'dogs tonight? every night?

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  • jonnyboy21
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-02-10
    • 973

    #211
    My picks so far:

    Taken the Flyers and the Isles as I mentioned before at + money.

    Still looking over the later games but will probably be taking the Preds & Leafs also.
    Comment
    • Axis
      SBR MVP
      • 01-08-09
      • 1255

      #212
      Originally posted by Axis
      Tonight:
      Carolina +105
      Flyers +100


      *Removing the Isles because they line is now dropping...they shouldn't have been a dog in the first place so...if you can get them at better odds than Ottawa...I'd take it. My book has them and -110 now so..won't be on them.

      ** St. Louis is also no longer a play...today has been rough, and I miscalculated that line...they should have been +165 so there was no reason to play that game at +150 (in my mind)...glad someone else brought this to my attention.
      Record:
      4-3 +1.4 units

      Though St. Louis wasn't a play...I bet it anyways by accident before realizing this...hopefully they can salvage me some personal units...but won't be counting it with or against the record.

      Tomorrow is another day!
      Comment
      • Axis
        SBR MVP
        • 01-08-09
        • 1255

        #213
        Tonight:
        Calgary +100
        Vancouver +105

        Record:
        4-3 +1.4 units
        Comment
        • rthoughton
          SBR MVP
          • 12-27-09
          • 1992

          #214
          I struggled really badly... it seems to be setting in. I shouldnt have second guessed myself. Really like the Rangers last night, but didnt pull the trigger.
          And holy crap are the Bs hot. 7 more last night. I suggest you ride them for a while. they might win 10 in a row.
          0-3 last night. cant believe the Preds blew a one goal 3rd period lead. Figured I had at least that one.

          YTD 15-13, +8.05u
          Comment
          • rthoughton
            SBR MVP
            • 12-27-09
            • 1992

            #215
            I have a very busy day today and am about to leave town, So I'll go ahead and get my plays in now.

            Although they are 'dogs bc of their back-to-backs and tough draws, I am still going to play the best team from each conference as a dog tonight.
            Philadelphia Flyers. +Ev

            Vancouver Canucks. +120

            Comment
            • Dharmonize
              SBR MVP
              • 10-10-10
              • 1991

              #216
              Rough night, boys. Glad I stuck with the Blues, although I didn´t trust them at all and had been regreting it until I saw the results later. Still not sure what to take today
              Comment
              • Axis
                SBR MVP
                • 01-08-09
                • 1255

                #217
                ^^
                I bet the Blue by mistake...sometimes mistakes are good...cut my losses in half. Guess it's back to having to truly find the winners...all the Dogs don't feel like winning anymore haha...
                Comment
                • Dharmonize
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-10-10
                  • 1991

                  #218
                  Yes, I sometimes place opposite bets in NBA live which turn out to be winners As for the NHL dogs, it is always about periods. Sometimes the dogs don´t hit at all, or it´s much tougher to find the winning ones. Therefore even betting dogs every day is not very advisable.
                  Comment
                  • Dharmonize
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-10-10
                    • 1991

                    #219
                    I´m in love with the rested Flames today. They should handle the Senators.
                    Comment
                    • Axis
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-08-09
                      • 1255

                      #220
                      Originally posted by Dharmonize
                      Yes, I sometimes place opposite bets in NBA live which turn out to be winners As for the NHL dogs, it is always about periods. Sometimes the dogs don´t hit at all, or it´s much tougher to find the winning ones. Therefore even betting dogs every day is not very advisable.
                      I bet them every day in hockey...but if there isn't a play/value I won't make plays...but I don't like betting -money in hockey.
                      Comment
                      • jonnyboy21
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-02-10
                        • 973

                        #221
                        The Isles defense was awful last night. If the Flames can defend decently they will have scoring chances because the Sens' defense is not very strong and was exposed badly in Boston.

                        Will post my picks for tonight soon. Good luck to all tonight and let's bounce back with some big hits.
                        Comment
                        • Dharmonize
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-10-10
                          • 1991

                          #222
                          Calgary, 2 units (my only NHL play tonight) GL!
                          Comment
                          • Dharmonize
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-10-10
                            • 1991

                            #223
                            Originally posted by Axis
                            ...but I don't like betting -money in hockey.
                            Man, I hate betting - money everywhere. In hockey, it´s not necessary, as you can be doing well playing only dogs. But it is almost inevitable in NBA with spreads and totals...
                            Comment
                            • jonnyboy21
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-02-10
                              • 973

                              #224
                              I am not afraid to bet -money if I feel it is right in the relevant match. A good example is tonight. I am all over the Lightning to win in regulation at -money but for me it's a great bet and the odds are juicy, because the Devils beat them in New Jersey. TBL will not have liked losing to the worst team in the NHL, so I expect them to kick some ass tonight. Am also on the Lightning PL at very nice odds.

                              My 'dog plays will be up shortly.
                              Comment
                              • rthoughton
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-27-09
                                • 1992

                                #225
                                Originally posted by Dharmonize
                                I´m in love with the rested Flames today. They should handle the Senators.

