Afl 2012

[Domestic]

Getting frustrated with no totals posted anywhere yet.

brettels, if you go to centrebet.com, click on live betting, AFL and then game totals they give a pretty good early estimation.
Right now it is looking like Carlton/Collingwood total will be around 186 which seems low. We will see though.

[brettels]

yeah thanks, just checked it out, hard to tell but from that i would say between 180.5 and 190.5 so same as what you said with the 186. I like the over on that hopefully it gets set there.

Also on the pies moneyline at sportsbet, that way if they just lose (13 or less) i will get a refund. Pies can win this they have some good ins this week.

[Domestic]

I agree, looking forward to the game.

[brettels]

Total is up 187.5 sportsbet

my final bets for tonight

collingwood ML
over 187.5
221+

[Gee]

I likes Pies 1Q +1.5 and the over.

Playing each for a unit.

[Domestic]

Game total keeps climbing, up to 190.5 now, was smart to get on it early.

[benrama]

Don't like over at all, I think Pies will come out 100% focused on defensive pressure this game - I do like them to win however, Pies should have had a good crack at beating Hawthorn and the final score against Richmond flattered them. They are bringing in a strong side to this game and I expect them to rise to the occasion.

[Gee]

Wow, back to a Pk at most shops. Took pies +4.5 on bwin just then. Couldn't resist.

[Pride]

pies didnt come to play. getting destroyed up the middle.

better luck next time!

[Lookingtostart]

Me thinks Brisbane might cover.

[brettels]

Total is up 187.5 sportsbet

my final bets for tonight

collingwood ML not even good enough for the refund
over 187.5 1 goal was all it took, frustrating
221+

Oh well, 8 more games. Looking forward to tommorow.

Tigers -17.5 PYOL 1.52

[Domestic]

Buried tonight, will come back tomorrow.

[benrama]

Is it too early to write the obituary for the Pies chances of winning this year? They looked awful out there, and Swan and Pendo were surprisingly crushed by Judd and Murphy in midfield. I thought Scotland for Carlton had a cracker too, looks like 2012 might be an even better season for him than 2011 - go the old fellas.

I'm on Brisbane today at +44.5, I don't see Freo racking up big scores this season, so if Brisbane can get to 60 points - two and half goals a quarter - I think this line covers.

[MatI]

Collingwood are definitely done. They will not even be in Top 4 at the end of the year.

[johno35]

Hey guys I'm loving the under in the saints game, total is 177.5 at Bet365. Saints and dogs haven't gone over that in 3 years, the average total for the last 5 games is 132. It is alway an ugly arm wrestle between these two and I wouldn't be suprised to see a total of roughly 120

[Crowing Capers]

Freo to win 60 plus
Beat Geelong 2 weeks ago at home...
Form is solid , take the spread.
Geez Brettels if your mob don't win today , will be trouble down in tiger land...

[alias69]

Ill be at tigers v demons game, go dees. Dees +30.5 under 205.5

[brettels]

Alias, enjoy the game big guy! Roar power will dominate!

Crowing Capers, after supporting them my whole life (im a young 28 y.o) i can tell you if we lose this I could lose my faith and make the switch to another side, I need to feel success before December 21st when the world ends Carlton hawthorn or geelong?

[Lookingtostart]

Pulled the the trigger on Brisbane, I still think they are a better side then what people give them credit for. The thrashing last week made such a large spread. Brisbane with 9 days break compared to Fremantle's 7. Brisbane with a lot to show after last week. A long time to lick wounds.

[Lookingtostart]

Crowing Capers, after supporting them my whole life (im a young 28 y.o) i can tell you if we lose this I could lose my faith and make the switch to another side, I need to feel success before December 21st when the world ends Carlton hawthorn or geelong?

Just have a second or equal favourite team. Hawthorn or North.

[brettels]

A couple days break means bugger all i reckon, it's just an excuse prepared in advance.

[Gee]

I think the difference between 5 and 7 is huge.

Especially if travel is involved in that as well.

Tigers looking excellent.

[brettels]

Oh well, 8 more games. Looking forward to tommorow.

Tigers -17.5 PYOL 1.52

Finally, got buried previous 3 games!

Onto freo/brisbane OVER 186.5

[brettels]

Finally, got buried previous 3 games!

Onto freo/brisbane OVER 186.5

Not even half time and i can count this as a loss!

Smashing the essendon moneyline and being a mug punter!

[Domestic]

Unreal how low scoring that Brisbane game was. I didn't watch it, what the hell was going on there?

[Lookingtostart]

I think the difference between 5 and 7 is huge.

Especially if travel is involved in that as well.

Brisbane had 9 days this time!

[Pride]

any chance the saints lose today?

[brettels]

yeah there is a chance, bulldogs aren't THAT bad, and saints aren't THAT good anymore.

[Lookingtostart]

I think Bulldogs might win this, was going to pull the trigger on Bulldogs and Essendon to both cover, but not enough confidence here.

[Pride]

well the bulldogs look as bad as i think they are lol. 8 points late into the 2nd quarter

[brettels]

WTF is wrong with essendon, out and getting scores on phone! Anyone watching?

[Pride]

suns started playing like gods after essendon started taking the game easy

[Domestic]

Gold Coast are kicking well from set shots, Karmichael Hunt playing the best game of his AFL career.

[Coopertrooper]

I had a feeling this could be a tricky week, happy to have just got my double and to have avoided a few other funny results.

WCE/GWS Over will be the only thing I look at tomorrow I think.

[brettels]

Yeah, I've been betting on more matches than I usually would, it was just excitement from real footy finally being back. From now on, i will only bet what I'm comfortable with instead of having to make a play on nearly every game. That's just being a degenerate I reckon.

So if it means just one game for the round, so be it.