DG's 2011-2012 NHL Picks

Redman3693 · 05-13-12, 03:18 AM

Originally posted by aznbluff

Defensive structure is starting to fall into place for the power nations now a week into the tournament. We saw it with shutouts for both Canada and Sweden where earlier they were having breakdown after breakdown even against weak opponents.

These were clean shutouts too, no real quality chances in either game. Canada's only dangerous chances against were direct results of Dubnyk's poor play/rebound control.

I'm not a fan of USAs blueline but I think we can start to expect some lower goals against totals for the stronger teams in the tournament now.

Excellent observation. This was very apparent in the SWE / ITA game. It's gotta be painful to go from leading 3-1 to end up losing 7-3...

Couple of suspensions for Team Russia''s 'D Core':
Name Pos GP G A PTS PIM +/ - SOG M/G
KALININ Dmitri D 5 1 3 4 25 +6 10 18:03
YEMELIN Alexei D 5 1 1 2 4 +5 8 19:23

This leaves them w/ 6 D left. May get interesting between RUS / CZE...

Redman3693 · 05-13-12, 03:49 AM

Redman's Atats

Overall, I'm 16 / 28. FRA upset & SWE only scoring 4 on ITA were painful... I'm n the black, but I could have been more in the black... Too many pix & greed...

Here's to a better day

USA	vs	FIN	9:15 AM	FIN	1st Period Match Odds
				FIN	Regular Time Match Odds
				FIN	MoneyLine Win
					Under 6.5 Goals
CZE	vs	RUS	10:15 AM	RUS	Regular Time Match Odds
				RUS	Over 5.5 Goals
					Over 6.5 Goals

SVK	vs	SUI	1:15 PM		Under 1.5 1st Period Goals
					Under 5.5 Goals
					Under 6.5 Goals
				SUI	MoneyLine Win
NOR	vs	GER	2:15 PM	NOR	1st Period Match Odds
				NOR	MoneyLine Win
					Under 5.5 Goals
					Under 6.5 Goals

DennisGreen · 05-13-12, 09:00 AM

Sunday

RUS/CZE Over 1.5 (1st) (+113)

darktray · 05-13-12, 11:59 AM

This tourney has made a comeback on me lol. Lost my last 3 bets on first periods

DennisGreen · 05-13-12, 02:40 PM

Yeah same here

Gonna have to wait for the semis for some more good 1sts when all the elite teams meet up. RUS/ITA tomorrow but those fcuks will probably post another 2.5

Unreal bs in the Russia game today they score 24 seconds in and then not another goal until the 3rd

9-0 Norway over Germany right now too

WTF.

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 02:48 PM

Hey DG - wutcha thinking tonight?

I am on:

- Kings O1.5 [1st] +175
- Kings TT OVER 0.5 [1st] -125
- Kings -1 +180
- Kings O4.5 -110

Lots of GREAT value tonight IMO

zizoudane10 · 05-13-12, 03:04 PM

Norway - Germany 11:2 right now

What a shame for my country, but at least they brought me lots of ca$h

snakie · 05-13-12, 03:18 PM

So... Who had GER/NOR over 14,5?? Anyone?

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by PuckIt

Hey DG - wutcha thinking tonight?

I am on:

- Kings O1.5 [1st] +175
- Kings TT OVER 0.5 [1st] -125
- Kings -1 +180
- Kings O4.5 -110

Lots of GREAT value tonight IMO

Adding Kings TT OVER 0.5 [3rd] -150

DennisGreen · 05-13-12, 06:42 PM

Sunday Plays

LA/PHO Over 5 (+156)

LA/PHO Over 1.5 (1st) (+182)

-Will be happy to hit one of two

Hoping for a quick start and some bad blood

zizoudane10 · 05-13-12, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by DennisGreen

Sunday Plays

LA/PHO Over 5 (+156)

LA/PHO Over 1.5 (1st) (+182)

-Will be happy to hit one of two

Hoping for a quick start and some bad blood

On these both and a little bigger on the over 4.5. Let's get this!

swordsandtequila · 05-13-12, 07:01 PM

LA/PHO Over 5 +160
PHO Over 2½ +140

Quick gotta have 1 loose game, might as well be tonite! Good luck everyone.

zizoudane10 · 05-13-12, 07:33 PM

1:0 is a

in the 1st now!

zizoudane10 · 05-13-12, 07:34 PM

Originally posted by zizoudane10

1:0 is a

in the 1st now!

