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Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

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  • sando
    SBR MVP
    • 04-30-12
    • 3723

    #11411
    Originally posted by sando

    NRL

    1* Dragons 1-12 ($3.70 William Hill)

    Yes this is a ballsy play. Yes I have watched the Dragons last 2 games where they have scored 0.
    My predictive curve has the Titans fading and the Dragons rising this week.
    BOOM! Nobody was on the dragons today. Everyone I saw had the Titans...
    Comment
    • BigNik
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-14-13
      • 639

      #11412
      Why are the dogs and warriors at evens?? Seems strange to me. Warriors are shit
      Comment
      • sando
        SBR MVP
        • 04-30-12
        • 3723

        #11413
        AFL

        2* GWS ML ($1.97 Pinnacle)

        NRL

        2.5* Canberra v Cronulla Over 42 (Sportsbet)
        (If you can only get -42.5 or -43.5, would recommend only playing for 1.5-2 units)

        More plays to follow...
        Comment
        • Bill_Hicks
          SBR MVP
          • 09-30-12
          • 1094

          #11414
          Thank you Sando
          Comment
          • sando
            SBR MVP
            • 04-30-12
            • 3723

            #11415
            MMA 2016

            (2016 4-3 +0.9 units)


            UFC on Fox

            1* Pennington
            ($1.48 Sportsbet - to win 1 unit, so risking just over 2)

            Don't normally make plays on such low odds but Pennington is good & underrated, & Correia is overrated. Odds should be closer to $1.30-$1.35
            Comment
            • John Deere
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-19-11
              • 581

              #11416
              Sando what do you mean $1.48?
              Comment
              • sando
                SBR MVP
                • 04-30-12
                • 3723

                #11417
                UFC

                1.5* Nurmagomedov via KO or Submission ($1.95 Luxbet)

                Can get $1.72 at Sportsbet which is still pretty good. The $1.95 at Luxbet is just outstanding value...
                Comment
                • sando
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-30-12
                  • 3723

                  #11418
                  Originally posted by John Deere
                  Sando what do you mean $1.48?

                  Mate it's decimal odds (approx -208 US). I used to post plays in both decimal & US, but I don't really have that big a following anymore (I think)?
                  Comment
                  • sando
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-30-12
                    • 3723

                    #11419
                    Let one (I think)

                    UFC

                    1* Swanson ($1.88 Luxbet)

                    Don't play for any less than $1.80. Look to be honest this is a shitty play & any who tail would be safer following just the first two UFC plays listed above. Late money is all for Dias & Swanson has looked poor lately, but I just can't stop myself pulling the trigger at almost evens (albeit for only a unit)
                    Comment
                    • sando
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-30-12
                      • 3723

                      #11420
                      Originally posted by sando
                      MMA 2016

                      (2016 4-3 +0.9 units)


                      UFC on Fox

                      1* Pennington
                      ($1.48 Sportsbet - to win 1 unit, so risking just over 2)

                      Don't normally make plays on such low odds but Pennington is good & underrated, & Correia is overrated. Odds should be closer to $1.30-$1.35
                      Wow a lot closer than I thought it would be. Butchy Beth looked good. We got lucky lads, but you need some luck to be a successful sports bettor...
                      Comment
                      • sando
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-30-12
                        • 3723

                        #11421
                        NRL

                        1* Melbourne -3.5 (William Hill - yes -4 is ok)

                        Was actually originally lining up a Wests Tigers 1st half play, however the predicted thunderstorms (100% precipitation) are the worst possible weather for the young, flashy & ill disciplined Tigers, especially as they come up against the old seasoned veterans of Melbourne. The Storm should grind this one out. Definitely worth a unit or so...
                        Comment
                        • sando
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-30-12
                          • 3723

                          #11422
                          Boom! Nurmagomedov is such a beast! He will destroy RDA when they fight (or McGregor).

                          3-0 +3.5 units

                          Gonna be a bit reckless & take a play i rejected earlier (because I was looking for better odds)

                          1* Teixeira ($1.50 -200 Sportsbet)
                          Comment
                          • sando
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-30-12
                            • 3723

                            #11423
                            UFC on Fox

                            4-0 +4.5 units

                            MMA
                            2016

                            (8-3 +5.4 units)
                            Comment
                            • Bill_Hicks
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-30-12
                              • 1094

                              #11424
                              Good shite Sando
                              Comment
                              • sando
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-30-12
                                • 3723

                                #11425
                                Originally posted by sando
                                AFL

                                2* GWS ML ($1.97 Pinnacle)

                                NRL

                                2.5* Canberra v Cronulla Over 42 (Sportsbet)
                                (If you can only get -42.5 or -43.5, would recommend only playing for 1.5-2 units)

                                More plays to follow...
                                Both easy winners, great day today, cashing everything we touch...
                                Comment
                                • gaguilan10
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 04-13-16
                                  • 11

                                  #11426
                                  You're a gun mate. Started following your plays from yesterday $$$$
                                  Comment
                                  • sando
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-30-12
                                    • 3723

                                    #11427
                                    Originally posted by gaguilan10
                                    You're a gun mate. Started following your plays from yesterday $$$$
                                    You picked a good time to start mate.



