maybe the pussy wakes up after getting bageled, just glad I don't have the spread!
Comment
Mikeyanks23
SBR MVP
11-30-10
4517
#33
best of luck Sando
Comment
nosaij
SBR Wise Guy
03-16-12
986
#34
sando sharp tennis picks !!! $$$ 34degrees tomr. ice cold fat yak on your tennis picks
Comment
Cappinpicks
SBR Posting Legend
03-11-10
14986
#35
nice to know its fixed for the ML... the retard didnt know to retire down 5-0 what a bullshit scam