DG's 2011-2012 NHL Picks

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  • jayson311
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-18-10
    • 900

    #8016
    1St period o + 175
    1st period 2 goal +275
    o 4.5 -120

    par kings + Texas Rangers + 230
    Comment
    • PuckIt
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-11-12
      • 9416

      #8017
      Originally posted by jayson311
      1St period o + 175
      1st period 2 goal +275
      o 4.5 -120

      par kings + Texas Rangers + 230
      tomato soup
      Comment
      • jayson311
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 08-18-10
        • 900

        #8018
        Mmm mmm Good
        Comment
        • zizoudane10
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-27-12
          • 7272

          #8019
          Come on Kings, give us another one, and I forgive you for crushing the Nucks
          Comment
          • DennisGreen
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-27-08
            • 18369

            #8020
            3-2 final
            Comment
            • zizoudane10
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-27-12
              • 7272

              #8021
              Originally posted by DennisGreen
              3-2 final
              Lock of the century here
              Comment
              • zizoudane10
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-27-12
                • 7272

                #8022
                Kings will again NOT score on the PP here
                Comment
                • zizoudane10
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-27-12
                  • 7272

                  #8023
                  Damnit Smith, stop with these crazy saves
                  Comment
                  • DennisGreen
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-27-08
                    • 18369

                    #8024
                    Weeeeeee +183 and +156 ftw
                    Comment
                    • zizoudane10
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-27-12
                      • 7272

                      #8025
                      3:0 for the night Let it rain down on me please
                      I fcking love the Kings right now
                      Well done guys, great night, congrats
                      Comment
                      • RabidGoat
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-29-11
                        • 232

                        #8026
                        Finally we have a nice profitable evening! o1.5 in 1st o4.5 for game and kings ml all hit for me then icing on the cake is the fact that I had kings and over 5.5 parlayed on 5dimes 5.5 was like +225, so made about $500 this evening. Now it's time to roll a nice fat J to celebrate hmmm Sour Diesel or Purple Kush... such tough decisions
                        Comment
                        • DennisGreen
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-27-08
                          • 18369

                          #8027
                          Originally posted by RabidGoat
                          Finally we have a nice profitable evening! o1.5 in 1st o4.5 for game and kings ml all hit for me then icing on the cake is the fact that I had kings and over 5.5 parlayed on 5dimes 5.5 was like +225, so made about $500 this evening. Now it's time to roll a nice fat J to celebrate hmmm Sour Diesel or Purple Kush... such tough decisions
                          Purple kush FTW
                          Comment
                          • DennisGreen
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-27-08
                            • 18369

                            #8028
                            Originally posted by zizoudane10
                            3:0 for the night Let it rain down on me please
                            I fcking love the Kings right now
                            Well done guys, great night, congrats
                            Kings are just steam rolling everyone 9-1 overall in the playoffs. Unreal. Well at least I have a cup future on them and I can say my Nucks lost to the champs if they go all the way
                            Comment
                            • aznbluff
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 07-24-08
                              • 892

                              #8029
                              Couple plays for the Worlds tomorrow that I like are

                              Belarus -1.5 at +money. I got it at +112, it should close as a favorite. France getting a little too much respect here after a win over a good Swiss side. Make no mistake, France is the weakest side in this tournament. Belarus getting a couple NHL talents for this game also, and a game against a weak side like France is good for working chemistry and integrating into a system because there will be lots of time and space.

                              Also like Italy tomorrow against Russia if the line eventually gets to +5 and around even money. Hopefully it gets there by the time I wake up since everyone is going to be pounding Russia this game.
                              Comment
                              • PuckIt
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-11-12
                                • 9416

                                #8030
                                I'll bite on Belarus -1.5...got it at +120 at 5d
                                Comment
                                • swordsandtequila
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-23-12
                                  • 9757

                                  #8031
                                  +125 now.
                                  Comment
                                  • DennisGreen
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-27-08
                                    • 18369

                                    #8032
                                    Monday IIHF Play

                                    ITA/RUS Over 2 (1st) (-123)
                                    Comment
                                    • PuckIt
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-11-12
                                      • 9416

                                      #8033
                                      Well that Belarus play sure didn't work out huh. France pulls the mighty ducks win!
                                      Comment
                                      • PuckIt
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-11-12
                                        • 9416

