SONOMA--5mike5

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  • Optional
    Administrator
    • 06-10-10
    • 61517

    #211
    Originally posted by Vegas39
    Opti give me the F1 winner this weekend . Leaning Hamilton
    I dunno mate. Still thinking about it. Tough race to call early I think. How the tyres perform and who can make their car work on them will be the key. Have to wait for some practice to see that.
    .
    Comment
    • 5mike5
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-21-11
      • 52006

      #212
      ok ok

      im tailimg my road course guru OPTI for nationwide

      McDowell (+1100)
      Comment
      • 5mike5
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 09-21-11
        • 52006

        #213
        Nationwide to win the race

        Villeneuve (+575)
        McDowell (+1100)
        Fellows (+375)
        Comment
        • 5mike5
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-21-11
          • 52006

          #214
          McDowell dropped from +1100, to +850 in less than 15 min..

          Comment
          • shaunovery
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-15-07
            • 18143

            #215
            Originally posted by 5mike5
            McDowell dropped from +1100, to +850 in less than 15 min..

            You're money again mike
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 52006

              #216
              Opti is money

              listened to my buddy on my 3rd pick..

              Comment
              • 5mike5
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-21-11
                • 52006

                #217
                Originally posted by 5mike5
                Nationwide to win the race

                Villeneuve (+575)
                McDowell (+1100)
                Fellows (+375)
                that will be all my nationwide picks to win the race

                only other play will be 1 H2H longshot parlay for extra entertainment
                Comment
                • Vegas39
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 09-22-11
                  • 30686

                  #218
                  GL mike
                  Comment
                  • Vegas39
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 09-22-11
                    • 30686

                    #219
                    Matchups listed on 5 dimes

                    One early for me

                    Montoya +135 over Stewart
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 52006

                      #220
                      yeah matchups were posted yesterday at 5D

                      only a few have moved so far

                      i havent found anything just yet..i may wait til they list them all on raceday (bout 25 more)
                      Comment
                      • Vegas39
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 09-22-11
                        • 30686

                        #221
                        Am always a day late
                        Comment
                        • 5mike5
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-21-11
                          • 52006

                          #222
                          Originally posted by Vegas39
                          Am always a day late
                          hahahaha (that price was same so u didnt miss anything there)

                          GL with ur H2H buddy!!!

                          Comment
                          • Vegas39
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 09-22-11
                            • 30686

                            #223
                            So tempted to fade AJ on the h2h he is a big fave on a few
                            Comment
                            • 5mike5
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-21-11
                              • 52006

                              #224
                              i actually like dinger against biff and jr H2H...hes way better than both

                              only -130 and -140

                              dinger has finished top 15 last 7 road course races...and now in penske

                              but like i said, i havent decided anything on matchups yet and probably wait til some better 1s are released raceday
                              Comment
                              • Vegas39
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 09-22-11
                                • 30686

                                #225
                                Just a hunch on my part
                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 52006

                                  #226
                                  gotta go with what ya feel no matter what

                                  i hate having a feeling, not taking it, and then it wins
                                  Comment
                                  • Optional
                                    Administrator
                                    • 06-10-10
                                    • 61517

                                    #227
                                    DAMN 5D and their unreliable post up times. Really wanted to load up on him. I guess +850 is still ok but really wanted over +1000

                                    I actually deposited $50 into Greek just to grab some +1200 yesterday (as I feared price would suck by time 5D got around to posting them), glad I did, but wanted the winnings in 5D!


                                    Originally posted by Vegas39
                                    So tempted to fade AJ on the h2h he is a big fave on a few
                                    Penkse have converted AJ's Richmond oval car to run here. They said "we are trying to keep a small inventory with the change over next year, but are sure this will run well".

                                    Brad K has a brand new chassis fresh from wind tunnel and VIR testing.

                                    During the chase last year Penske kept giving Kurt Brad's used chassis' whilst giving Brad new ones and Kurt ran TERRIBLE that entire time.

                                    AJ looked handy last year, and I like him, but agree fading might be the play on him here. (sorry to those who love him)
                                    .
                                    Comment
                                    • Vegas39
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 09-22-11
                                      • 30686

                                      #228
                                      As always thanks for the info Opti
                                      Comment
                                      • Optional
                                        Administrator
                                        • 06-10-10
                                        • 61517

                                        #229
                                        McDowell +1200/+850 2.5u <- will add at least 1.5 more if price holds up after practice.
                                        Piquet +2200 1u
                                        Ville +575 to break even


                                        Threw an early parlay on for Cup too, just .5u

                                        Denny Hamlin #11 -115* vs Carl Edwards #99
                                        Greg Biffle #16 +100* vs AJ Allmendinger #22
                                        .
                                        Comment
                                        • shaunovery
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-15-07
                                          • 18143

                                          #230
                                          Bet365 has McDowell at 12-1 if you want it
                                          Comment
                                          • Optional
                                            Administrator
                                            • 06-10-10
                                            • 61517

                                            #231
                                            Thanks Shaun, no account, and I think they don't like Aussies anymore.


