DG's Playoff Picks

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  • DennisGreen
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-27-08
    • 18369

    #246
    Originally posted by azimm11
    DG, you have an opinion on the over between the Preds and Ducks? I like the OVER 5, but it's juicy. Appreciate your input
    The way the series has gone you'd be ballsy to take an under, so the over looks good. I still don't get how Nashville is giving up so many goals, they were one of the stingiest teams in the league during the Reg. I myself am not playing the over 5 because the price is just way too chalky for me. Im more than likely gonna play the first period over. They've been scoring lots early and it's a good price (+113) GL if you play the over.
    Comment
    • supr_villn
      Restricted User
      • 02-16-11
      • 990

      #247
      over has no chance in hell
      Comment
      • twelvejewelz
        SBR MVP
        • 01-29-11
        • 2388

        #248
        Originally posted by DennisGreen
        The way the series has gone you'd be ballsy to take an under, so the over looks good. I still don't get how Nashville is giving up so many goals, they were one of the stingiest teams in the league during the Reg. I myself am not playing the over 5 because the price is just way too chalky for me. Im more than likely gonna play the first period over. They've been scoring lots early and it's a good price (+113) GL if you play the over.
        If you look at all of the games preds/ducks played even in the regualr season this year every game went over besides 1. I really like this over tonight but your right that -150 is making me second guess it. The books know that the -150 will make people not even play it im sure and itll probably go way over lol .At worst itll push i think but well see. I wanted to put 2k on it but it really is alot of juice but these games have been going over ridiculously. The series is tied right now and i can see both teams giving it all they got trying to get goals. I think the game will be 4-3 or even 5-4 but like i said that juice sucks!
        Comment
        • DennisGreen
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-27-08
          • 18369

          #249
          Originally posted by twelvejewelz
          If you look at all of the games preds/ducks played even in the regualr season this year every game went over besides 1. I really like this over tonight but your right that -150 is making me second guess it. The books know that the -150 will make people not even play it im sure and itll probably go way over lol .At worst itll push i think but well see. I wanted to put 2k on it but it really is alot
          of juice but these games have been going over ridiculously. The series is tied right now and i can see both teams giving it all they got trying to get goals. I think the game will be 4-3 or even 5-4
          but like i said that juice sucks!
          Yup exactly. I expect an under or at least a push at some point though I mean Nashville has to realize the best way to beat the Ducks isn't run and gun hockey it's a slow, methodical grind type of hockey that is required.
          Comment
          • UpsetSpecial09
            SBR MVP
            • 05-01-10
            • 1438

            #250
            DG you taking the 1st period over in the Nash/Ana game or still deciding?
            Comment
            • cdgoalie35
              SBR Rookie
              • 04-19-11
              • 10

              #251
              I like the over here despite the juice. Even if the Preds sharpen up and start playing disciplined defense and Rinne play well I don't see the Preds letting in under 2 goals vs such a high powered offense. Getzlaf/Perry/Ryan/Blake/Koivu/ and their D like to jump up too. Plus I don't really trust Ray Emery in net for the Ducks and they can get burned on a lot of odd man rushes since they like to rush up ice and get deep in the offensive zone. So I'm hoping for a 4-2, 4-3 type of game.
              Comment
              • D3 Mighty Ducks
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-17-09
                • 11939

                #252
                Really like the Ducks tonight. Unless Rinne stands on his head and starts to post his Venza award winning numbers like he had in the Regular season, than the Ducks are going to continue to light him up. Over 5 look good. Over 1.5 first period at plus money looks even better. But its Ducks ML for me tonight.

                BOL DG.
                Comment
                • DennisGreen
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-27-08
                  • 18369

                  #253
                  Friday Play

                  NAS/ANA Over 1.5 (1st) (+113)
                  Comment
                  • Marc2010
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 02-21-10
                    • 134

                    #254
                    Originally posted by DennisGreen
                    Friday Play NAS/ANA Over 1.5 (1st) (+113)
                    Good luck on the play DG!!!
                    Comment
                    • DennisGreen
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-27-08
                      • 18369

                      #255
                      0-1 -$100 on the night.

