merikson's Slapshot Picks

merikson · 12-17-11, 02:35 AM

Originally posted by RabidGoat

I'm guessing if you are at ASU you're going to be surrounded by much much better "sets of scenery" than I will be, stuck in cornhole Nebraska. Tough being transplanted from beautiful Miami to a place where it snows a shit load and theres not even a mountain to board down. Oh well guess that's why I'm so good at drinking now

My wife is from Nebraska. We visit once a year. I always seem to heavily drink while we're there.

RabidGoat · 12-17-11, 12:42 PM

The fact that you visit in-laws and you're in Nebraska.. I'm surprised you even remember the trips

I went to college in Omaha at the University and now I'm in Lincoln working. Worst part about Lincoln is the amount of Husker nut jobs everywhere. There is statistical evidence that domestic abuse calls go up on Saturday's when the Huskers lose... That's the kind of nut job fans there are around here lol

merikson · 12-17-11, 12:58 PM

Lol, they are true fanatics.

Just woke up...

PHI +110

merikson · 12-17-11, 02:10 PM

Originally posted by merikson

Lol, they are true fanatics.

Just woke up...

PHI +110

This was a 2 unit play and what looks like a loss after giving up 4 in the 1st.

RabidGoat · 12-17-11, 03:18 PM

Ouch... Flyers injury woes are catching up and/or the fact that the Bruins had 3pp goals today but, they had only 4 in their previous 7 games... There are a couple possible reasons.

merikson · 12-17-11, 07:23 PM

I know I'm late on the 5pm games, but here are all plays.

PHI +110 2 units
PIT -150 3 units or 6.62 units for chase
VAN -150 2 units or 6 units for chase
CBJ -120 3 units
DET -190 3 units or 5.8 units for chase
STL -110 2 units
MIN -155 1 unit or 1.8 units for chase
SJ -200 3 units

RabidGoat · 12-17-11, 09:45 PM

I'm with you on the SJ play, I laid off hockey most the day. Anything I've won in basketball this week has been negated by lost hockey bets. The SJ seemed like the most likely team to win tonight. I've got them in a 4-team parlay Arkansas LR +4, St. Joe's -3, Dallas -6.5 and SJ ml @ -190. 1 unit to win 11ish units... Everything is covering so far... Looking like it will come down to SJS... Root really hard on them so I don't have to give my Christmas bonus check to my bookie

merikson · 12-17-11, 10:03 PM

Lets hope that parlay hits. That's a nice payout.

RabidGoat · 12-17-11, 10:09 PM

The 2 bball games covered. Up $250 on the day so far

. I took EDM ml @ +160 for 1 unit. So if they do somehow pull out the W I'll at least still make a half unit but, I don't want a halfer I want 11 of them!!! If it hits the next time you're in Nebraska drinks are on me!

RabidGoat · 12-18-11, 12:38 AM

4 Team - Parlay
#3 - Dallas Cowboys -6½ (-125)
#542 - .St. Josephs -3 (-110)
#599 - .Arkansas Little Rock +4 (-110)
#74 - San Jose Sharks ML (-190)
+$226.83

Perfect way to cap off a great day! Made a cool $500. Almost back even from last week's massacre.

merikson · 12-18-11, 02:40 AM

Originally posted by RabidGoat

4 Team - Parlay
#3 - Dallas Cowboys -6½ (-125)
#542 - .St. Josephs -3 (-110)
#599 - .Arkansas Little Rock +4 (-110)
#74 - San Jose Sharks ML (-190)
+$226.83

Perfect way to cap off a great day! Made a cool $500. Almost back even from last week's massacre.

Congrats!!!!!!!! 4 teamers don't hit all that often.

All of today's chases hit and I also went 2-0-1 in college bball. It was a money making evening for all.

