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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23439

    #5496
    Originally posted by JBEX
    belmont

    R1 #5 amos (3-1)
    R2 #2 la vida (10-1)

    chad brown has a $1.6M debut horse (#5.. 6-5) that I'd cover with in exacta


    R3 #5 hoard (10-1)
    R4 pass


    pimlico (know they're off the turf)

    R1 #9 souper courage (4-1)
    R2 #1 natasha fatale (9-5)
    R3 #2 foggy dreams (7-2)
    R4 #8 peak performance (10-1)

    not sure he can give one off 16 month layoff with a trainer/owner I never heard of.. good jockey though and it's not a ridiculous drop (open 12.5 to beaten clm 5k).. lightly raced 6yo gelding another positive.. small bet

    pimlico

    actually 1 5 7 running on a good turf an 3 9 off turf...this wouldn't affect first 4 races for me which is unusual
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23439

      #5497
      Originally posted by JBEX
      pimlico

      actually 1 5 7 running on a good turf an 3 9 off turf...this wouldn't affect first 4 races for me which is unusual

      finished pimlico
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23439

        #5498
        belmont

        R1 #5 amos (3-1)
        R2 #2 la vida (10-1)

        chad brown has a $1.6M debut horse (#5.. 6-5) that I'd cover with in exacta


        R3 #5 hoard (10-1)
        R4 pass


        R6 #5 hampton point (8-1)
        R7 #6 sarrasin (12-1)
        R9 #11 frosty linz (20-1)


        pimlico (know they're off the turf)

        R1 #9 souper courage (4-1)
        R2 #1 natasha fatale (9-5)
        R3 #2 foggy dreams (7-2)
        R4 #8 peak performance (10-1)

        not sure he can give one off 16 month layoff with a trainer/owner I never heard of.. good jockey though and it's not a ridiculous drop (open 12.5 to beaten clm 5k).. lightly raced 6yo gelding another positive.. small bet


        R5 #7 cairo holiday (9-2)
        R9 #5 belmont ride (2-1)


        going to work on the later tracks.. belmont 3pm churchill 5 pm



        churchill

        R1 #5 bourbon girl (15-1)
        R4 #7 pranked (3-1)
        R8 #3 dixieincandyland (6-1)
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23439

          #5499
          added churchill 1 4
          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23439

            #5500
            finished churchill
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23439

              #5501
              pimlico... 11:30 post


              R1 #2 midnight mass (5-1)

              R2 #8 family tree (6-1)

              think he finally gets what he needs to win.. middle distance, no blinkers, solid turf jock and right placement.. sharp 3f work and love the trainers name... jeremiah o'dwyer


              R3 #8 fleeterthan (3-1)

              looks to be speed of the speed which works well at pimlico.. joel rosario an insane 31% winners in 118 sprint races.. besides like the name for a speed horse


              R4 #8 rail master (8-1)

              R5 #5 marvelous martina (10-1)


              R6 #7 seeking the sunset (6-1)

              claimed this horse out of a clm 5k n2L in his 3rd career start.. 3 weeks later run him in a open clm 15k turf sprint and finishes 2nd which is pretty damn good considering what he was claimed for.. nothing on the slop in an off the turf race at a mile next out.. next race same level, distance stays on the turf (oc 25k) and wins close to a 9 length fast pace with a stakes quality figure.. wow!! that was in August and his last start on 4/22 won by almost 4 lengths with a solid figure up close again to a fast pace in a starter allowance race.. with a couple of other high profile trainers in here (this guy's a newbie) hopefully get some value on him


              R11 black-eyed susan grade 2 @ 1 1/8 miles


              #1 sweet diane (15-1)

              falls into that not only expensive but expensive relative to the pedigree category for me.. like what she did as a 2yo and the pace in that listed stakes at gulfstream she ran in was very fast.. looks like a couple of wide trips in her 3yo starts including being close to a very fast pace in the fairgrounds oaks last out.. ..switching trainers to kennealley who's killing it at churchill and is excellent with first time acquisitions.. jose ortiz rides.. think will be significantly lower than morning line



              R14 #4 burak (8-1)
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23439

                #5502
                added my black eyed susan write up from str's thread
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23439

                  #5503
                  added 14
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23439

                    #5504
                    pimlico


                    R1 #8 turnstyle (8-1)

                    noticed mr prospector was the dam sire which you don't see much (1970 foal).. looked up the pedigree and the dam safe return was out of safely kept (1986) who's one of the greatest female sprinters of all time.. of course mr p one of the all time great sires..this one is a homebred and I believe is trained by a protégé of safely kept's trainer alan goldberg.. this is only a maiden claiming race so this horse not aiming for greatness but there are trainer angles and her first time up for a tag so take a shot at a price


                    R2 #5 liquid aloha (4-1)
                    R3 #3 king for a day (7-5)

                    probably 3-5 and much better than this field in spite of the ml on #4 being 9-5


                    R4 #5 misty on pointe (4-1)
                    R5 #4 english bee (5-1)
                    R6 #1 new york central (6-1)
                    R7 #5 ickymasho (8-5)
                    R8 #9 overdeliver (3-1)
                    R9 #8 misericordia (4-1)