This was the best jinx I ever did. 20 seconds later theres the goal!

swordsandtequila · 05-13-12, 07:36 PM

Keep 'em coming!

DennisGreen · 05-13-12, 07:51 PM

Good start

zizoudane10 · 05-13-12, 08:08 PM

It definitely was

Now give us some more please

DennisGreen · 05-13-12, 08:19 PM

2-1 final

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 08:21 PM

Yeah Kings!

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 08:22 PM

Come on Phoenix - let's crush that O4.5!

zizoudane10 · 05-13-12, 08:25 PM

BS this penalty!! What an idiot call by the refs!

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 08:37 PM

Just in case someone wants to get a 3rd period play in, for the 2012 playoffs, the Kings have scored at least 1 goal in the 3rd if they have scored one or more times in each of the first two periods, 4 out of 5 times.

zizoudane10 · 05-13-12, 08:44 PM

Ca$h the big over 4.5 YEAH

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 08:45 PM

Yeaaaah 4.5 total WHAT

zizoudane10 · 05-13-12, 08:45 PM

Now, give us 2 more, so we will all be fcking happy in this thread!!

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 08:45 PM

Man, I knew I should have gone big on this total. I think this will probably be the last we see a 4.5 total without ridiculous juice. Ugh.

nrok2118 · 05-13-12, 08:47 PM

too easy!!

So ive been pushing this idea, but havent asked for feedback...My strategy in this series is playing, i mean winning, this over in game one, over in game 2, than play unders the rest of the way?

PHX/NASH O,O,U,U,U
PHX/CHI P,O,U,U,U,U (though games 3 and 4 were 3-2 finals with an U5.5)

KINGS/STL U,O,O,U
KINGS/VAN O,O,U,U,U

Game 3 kings/stl is the only non conforming

eh?

zizoudane10 · 05-13-12, 08:48 PM

Yeah, we won't see a 4.5 again in this series I guess... But this one was fcking great

DennisGreen · 05-13-12, 08:51 PM

Always good to be freerolling after 40 mins

Now 2 more in the 3rd for a nice night.

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by nrok2118

too easy!!

So ive been pushing this idea, but havent asked for feedback...My strategy in this series is playing, i mean winning, this over in game one...lay off game 2 (maybe another over), than play unders the rest of the way?

Series 1:
Kings Totals:
Game 1: 4 goals
Game 2: 4 goals
Game 3: 1 goal
Game 4: 1 goal
Game 5: 1 goal

Series 2:
Kings Totals:
Game 1: 3 goals
Game 2: 5 goals
Game 3: 4 goals
Game 4: 3 goals

I don't have stats for the 'yotes, but the Kings have been pretty steady. I think game 2 will be a good game to hit the over as well. May also leave us enough room before the books kill the line. I agree with the Unders definitely for games 4 and beyond. Probably lay off game 3.

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 08:57 PM

Kings will not score a goal in the 3rd. No freakin' chance. Betting my 11th house on it this time.

it up!

nrok2118 · 05-13-12, 08:58 PM

Originally posted by PuckIt

Series 1:
Kings Totals:
Game 1: 4 goals
Game 2: 4 goals
Game 3: 1 goal
Game 4: 1 goal
Game 5: 1 goal

Series 2:
Kings Totals:
Game 1: 3 goals
Game 2: 5 goals
Game 3: 4 goals
Game 4: 3 goals

I don't have stats for the 'yotes, but the Kings have been pretty steady. I think game 2 will be a good game to hit the over as well. May also leave us enough room before the books kill the line. I agree with the Unders definitely for games 4 and beyond. Probably lay off game 3.

I edited my post with my reasoning to back up my strategy^^^^

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 08:59 PM

Originally posted by nrok2118

I edited my post with my reasoning to back up my strategy^^^^

Well then it looks like we agree

, even without reading each other's supporting info...gotta be good!

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 09:10 PM

Fukk ya kings!

PuckIt · 05-13-12, 09:11 PM

Originally posted by PuckIt

Hey DG - wutcha thinking tonight?

I am on:

- Kings O1.5 [1st] +175
- Kings TT OVER 0.5 [1st] -125
- Kings -1 +180
- Kings O4.5 -110

Lots of GREAT value tonight IMO

Originally posted by PuckIt

Adding Kings TT OVER 0.5 [3rd] -150

4 of 5 winners so far! Kings snag an empty netter and the -1 wins too!