I am 10-2-1 in the past 5 days in college bball and 2-2-0 in NBA preseason. All 4 basketball losses came from totals too. I guess I just need to stick to the spreads.

merikson · 12-18-11, 02:42 AM

I lied....I forgot Minny lost. At least the big 3 chases won.

merikson · 12-18-11, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by merikson

12/16

(B) CAL @ FLA - CAL +145 1 unit (3.10 units if you're chasing)
(B) PIT @ OTT - PIT -140 2 units (4.73 units if you're chasing)
(B) TOR @ BUF - TOR +110 1 unit (3.20 units if you're chasing)
(A) DAL @ NJ - NJ -145 2 units
(A) ANA @ CHI - CHI -210 3 units

GL everyone and let's having a winning Friday night!

Straight Up: 2-3, +.60 units
Chase: 2-3, -6.67 units

merikson · 12-18-11, 12:21 PM

Originally posted by merikson

I know I'm late on the 5pm games, but here are all plays.

PHI +110 2 units

PIT -150 3 units or 6.62 units for chase

VAN -150 2 units or 6 units for chase

CBJ -120 3 units

DET -190 3 units or 5.8 units for chase

STL -110 2 units

MIN -155 1 unit or 1.8 units for chase

SJ -200 3 units

Straight Up: 4-4, +1.83 units
Chase: 4-4, +11.01 units

merikson · 12-18-11, 12:46 PM

Straight Up Overall: 153-114 (57.3%), +58.43 units

1 Unit: 27-26 (50.9%), +3.05 units
2 Units: 33-35 (48.6%), -23.52 units
3 Units: 60-33 (64.5%), +47.10 units
4 Units: 32-16 (66.7%), +36.80 units
Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

AVG Line: -158

Completed Chase Overall: 33-0, +100.45 units
(A) 28-24
(B) 5-10
(C) 5-0

Still open:

(C) TOR -5.11 units
(C) LA -10.35 units
(B) EDM -3.20 units
(C) NYI -3.75 units
(C) BUF -4.58 units
(B) COL -1.67 units
(B) CAR -1.33 units
(B) CBJ -3.60 units
(B) NYR -1.65 units
(C) MIN -3.59 units
(B) STL -2.20 units
(C) CAL -4.24 units
(B) WIN -3.30 units

merikson · 12-18-11, 01:17 PM

12/18

(B) CAR @ FLA - CAR +155 1 unit (2.33 units if you're chasing)
(A) CAL @ CHI - CHI -175 3 units
(B) CBJ @ STL - STL -190 2 units (4.20 units if you're chasing)

GL everyone!

merikson · 12-18-11, 09:54 PM

Originally posted by merikson

12/18

(B) CAR @ FLA - CAR +155 1 unit (2.33 units if you're chasing)
(A) CAL @ CHI - CHI -175 3 units
(B) CBJ @ STL - STL -190 2 units (4.20 units if you're chasing)

GL everyone!

Straight Up: 2-1, +4.35 units
Chase: 2-1, +5.7 units

merikson · 12-18-11, 11:07 PM

Straight Up Overall: 155-115 (57.4%), +62.78 units

1 Unit: 27-27 (50.0%), +2.40 units
2 Units: 34-35 (49.3%), -21.52 units
3 Units: 61-33 (64.9%), +50.10 units
4 Units: 32-16 (66.7%), +36.80 units
Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

AVG Line: -158

Completed Chase Overall: 33-0, +77.8 units
Started chase on 12/5
(A) 29-24
(B) 6-10
(C) 5-0

Still open:

(C) BUF -4.58 units
(C) CAL -4.24 units
(C) CAR -2.83 units
(B) CBJ -3.60 units
(B) COL -1.67 units
(B) EDM -3.20 units
(B) FLA -1.67 units
(C) LA -14.25 units
(C) MIN -3.59 units
(C) NYI -3.75 units
(B) NYR -1.65 units
(B) PHI -1.82 units
(C) TOR -5.11 units
(B) WIN -3.30 units

I had a serious formula issue in my spreadsheet on the chase numbers. Here are the up-to-date overall numbers. Sorry, if there was any confusion.

