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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23454

    #3221
    Originally posted by Buckandadime
    Yeah.. A lot of bridge jumpers.. I don't know ( if I had the $) if 5% return on say, $10,000 would be worth the risk.. I mean even when you know, you just don't know!!


    95.3% (at $2.10 to show) is breakeven..assuming you're shooting for a 1-9 or lower
    Comment
    • Buckandadime
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-21-15
      • 8847

      #3222
      Correct but the $ put down by groups or syndicates like that race, the horse could break down, clip heels, lose the rider.. Awful big risk for such a small return.

      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23454

        #3223
        Originally posted by Buckandadime
        Correct but the $ put down by groups or syndicates like that race, the horse could break down, clip heels, lose the rider.. Awful big risk for such a small return.


        no you're right.. you are doing it in a situation where horse will be a favorite that big.. they do finish out on occasion .. combination of being selective on which 1-9 and not having bad luck on those occasions
        Comment
        • Buckandadime
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-21-15
          • 8847

          #3224
          Yeah, I've seen it happen at tracks like CT and DD.. Scary stuff there.. Not to the extreme it was today at SA but over $250,000 to show on the horse which is a lot for those tracks..

          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23454

            #3225
            Originally posted by Buckandadime
            Yeah, I've seen it happen at tracks like CT and DD.. Scary stuff there.. Not to the extreme it was today at SA but over $250,000 to show on the horse which is a lot for those tracks..

            I kid around here sometimes about bridge jumper alert before it actually happens and I'm definitely too loose with my standards..only be big tracks if it were my money and it will never be
            Comment
            • Buckandadime
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-21-15
              • 8847

              #3226
              Agree.. Now if you could start with a few hundred and parlay for 6 months to 1 year that might be OK.. I could see doing that.

              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23454

                #3227
                Originally posted by Buckandadime
                Agree.. Now if you could start with a few hundred and parlay for 6 months to 1 year that might be OK.. I could see doing that.


                that makes more sense if you're going to try. .you double up at 14 with compounding
                Comment
                • Buckandadime
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-21-15
                  • 8847

                  #3228
                  Originally posted by JBEX
                  that makes more sense if you're going to try. .you double up at 14 with compounding
                  If you were to take $200 and roll it over (not the loose change ) for a year, making one choice a week, could have a chance at turning the initial $200 into $2,423 for the year.. Not gonna get rich but its not chump change either.. Hmm.. I might have to think about that one..

                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23454

                    #3229
                    Originally posted by Buckandadime
                    If you were to take $200 and roll it over (not the loose change ) for a year, making one choice a week, could have a chance at turning the initial $200 into $2,423 for the year.. Not gonna get rich but its not chump change either.. Hmm.. I might have to think about that one..


                    I got about 100 more but we're in the ballpark
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23454

                      #3230
                      probably take a peak later on and will put up a p5 for santa anita.. 335k carryover
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23454

                        #3231
                        gulfstream

                        R6 #5 covenant (8-1)
                        R8 #8 night before (20-1)
                        R10 #8 shot jak (8-1)
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23454

                          #3232
                          tam R5 #9 world changer (8-1)

                          2nd post today
                          Comment
                          • JBEX
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-02-12
                            • 23454

                            #3233
                            Originally posted by JBEX
                            tam R5 #9 world changer (8-1)

                            2nd post today
                            yesterday. .sorry
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23454

                              #3234
                              tampa

                              R5 #5 look it linda (6-1)

                              gulfstream

                              R7 #4 smart jersey (12-1)

                              2nd post today
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23454

                                #3235
                                santa anita pick 5

                                3456/28/45/45/16

                                $32/.50

                                chalky and wouldn't do this if there wasn't a big carryover
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23454

                                  #3236
                                  tampa R9 #1 mr darcy (9-2)


                                  4th post today
                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23454

                                    #3237
                                    oaklawn

                                    R9 #1 eleanor gee (10-1)
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23454

