RealDeal AFL 2014

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Holy shit - staring at nice payday on Riewoldt

[Gee]

Nice hit on the forwards kicking bags on GWS theory. I forgot to even look, but did hit -20.5 for a chunk.

No chance on Dusty though I don't think though mate. Guy tends to disappear after half time. Sad to say only a lazy 8 unit (approx) game for you

[therealdealau]

Nice hit on the forwards kicking bags on GWS theory. I forgot to even look, but did hit -20.5 for a chunk.

No chance on Dusty though I don't think though mate. Guy tends to disappear after half time. Sad to say only a lazy 8 unit (approx) game for you

Thanks mate! I look forward to the Hawks one next week. Yeah nice, I felt Richmond would always bounce back in this one.

Yeah the reason I hit Dusty was just to spread the load, in most of GWS's games the key opposition forward has dominated but also another goal kicker has cameo'd for 3+.

[therealdealau]

At the risk of over extending myself...

1x Pies 1Q -4.5 ($1.90 @ sportsbet)
1x Pies 1H -9.5 ($1.90 @ sportsbet)
1x Cloke 3+ Goals ($2.00 @ sportsbet)

[Domestic]

Great picks on Reiwoldt man.

[therealdealau]

1x Hawks +12.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)
1x Hawks ML ($2.55 @ sportsbet)

[therealdealau]

Week 10 Review

I'm absolutely dirty at myself this week, was I greedy? Yes. However all the plays I made I thought were good plays, I don't post for the sake of posting. My initial plays were spot on with Richmond and Geelong both cashing, the Bulldogs got blown out in the second half to ruin the cover. The plays I made on the day were horrible, but every mistake comes a lesson and hopefully lessons will be learned.

2.5x Geelong -14.5 ($1.90 @ sportsbet)
1x Geelong 1Q -3.5 ($1.90 @ sportsbet)
1x Geelong 1H -6.5 ($1.90 @ sportsbet)
2x Richmond -20.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)
1x Bulldogs +27.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)
1x Pies 1Q -4.5 ($1.90 @ sportsbet)
1x Pies 1H -9.5 ($1.90 @ sportsbet)
1x Cloke 3+ Goals ($2.00 @ sportsbet)
1x Hawks +12.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)
1x Hawks ML ($2.55 @ sportsbet)

Week 9 AFL Plays 4-6 // -0.11 Units

OVERALL RECORD: 56-47 // +18.625 units

[therealdealau]

Goal Kicker Theory vs GWS

This is not going against my record, this will be a little experiment.

0.5x Dustin Martin 3+ Goals ($4.00 @ sportsbet)
1x Jack Reiwoldt 4+ Goals ($2.55 @ sportsbet)
0.5x Jack Reiwoldt 5+ Goals ($4.70 @ sportsbet)
0.25x Jack Reiwoldt 6+ Goals ($9.00 @ sportsbet)

Goal Kicker Theory vs GWS: 3-1 +5.9 Units

Great start to the Theory with big Jack rising to the challenge and overcoming some average form to have a monster game. The reason for the Martin wager was to try capitalize on another player kicking 3+, it was a toss up between Vickery and Martin however neither managed to kick 3+ due to the big game from Jack hogging all the goals

This week we have the Hawks coming up against GWS, the Hawks coming off a loss will be out for blood against the lowly Giants. However this may not be as easy as you think as the Hawks are known for having MANY multiple goal scorers.

There are so many options this week, I will be looking to get some value here.

Gunston and Roughhead are definite plays and I think Bruest has to be looked at here as well. I will also pick another player for some value, I'm considering the following Lewis/Burgoyne/Hale.

[beeeej12]

Goal Kicker Theory vs GWS: 3-1 +5.9 Units

Great start to the Theory with big Jack rising to the challenge and overcoming some average form to have a monster game. The reason for the Martin wager was to try capitalize on another player kicking 3+, it was a toss up between Vickery and Martin however neither managed to kick 3+ due to the big game from Jack hogging all the goals

This week we have the Hawks coming up against GWS, the Hawks coming off a loss will be out for blood against the lowly Giants. However this may not be as easy as you think as the Hawks are known for having MANY multiple goal scorers.

