claiming races for horses with <4 wins (including maidens) at gulfstream and tampa

[JBEX]

I equate golden gate equate lol as about same level track as Tampa so going to allow it in this sample..posted last 2 races post 91

[Louisvillekid1]

Gg is to SA as Tampa as is to gulf

[JBEX]

Gg is to SA as Tampa as is to gulf

good analogy

[JBEX]

charlestown (not graded)

R6 #4 our diamond girl (5-1)

4.5f msw race.. 1st time starter, homebred with a speed on speed pedigree (sire/dam sire).. dam has been productive producing winners although none of them anything special.. but you probably wouldn't have to be special here vs statebred maidens.. trainer excellent with debuters and solid jockey aboard

charlestown


R9 #6 he's on the line (5-1)

firster with same breeder/owner/trainer and by the same sire as last night's ($10 winner) had a speed dam sire and this damsire is even better (speed/class)..working very well up to the race..going with a different jockey that's got even better numbers than last night's

[pimike]

charlestown


R9 #6 he's on the line (5-1)

firster with same breeder/owner/trainer and by the same sire as last night's ($10 winner) had a speed dam sire and this damsire is even better (speed/class)..working very well up to the race..going with a different jockey that's got even better numbers than last night's

Thank you for closing and s our with a winner!!!

[JBEX]

Thank you for closing and s our with a winner!!!

didn't even know.. were there races delayed tonight?

[pimike]

didn't even know.. were there races delayed tonight?

Lol
Not sure just noticed you posted this and it was only the 8th so I said I’ll hit it.

Didn’t watch the other races, so not sure.

[JBEX]

Lol
Not sure just noticed you posted this and it was only the 8th so I said I’ll hit it.

Didn’t watch the other races, so not sure.

no they just spread them out further.. they had a huge handle there tonight relatively speaking


no problem.. glad you hit mike

[JBEX]

tampa

R2 #6 brycens gold (12-1) 10WP

exits an extremely fast race (always relative to level when I say this) and was involved for 6 of the 7f..think will be single digits


R3 #4 little natalia (15-1) 5WP

broke maiden in 2nd career start 2 back..then broke slow last race and ran a gradual fade line mid pack.. I like these types as a stretch out primer and for other situations also.. if you look at this horse's debut line it's very similar to her last race.. realize we didn't see her again for 8 months after that while today it's back in 12 days.. also like that it's only her 4th start and not a repeat loser like many of these



R6 #5 three quarter time (10-1) 10 WP

horse is primed for the drop and stretch.. 4yo filly making 3rd career start and first time up for a tag (trainer sensational at this move).. route pedigree top and bottom including excellent turf dam sire smart strike.. crappy turf jock gets a chance to bag a win


R7 #3 unflappable max (20-1) 10WP

3rd race off an almost 5 month layoff and races spaced 18 and 16 days apart.. 1st off the layoff a fine leg-stretcher and had a wide post and trip last out.. gets an inside post today and if he can approach his finger lakes numbers from last fall can run with these



R8 #5 tetsu (8-1)10 WP
R8 #2 king tide (30-1) 5W only

don't like WP on 2 horses


R9 #2 cliffy (8-1) 10WP

more realistic spot in 3rd career start after breaking maiden in debut.. horse who won last race repeated at gulfstream yesterday.. gallardo stays aboard for solid trainer



golden gate

R9 #6 power times two (9-2) 5WP
R10 #9 jazz street (4-1) 5WP

..

515/191



R2 winner $15.40/8.40 (119)
R3..out @ 10-1
R6 winner $11.80/4.80 (83)
R8 2nd nose* $3.80 place (19)
R8 out @ 105-1 lol
R9 out @ 9-2

95/221


golden gate

R9 out @ 6-1
R10 ..3rd @5-2 < length winner

20/0


santa anita (not shown)

R1 out @ 5-1
R2 out @ 7-1
R4 out @ 5-1
R7 out @ 22-1

75/0


170/221

risk $685/return $413

[JBEX]

going to stop after I hit 1000 and possibly do a different theme..less plays which I admittedly struggle with

tampa

R2 contest thread

R3 #6 port salerno (8-1) 10WP

R5 #1 fire fist (15-1) 10W
R5 #7 lodi (10-1) 10W*

* 2 horses


R7 #1 worlds apart (12-1) 10WP





gulfstream

R4 #4 feather's secret (8-1) 10WP




santa anita


R1 #1 moana (21-1..26 mtp) 10WP





R9 contest

R10 #11 desert swarm (4-1) 15WP




churchill..(fast now)


R10 #2 portrait (4-1) 15W
..

[JBEX]

added gulfstream 4

[pimike]

added gulfstream 4

Good luck today!

[JBEX]

churchill

going to rate churchill as a small track play not knowing what the track conditions will be ..even if it's good high likely hood it might be biased



R1 #12 baudette blizzard (2-1)


R3 #3 louies kingdom (9-5..10 mtp)






gulfstream


R5. #9 ginger kitty(5-2..11 "mtp) know it's off the turf and feel this one's being bet very well for what he shows

[JBEX]

Good luck today!

thanks mike

[pimike]

churchill

going to rate churchill as a small track play not knowing what the track conditions will be ..even if it's good high likely hood it might be biased



R1 #12 baudette blizzard (2-1)

Is this 10 risk?