RabidGoat · 12-18-11, 11:20 PM

Aww the numbers were nicer looking prior to correcting the issue.

Tomorrow is an important one I need to make about $200 so I don't have to pay the bookie. Green Bay really broke my heart and bank roll. I've been working on my hockey formula trying to figure what has gone wrong I've gone ice cold on NHL. It seems like your chase plays have been extremely solid. Hopefully my picks come out and match most of yours so I can bet them with some confidence.. If all else fails their is a sale on Windsor Canadian so I'll just drink myself to oblivion.

merikson · 12-19-11, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by RabidGoat

Aww the numbers were nicer looking prior to correcting the issue.

Tomorrow is an important one I need to make about $200 so I don't have to pay the bookie. Green Bay really broke my heart and bank roll. I've been working on my hockey formula trying to figure what has gone wrong I've gone ice cold on NHL. It seems like your chase plays have been extremely solid. Hopefully my picks come out and match most of yours so I can bet them with some confidence.. If all else fails their is a sale on Windsor Canadian so I'll just drink myself to oblivion.

Yeah, tell me about it. The numbers left out were just a couple A and B losses.

Hopefully, we can find some winners tomorrow. Let's make that bookie pay you. On another note, I'm trying to put together a NBA system. So, we'll see how that goes. I'm taking a couple days off drinking after a couple too many Crown loaded Stellas on Friday night.

merikson · 12-19-11, 06:16 PM

12/19

LA @ TOR - TOR -115 1 unit (5.11 units if you're chasing)
MON @ BOS - BOS -210 3 units
ANA @ DAL - DAL -145 3 units
PHI @ COL - PHI -130 1 unit (2.82 units if you're chasing)
DET @ EDM - DET -160 2 units

RabidGoat · 12-19-11, 06:40 PM

Yeaa we match up this time. I had the DET pick at a 3 unit play but I'm going to play TOR larger in stead since I see you are chasing and your chases are solid. I also put in VAN over 2.5 @ -165 earlier today it's a 3 unit one DG posted early about it and I liked it already.

What play on the board do you think is the strongest? I like BOS in regulation too.

merikson · 12-19-11, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by RabidGoat

Yeaa we match up this time. I had the DET pick at a 3 unit play but I'm going to play TOR larger in stead since I see you are chasing and your chases are solid. I also put in VAN over 2.5 @ -165 earlier today it's a 3 unit one DG posted early about it and I liked it already.

What play on the board do you think is the strongest? I like BOS in regulation too.

I probably like BOS the most with DAL a close 2nd. I also like the Blazers under 192.5, ULM +25 and Kansas -13.5.

RabidGoat · 12-19-11, 08:28 PM

Oh getting in on the preseason NBA? I likes

I'm going to put a unit on that because that's a lot of points for two teams in rebuild mode. I'm getting ULM at +27 and I think I'm going to put in a 3-4 team teaser on some of these bballs. The three bball games I liked are Georgia So. +9, La Salle -3 and Cal Riverside +15.5 I didn't bet any except I'll probably put in the Cal Riverside.

I have $300 on SF/PIT u38... top 2 defenses, 1 hurt qb, 1 qb bad under pressure and did I mention the defense? 16-10 is my prediction PIT coming out on top.

UPDATE - here it is.
5 Team - Teaser - Basic
#756 - .Rice +7
#765 - .Cal Riverside +19
#767 - .UL Monroe +31
#784 - .Kansas -9
#31 - Pittsburgh Steelers +9
1 unit to win 5

RabidGoat · 12-19-11, 09:56 PM

aww TOR lost in shootout tough break they were looking good and just let the kings sneak back in.

merikson · 12-19-11, 10:01 PM

Originally posted by RabidGoat

aww TOR lost in shootout tough break they were looking good and just let the kings sneak back in.