                                            Probably just their linesman taking an opinion... but you have to wonder if 5D really does read this thread, or reduce odds on whatever Mike is betting... considering they are so much lower on McD!
                                            .
                                            Comment
                                            • shaunovery
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-15-07
                                              • 18143

                                              #232
                                              I think its mike I'm so glad he's fairly open about what's he's betting so we can bet the same prices as him
                                              Comment
                                              • shaunovery
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-15-07
                                                • 18143

                                                #233
                                                Originally posted by Optional
                                                Thanks Shaun, no account, and I think they don't like Aussies anymore.


                                                Probably just their linesman taking an opinion... but you have to wonder if 5D really does read this thread, or reduce odds on whatever Mike is betting... considering they are so much lower on McD!
                                                Hey opti I've beleive they accept Aussie players also you'll her a deposit bonus and if you use the mobile app you get 100 percent deposit bonus
                                                Comment
                                                • 5mike5
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                  • 52006

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by shaunovery
                                                  I think its mike I'm so glad he's fairly open about what's he's betting so we can bet the same prices as him
                                                  always

                                                  Comment
                                                  • 5mike5
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                    • 52006

                                                    #235
                                                    Opti,

                                                    McDowell went star8 from +1100, to +850

                                                    there was no in between on that price either...

                                                    everybody else odds are the same as released
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Optional
                                                      Administrator
                                                      • 06-10-10
                                                      • 61517

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                      Opti,

                                                      McDowell went star8 from +1100, to +850

                                                      there was no in between on that price either...

                                                      everybody else odds are the same as released
                                                      Considering they opened him a point lower than Greek (unusual) I'd guess their linesman has the same strong opinion on him I do. Seems like a large jump in one go.

                                                      Fingers crossed this one pays off.
                                                      .
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shaunovery
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-15-07
                                                        • 18143

                                                        #237
                                                        Hopefully no late cautions like last yrs race then listening to you guys I'm tempted to take the 12-1
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Optional
                                                          Administrator
                                                          • 06-10-10
                                                          • 61517

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by shaunovery
                                                          Hopefully no late cautions like last yrs race then listening to you guys I'm tempted to take the 12-1
                                                          I very rarely shill a pick, but think you would be mad not to Shaun.
                                                          .
                                                          Comment
                                                          • yisman
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-01-08
                                                            • 75682

                                                            #239
                                                            Kenseth down to 85/1

                                                            as for 5 dimes, I'm positive they follow this thread.
                                                            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                            [/quote]

                                                            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 5mike5
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 09-21-11
                                                              • 52006

                                                              #240
                                                              vickers in the #55 MWR car for sonoma btw
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vegas39
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 09-22-11
                                                                • 30686

                                                                #241
                                                                Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                                vickers in the #55 MWR car for sonoma btw

                                                                Wonder if he puts Tony on tire barrier again this year
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Optional
                                                                  Administrator
                                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                                  • 61517

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by yisman
                                                                  Kenseth down to 85/1

                                                                  as for 5 dimes, I'm positive they follow this thread.
                                                                  No chance it could just be that Mike is good at picking the early value?
                                                                  .
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vegas39
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 09-22-11
                                                                    • 30686

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by Optional
                                                                    No chance it could just be that Mike is good at picking the early value?
                                                                    Think it's Mikes wisdom
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MatI
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-17-11
                                                                      • 5200

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by Optional
                                                                      Penkse have converted AJ's Richmond oval car to run here. They said "we are trying to keep a small inventory with the change over next year, but are sure this will run well".

                                                                      Brad K has a brand new chassis fresh from wind tunnel and VIR testing.

                                                                      During the chase last year Penske kept giving Kurt Brad's used chassis' whilst giving Brad new ones and Kurt ran TERRIBLE that entire time.

                                                                      AJ looked handy last year, and I like him, but agree fading might be the play on him here. (sorry to those who love him)
                                                                      Thanks for this info Opti. I was really thinking AJ was going to have a good race here, it seems he has been going under the radar, and people forget he was a multiple winner on road courses in Indycar before making the switch to NASCAR.

                                                                      The chassis info puts me off completely though, thanks.


                                                                      Originally posted by shaunovery
                                                                      Hey opti I've beleive they accept Aussie players also you'll her a deposit bonus and if you use the mobile app you get 100 percent deposit bonus
                                                                      Yeah Shaun is right, Aussie's can sign up at B365 no problem. We are just not allowed to live bet online, only over the phone.

                                                                      Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                                      vickers in the #55 MWR car for sonoma btw
                                                                      I wish there was an over/under prop on how many cars Vickers will crash into. I would pound the over!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • yisman
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 09-01-08
                                                                        • 75682

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by Optional
                                                                        No chance it could just be that Mike is good at picking the early value?
                                                                        No chance. Not if you've been following how it's been going. They drop it very quickly after he posts.

                                                                        I usually assume a coincidence, but after weeks of the same thing happening again and again (and especially after what happened this week), I have no doubt. The only other possibility was that some people with a lot of money were refreshing this thread all the time and immediately hammering whatever mike posted, but that was discarded after they posted when they knew basically no Americans would be online this week, so they could move the stuff before anyone could tail.

                                                                        BTW, DSI/BM moved Ambrose to +250

                                                                        I should've bet even more but I've been on tilt lately, blowing thousands on blackjack
                                                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                        [/quote]

                                                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                        Comment
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