                                    Great w/e. Really starting to heat up now after a poor start to the season in NRL. Also have had a winning week each of the first 4 weeks in AFL, so can't complain there either.

                                    NRL 5-2 +6.7 units

                                    AFL 4-2 +2.1 units

                                    MMA 4-0 +4.5 units


                                    NRL 2016 22-24 -4.2 units

                                    AFL 2016 16-11 +11.6 units

                                    MMA 2016 8-3 +5.4 units



                                    Will probably have a play on MNF tomorrow. Leaning heavily towards the Penny Panthers...
                                    Comment
                                    • hedgejob
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-21-09
                                      • 2561

                                      #11428
                                      Nice run. So many interesting AFL games next round. Would love to see money come in on Crows & Hodgie back.
                                      Comment
                                      • sando
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-30-12
                                        • 3723

                                        #11429
                                        Back for another big w/e

                                        Loving both the NRL & AFL cards. Lot's of plays...

                                        AFL

                                        3* GWS -8.5 (William Hill)

                                        2.5* Swans -5.5 (Sportsbet - Up to -8.5 is ok)
                                        0.5* Swans 40+ ($6.00 - Bet 365)


                                        1.5* Hawks v Crows Over 196.5
                                        1* Hawks 1-39 ($2.25 Sportsbet)

                                        1.5* Freo -31.5

                                        1.5* Western Bulldogs -42.5
                                        1* Western Bulldogs team total Over 110.5 (William Hill)



                                        NRL

                                        Brisbane v Souths
                                        2.5* Brisbane -12.5 (Bet 365 - up to -13.5 ok)

                                        Souths have fallen right off. They look stale, boring & un-creative. The Burg-eye twins are horrible and they are really really missing Isaac Luke's run out of dummy half. Brisbane by 20+
                                        Power Stat - Broncos are covering home games at 76% over their last 17

                                        Canberra v Wests Tigers
                                        1.5* Raiders -6.5 (William Hill - Play up to -7.5 is ok)
                                        1.5* Over 45.5 (William Hill - Over 46 is ok)
                                        1* Canberra/Canberra (HT/FT) ($2.00 Bet365)

                                        I feel like I know how this game will play out (Raiders win in a high scoring affair), but can't settle on my betting strategy, so will diversify my wagers.
                                        Both teams score 20+ ppg, and both have below average defences. Day games in Canberra are traditionally high scoring affairs.
                                        Expecting a fast start from the Raiders at home after last weeks pathetic effort.
                                        The Tigers are simply a horrible ATS road team.

                                        Cowboys v Eels
                                        1.5* Eels +8.5 (Luxbet)

                                        Sharks v Panthers
                                        1* Sharks 1-12 ($3.00 Luxbet)
                                        1* Under 38.5
                                        (Would have been a 2x play except the opening line of 42.5 has come in to 38.5 due to predicted rain)

                                        Storm v Warriors
                                        1.5* Warriors +4
                                        0.5* Warriors 1-12
                                        ($3.90 William Hill)
                                        Comment
                                        • sando
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-30-12
                                          • 3723

                                          #11430
                                          3-0 last night.

                                          Good start to the w/e.

                                          Still have a couple more plays on the cards...
                                          Comment
                                          • f1ori5
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 04-13-16
                                            • 118

                                            #11431
                                            Hi! I am new to this forum and I do not have experience in rugby could advice me which are the best 2 picks from you tips?
                                            Comment
                                            • sando
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-30-12
                                              • 3723

                                              #11432
                                              Originally posted by f1ori5
                                              Hi! I am new to this forum and I do not have experience in rugby could advice me which are the best 2 picks from you tips?
                                              All my plays are 1-4 units (1* = 1 unit play). The more I like a play combined with the perceived "value" in the line/total etc, is how I decide how many units to risk. My favourite NRL play was the Broncos last night, which already cashed. Today my favourite play is probably the GWS Giants to beat the St Kilda Saints (ATS) in AFL (Aussie Rules). In NRL I'm very confident the Raiders will beat the Wests Tigers, however the ML is only -227 & the spread is out to -7.5 (although I would still take that ).
                                              Comment
                                              • f1ori5
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 04-13-16
                                                • 118