Shootouts haven't been good to me the past few days. I seem to be on the otherside of them. I knew a C loss was inevitable, luckily it was on a fairly low amount of units. Your NFL under looks really good with the power outage. I can't see the offenses coming out and doing much after this big break. I also jumped on Lakers -2.5 for shits and giggles.

RabidGoat · 12-19-11, 10:42 PM

The under is looking marvelous right now 32 points would need to be scored in the 2nd half to really hose me seems highly unlikely but, so did 2 power outages in the first half. I wonder what the o/u is on power outages for the 2nd half.

EDIT:

Can't believe Kansas outright lost to Davidson. I didn't watch any of that game but, I'm assuming Kansas took the night off and Davidson showed up with bells on. Also very glad I laid off the first 2 plays of mine in bball both were big duds.

merikson · 12-19-11, 11:56 PM

lol, another shootout loss.....wow. It had to be a chase game too. The Flyers scored a game tying goal with about a minute left in the 3rd, but somehow the Avalanche go 3 for 3 in the shootout to beat the Flyers who went 2 for 3 in the shootout. We easily could have gone 5 for 5 in hockey tonight. There's always tomorrow, right?

I watched most of the Kansas game. Their shot was off basically all night. They were just out-hustled all night. I wish I would have laid off that one.

RabidGoat · 12-20-11, 12:38 AM

Couple tough breaks tonight.. Spirits are high as am I because I'm not paying my bookie squat this week

The POR/UTA unders missed barely too

I saw on SportsCenter the Kansas highlights (or maybe they're lowlights) and I've never seen Bill Self that animated within the first 5 minutes of the game.

merikson · 12-20-11, 12:49 AM

Originally posted by merikson

12/19

LA @ TOR - TOR -115 1 unit (5.11 units if you're chasing)
MON @ BOS - BOS -210 3 units
ANA @ DAL - DAL -145 3 units
PHI @ COL - PHI -130 1 unit (2.82 units if you're chasing)
DET @ EDM - DET -160 2 units

Straight Up: 3-2, +5.55 units
Chase: 3-2, -1.55 units

merikson · 12-20-11, 01:04 AM

Straight Up Overall: 158-117 (57.5%), +68.33 units

1 Unit: 27-29 (48.2%), -.05 units
2 Units: 35-35 (50.0%), -19.52 units
3 Units: 63-33 (65.6%), +56.10 units
4 Units: 32-16 (66.7%), +36.80 units
Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

AVG Line: -160

Completed Chase Overall: 36-1, +74.81 units
Started chase on 12/5
(A) 32-24 (57.1%)
(B) 6-11 (35.3%)
(C) 5-1 (83.3%)

Still open:

(C) BUF -4.58 units
(C) CAL -4.24 units
(C) CAR -2.83 units
(B) CBJ -3.60 units
(B) COL -1.67 units
(B) EDM -3.20 units
(B) FLA -1.67 units
(C) LA -14.25 units
(C) MIN -3.59 units
(C) NYI -3.75 units
(B) NYR -1.65 units
(B) PHI -5.49 units
(B) WIN -3.30 units

merikson · 12-20-11, 06:07 PM

12/20

(A) BUF @ OTT - OTT -125 3 units
(A) CHI @ PIT - CHI -110 1 unit
(B) PHX @ FLA - FLA -120 1 unit (2.67 units if you're chasing)
(B) NYI @ WIN - WIN -160 3 units (6.30 units if you're chasing)

merikson · 12-20-11, 06:27 PM

Here is a link to my new college basketball system plays. I just started posting them today.

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/ncaa-basketball-betting/1462377-meriksons-ncaa-slam-dunk-plays.html#post12859697

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

merikson · 12-20-11, 07:09 PM

Rabid,

Congrats on not giving the ole bookie a dime.

RabidGoat · 12-20-11, 07:11 PM

I'm relieved to see you like WIN too. My two favorite plays today were MIN and WIN I'm going to parlay them too. You made a cbball thread.. So you're saying I should spam that up with all my basketball hoopla? On it!

Curious why you aren't touching the MIN game? Is there something I should know?