ElCapitan's 2011-2012 NHL Thread

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  • ElCapitan
    SBR MVP
    • 08-19-08
    • 2129

    #841
    2/10 Results

    Originally posted by ElCapitan
    V1 Carolina Hurricanes (B) ML +120 (1.67 to win 2) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

    V2 Play - tracking only

    V2 Anaheim Ducks (A) ML +160 (1 to win 1.6) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
    V2 Anaheim Ducks (A) PL -185 (1.85 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*
    Record:
    V1
    ML: 54(A)-31(B)-15(C) (-20.21) SERIES: 41-11 (2 pending)
    V1 PL: 54(A)-21(B)-4(C) (-78.13) SERIES: 49-4 (1 pending)

    V2 ML: 62(A)-35(B)-17(C) (+2.05) SERIES: 51-9 (2 pending)
    V2 PL: 62(A)-18(B)-8(C) (+5.37) SERIES: 60-2
    Comment
    • ElCapitan
      SBR MVP
      • 08-19-08
      • 2129

      #842
      2/11 Plays

      V1 Edmonton Oilers (C) ML +135 (1.83 to win 2.47) (5Dimes)
      V1 Edmonton Oilers (C) PL -225 (15.93 to win 7.08) (5Dimes)

      V1 Colorado Avalanche (A) ML +188 (1 to win 1.88) (5Dimes)
      V1 Colorado Avalanche (A) PL -160 (1.6 to win 1) (5Dimes)


      V2 Play - tracking only

      V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (B) ML +115 (1.74 to win 2) (5Dimes)
      Comment
      • hagball52
        SBR MVP
        • 09-22-10
        • 3053

        #843
        ElCapitan, Has every V1 (C) bet lost so far this season?

        Never mind. I just found the answer a couple of posts up.

        What do you think the chances are of a 5th (C) bet loss in a row? I think I'll bet the farm today. GL all
        Comment
        • ElCapitan
          SBR MVP
          • 08-19-08
          • 2129

          #844
          Oh man. I wouldn't do that. It's been a difficult year. No sense blowing it all on a crappy team like the Oilers.
          Comment
          • hagball52
            SBR MVP
            • 09-22-10
            • 3053

            #845
            Originally posted by ElCapitan
            Oh man. I wouldn't do that. It's been a difficult year. No sense blowing it all on a crappy team like the Oilers.
            Actually I was just kidding. It was testament to all the gamblers out there. However, I will be placing a wager on the game just not the "farm". GL today
            Comment
            • WWSports
              Restricted User
              • 01-29-12
              • 103

              #846
              Originally posted by hagball52
              ElCapitan, Has every V1 (C) bet lost so far this season? Never mind. I just found the answer a couple of posts up. What do you think the chances are of a 5th (C) bet loss in a row? I think I'll bet the farm today. GL all
              Should've done it!!!CHA Ching!!
              Comment
              • oklahoma
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-22-10
                • 602

                #847
                Colorado is a play? Doesnt 1 of the first 3 games have to be OOC?
                vs St.Louis/Vancouver/Edmonton
                Comment
                • hagball52
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-22-10
                  • 3053

                  #848
                  Originally posted by WWSports
                  Should've done it!!!CHA Ching!!
                  I know my limitations. I did place a sizeable wager on it. You always look back and say "I should've put more on it" when it wins. It was one of the more powerful plays of the season. Morrison (C) bets have been very powerful traditionally but lately his world has been turned upside down. But what were the chances of 5 losing (C) bets in a ROW ! Yeah looking back I should've bet the "farm". On to the next challenge.
                  Comment
                  • WWSports
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-29-12
                    • 103

                    #849
                    I have never beat myself up too bad when I didn't bet enough, but I've kicked myself for weeks for betting too much.
                    Comment
                    • hagball52
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-22-10
                      • 3053