                                        #8034
                                        Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                        Monday IIHF Play

                                        ITA/RUS Over 2 (1st) (-123)

                                        I like it. I'm on the O6.5 as well as the Under in the Kaz game.
                                        Comment
                                        • DennisGreen
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-27-08
                                          • 18369

                                          #8035
                                          Let's go you dirty sputniks! One more at least for the push.
                                          Comment
                                          • skyscrapers
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-02-11
                                            • 6168

                                            #8036
                                            Now I'm just preying for 1 more for the push for fuk's sake. Hockey in general has not been kind to us this season. Many games in this tounament especially the so-called 'offensive' teams tend to start slow and then have a barrage of goals in the 2nd. Maybe play the 2nd period over if any books have them.
                                            Comment
                                            • DennisGreen
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-27-08
                                              • 18369

                                              #8037
                                              Pathetic! It's almost better to bet two good teams for 1st over as opposed to a good team (trying to score) and a shit team. (not trying to score).
                                              Comment
                                              • PuckIt
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-11-12
                                                • 9416

                                                #8038
                                                Originally posted by zizoudane10
                                                Yeah, we won't see a 4.5 again in this series I guess... But this one was fcking great
                                                Line is up at 5dimes, O4.5 -125. Yes please!
                                                Comment
                                                • PuckIt
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-11-12
                                                  • 9416

                                                  #8039
                                                  Analysis for tonight's NJD @ NYR game considering playoff data only:

                                                  Generally:

                                                  NYR:
                                                  1st: 7 goals
                                                  2nd: 11 goals
                                                  3rd: 9 goals

                                                  NJD:
                                                  1st: 15 goals
                                                  2nd: 5 goals
                                                  3rd: 13 goals

                                                  Game 1's:

                                                  NYR:
                                                  Series 1: 1 / 2 / 1 = 4 goals total
                                                  Series 2: 0 / 1 / 2 = 3 goals total

                                                  NJD:
                                                  Series 1: 3 / 0 / 0 = 3 goals total
                                                  Series 2: 1 / 1 / 1 = 3 goals total


                                                  Possible Plays:
                                                  - NJD Team Total [1st] OVER 0.5 (estimated line -130)
                                                  - NJD Team Total [3rd] OVER 0.5 (estimated line -160)
                                                  - NYR Team Total [2nd] OVER 0.5 (estimated line -170)***(see comments)
                                                  - NYR Team Total [game] OVER 2.5 +125
                                                  - NJD/NYR O1.5 [1st] +165
                                                  - NJD/NYR O1.5 [3rd] -105
                                                  - NJD/NYR O5 [game] +140

                                                  ***not sure about this one, NYR have 0 goals 8 of 14 games this playoff season. The high total came from three games where they put 2 goals in the second and one with 3 goals. But if making live bets consider this, 75% of the time that NYR put in at least 2 goals in the second happened after scoring 0 goals in the first.

                                                  Haven't decided what i'll go with yet, but I like all of these.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dmoneytx
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-09-12
                                                    • 6450

                                                    #8040
                                                    DG AND Puck it, I want to say thanks!!! I tailed y'alls plays last might & won over 4 units!! And I never bet hockey. When I saw both y'all were loving the same plays, I jumped on them immed! What a great night!!!! Great calls!! I do tennis handicapping here & I usually look for help on the other sports & tail the good cappers in here. I just had to take a min & say THANK YOU!!! I appreciate all the hard work y'all do to help others out. BOL tonight
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PuckIt
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-11-12
                                                      • 9416

                                                      #8041
                                                      Glad we could help dmoney! I will likely have very similar plays for game 2 tomorrow Not sure about DG though, im sure he will provide his wisdom shortly...

