I had a pretty profitable MLB first inning O/U thread going last MLB season and have spent a good two months trying to create a similar model with that type MLB theory/method/model on the NHL.
So far this season it has been up about 24 units, going 157-109 on the unders. I also have a similar model which filters out overs but at a much lower rate. The under model went 3-2 yesterday and has been 11-9 over the last 20 games, so now should be a decent time to start posting some picks. This model has picked 60 games since January 1st, so expect an average of about 3-5 picks a night. The over model is 56-35 so far.
I do a lot of my research using SDQL and almost all of my models a written in it. Depending on when killersports posts lines, I should have my picks up between 9AM EST and a good 30 minutes before the first game.
My money management is not in units and depending on signals I will risk 1% to 6% of BR on each pick. So if you are going to tail, please use it as I post. I usually use the same "unit size" or % a day for all types of picks (unders or overs). In other words, I will rarely post a 2% and a 3% under pick on the same day.
As of now, I am looking at 1 pick but am waiting for the Avalanche/Canucks line to open.
For those who would like to take a look at some of my work, it's here:
I ended the season up around 70% after the system cooled down a bit towards the end of the season. For those who played unit=%/BR, they added a clean 50+ units of a span of 3 1/2 months.
Again, if you are confused about my money management, just bet 1 unit per %/BR I post. For those who bet a bit cautious, feel free to go 0.5 units per %/BR.
Feel free to throw questions at me, I'm here to make money, learn and teach!
Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 0-0
Total Profit: 00.00%
Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Hit rate: 00.00%
So far this season it has been up about 24 units, going 157-109 on the unders. I also have a similar model which filters out overs but at a much lower rate. The under model went 3-2 yesterday and has been 11-9 over the last 20 games, so now should be a decent time to start posting some picks. This model has picked 60 games since January 1st, so expect an average of about 3-5 picks a night. The over model is 56-35 so far.
I do a lot of my research using SDQL and almost all of my models a written in it. Depending on when killersports posts lines, I should have my picks up between 9AM EST and a good 30 minutes before the first game.
My money management is not in units and depending on signals I will risk 1% to 6% of BR on each pick. So if you are going to tail, please use it as I post. I usually use the same "unit size" or % a day for all types of picks (unders or overs). In other words, I will rarely post a 2% and a 3% under pick on the same day.
As of now, I am looking at 1 pick but am waiting for the Avalanche/Canucks line to open.
For those who would like to take a look at some of my work, it's here:
I ended the season up around 70% after the system cooled down a bit towards the end of the season. For those who played unit=%/BR, they added a clean 50+ units of a span of 3 1/2 months.
Again, if you are confused about my money management, just bet 1 unit per %/BR I post. For those who bet a bit cautious, feel free to go 0.5 units per %/BR.
Feel free to throw questions at me, I'm here to make money, learn and teach!
Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 0-0
Total Profit: 00.00%
Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Hit rate: 00.00%