                      #850
                      Originally posted by WWSports
                      I have never beat myself up too bad when I didn't bet enough, but I've kicked myself for weeks for betting too much.
                      ditto
                      Comment
                      • ElCapitan
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-19-08
                        • 2129

                        #851
                        Originally posted by oklahoma
                        Colorado is a play? Doesnt 1 of the first 3 games have to be OOC?
                        vs St.Louis/Vancouver/Edmonton
                        Yeah, sorry. This was a V2 play. Had it written down wrong.
                        Comment
                        • ElCapitan
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-19-08
                          • 2129

                          #852
                          2/11 Results (with COL correction)

                          Originally posted by ElCapitan
                          V1 Edmonton Oilers (C) ML +135 (1.83 to win 2.47) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                          V1 Edmonton Oilers (C) PL -225 (15.93 to win 7.08) (5Dimes)*WIN*


                          V2 Play - tracking only

                          V2 Colorado Avalanche (A) ML +188 (1 to win 1.88) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
                          V2 Colorado Avalanche (A) PL -160 (1.6 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

                          V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (B) ML +115 (1.74 to win 2) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                          Record:
                          V1
                          ML: 54(A)-31(B)-16(C) (-17.74) SERIES: 42-11 (1 pending)
                          V1 PL: 54(A)-21(B)-5(C) (-71.05) SERIES: 50-4

                          V2 ML: 63(A)-36(B)-17(C) (+3.05) SERIES: 52-9 (2 pending)
                          V2 PL: 63(A)-18(B)-8(C) (+6.37) SERIES: 61-2
                          Comment
                          • ElCapitan
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-19-08
                            • 2129

                            #853
                            2/12 Plays

                            V1 San Jose Sharks (A) ML -105 (1.05 to win 1) (5Dimes)
                            V1 San Jose Sharks (A) PL -320 (3.2 to win 1) (5Dimes)

                            V2 Play - tracking only

                            V2 Anaheim Ducks (B) ML -149 (2.98 to win 2) (5Dimes)
                            Comment
                            • SlickRick1382
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-15-11
                              • 3838

                              #854
                              Another Question:

                              Do you guys ever go past the 3 game chase? If a team like the Blackhawks loses all (8 in a row now) would you keep going under any circumstances or do you cut your losses?
                              Comment
                              • oklahoma
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-22-10
                                • 602

                                #855
                                Originally posted by SlickRick1382
                                Another Question:

                                Do you guys ever go past the 3 game chase? If a team like the Blackhawks loses all (8 in a row now) would you keep going under any circumstances or do you cut your losses?
                                Rarely. If I felt really good about their next game, first off they themselves would have to be an A+ caliber team, id try to win back half of my losses. I do that now anyway, I keep totals of my series losses and try to win it back gradually with future series. But theres probably a 1% chance id ever play a D bet in a system that doesnt call for it.
                                Comment
                                • ElCapitan
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-19-08
                                  • 2129

                                  #856
                                  2/12 Results

                                  Originally posted by ElCapitan
                                  V1 San Jose Sharks (A) ML -105 (1.05 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
                                  V1 San Jose Sharks (A) PL -320 (3.2 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

                                  V2 Play - tracking only

                                  V2 Anaheim Ducks (B) ML -149 (2.98 to win 2) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                                  Record:
                                  V1
                                  ML: 55(A)-31(B)-16(C) (-18.79) SERIES: 42-11 (2 pending)
                                  V1 PL: 55(A)-21(B)-5(C) (-74.25) SERIES: 50-4 (1 pending)

                                  V2 ML: 63(A)-37(B)-17(C) (+5.05) SERIES: 53-9 (1 pending)
                                  V2 PL: 63(A)-18(B)-8(C) (+6.37) SERIES: 61-2
                                  Comment
                                  • ElCapitan
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-19-08
                                    • 2129

                                    #857
                                    2/13 Plays

                                    V1 Carolina Hurricanes (C) ML +135 (2.72 to win 3.67) (5Dimes)