                                                      Just because youre not a regular to DG's thread, dont ever bet on something that is stated mid-game unless its clearly stated as an actual bet. Lots of reverse jinxing going on here

                                                      Let's get em tonight!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • zizoudane10
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-27-12
                                                        • 7272

                                                        #8042
                                                        Ok guys (DG, azn, Puckit) , I need your help with this one: I really want to throw a couple of units on the over 5 tonight. Can't really understand, why everyone is execting this game to be under 4.5. Reasons: a) I expect high effort tonight from the Devils, giving Lundquist much more to do, than against the Caps. b) If Devils score 2 minimum (which I really expect them to be capable of), the Rangers will have to open up, and we know well, that they can score, too (Richards etc.) c) Caps were only looking for Ovechkin, if he wasn't able to show his best, they were looking poorly on the offense. I think Devils have a much deeper team, plus they will be able to hold the puck in their lines a longer time, to really create chances, not looking for a simple flash of genius from a single player.
                                                        What do you guys think? I think it is possible to get a push at least, @+146 for the over 5.
                                                        Help me out here
                                                        Comment
                                                        • odog11
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-14-11
                                                          • 3874

                                                          #8043
                                                          Originally posted by zizoudane10
                                                          Ok guys (DG, azn, Puckit) , I need your help with this one: I really want to throw a couple of units on the over 5 tonight. Can't really understand, why everyone is execting this game to be under 4.5. Reasons: a) I expect high effort tonight from the Devils, giving Lundquist much more to do, than against the Caps. b) If Devils score 2 minimum (which I really expect them to be capable of), the Rangers will have to open up, and we know well, that they can score, too (Richards etc.) c) Caps were only looking for Ovechkin, if he wasn't able to show his best, they were looking poorly on the offense. I think Devils have a much deeper team, plus they will be able to hold the puck in their lines a longer time, to really create chances, not looking for a simple flash of genius from a single player.
                                                          What do you guys think? I think it is possible to get a push at least, @+146 for the over 5.
                                                          Help me out here
                                                          No reason to get greedy, quite likely to end on the 5 IMO, over 4.5 the play.

                                                          Edit: Now that I just thought it through a little more going to actually play over 4 at -170. Good luck everyone. It's the wimpy play, but safe as milk.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • zizoudane10
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-27-12
                                                            • 7272

                                                            #8044
                                                            Originally posted by odog11
                                                            No reason to get greedy, quite likely to end on the 5 IMO, over 4.5 the play.

                                                            Edit: Now that I just thought it through a little more going to actually play over 4 at -170. Good luck everyone. It's the wimpy play, but safe as milk.
                                                            I do see your point here, but over 4 @-177 now, not going to play this. Over 4.5 @-137 is not that bad, but if it hits, I would have at least a push on the over 5, too. Over 5 @+146, which seems to be a great difference here.
                                                            Thx for the input man, it's appreciated!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • PuckIt
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-11-12
                                                              • 9416

                                                              #8045
                                                              Im putting 3u on O4.5 -125 and 1.5u on O5 +143. Dont wanna get greedy but this way i can get my cake and eat it too.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • PuckIt
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-11-12
                                                                • 9416

                                                                #8046
                                                                Devils 1st OVER 0.5 line is up at -105! All over it.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • swordsandtequila
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-23-12
                                                                  • 9757

                                                                  #8047
                                                                  Think I'm with you on Jersey 1st over; averaging 1.25 per in the playoffs. Let's make some jack!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • zizoudane10
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-27-12
                                                                    • 7272

                                                                    #8048
                                                                    Goddamnit, I can't pull the trigger here to put big money on this game.
                                                                    Decided just to play the over 5 with a small 100€ @+148
                                                                    +
                                                                    the over 1.5 1st with 50€ @+169

                                                                    Maybe I split, would be nice. Maybe I win both, would be great. Maybe I lose both, would be no problem cause it's that small. (And yeah, most likely I'm losing at least the over1.5)
                                                                    So I guess I can sit back with some nice cold beer and some cigarettes and just enjoy watching this game.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DennisGreen
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-27-08
                                                                      • 18369

                                                                      #8049
                                                                      Monday Plays

                                                                      NJ/NYR Over 4.5 (-138)

                                                                      NJ/NYR Over 1.5 (1st) (+169)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DennisGreen
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-27-08
                                                                        • 18369

                                                                        #8050
                                                                        Originally posted by Dmoneytx
                                                                        DG AND Puck it, I want to say thanks!!! I tailed y'alls plays last might & won over 4 units!! And I never bet hockey. When I saw both y'all were loving the same plays, I jumped on them immed! What a great night!!!! Great calls!! I do tennis handicapping here & I usually look for help on the other sports & tail the good cappers in here. I just had to take a min & say THANK YOU!!! I appreciate all the hard work y'all do to help others out. BOL tonight
                                                                        Comment
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