                                I hate the Flames tonight. I was going to play the senators, but didn't. favorites? ya.
                                Comment
                                • rthoughton
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-27-09
                                  • 1992

                                  #226
                                  The whole point of this thread was to have success in hockey. juice, +/- means NOTHING. the only thing that matters is whether or not you win the bet. it sucks more to lose when you bet - $. but there is nothing wrong with betting favorites. especially if they are winners.
                                  The problem with hockey is that every game is so evenly matched, and when you start looking at favorites, too, you get biased and overthink things. I have always failed at hockey, but now that I have eliminated the favorites, I am up 805. Go figure.
                                  Comment
                                  • Dharmonize
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-10-10
                                    • 1991

                                    #227
                                    Originally posted by rthoughton
                                    I hate the Flames tonight. I was going to play the senators, but didn't. favorites? ya.
                                    Been hating the Flames this whole season so far, but can´t help it, I really like them tonight. If they lose, there´s still time to start hating them again tomorrow
                                    Comment
                                    • jonnyboy21
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-02-10
                                      • 973

                                      #228
                                      Late but got plays on every game (before puck drop)

                                      In order of units large to small:

                                      Flyers
                                      Caps
                                      Lightning
                                      Flames
                                      Wild
                                      Bluejackets

                                      Let's go! CBJ already leads by 2 but i had 5 bucks on it lol
                                      Comment
                                      • jonnyboy21
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-02-10
                                        • 973

                                        #229
                                        vermetteeeeeeeeeee
                                        Comment
                                        • Axis
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-09
                                          • 1255

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by axis
                                          tonight:
                                          Calgary +100
                                          Vancouver +105

                                          Record:
                                          4-3 +1.4 units
                                          6-3 +3.6
                                          Comment
                                          • Dharmonize
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-10-10
                                            • 1991

                                            #231
                                            Glad the Flames hit Congrats on Canucks and Flyers!
                                            Comment
                                            • rthoughton
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-27-09
                                              • 1992

                                              #232
                                              needed those winners.
                                              YTD 17-13, +10.25u
                                              Comment
                                              • Axis
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-08-09
                                                • 1255

                                                #233
                                                6-3 +3.6


                                                Tonight:
                                                Pittsburgh +120
                                                Atlanta +145
                                                Calgary +115
                                                Rangers +105
                                                Comment
                                                • jonnyboy21
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-02-10
                                                  • 973

                                                  #234
                                                  Thrashers are awful defensively lately i will be betting against them. I also doubt calgary winning 2 road games in a row and back to back too...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rthoughton
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-27-09
                                                    • 1992

                                                    #235
                                                    Too much football on tonight. I think Im just gonna play the Lightning bc of S1 over there.

                                                    TAMPA BAY +115.
                                                    you know the record.

                                                    good luck. holla.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dharmonize
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-10-10
                                                      • 1991

                                                      #236
                                                      You said it man, football. I think the best thing for me tonight will be not playing any pucks. I like too many plays, it´s always dangerous BOL, guys!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jonnyboy21
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-02-10
                                                        • 973

                                                        #237
                                                        know what you mean dharmonize...tempting to bet on every game when so much hockey on.

                                                        I do like the Isles tonight at home at + money.

                                                        Picks up shortly, Pittsburgh got me off to a good start.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jonnyboy21
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-02-10
                                                          • 973

                                                          #238
                                                          Really leaning towards the Blues tonight to pile on the misery for the Sharks...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dharmonize
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-10-10
                                                            • 1991

                                                            #239
                                                            Originally posted by jonnyboy21
                                                            Really leaning towards the Blues tonight to pile on the misery for the Sharks...
                                                            When I saw the matchup today, the Blues struck me at first sight as a clear value. But the more I thought of it, the more I wanted to play the Sharks on the puckline. Confusing. Also like the Devils to make it 3 in a row, but obviously can´t force myself to place it Btw, the Isles look good. GL!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dharmonize
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-10-10
                                                              • 1991

                                                              #240
                                                              One play, just for the fun of it Considered Edmonton or Atlanta, but it definitely feels safer to put my money on Anaheim, 1 unit.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jonnyboy21
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-02-10
                                                                • 973

                                                                #241
                                                                Picks were as follows

                                                                In order of stake size, biggest down to the smallest:

                                                                Panthers
                                                                Isles
                                                                Leafs
                                                                Canes
                                                                Blue Jackets (great start again!)

                                                                Worried about the Panthers slow start but still early i guess
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jonnyboy21
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 12-02-10
                                                                  • 973

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Stars and Hawks for the next "round " of games.

                                                                  Weighing up Oilers and Blues for the final games of the night......prob small fun stake on Oilers and something more concrete on the Blues as very much fancy them 2nite
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jonnyboy21
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 12-02-10
                                                                    • 973

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Nice stat I found whilst going through my analysis:

                                                                    The blues have only not gone on a winning streak ONCE after winning a game. So after breaking a losing streak, the blues have gone on to win more than one game consecutively every time but once. They are an incredibly streaky team and this is a perfect opportunity to win twice in a row against a Sharks side devoid of any confidence whatsoever. Morale will be low, tempers will be flaring in the locker room, the coach will be getting desperate too.

                                                                    The Blues are a SOLID dog play tonight.

                                                                    Other than Dallas, my play of the night is the St Louis Blues.

                                                                    LET'S GO BLUES
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jonnyboy21
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-02-10
                                                                      • 973

                                                                      #244
                                                                      YES CBJ TIES IT UP! 5-5, insane. I had draw no bet so now it doesnt matter but would be cool if they went on to win..atleast i got my stake back on that one
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jonnyboy21
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 12-02-10
                                                                        • 973

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Leafs tie it up!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                                        Comment
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