                                    V1 San Jose Sharks (B) ML -105 (2.15 to win 2.05) (5Dimes)
                                    V1 San Jose Sharks (B) PL (fav, play ML) (4.41 to win 4.2) (5Dimes)
                                    Comment
                                    • jcygts6
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-05-09
                                      • 3316

                                      #858
                                      Cash $$
                                      DO WORK + KROW OD
                                      do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                      od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                      Comment
                                      • tuneman
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-06-10
                                        • 152

                                        #859
                                        Any plays today?
                                        Comment
                                        • WWSports
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-29-12
                                          • 103

                                          #860
                                          I believe Ottawa is a v2 A play and Toronto is a v1 A play. But wait for ElCapitan to confirm, please. He's done a great job so I don't want to step on his thread.
                                          Comment
                                          • ElCapitan
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-19-08
                                            • 2129

                                            #861
                                            Did not have time to post yesterday as I was traveling but WWSports is correct. I'm updating the thread now.
                                            Comment
                                            • WWSports
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 01-29-12
                                              • 103

                                              #862
                                              Glad your journey was safe.
                                              Comment
                                              • ElCapitan
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-19-08
                                                • 2129

                                                #863
                                                2/13 Results

                                                Originally posted by ElCapitan
                                                V1 Carolina Hurricanes (C) ML +135 (2.72 to win 3.67) (5Dimes) *WIN*

                                                V1 San Jose Sharks (B) ML -105 (2.15 to win 2.05) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                                                V1 San Jose Sharks (B) PL (fav, play ML) (4.41 to win 4.2) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                                                Record:
                                                V1
                                                ML: 55(A)-32(B)-17(C) (-13.07) SERIES: 44-11
                                                V1 PL: 55(A)-22(B)-5(C) (-70.05) SERIES: 51-4

                                                V2 ML: 63(A)-37(B)-17(C) (+5.05) SERIES: 53-9 (1 pending)
                                                V2 PL: 63(A)-18(B)-8(C) (+6.37) SERIES: 61-2
                                                Comment
                                                • ElCapitan
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-19-08
                                                  • 2129

                                                  #864
                                                  2/14 Plays (after the fact)

                                                  Originally posted by ElCapitan
                                                  V1 Toronto Maple Leafs (A) ML +107 (1 to win 1.07) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
                                                  V1 Toronto Maple Leafs (A) PL -275 (2.75 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*


                                                  V2 Play - tracking only

                                                  V2 Ottawa Senators (A) ML +105 (1 to win 1.05) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                                                  V2 Ottawa Senators (A) PL -270 (2.7 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*


                                                  Record:
                                                  V1
                                                  ML: 56(A)-32(B)-17(C) (-14.07) SERIES: 44-11 (1 pending)
                                                  V1 PL: 56(A)-22(B)-5(C) (-72.80) SERIES: 51-4 (1 pending)

                                                  V2 ML: 64(A)-37(B)-17(C) (+5.05) SERIES: 54-9 (1 pending)
                                                  V2 PL: 64(A)-18(B)-8(C) (+6.37) SERIES: 62-2
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ElCapitan
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-19-08
                                                    • 2129

                                                    #865
                                                    2/15 Plays

                                                    V1 Boston Bruins (A) ML -120 (1.2 to win 1) (5Dimes)
                                                    V1 Boston Bruins (A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.2 to win 1) (5Dimes)

                                                    V1 Toronto Maple Leafs (B) ML +102 (1.96 to win 2) (5Dimes)
                                                    V1 Toronto Maple Leafs (B) PL -280 (10.5 to win 3.75) (5Dimes)


                                                    V2 Play - tracking only

                                                    V2 Colorado Avalanche (B) ML +188 (1.06 to win 2) (5Dimes)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cubfan2121
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 02-24-08
                                                      • 188

                                                      #866
                                                      Originally posted by ElCapitan