                    R10 #1 i'm so fancy (7-2)
                    R11 #1 lexitonian (15-1)

                    looks like a lot of speed and thinking he may sit a nice trip on the rail.. like that he was able to break his maiden in june in his debut at belmont last year.. looks like that was followed by a troubled trip in the sanford and a failed attempt at a mile at keeneland which ended his 2yo campaign.. very encouraged they'd bring him back in 12 days after his first race off a long layoff.. ambitious placing.. jose ortiz rides



                    R12 #2 just howard (10-1)


                    R13 preakness

                    #2 bourbon war (9-2 @ 1pm and was 12-1 m
                    l)


                    R14 #8 firecrow (4-1)

                    one of those extremely expensive relative to the pedigree types.. mclean's music out of an Indian charlie mare is speed top and bottom... 3rd career race with his last being a nice step forward.. best sprint jockey rosario hops aboard


                    may look at few more elsewhere
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23439

                      #5505
                      finished pimlico
                      Comment
                      • Easy-Rider 66
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-14-12
                        • 36103

                        #5506
                        Looks like you had English Bee as well R5 from Pimlico. 9/2 score
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23439

                          #5507
                          Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                          Looks like you had English Bee as well R5 from Pimlico. 9/2 score

                          yes I did.. thanks easy
                          Comment
                          • Seastriper
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 04-28-14
                            • 237

                            #5508
                            R11 #1 lexitonian (15-1)

                            Beautiful call as usual Jbex... Thank you for everything you do... I was wondering why it kept creeping up tp 21 then last minute plummeted to around 17 --> but I held in there LOL
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23439

                              #5509
                              Originally posted by Seastriper
                              R11 #1 lexitonian (15-1)

                              Beautiful call as usual Jbex... Thank you for everything you do... I was wondering why it kept creeping up tp 21 then last minute plummeted to around 17 --> but I held in there LOL

                              no problem seastriper, enjoy doing it and thanks for the good word!
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23439

                                #5510
                                belmont

                                R4 #4 osare (5-2)
                                R5 #4 crescent lady (10-1)
                                R6 #6 cavaradossi (3-1)
                                R9 #5 mo savings (6-1)



                                monmouth

                                R1 #5 honey don't (3-1)
                                R4 #5 into temptation (9-2)
                                R6 #3 kitten street (9-2)
                                R7 #8 billy's jump start (7-2)
                                R8 #8 how sweep it is (5-2)


                                R11 #8 welling (6-1)



                                churchill


                                R9 #3 half ours to keep (10-1)
                                R10 #3 lisbon (12-1)
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23439

                                  #5511
                                  did monmouth through R8
                                  Comment
                                  • hawkwind
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-25-11
                                    • 4063

                                    #5512
                                    like kitten street alot GL today
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23439

                                      #5513
                                      Originally posted by hawkwind
                                      like kitten street alot GL today
                                      thanks.. you too
                                      Comment
                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-14-12
                                        • 36103

                                        #5514
                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                        belmont

                                        R4 #4 osare (5-2)
                                        R5 #4 crescent lady (10-1)
                                        R6 #6 cavaradossi (3-1)
                                        R9 #5 mo savings (6-1)




                                        monmouth

                                        R1 #5 honey don't (3-1)
                                        R4 #5 into temptation (9-2)
                                        R6 #3 kitten street (9-2)
                                        R7 #8 billy's jump start (7-2)
                                        R8 #8 how sweep it is (5-2)


                                        look at 9-11 later today
                                        I Capped Belmont today. Also picked those three bold horses in a contest. GL today.
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23439

                                          #5515
                                          added a few more
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23439

                                            #5516
                                            Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                            I Capped Belmont today. Also picked those three bold horses in a contest. GL today.

                                            thanks.. pretty amazing posted a minute after you.. coincidentally of course.. good luck to you also
                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23439

                                              #5517
                                              indiana downs

                                              R2 #4 professional roper (10-1)
                                              R3 #1 northern ranger (20-1)
                                              R4 #7 aka shade of grey (4-1)
                                              R5 #8 lyonaisse (10-1)
                                              R7 #4 allaboutaprincess (5-2)
                                              R8 #8 ruby the rebel (30-1)

                                              1st time starter that for an indiana bred has a pretty nice pedigree.. dam was a winner and sire/ dam- sire combo above avg with first time starters.. actually surprised the dam sire has such a high spi which means runners by him earn well above avg.. homebred so wasn't sold for a dime.. jock 1/76 so while that's obviously horrible will only help the price.. like as a stab at a price


                                              louisiana downs


                                              R5 #7 oh bette (7-2)
                                              R7 #7 just for casey (9-2)




                                              mountaineer


                                              R6 #1 empty prize (12-1)
                                              Comment
                                              • JBEX
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-02-12
                                                • 23439

                                                #5518
                                                added louisiana 5 7
                                                Comment
                                                • JBEX
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                  • 23439