[JBEX]

Is this 10 risk?

no.. what I mean when I say play it like a small track is like what I do on mondays and tuesdays.. want to be involved but for about half action..not going to rate churchill picks today but recommend smaller bets

[pimike]

no.. what I mean when I say play it like a small track is like what I do on mondays and tuesdays.. want to be involved but for about half action..not going to rate churchill picks today but recommend smaller bets

Thanks for all your help.

Been fun tailing.

[JBEX]

Thanks for all your help.

Been fun tailing.

no problem.. good luck today

[JBEX]

gonna play churchill live.. picks up at least 10 mtp

[pimike]

gonna play churchill live.. picks up at least 10 mtp

Oh wow

[JBEX]

Oh wow

get to see the odds before I select nice every once in a while and today good day to do it

[pimike]

get to see the odds before I select nice every once in a while and today good day to do it

I don’t see that option with books I have

[JBEX]

I don’t see that option with books I have

as long as you can put bets in 5-10 minutes to post you're good

[JBEX]

had to step away. I'll put up something for the 3rd and 5th @ churchill

[JBEX]

added tampa 7..that'll do it for there

[JBEX]

churchill 3..post 118

[JBEX]

added gulfstream 5..post 118

[JBEX]

added santa anita 1 (post 115) off churchill now

[JBEX]

added santa anita 10 (post 115)

[JBEX]

added CD 10

[JBEX]

going to stop after I hit 1000 and possibly do a different theme..less plays which I admittedly struggle with

tampa

R2 contest thread

R3 #6 port salerno (8-1) 10WP

R5 #1 fire fist (15-1) 10W
R5 #7 lodi (10-1) 10W*

* 2 horses


R7 #1 worlds apart (12-1) 10WP





gulfstream

R4 #4 feather's secret (8-1) 10WP




santa anita


R1 #1 moana (21-1..26 mtp) 10WP





R9 contest

R10 #11 desert swarm (4-1) 15WP




churchill..(fast now)


R10 #2 portrait (4-1) 15W
..

R3.. 3rd @ 6-1
R5.. out @ 22-1
R5.. out @ 5-1
R7.. 2nd by a nose @ 7-1 ($6.00) (day breaker)



R4.. out @ 7-1


R1.. out @ 31-1
R10.. out @ 4-1


R1.. out @ 3-2


145/30

risk $830 /return $443

[pimike]

Better luck tomorrow...

May just play NASCAR. Not sure yet.

I’ll decide when I wake up...

Lol

[JBEX]

Better luck tomorrow...

May just play NASCAR. Not sure yet.

I’ll decide when I wake up...

Lol

thanks mike

[JBEX]

thread will end today mercifully.. my feeling about these types of races hasn't changed and just a bad run.. going to take a breather from specialty threads for a week and try something different the following week


churchill

R1 #9 tap n sway (12-1) 10WP

she's this ml because of the trainer and not her pp's


R2 #5 heart river (4-1) 25W


R5 #1 elite class (6-1) 25W

R8 #2 wicked title (6-1) 10WP



R11 contest thread




gulfstream

R1 #9 follow me mom (10-1) 10WP
R2 #10 trinni dancer (15-1) 10 WP
R3 #5 prince khozan (10-1) 10 WP



R8 #1 prince of arabia (4-1) not rated.. love turf marathons so weighing in

if you transplant the race he ran vs grade 3 in the mcknight, as bad as it looks, it's a much better figure than you'd need here (137-1) he ran that race 2nd off a layoff stretching out from a middle distance race (like today)

[JBEX]

thread will end today mercifully.. my feeling about these types of races hasn't changed and just a bad run.. going to take a breather from specialty threads for a week and try something different the following week


churchill

R1 #9 tap n sway (12-1) 10WP

she's this ml because of the trainer and not her pp's


R2 #5 heart river (4-1) 25W


R5 #1 elite class (6-1) 25W

R8 #2 wicked title (6-1) 10WP



R11 contest thread




gulfstream

R1 #9 follow me mom (10-1) 10WP
R2 #10 trinni dancer (15-1) 10 WP
R3 #5 prince khozan (10-1) 10 WP



R8 #1 prince of arabia (4-1) not rated.. love turf marathons so weighing in

if you transplant the race he ran vs grade 3 in the mcknight, as bad as it looks, it's a much better figure than you'd need here (137-1) he ran that race 2nd off a layoff stretching out from a middle distance race (like today)

R1.. 4th @ 26-1
R2.. 3rd @ 2-1
R5..out @ 3-1
R8..out @ 3-1



R1 off turf no play
R2 out @ 25-1
R3.. out @ 7-1
R8 off turf no play


130/0


risk $960/ return $443

total ass kicking.. staying away for at least a week except for the maiden contest