                                                      Record:
                                                      V1 ML: 56(A)-32(B)-17(C) (-14.07) SERIES: 44-11 (1 pending)
                                                      V1 PL: 56(A)-22(B)-5(C) (-72.80) SERIES: 51-4 (1 pending)

                                                      V2 ML: 64(A)-37(B)-17(C) (+5.05) SERIES: 54-9 (1 pending)
                                                      V2 PL: 64(A)-18(B)-8(C) (+6.37) SERIES: 62-2

                                                      In theory what would happen if you bet the opposite team puck line at -1.5
                                                      the odds are always on + side

                                                      would you be able to chase that like you would the ml with the dogs?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • WWSports
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 01-29-12
                                                        • 103

                                                        #867
                                                        These are the teams that won 3 or more road games in a row (ML if a fav. and PL if a dog) and the starting dates of the series just up through the N's in the Eastern Conference. THERE ARE MANY MORE!!!!

                                                        So ALL these would be loses for you if you bet the home team ML (if they were the dog) or -1 1/2 PL if they were the favorite.

                                                        Team series start date

                                                        boston 11/19
                                                        buffalo 10/15
                                                        carolina 10/14
                                                        florida 10/24
                                                        new jersey 11/12
                                                        n.y. Islanders 11/26
                                                        ny rangers 11/15

                                                        and there are more
                                                        thats just though the n's in eastern conference
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MrMannix
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 11-15-08
                                                          • 172

                                                          #868
                                                          What's the word-v.2 Washington (A) ml & pl and v.2 Colorado (C) ml?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Simba
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 08-30-09
                                                            • 40

                                                            #869
                                                            I comfirm Colorado ML C bet today coz i lost B bet on them last time!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Simba
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 08-30-09
                                                              • 40

                                                              #870
                                                              Cap seems to be very busy..but sure he will update the accurate records soon. Thanks to MR Cap for all your hard working.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • WWSports
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 01-29-12
                                                                • 103

                                                                #871
                                                                Originally posted by MrMannix
                                                                What's the word-v.2 Washington (A) ml & pl and v.2 Colorado (C) ml?
                                                                That's correct.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MrMannix
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 11-15-08
                                                                  • 172

                                                                  #872
                                                                  Sorry- Washington is a no play
                                                                  Was no play for me. Got side tracked and late getting it in.
                                                                  Didn't mean to clutter the thread.
                                                                  I'm on the COL(C)ml though!
                                                                  GLTA
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • WWSports
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-29-12
                                                                    • 103

                                                                    #873
                                                                    [quote=MrMannix;13788065]Sorry- Washington is a no play.

                                                                    How do you figure?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ElCapitan
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-19-08
                                                                      • 2129

                                                                      #874
                                                                      No access for last couple days. I'll do official updates when I can. Maybe tomorrow.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ElCapitan
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-19-08
                                                                        • 2129

                                                                        #875
                                                                        2/15 Results

                                                                        Originally posted by ElCapitan
                                                                        V1 Boston Bruins (A) ML -120 (1.2 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                                                                        V1 Boston Bruins (A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.2 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

                                                                        V1 Toronto Maple Leafs (B) ML +102 (1.96 to win 2) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                                                                        V1 Toronto Maple Leafs (B) PL -280 (10.5 to win 3.75) (5Dimes) *WIN*


                                                                        V2 Play - tracking only

                                                                        V2 Colorado Avalanche (B) ML +188 (1.06 to win 2) (5Dimes) *LOSS*


                                                                        Record:
                                                                        V1
                                                                        ML: 57(A)-33(B)-17(C) (-11.07) SERIES: 46-11
                                                                        V1 PL: 57(A)-23(B)-5(C) (-68.05) SERIES: 53-4

                                                                        V2 ML: 64(A)-38(B)-17(C) (+5.04) SERIES: 54-9 (1 pending)
                                                                        V2 PL: 64(A)-18(B)-8(C) (+7.37) SERIES: 62-2
                                                                        Comment
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