                      Overall Playoff Record
                      18-12-1 +$1430 (60.00%)

                      4 games on slate for tomorrow, I will be busier tomorrow. See you all bright and early tomorrow for the early games.
                      Comment
                      • DennisGreen
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-27-08
                        • 18369

                        #256
                        I lied I'm making a live bet for the OT. Like the Preds to compete the upset.

                        NAS (+130)
                        Comment
                        • twelvejewelz
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-29-11
                          • 2388

                          #257
                          ana/nash series is an Over Machineeeeee!! i woulda had a bad night and thought it was a loss for the entire game , instead had a huge night! good luck on your live bet!!
                          Comment
                          • DennisGreen
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-27-08
                            • 18369

                            #258
                            Originally posted by twelvejewelz
                            ana/nash series is an Over Machineeeeee!! i woulda had a bad night and thought it was a loss for the entire game , instead had a huge night! good luck on your live bet!!
                            Yeah I can't believe it hit. Was 1-1 after two and looking like a defensive game but they exploded in the 3rd there. Congrats to you and everyone on the over. Fcukers shoulda got me 2 in the 1st though
                            Comment
                            • DennisGreen
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-27-08
                              • 18369

                              #259
                              Originally posted by DennisGreen
                              0-1 -$100 on the night. Overall Playoff Record 18-12-1 +$1430 (60.00%)
                              Edit: Winning day afterall weeeee Nashville!!!

                              1-1 +$30 on the day.

                              Overall Playoff Record
                              19-12-1 +$1560 (61.29%)
                              Comment
                              • DennisGreen
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-27-08
                                • 18369

                                #260
                                Originally posted by supr_villn
                                over has no chance in hell
                                Pardon sir? Congrats to those on the over again. Sorry to those who backed the Ducks tonight, seemed like a fair amount of people on the board did.
                                Comment
                                • UpsetSpecial09
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-01-10
                                  • 1438

                                  #261
                                  Ducks blew that one, thats for sure. You play hard all game to lose with 35 seconds left. Seriously, WTF were there defenders doing....you don't give up a goal with such a small amount of time left!
                                  Comment
                                  • DennisGreen
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-27-08
                                    • 18369

                                    #262
                                    Nashville (+109) and Buffalo (+177) series bets showing some promise now up 3-2. Also note to all if the game goes to OT bet the road team. Road teams are now 6-2 in OT in the playoffs. Makes sense as the pressure is definitely more intense on the home teams to win.
                                    Comment
                                    • pepper60000
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 02-01-11
                                      • 230

                                      #263
                                      so are you hedging the canucks? I think I'm gonna pull the trigger and hedge chicago ML for the next two games and break even...the way the canucks are playing it's hard to see them winning. Although I can't see them losing two more games in a row but they look shellshocked..
                                      Comment
                                      • twelvejewelz
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-29-11
                                        • 2388

                                        #264
                                        sharks still o/u 5?? wtf? why arnt they adjusting these games to 5.5?
                                        Comment
                                        • DennisGreen
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-27-08
                                          • 18369

                                          #265
                                          Originally posted by pepper60000
                                          so are you hedging the canucks? I think I'm gonna pull the trigger and hedge chicago ML for the next two games and break even...the way the canucks are playing it's hard to see them winning. Although I can't see them losing two more games in a row but they look shellshocked..
                                          It was a matter of money and risk to me. I am not gonna be a hero and let it ride, it just isn't a smart decision to have 2k riding on the series especially with what the Canucks have shown the last two games. I still think the Canucks will close it out in game 6, that's what my gut is telling me. I think they have to win it next game for sure or they will choke in game 7 at home as there will just be way, way too much pressure on them and they tend to fold under pressure.

