Wallco NHL GOLD (+453 units in 6 years)

[Peezy1232]

That was super impressive. Nice Job!

[Jasiek]

Thanks Wallco. That was a profitable night.

[sod77]

Thank you!!!

[hagball52]

WALLCO, You are effing killing it! Thanks man, hit another parlay again with your plays. Hockey has been putting my BR on steroids.

[JonEJet]

You are the man

[cambertos]

that was so dope. cleeean sheet haha

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 180-6 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +47.51 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-2.10 units)

(3/9/14):
#187 Edmonton (+1½) v1 (A) - Loss


v1 Fades
(A) 89-41
(B) 31-9
(C) 4-5
Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u), TOR (-13.89 u)

v2 Plays
(A) 37-20
(B) 10-10
(C) 9-1
Losses: DET (-12.81 u)



Games for (3/10/14):
#187 L.A. Kings @ Calgary (+1½) v1 (B) (9:05 pm EST)
#188 Winnipeg (+1½) @ Colorado v2 (A) (9:05 pm EST)



Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.

[Jasiek]

Good luck.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 182-6 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +49.51 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 0

(3/10/14):
#187 Calgary (+1½) v1 (B) - Win
#188 Winnipeg (+1½) v2 (A) - Win


v1 Fades
(A) 89-41
(B) 32-9
(C) 4-5
Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u), TOR (-13.89 u)

v2 Plays
(A) 38-20
(B) 10-10
(C) 9-1
Losses: DET (-12.81 u)



Games for (3/11/14):
#189 Toronto @ San Jose (M/L) v1 (A) (10:35 pm EST)



Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.

[BCC585]

Good job bud, your system has been on a tear

[Jarman]

Tailing!

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 183-6 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +50.51 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 0

(3/11/14):
#189 San Jose (M/L) v1 (A) - Win


v1 Fades
(A) 90-41
(B) 32-9
(C) 4-5
Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u), TOR (-13.89 u)

v2 Plays
(A) 38-20
(B) 10-10
(C) 9-1
Losses: DET (-12.81 u)



Games for (3/12/14):
#190 Anaheim (M/L) @ Calgary v2 (A) (10:05 pm EST)



Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.

[vitruvian_nhlmlb]

been looking at this forum for a long time and i always seem to go straight to walco's threads lol. keep up the good work

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 183-6 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +50.51 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-1.90 units)

(3/12/14):
#190 Anaheim (M/L) v2 (A) - Loss


v1 Fades
(A) 90-41
(B) 32-9
(C) 4-5
Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u), TOR (-13.89 u)

v2 Plays
(A) 38-21
(B) 10-10
(C) 9-1
Losses: DET (-12.81 u)



Games for (3/13/14):
#190 Resumes v1 (B) on 3/14/14
#191 San Jose @ Columbus (+1½) v1 (A) (7:05 pm EST)
#192 Phoenix (+1½) @ Boston v1 (A) (7:05 pm EST)



Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.

[knugen]

Thx wallco for the moneyrain

[Wallco99]

Thx wallco for the moneyrain

No problem. Just anotrher day at the office.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 185-6 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +52.51 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-1.90 units)

(3/13/14):
#191 Columbus (+1½) v1 (A) - Win
#192 Phoenix (+1½) v1 (A) - Win


v1 Fades
(A) 92-41
(B) 32-9
(C) 4-5
Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u), TOR (-13.89 u)

v2 Plays
(A) 38-21
(B) 10-10
(C) 9-1
Losses: DET (-12.81 u)



Games for (3/14/14):
#190 Anaheim (M/L) @ Colorado v2 (B) (9:05 pm EST)
#193 Calgary (+1½) @ Dallas v1 (A) (8:35 pm EST)



Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.

[Jarman]

Hey Wallco, thanks for sharing your plays! Any on today's card that catch your eye?

[Jasiek]

From what I've seen there will be 3 plays but wait for Wallco's reply.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 187-6 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +54.51 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 0

(3/14/14):
#190 Anaheim (M/L) v2 (B) - Win
#193 Calgary (+1½) v1 (A) - Win


v1 Fades
(A) 93-41
(B) 32-9
(C) 4-5
Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u), TOR (-13.89 u)

v2 Plays
(A) 38-21
(B) 11-10
(C) 9-1
Losses: DET (-12.81 u)



Games for (3/15/14):
#194 Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia (+1½) v1 (A) (1:05 pm EST)
#195 Ottawa @ Montreal (M/L) v2 (A) (7:05 pm EST)
#196 St. Louis (M/L) @ Nashville v1 (A) (8:05 pm EST)



Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.

[Jasiek]

Thanks again Wallco.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 190-6 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +57.51 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 0

(3/15/14):
#194 Philadelphia (+1½) v1 (A) - Win
#195 Montreal (M/L) v2 (A) - Win
#196 St. Louis (M/L) v1 (A) - Win


v1 Fades
(A) 95-41
(B) 32-9
(C) 4-5
Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u), TOR (-13.89 u)

v2 Plays
(A) 39-21
(B) 11-10
(C) 9-1
Losses: DET (-12.81 u)



Games for (3/16/14):
#197 Montreal @ Buffalo (+1½) v2 (A) (7:05 pm EST)



Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.

[okbyme123]

Love'n your system Wallco.
Thank you!