There are so many options this week, I will be looking to get some value here.

Gunston and Roughhead are definite plays and I think Bruest has to be looked at here as well. I will also pick another player for some value, I'm considering the following Lewis/Burgoyne/Hale.

I agree with you on Gunston/Roughead and Breust all impacting the score big will they all kick 3+ goals though??

Out of those other options i think Hale is most likely to kick a bag only because Lewis and Burgoyne are gonna be going through the midfield and although they will probably kick a goal or two you will need them to kick at least 3 which i personally think is unlikely

[therealdealau]

I agree with you on Gunston/Roughead and Breust all impacting the score big will they all kick 3+ goals though??

Out of those other options i think Hale is most likely to kick a bag only because Lewis and Burgoyne are gonna be going through the midfield and although they will probably kick a goal or two you will need them to kick at least 3 which i personally think is unlikely

I think Gunston and Roughy will have a good shot at kicking 3, if I can get Lewis/Burgoyne to kick 2 or more at +money i might look into it

[therealdealau]

Week 11

Sportsbet are running a special, if your team is winning at any break but go on to lose the game refund head to head wagers (up to $100).

1x Geelong ML ($3.00 @ sportsbet) *sportsbet special
2.5x Geelong +17.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)

1x Adelaide ML ($1.70 @ sportsbet) *sportsbet special
1x Adelaide -6.5 ($.192 @ sportsbet)

1x Eagles ML ($1.62 @ sportsbet) *sportsbet special
1x Eagles -8.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)
1x Eagles 1-39 ($2.20 @ sportsbet)

1x Carlton ML/Bombers ML/Eagles ML/Crows ML ($6.33 @ sportsbet)

[MustWinPlease]

i really like geelong at the line, and luckily i didn't get on them early because the line is starting to blow out. Although lonergan and enright are out, the cats have a good record against the swans and like playing at the SCG. I watched essendon vs sydney and the margin flattered sydney, they were good but not great, if it wasnt for a few lucky umpire decisions i think the bombers could of even won! Anyway good luck this weekend mate, im with you on the cats at the line

[Domestic]

I could not pass up Geelong ATS either. Good luck tonight.

[Rustyglobes]

I think the swans forward line will end up being too much for the cats to contain tonight. I'm expecting a tightly fought out battle which should fall within the line.

[therealdealau]

i really like geelong at the line, and luckily i didn't get on them early because the line is starting to blow out. Although lonergan and enright are out, the cats have a good record against the swans and like playing at the SCG. I watched essendon vs sydney and the margin flattered sydney, they were good but not great, if it wasnt for a few lucky umpire decisions i think the bombers could of even won! Anyway good luck this weekend mate, im with you on the cats at the line

I just feel like, despite beating some good teams on their winning streak that this will be the biggest test. Good luck to you as well mate!

[therealdealau]

I could not pass up Geelong ATS either. Good luck tonight.

Lets get it

[MustWinPlease]

who saw that coming?
when was the last time the cats lost by 100?

[therealdealau]

Damn that really hurt, the Swans are menacing....what a complete side.

[therealdealau]

1x St Kilda +42.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)
1x Steven > Hayes DT ($2.10 @ sportsbet)

[therealdealau]

LIVE TRADE

2x Port ML ($1.83 @ sportsbet)

[therealdealau]

2x Carlton -14.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)

[Gusto0810]

Bad luck bro I was on the Blues too.

[therealdealau]

GWS Goal Kicker

1x Jordan Lewis 3+ Goals ($9.50 @ sportsbet)
1x Luke Bruest 3+ Goals ($1.78 @ sportsbet)
1x Jack Gunston 4+ Goals ($2.55 @ sportsbet)
0.5x Jack Gunston 5+ Goals ($4.70 @ sportsbet)
0.25x Jack Gunston 6+ Goals ($9.00 @ sportsbet)

Value is thin here but I am rolling with Gunston as my main dude to kick a bag.