                                          Originally posted by twelvejewelz
                                          sharks still o/u 5?? wtf? why arnt they adjusting these games to 5.5?
                                          Weird. I think the Sharks blow them out and close out the series. 5-2 sounds about right.
                                          Comment
                                          • xkgb
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-29-10
                                            • 1328

                                            #266
                                            Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                            Weird. I think the Sharks blow them out and close out the series. 5-2 sounds about right.
                                            Im glad you seeing it the same way I do...I think San Jose blows them out as well, although the sharks play tougher" D" at home at 5 its at least a push...I also see the Caps do the same and close out the struggling Rangers....Best of luck to you DG, and everyone tailing your picks
                                            Comment
                                            • mike-dub
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-22-11
                                              • 765

                                              #267
                                              looks like sharks have kings defense figured out, and 12 goals in two games has to be pretty rough on Quick or any goalie for that matter.
                                              Comment
                                              • DennisGreen
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-27-08
                                                • 18369

                                                #268
                                                Early Early Saturday Play

                                                Seeing as this game starts in 6 and a half hours and I'm not in bed yet, it's probably a good idea to get it in right now

                                                TB/PIT Over 5 (-118)


                                                Will have more plays for Saturday once I'm awake and have done some more research. GL to all, let's have a good weekend
                                                Comment
                                                • leafsfan19
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-10-10
                                                  • 620

                                                  #269
                                                  Good call on the live bet, I was feelin that too but just didnt think to live bet it!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • odog11
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-14-11
                                                    • 3874

                                                    #270
                                                    I like the overs in all except NYR/Wash. With all of them at 5 I am going to throw a small parlay on all three.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cdgoalie35
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 04-19-11
                                                      • 10

                                                      #271
                                                      Mike Milbury just said he likes Boston over Montreal tonight at home in Boston. Time to bet the farm on the Habs.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • UpsetSpecial09
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-01-10
                                                        • 1438

                                                        #272
                                                        Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                                        Early Early Saturday Play

                                                        Seeing as this game starts in 6 and a half hours and I'm not in bed yet, it's probably a good idea to get it in right now

                                                        TB/PIT Over 5 (-118)


                                                        Will have more plays for Saturday once I'm awake and have done some more research. GL to all, let's have a good weekend
                                                        Took it for a unit, looking good so far. Hope we can cash at least get a push here in the 2nd. I had thought about taking PIT but didn't, glad I just went with the over. Any leans yet on the later games DG?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • UpsetSpecial09
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-01-10
                                                          • 1438

                                                          #273
                                                          Great call Dennis...can't lose now always nice to at least Push in the 2nd period.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Marc2010
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 02-21-10
                                                            • 134

                                                            #274
                                                            Gotta love it when one team hits the over by themselves
                                                            Comment
                                                            • twelvejewelz
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-29-11
                                                              • 2388

                                                              #275
                                                              when will they adjust the 5's LOL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CindyCryBaby
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 07-16-10
                                                                • 303

                                                                #276
                                                                Bol dg
                                                                Comment
                                                                • UpsetSpecial09
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-01-10
                                                                  • 1438

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Dennis thanks for the pick on the Pit/Tampa over!

                                                                  I know you have the VAN series line as a large play and have already hedged it. I am wondering your current thoughts on this series. To me it seems like CHI has a ton of momentum right now and is on the verge of a major upset. Currently the Series line is CHI +345, I see a lot of value in this and am considering a small play on it. Would appreciate your thoughts.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DennisGreen
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-27-08
                                                                    • 18369

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Damn really had to sweat out that over Good start to the day.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • scttyd47
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 04-20-11
                                                                      • 22

                                                                      #279
                                                                      you have any thoughts on washington/Rangers
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DennisGreen
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-27-08
                                                                        • 18369

                                                                        #280
                                                                        Originally posted by UpsetSpecial09
                                                                        Dennis thanks for the pick on the Pit/Tampa over!

                                                                        I know you have the VAN series line as a large play and have already hedged it. I am wondering your current thoughts on this series. To me it seems like CHI has a ton of momentum right now and is on the verge of a major upset. Currently the Series line
                                                                        is CHI +345, I see a lot of value in this and am considering a small play on it. Would appreciate your thoughts.
                                                                        Not many teams have ever come back down 3-0 but I mean it's pretty clear who has the momentum so I think there is good value on the Hawks.
                                                                        Comment
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