                                                #11433
                                                thank you very much! I hope you ll continue your winning streak
                                                Comment
                                                • sando
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-30-12
                                                  • 3723

                                                  #11434
                                                  AFL

                                                  1* Geelong 1-39 ($2.50 Sportsbet)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sando
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-30-12
                                                    • 3723

                                                    #11435
                                                    Originally posted by sando

                                                    2.5* Swans -5.5 (Sportsbet - Up to -8.5 is ok)
                                                    0.5* Swans 40+ ($6.00 - Bet 365)
                                                    Swans win by 39. Missed the 40+ by 1 point. Argh
                                                    Comment
                                                    • f1ori5
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 04-13-16
                                                      • 118

                                                      #11436
                                                      yes nice picks anyway some unlucky ones. anything in the nba? I am thinking over 101.5 ht at dallas
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sando
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-30-12
                                                        • 3723

                                                        #11437
                                                        Originally posted by f1ori5
                                                        yes nice picks anyway some unlucky ones. anything in the nba? I am thinking over 101.5 ht at dallas
                                                        Had a unit on all 3 of the home teams today (excluding Dallas). Last one is Portland, but i like them the most...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • f1ori5
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 04-13-16
                                                          • 118

                                                          #11438
                                                          Anyway GWS are rolling!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • prior22usaf
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 01-28-11
                                                            • 151

                                                            #11439
                                                            Nice hit on GWS Sando. My first ever bet on Aussie Sports was a winner. Much appreciated!

                                                            Was curious if you had any thoughts on who was going to take the NBA championship? The prevailing opinion would still have to be Golden State despite the Curry injury scare...I'd be very interested to hear your thoughts. Thanks again man for the GWS pick
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigNik
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-14-13
                                                              • 639

                                                              #11440
                                                              What has happened to the Sharks since half time. They are sleep walking
                                                              Comment
                                                              • garygroundwork
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 02-12-12
                                                                • 729

                                                                #11441
                                                                Originally posted by prior22usaf

                                                                Was curious if you had any thoughts on who was going to take the NBA championship? The prevailing opinion would still have to be Golden State despite the Curry injury scare...I'd be very interested to hear your thoughts. Thanks again man for the GWS pick
                                                                me too...the man speaks with his head and puts emotion to one side.

                                                                Also Sando can anyone beat the Cavs in the east ?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Bill_Hicks
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-30-12
                                                                  • 1094

                                                                  #11442
                                                                  Awesome weekend Sando. Thanks!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sando
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-30-12
                                                                    • 3723

                                                                    #11443
                                                                    Originally posted by prior22usaf
                                                                    Nice hit on GWS Sando. My first ever bet on Aussie Sports was a winner. Much appreciated!

                                                                    Was curious if you had any thoughts on who was going to take the NBA championship? The prevailing opinion would still have to be Golden State despite the Curry injury scare...I'd be very interested to hear your thoughts. Thanks again man for the GWS pick
                                                                    Originally posted by garygroundwork
                                                                    me too...the man speaks with his head and puts emotion to one side.

                                                                    Also Sando can anyone beat the Cavs in the east ?
                                                                    Ok lads I would be happy to share my thoughts on every team remaining in the playoffs, I'll do a bit of a write up later today when I have some more time, however for now I would recommend jumping on the Cav's -6 (I'm playing it for 2x). Being a close-out game, if the Cav's have the lead in the 4th Quarter they are likely to run away with and win by a big margin, as reality sets in for the Pistons & they move into "gone fishing" mode & stop playing as hard. Also Van Gundy not playing Drummond down the stretch is not exactly the recipe for success either when he is your franchise player, but on the other hand how can he?? The guy's ft% is literally getting worse every game, and the Cav's will happily play hack-a-Shaq with him...

                                                                    Also have a strong lean on 1st H Over 101.5
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • sando
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-30-12
                                                                      • 3723

                                                                      #11444
                                                                      Will have a couple more AFL/NRL plays within next few hours. Been another huge w/e!! Simply on fire in the footy, 5 winning weeks in a row to start the season. Also a really nice bounce back in the NRL after a poor start to the season...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • f1ori5
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 04-13-16
                                                                        • 118

                                                                        #11445
                                                                        Nice. keep it rollin
                                                                        Comment
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