                                      #3238
                                      santa anita

                                      R9 #7 born to be a winner (7-2)
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23454

                                        #3239
                                        parx

                                        R5 #4 philly complete (8-1)

                                        can't figure 8-1 ml on this one...8 career starts and the first 6 at woodbine..7th at parx and of course with that name..winner. .sent to laurel next start to compete vs much better and came 3rd in a very fast race and figure improved 8 points..bad connections probaby something to do with it..try to beat cheater zulueta's (or greatest horsemen east of the mississipi ) who's having an off meet with 36% winners from 36 starters


                                        R8 #7 fastener (9-2)

                                        hrose broke maiden vs specials in debut at pimlico last june..broke slow 2nd start parx finished 3rd..goldberg than took her up to saratoga bumped break and did nothing. .that of course much better company and just the fact he took her up there probably hints he liked her..
                                        comes here off solid steady drills from pine meadows and this an easier n1x than saratoga of course..hAve hunch she's ready

                                        #8 horse has 8 career starts and first 6 from the rail. .chance of that factorin field sizes about 200,000-1..7th start 11 post out of 11 horses. .last (8th)start rail again. .unbelievable


                                        R9 #6 war at sunrise (7-2 )
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23454

                                          #3240
                                          gonna look at mahoning..they always have good cards there but at that level for me I'd go half units.small pools of course

                                          2nd post today
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23454

                                            #3241
                                            mahoning valley

                                            R1 #8 coco's cat (1-1)

                                            open clm 6250 in florida to clm 5000n4L a huge dropand I'm guessing something left in the tank to ship to ohio from tampa bay ..trainer 2/5 with shippers but jockey 1/85 with sprinters..ouch !! those florida fall races crush these

                                            R2 #2 dunkirk survivor (10-1)

                                            pace fig edge and spacing perfect..won't be 10-1
                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23454

                                              #3242
                                              R3 #7 makes good sense (5-2)
                                              R4 #2 sweet silver (12-1)

                                              4th post today

                                              will look at rest
                                              Comment
                                              • JBEX
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-02-12
                                                • 23454

                                                #3243
                                                R5 #6 m dee (3-1)
                                                R7 #9 alpha wolf (15-1) #10 spend a penny (10-1)
                                                R8 #6 divine appointment (6-1)

                                                5th post today
                                                Comment
                                                • JBEX
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                  • 23454

                                                  #3244
                                                  Originally posted by JBEX
                                                  mahoning valley

                                                  R1 #8 coco's cat (1-1)

                                                  open clm 6250 in florida to clm 5000n4L a huge dropand I'm guessing something left in the tank to ship to ohio from tampa bay ..trainer 2/5 with shippers but jockey 1/85 with sprinters..ouch !! those florida fall races crush these

                                                  R2 #2 dunkirk survivor (10-1)

                                                  pace fig edge and spacing perfect..won't be 10-1
                                                  about as close to a dead heat for 2nd without actually being one.. geez..
                                                  head separated top 3
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBEX
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 23454

                                                    #3245
                                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                                    parx

                                                    R5 #4 philly complete (8-1)

                                                    can't figure 8-1 ml on this one...8 career starts and the first 6 at woodbine..7th at parx and of course with that name..winner. .sent to laurel next start to compete vs much better and came 3rd in a very fast race and figure improved 8 points..bad connections probaby something to do with it..try to beat cheater zulueta's (or greatest horsemen east of the mississipi ) who's having an off meet with 36% winners from 36 starters


                                                    R8 #7 fastener (9-2)

                                                    hrose broke maiden vs specials in debut at pimlico last june..broke slow 2nd start parx finished 3rd..goldberg than took her up to saratoga bumped break and did nothing. .that of course much better company and just the fact he took her up there probably hints he liked her..
                                                    comes here off solid steady drills from pine meadows and this an easier n1x than saratoga of course..hAve hunch she's ready