[therealdealau]

Week 11 Results

1x Geelong ML ($3.00 @ sportsbet) *sportsbet special
2.5x Geelong +17.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)

1x Adelaide ML ($1.70 @ sportsbet) *sportsbet special
1x Adelaide -6.5 ($.192 @ sportsbet)

1x Eagles ML ($1.62 @ sportsbet) *sportsbet special
1x Eagles -8.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)
1x Eagles 1-39 ($2.20 @ sportsbet)
1x Carlton ML/Bombers ML/Eagles ML/Crows ML ($6.33 @ sportsbet)
1x St Kilda +42.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)
1x Steven > Hayes DT ($2.10 @ sportsbet)
2x Port ML ($1.83 @ sportsbet)
2x Carlton -14.5 ($1.92 @ sportsbet)

Week 11 AFL Plays 3-9 // -8.22 Units

OVERALL RECORD: 59-56 // +10.405 units

[therealdealau]

GWS Goal Kicker

1x Jordan Lewis 3+ Goals ($9.50 @ sportsbet)
1x Luke Bruest 3+ Goals ($1.78 @ sportsbet)
1x Jack Gunston 4+ Goals ($2.55 @ sportsbet)
0.5x Jack Gunston 5+ Goals ($4.70 @ sportsbet)
0.25x Jack Gunston 6+ Goals ($9.00 @ sportsbet)

Value is thin here but I am rolling with Gunston as my main dude to kick a bag.

Goal Kicker Theory vs GWS: 4-4-1 +5.95 Units

[beeeej12]

Bad luck bud!
Tough week for everyone by the looks of it!!

Just on a side note your Port Adelaide winning bet is in red when it should be in green

[therealdealau]

Bad luck bud!
Tough week for everyone by the looks of it!!

Just on a side note your Port Adelaide winning bet is in red when it should be in green

Was brutal, hoping to get back on the horse! Thanks mate always keeping an eye out for me, I appreciate it!

[beeeej12]

Yeah me too due for a decent week need to get in that green!

Always champ

[therealdealau]

Week 12

2.5x Geelong -29.5 ($2.00 @ sportsbet)
1.5x Geelong 1Q -6.5 ($1.90 @ sportsbet)
1.5x Geelong 1H -13.5 ($1.90 @ sportsbet)

3x Suns +27.5 ($1.90 @ sportsbet)
1x Suns ML ($4.40 @ sportsbet)

[therealdealau]

GWS GOAL KICKER

1x Danniher 3+ Goals ($2.25 @ sportsbet)
0.5x Danniher 4+ Goals ($4.30 @ sportsbet)
0.25x Danniher 6+ Goals ($20.00 @ sportsbet)
1x Chapman 3+ Goals ($4.00 @ sportsbet)
0.5x Chapman 4+ Goals ($9.50 @ sportsbet)
1x Goddard 3+ Goals ($6.70 @ sportsbet)

[therealdealau]

2.5x Freo 1-39 ($2.10 @ sportsbet)

[hedgejob]

2.5x Freo 1-39 ($2.10 @ sportsbet)

Tough loss pal. But was pleasing to see ur boys give the crows a reality check.

[therealdealau]

Tough loss pal. But was pleasing to see ur boys give the crows a reality check.

yeah it was tough, it sums up my last two weeks that wager...getting straight murdered

[therealdealau]

Week 13

2x Freo 1-39 ($2.05 @ sportsbet)

2x Swans 1-39 ($2.10 @ sportsbet)

2x Suns ML ($2.35 @ sportsbet)

2x Crows ML ($1.84 @ sportsbet)

[therealdealau]

GWS GOAL KICKER (Brisbane)

2x Jonathon Brown 3+ Goals ($1.83 @ sportsbet)
1x Jonathon Brown 4+ Goals ($3.10 @ sportsbet)
0.5x Dayne Zorko 3+ Goals ($6.80 @ sportsbet)
0.5x Tom Rockliff 3+ Goals ($8.00 @ sportsbet)