[tonywayne]

Wallco, question about your backtest:

In 2011-12, you list Montreal as having a v2 series loss. Their only 6-game losing streak that season started in game 3, which would have been ignored in your system (since you start at game 4). They lost games 4 (lost as fave), 5 (lost by 2 as dog), & 6 (lost by 2 as dog) of the year, qualifying them as a play. Then they lost the A & B bets, but they won the C game outright (they covered M/L or +1.5 either way).

So, am I missing something or did you inadvertently include game 3 in their qualifying series?

Thanks.

[Wallco99]

Wallco, question about your backtest:

In 2011-12, you list Montreal as having a v2 series loss. Their only 6-game losing streak that season started in game 3, which would have been ignored in your system (since you start at game 4). They lost games 4 (lost as fave), 5 (lost by 2 as dog), & 6 (lost by 2 as dog) of the year, qualifying them as a play. Then they lost the A & B bets, but they won the C game outright (they covered M/L or +1.5 either way).

So, am I missing something or did you inadvertently include game 3 in their qualifying series?

Thanks.

Only First TWO games of the season are ignored for losing streaks. Qualifying games start in game 3, as the rules clearly state in post #2446 and #2447. Winning streaks start counting after 3 games. And 2011-12 wasn't a backtest, that was a LIVE PLAY season.

[tonywayne]

Only First TWO games of the season are ignored for losing streaks. Qualifying games start in game 3, as the rules clearly state in post #2446 and #2447. Winning streaks start counting after 3 games. And 2011-12 wasn't a backtest, that was a LIVE PLAY season.

Okay, I see that difference in the rules (overlooked it, my bad). However - WHY would you make that kind of distinction? Is there something fundamentally different between winning the first 3 or losing the first 2 games of the season? It seems rather arbitrary.

You don't make a distinction anywhere in posts 2446 or 2447 about backtests versus live play (ie which seasons are which). The only thing you say is "Below is a backtest through the 2005-06 season". How is anyone supposed to know?

[Wallco99]

Okay, I see that difference in the rules (overlooked it, my bad). However - WHY would you make that kind of distinction? Is there something fundamentally different between winning the first 3 or losing the first 2 games of the season? It seems rather arbitrary.

You don't make a distinction anywhere in posts 2446 or 2447 about backtests versus live play (ie which seasons are which). The only thing you say is "Below is a backtest through the 2005-06 season". How is anyone supposed to know?

Good point. Next year I can put notations for the live play seasons.

[tonywayne]

Good point. Next year I can put notations for the live play seasons.

Thanks. Aside from that though, I am curious why you view winning 3 versus losing 2 games to start the season as somehow different in terms of "streaks that matter".

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 190-6 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +57.51 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-2.00 units)

(3/16/14):
#197 Buffalo (+1½) v2 (A) - Loss


v1 Fades
(A) 95-41
(B) 32-9
(C) 4-5
Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u), TOR (-13.89 u)

v2 Plays
(A) 39-21
(B) 11-10
(C) 9-1
Losses: DET (-12.81 u)



There are no system plays for (3/17/14):
#197 Resumes v1 (B) on 3/18/14



Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.

[Wallco99]

Thanks. Aside from that though, I am curious why you view winning 3 versus losing 2 games to start the season as somehow different in terms of "streaks that matter".

Because backtest showed best results when playing it that way.

[tonywayne]

Because backtest showed best results when playing it that way.

What about Toronto 2009-10 and Nashville 2007-08? Is there a reason those "starting in game 3" series are not listed as losses in your backtest?

Even without those though, bumping Montreal to a game 4 start yields a C-bet win. Bumping everything else to a game 4 start knocks out 8 A-bet wins (because they are no longer qualifying series). So, you lose 8 units, but you gain back 19.6 units on Montreal. (Plus, both of Toronto & Nashville would have been C-bet wins, so that's 2 more units to the positive.)

[Wallco99]

I don't know. I'll try and check it out in the offseason.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 190-6 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +57.51 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-2.00 units)


v1 Fades
(A) 95-41
(B) 32-9
(C) 4-5
Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u), TOR (-13.89 u)

v2 Plays
(A) 39-21
(B) 11-10
(C) 9-1
Losses: DET (-12.81 u)



Games for (3/18/14):
#197 Buffalo (+1½) @ Calgary v2 (B) (9:05 pm EST)
#198 Florida (+1½) @ San Jose v1 (A) (10:35 pm EST)
#199 Boston @ New Jersey (+1½) v1 (A) (7:05 pm EST)



Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 191-6 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +58.51 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-11.00 units)

(3/18/14):
#197 Buffalo (+1½) v2 (B) - Loss
#198 Florida (+1½) v1 (A) - Win
#199 New Jersey (+1½) v1 (A) - Loss


v1 Fades
(A) 96-42
(B) 32-9
(C) 4-5
Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u), TOR (-13.89 u)

v2 Plays
(A) 39-21
(B) 11-11
(C) 9-1
Losses: DET (-12.81 u)



Games for (3/19/14):
#197 Resumes v2 (C) on 3/20/14
#199 Resumes v1 (B) on 3/21/14
#200 Tampa Bay @ Toronto (M/L) v1 (A) (7:05 pm EST)
#201 St. Louis @ Chicago (M/L) v1 (A) (8:05 pm EST)



Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.

[Jasiek]

It could have been much better but... Buffalo. I have a bad feeling.