                                                    #8 horse has 8 career starts and first 6 from the rail. .chance of that factorin field sizes about 200,000-1..7th start 11 post out of 11 horses. .last (8th)start rail again. .unbelievable


                                                    R9 #6 war at sunrise (7-2 )
                                                    R6 always double check names match race numbers if you can.. I get careless on occasion
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Easy-Rider 66
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-14-12
                                                      • 36109

                                                      #3246
                                                      For Mahoning Valley counted about 4 shows and one place. Close but no cigar. GL today.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JBEX
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                        • 23454

                                                        #3247
                                                        Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                        For Mahoning Valley counted about 4 shows and one place. Close but no cigar. GL today.
                                                        yeah ..lot of horses gave it a go and finished underneath. .some at good odds including the 7th at mahoning at 28-1 (3rd) surrounded 1st -5th by top 4 choices..if you key him in 3rd and 4th in dime supers for $4.80 you get back $179
                                                        ..Realize most aren't around on a monday to do that but perfectly logical strategy..missed 2nd by a head at 10-1 at parx final race ..few other good efforts mixed in there also but not in top two
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23454

                                                          #3248
                                                          gonna stick with mahoning today and not do parx.. might be off track there today so will factor that in
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23454

                                                            #3249
                                                            Originally posted by JBEX
                                                            yeah ..lot of horses gave it a go and finished underneath. .some at good odds including the 7th at mahoning at 28-1 (3rd) surrounded 1st -5th by top 4 choices..if you key him in 3rd and 4th in dime supers for $4.80 you get back $179
                                                            ..Realize most aren't around on a monday to do that but perfectly logical strategy..missed 2nd by a head at 10-1 at parx final race ..few other good efforts mixed in there also but not in top two
                                                            mahoning
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JBEX
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-02-12
                                                              • 23454

                                                              #3250
                                                              rain or shine

                                                              mahoning

                                                              R1#8 brother z (5-2)
                                                              R2 #6 bobby's approval (4-1)
                                                              R3 #2 hillbilly hula (30-1) cover ex #4 (4-5)
                                                              R4 #1 planned storm (5-2)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23454

                                                                #3251
                                                                R5 #6 fableofthefeline (9-2)
                                                                R6 #2 tracey said so (6-1)
                                                                R8 #4 our secret place (4-1)

                                                                clm4000n2y going back 1 year..last 2 wins for this horse 7/23 and 3/5 so just slides into this condition by 2 days..last solid 2nd and winner came back to repeat
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JBEX
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                                  • 23454

                                                                  #3252
                                                                  F**K..venting

                                                                  sam houston

                                                                  R7#5 chi town chief (8-1)

                                                                  2nd career race at remington as a 2yo hit an excellent number with a preceding running line similar to his last race

                                                                  R8 #8 no gut no glory (8-1)

                                                                  off the turf which is probaby what trainer wanted anyway with this horse ..dirt numbers right in the mix

                                                                  R9 #8 behind closed doors (3-1)

                                                                  off a win and followed up last winning race in October with a just missed by a half length closing fast 2nd
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Easy-Rider 66
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 02-14-12
                                                                    • 36109

                                                                    #3253
                                                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                    F**K..venting

                                                                    sam houston

                                                                    R7#5 chi town chief (8-1)

                                                                    2nd career race at remington as a 2yo hit an excellent number with a preceding running line similar to his last race

                                                                    R8 #8 no gut no glory (8-1)

                                                                    off the turf which is probaby what trainer wanted anyway with this horse ..dirt numbers right in the mix

                                                                    R9 #8 behind closed doors (3-1)

                                                                    off a win and followed up last winning race in October with a just missed by a half length closing fast 2nd
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23454

                                                                      #3254
                                                                      Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                                      F**K ..venting = my results
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JBEX
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                                        • 23454

                                                                        #3255
                                                                        oaklawn R5 #2 see the ranger (10-1)
                                                                        Comment
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