Calmeat's NHL 2013-2014

[calmeat]

Hey rustie,
Ive come at this system at every angle. Flat betting isnt bad as long as you take the really high ML games and make them Regulation instead and some other tweaks. Also doing a 2 game or 3 game chase on the Highest Game win% that is consensus.

As for numbers for flat betting and such i dont have that off hand and would have to go through my spreadsheet to calcualte that one. What im currently doing is a 3 game chase on Highest Consensus and also the highest odds between -140 and -195. doing this im up 13units since olympics, and thats a couple nights off in that time frame as well.

[rustie]

Hey rustie,
Ive come at this system at every angle. Flat betting isnt bad as long as you take the really high ML games and make them Regulation instead and some other tweaks. Also doing a 2 game or 3 game chase on the Highest Game win% that is consensus.

As for numbers for flat betting and such i dont have that off hand and would have to go through my spreadsheet to calcualte that one. What im currently doing is a 3 game chase on Highest Consensus and also the highest odds between -140 and -195. doing this im up 13units since olympics, and thats a couple nights off in that time frame as well.

Thanks for the reply calmeat ,never thought about doing a chase with this but may not be a bad idea, will look in to it , also wondered if you have broke this down by the over ,under and how your % is that way? feel that if you can get 55% or better on o/u you could be successful because the odds are closer to 1.9 to 2.00 .Thanks again my friend.

[mitch51]

for winners.

Later
Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

Mornin' all

I took a quick look and I'm taking PHX -110 1u

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[calmeat]

Some games errored out due to goalie debuts.
Consensus
NSH
CBJ
PIT

[mitch51]

and to everyone else.

[calmeat]

and to everyone else.

Nice to see you back in action

Not a bad night 5-1 so far tonight hoping for 6-1.

Personally i went with NSH and PIT

[mitch51]

Mornin' all

Just a quick break down after looking not sure betting today.


Bos
Bos OVer
Van
Van Under
CO
CO Over
Ana (line too high)
Ana Under

I'll decide after seeing chart etc.

Have a good day all

Ali & Mitch

[calmeat]

Concensus
BOS
WPG
ANA

[calmeat]

Hey and thanks for the PTs! always can use them

[rustie]

Good night last night calmeat , keep it up

Best of luck tonight

[mitch51]

Dang Mitch & I were looking at Van and the under but not sure enough to bet.

Later

Ali

[mitch51]

Shout out mornin'

I took a quick look and all games too high except for two:

CBJ
NYR

Bet 1u each
PHX Under 5.5 -130
TB Over 5.5 -105
TOR Under 5.5 -140
NYR +115

I will check the chart to see if I missed anything.

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[tato34]

Mitch can u say me where u look the charts and that stuff?ty mate

[calmeat]

Consensus
BOS
CAR
STL

[mitch51]

Mitch can u say me where u look the charts and that stuff?ty mate

The chart is Calmeat's but for my own crunching/handicapping the games I use a stat sheet and a matchup sheet from a couple of websites. After breaking everything down in numbers and seeing who the goalies are etc I pretty much match what Calmeat has for his Top Consensus picks. Mitch & I don't bet the high lines or regulation as we use our local sportsbook and they don't have regulation. Also, we tend to bet more dogs.

Hope this helps and maybe Calmeat can answer any more questions you might have pertaining to his way of betting and his chart.

GL

Ali

[calmeat]

Consensus
WSH
NJD
CHI
DAL
COL

[mitch51]

I don't see anything that really pops out for today except WASH.

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[rustie]

good luck tonight guys , really like sj and the nj under.

[calmeat]

Hey all i got to go to a kids bday party early so wanna get this up for the early games. Ill try to update for the late games

Consensus
BOS
NYI
OTT
MIN
STL
PHX

[mitch51]

Hey all,

Just back from betting locally.

PITS Over 5.5 -115
BUF +130
BUF Over 5.5 +100
NJD +135
STL Under 5.5 -140

And yes, Mitch did a parlay STL -165 with UNDER 5.5 -140


GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[rustie]

Best of luck cal and mitch , really like the buffalo picks, also like montreal with Price back
also took pitt/phil ov need 2 more at this time ,good luck guys.

[calmeat]

Updated
Consensus
BOS
NYI
OTT
MIN
STL
PHX

[rustie]

tough break with the pitt over but thats the way it goes.
hopefully better results with the later games , GLTA

[mitch51]

Tough break but tomorrow is another day.

to those who won any games.

Later

Ali & Mitch

[rustie]

Thinking today might take colo and the colo over,also like the edm under will wait for cal's charts before
making final decision though .
Good luck to everyone ,

[calmeat]

sorry a little late just so you know PIT is favored in game WIN% 56.56 should have the chart up in 1 min

[calmeat]

I will update later
Consensus
PIT
WSH
SJS
COL
MTL
CHI

[rustie]

Thanks for the chart calmeat , confirms what I was thinking , going to take edm un ,colo + colo over

Was wondering , does your consensus ever come up with a over or under game?

Good luck buddy.

[mitch51]

Mornin' all,

Back from local bookie, 1u bets on:

UN 5 +110 Canucks/Panthers
UN 5.5 -135 Sharks/Rangers
CO -1 +175

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[calmeat]

Updated

[rustie]

Mornin' all,

Back from local bookie, 1u bets on:

UN 5 +110 Canucks/Panthers
UN 5.5 -135 Sharks/Rangers
CO -1 +175

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

two out of three ain't bad mitch I'll take that every day ,hope everyone is up tonight

[mitch51]

two out of three ain't bad mitch I'll take that every day ,hope everyone is up tonight

Yep, it was a good day. Agree that everyone is up tonight.

Tomorrow all

Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

Curiosity killed the cat... when does your baseball thread start?

Ali

[calmeat]

nice nights since olympics 15-4 and using the chase 15-0 with chase +30units.

Had MTL for Hight odds and CHIr for High Consensus

Ali ill do my post when baseball starts but wont place a bet till after a week or 2 has gone by,

The baseball thread wont have a chart like this it will be a little different. I havent figured out how to tweak this for baseball yet.