DG's Playoff Picks

[DennisGreen]

Thursday Plays

MTL (+104)
-This game really could go either way so I'm going with the home dog. When the Habs won the first two games in Boston my prediction was Bruins win the 3rd and Habs when the 4th. The Habs are a solid team on home ice and I don't see them dropping both games at the Bell Centre.

CHI (+172)
-Trust me this is painful to do but the Canucks line is just way too high tonight. They should be closer to -140 in my opinion so I think there is value on the Hawks. Trust me I really hope I'm wrong on this one and it would be the best $100 I've ever lost I'm 0-2 fading my boys this year, let's hope for 0-3

CHI/VAN Over 5.5 (+111)
-It took the bookies 4 games but they finally get the total right in this one. If the Hawks win it will likely go over. After last game yes the Canucks will try to tighten up but these teams are just too talented to be held under 3 goals a piece very often. I expect a back and forth battle again tonight with a 4-3, or 5-3 final.

CHI/VAN Over 1.5 (1st) (+104)
-Emotions will be running high again tonight and one team will likely come out shaky and give up an early one. There should be a lot of physical play early on and a lot of PP chances. The Hawks may be inside Lou's head again after last game, we will find out early if they are.

SJ -0.5 (+135)
-LA's morale has to be absolutely demolished after choking last game. I really think the Sharks will be inside their head for the rest of the series. If you can't hold on to a 4-0 lead vs them the doubt will definitely be there in the Kings minds. I think the Sharks win the next 2 and finish this series off in 5.

SJ Over 2.5 (-119)
-If the Sharks win they will more than likely score 3+ goals. They are so explosive that they could cover this in the first 10 minutes if they are on their game. I just don't think LA has an answer for the Sharks depth up front anymore.

[the_situation]

Nice card there DG...if the Canucks lose tonight, I think the series goes to 7..

Sharks should take care of biz tonight, Habs game is a toss up so getting + odds is always good.

[bringdownthehous]

good stuff DG...definitely will be tailing

[DennisGreen]

Nice card there DG...if the Canucks lose tonight, I think the series goes to 7.. Sharks should take care of biz tonight, Habs game is a toss up so getting + odds is always good.

Yup if it gets tied up 3-3 I will definitely attempt to hedge my huge Canucks series bet. I really hope they close it out tonight though.

[leafs_ducks]

Always a plus to see u on the same side DG! Best of luck tonight!

[odog11]

Like them all except Mtl, I like the Bruins in regulation, got it when it was +143. I think Bruins will win big(ish) tonight, not going to pull one out in overtime.

I really like the over in Van/Chi, but I played it at over 5 to play it safe. You have me convinced on the San Jose over 2.5, should be my last play of the day.

[colts]

DG - nice picks. I took the canucks in reg. -0.5. GO CANUCKS!

[FlashinLeather]

Yup if it gets tied up 3-3 I will definitely attempt to hedge my huge Canucks series bet. I really hope they close it out tonight though.

you hedge, what is this crazy talk?>

[twelvejewelz]

I was thinking of SJ over 2.5 but i just dont like that 4-0 kings game kinda scaring me off.

[DennisGreen]

DG - nice picks. I took the canucks in reg. -0.5. GO CANUCKS!

I hope you win it for real! I hope my Hawks bet is destroyed

[DennisGreen]

you hedge, what is this crazy talk?>

I hope it doesn't come to that trust me but I have over 2k on the Nucks to win the series and I don't want that much to be on the line for a game 7 coin flip. Hopefully they close it out tonight

[philliesfinest]

gutsy call going against the home team but looking to win not play favs,took buffalo as my best pick last night,gotta go with the head not the heart!!!!!!!!!!!

[leafsfan19]

im on nucks -0.5 and sharks TT

[Mike Huntertz]

Like a lot not all.
Mon no idea.
Nucks will go over and they will win.
No homer call, just too deep.

[DennisGreen]

Go Hawks go! Wow man I am done as a fan if they blow this series. Can't handle this annual choke every year.

[philliesfinest]

Go Hawks go! Wow man I am done as a fan if they blow this series. Can't handle this annual choke every year.

stop thinking think positive but in a seven game series canucks have proven they are very vulnerable!!!!!!!!! best of luck and cheer for my flyers who also are on the brink of elimination

[philliesfinest]

Dg any thoughts on looie ' s head ,you think he can regroup????????????

[pepper60000]

crap, i also have a bet on the canucks to win series which I think I'm going to start hedging after this game....what is up with the canucks..

[Mike Huntertz]

Go Hawks go! Wow man I am done as a fan if they blow this series. Can't handle this annual choke every year.

DG
Nice pick, don't jump off a bridge just yet!
We get great odds on Nucks to win next game.

[pepper60000]

wow, i cant believe what is happening with the canucks. no way they can lose both games can they??

[DennisGreen]

Well Canucks shit the bed once again. I may just hedge this series bet before game 7 at this point. Sick fcukin' beat on the Over 5.5 as well as they had 5 goals half way through the 2nd, then none the rest of the way. At least I went with my brain over my heart and bet the Hawks, I am proud of that.