                                                  #5519
                                                  added mountaineer 6
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBEX
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 23439

                                                    #5520
                                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                                    indiana downs

                                                    R2 #4 professional roper (10-1)
                                                    R3 #1 northern ranger (20-1)
                                                    R4 #7 aka shade of grey (4-1)
                                                    R5 #8 lyonaisse (10-1)
                                                    R7 #4 allaboutaprincess (5-2)
                                                    R8 #8 ruby the rebel (30-1)

                                                    1st time starter that for an indiana bred has a pretty nice pedigree.. dam was a winner and sire/ dam- sire combo above avg with first time starters.. actually surprised the dam sire has such a high spi which means runners by him earn well above avg.. homebred so wasn't sold for a dime.. jock 1/76 so while that's obviously horrible will only help the price.. like as a stab at a price


                                                    louisiana downs


                                                    R5 #7 oh bette (7-2)
                                                    R7 #7 just for casey (9-2)




                                                    mountaineer


                                                    R6 #1 empty prize (12-1)

                                                    8-1 @ 0 mtp.. goes off 3-1 .. comes in 2nd to a 16-1 who came in last in his previous 2 races ( clm 4k n3L, clm 5k n3l @ penn)..30k in the win pool.. surprised yes.. shocked no
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23439

                                                      #5521
                                                      delaware

                                                      R1 #4 federale (7-2)

                                                      for a 2yo msw with a 5 horse field (scratch) this race has many interesting things going on

                                                      clement shipping in from belmont with a $500k first time starter..kind of unusual he'd want to get a horse started this early #2 tomato bill (8-5)

                                                      a trainer who's 7 out of 8 for the meet and the jockey who's been riding his horses.. it's a first time starter #6 sight of heaven (6-1)

                                                      two others who ran decent races in their debuts


                                                      mine is a homebred by breeder who's been involved in the game for a long time.. speed and win early pedigree.. shipping in from saratoga with works spaced 5 days apart.. works are on the saratoga training track which is very deep and gets them fit..top jockey centeno aboard and he's amazing in sprints 110/33% +42.5% roi.. phil gleaves a solid trainer and can have a horse ready to go at first asking



                                                      indiana downs . sloppy


                                                      R8 #5 slovak power (10-1)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JBEX
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                        • 23439

                                                        #5522
                                                        added indiana 8
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23439

                                                          #5523
                                                          belmont

                                                          R1 #1 kiawah sunset (7-5)
                                                          R2 #5 three birds (8-1)
                                                          R3 #2 forbidden frolic (5-2)
                                                          R5 #2 thenorthremembers (6-1)
                                                          R7 #8 more likely than not (4-1)
                                                          R9 #4 the crocheron kid (8-1)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23439

                                                            #5524
                                                            DAY and month =5 and WP <=32 and DIV and o:WP >=60 and LGS

                                                            10 straight losses and 7 straight run line losses
                                                            5 of those 7 by 4+ runs

                                                            fade bal runline

                                                            nyy -1.5 (-130)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JBEX
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-02-12
                                                              • 23439

                                                              #5525
                                                              added bel 9
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23439

                                                                #5526
                                                                belmont

                                                                R1 #3 driver dan (8-1)
                                                                R4 #7 mr massena (8-1)
                                                                R5 #3 mister muy bien (9-5)
                                                                R7 #7 shady shady shady (6-1)
                                                                R9 #4 pretty spectacular (8-5)



                                                                churchill


                                                                R2 #1 elusive d'oro (4-1)
                                                                R4 #6 replete (9-2)
                                                                R9 #3 candizar (20-1) ridiculous morning line



                                                                santa anita

                                                                R8 #1 powder (2-1)


                                                                love how he slides into this condition and with the huge purse relative to the claiming price not concerned with the drop.. jock 2/3 with trainer past 60 days and wasn't aboard last out.. rail in sprints here not good but you can't have everything
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JBEX
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                                  • 23439

                                                                  #5527
                                                                  did churchill
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23439

                                                                    #5528
                                                                    added santa anita 8
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23439

                                                                      #5529
                                                                      belmont



                                                                      R3 #1 sayhellotomylilfrn (8-1)

                                                                      funny max 18 letters but that is how he said it at the end "lilfrn".. not why "iplayn" lol









                                                                      R4 #1 shak's hidden gem (10-1)


                                                                      R7 #4 riot (12-1)

                                                                      looks terrible on paper but

                                                                      hit gate debut last start and did nothing .. went off 9/5..

                                                                      very expensive for pedigree..

                                                                      adds blinkers..

                                                                      jockey and trainer having nice meet






                                                                      R9 #4 pole setter (9-2)






                                                                      monmouth

                                                                      R1 #3 augusta moon (2-1)
                                                                      R4 #8 king leo (9-2)
                                                                      R6 #2 gourmet delight (10-1)






                                                                      hey easy... curious if your report mentions any of mine or anything else interesting in general?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JBEX
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                                        • 23439

                                                                        #5530
                                                                        added monmouth
                                                                        Comment
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