4-2 +407 on the night.

Overall Playoff Record

18-11-1 +$1530

[DennisGreen]

Canucks are fcuked man, seen this train wreck every year for the past 10 years pretty much. If they start Luongo it's game over, wish they would just start Schneider next game but they won't. They need to sit Torres on the pine as well which they should have done after game 3 but again they won't.

I'm still a fan for life but I can't put up with much more of this choking shit, it's just not worth the tilt for me at this point. Glad you guys can stay positive with them because I sure as hell can't at this point.

[Mike Huntertz]

Well Canucks shit the bed once again. I may just hedge this series bet before game 7 at this point. Sick fcukin' beat on the Over 5.5 as well as they had 5 goals half way through the 2nd, then none the rest of the way. At least I went with my brain over my heart and bet the Hawks, I am proud of that.

4-2 +407 on the night.

Overall Playoff Record


18-11-1 +$1530

I fell the pain

[DennisGreen]

78783695-14/21/11 3:33pm $25.00 $297.50
Pending 4/21/11 10:05pm NHL Hockey 6907 Chicago Blackhawks (Series) +1190* vs Vancouver Canucks (Series)

Least this will hit if they choke Made this before the game just for back up pretty much. Looks like I will have some serious hedging to do after game 6 if they lose again.

[Mike Huntertz]

Past post hedge?
Don't blame ya, just late to tell us.

Nucks will win, depth!

[DennisGreen]

Not an official hedge play there was just posting it for comedy pretty much. I will wait until game 7 to hedge if necessary, which at this point it's a virtual lock I'll have to.

[CoZalon]

I had Chicago -0,5 AND Over 5,5... Seriously, thought Vancouver had a shot at winning the cup but 0 goals??? Good thing I saw your Sharks TT and tailed, would have been a boring evening otherwise

[colts]

DG - smart play on the blackhawks. Way to use your head and not your heart. I wish I would have followed your whole card. I was only on the losers. Good luck tonight. Looking forward to your plays.

[DennisGreen]

Well I'm officially hedging my Canucks series bet. There's just no need to risk losing 2k and all my playoff profit to the most epic collapse in playoff history.

In finance, a hedge is a position established in one market in an attempt to offset exposure to price changes or fluctuations in some opposite position with the goal of minimizing one's exposure to unwanted risk

CHI (+375) to win Series $500 to win $1875

If CHI wins Series -$265
If VAN wins Series +$500

So if the Canucks win I am essentially just lowering my bet. I gotta do this it just makes the most sense at this point. So this way I'm either up $500 on the play or down $265 which I can live with. Much better than being down $2140. It's a shame it had to come to this but if I wait until Game 7 to hedge I am guaranteed a loss and no shot at profit on the play.

[terpkeg]

Well I'm officially hedging my Canucks series bet. There's just no need to risk losing 2k and all my playoff profit to the most epic collapse in playoff history.

In finance, a hedge is a position established in one market in an attempt to offset exposure to price changes or fluctuations in some opposite position with the goal of minimizing one's exposure to unwanted risk

CHI (+375) to win Series $500 to win $1875

If CHI wins Series -$265
If VAN wins Series +$500

So if the Canucks win I am essentially just lowering my bet. I gotta do this it just makes the most sense at this point. So this way I'm either up $500 on the play or down $265 which I can live with. Much better than being down $2140. It's a shame it had to come to this but if I wait until Game 7 to hedge I am guaranteed a loss and no shot at profit on the play.

I may be with you on this one. I have a 5 unit play on Van which is my max and may want to scale down to 1-2u. Where did you get the +375? I am assuming Pinny, doubt I will be able to find that price with Bookmaker or 5dimes.

[the_situation]

Well I'm officially hedging my Canucks series bet. There's just no need to risk losing 2k and all my playoff profit to the most epic collapse in playoff history.

In finance, a hedge is a position established in one market in an attempt to offset exposure to price changes or fluctuations in some opposite position with the goal of minimizing one's exposure to unwanted risk

CHI (+375) to win Series $500 to win $1875

If CHI wins Series -$265
If VAN wins Series +$500

So if the Canucks win I am essentially just lowering my bet. I gotta do this it just makes the most sense at this point. So this way I'm either up $500 on the play or down $265 which I can live with. Much better than being down $2140. It's a shame it had to come to this but if I wait until Game 7 to hedge I am guaranteed a loss and no shot at profit on the play.

good call buddy...I think this one's going to 7

[McDorman]

Sounds like a smart play. I still think Vancouver will take the series, but these last two games have been crazy. BOL DG.

[DennisGreen]

I may be with you on this one. I have a 5 unit play on Van which is my max and may want to scale down to 1-2u. Where did you get the +375? I am assuming Pinny, doubt I will be able to find that price with Bookmaker or 5dimes.

bwin.com. Site I play poker on mostly. Most other sites from what I saw didn't have the series prices up yet.

[steelcity]

Gl 2night

[azimm11]

DG, you have an opinion on the over between the Preds and Ducks? I like the OVER 5, but it's juicy. Appreciate your input