DG's 2013 Thread

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  • hockey216
    SBR MVP
    • 08-20-08
    • 4583

    #911
    wow 2 goals 1minute. 2-1 ANA
    Comment
    • FindTheLock
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-27-10
      • 7194

      #912
      There ya go DG! You got variance coming back around in your favor this time.
      Comment
      • DennisGreen
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-27-08
        • 18369

        #913
        Wow what a rollercoaster day that was

        Managed to get most of it back with the live bets. Hedged the Ducks bet after 2 as well so got $700ish back.

        Not cool though I was on extreme tilt. Will probably take tomorrow off to recover mentally and to re-evaluate things

        My "dark passenger" took over tonight that's for sure
        Comment
        • DennisGreen
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-27-08
          • 18369

          #914
          Originally posted by StokesChargers
          True degenerate style. Love it!
          I tried man it's just not in me to bet 1 play a day

          Money's cool but I love the action. I'm a true degenerate.

          Way too volatile of a night though today that was a ride.
          Comment
          • DennisGreen
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-27-08
            • 18369

            #915
            Originally posted by hockey216
            ever try betting unders? Public loves overs.
            Yeah I seem to lose 80% of unders I bet

            Plus they're no fun to watch and too stressful.
            Comment
            • DennisGreen
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-27-08
              • 18369

              #916
              Here are a couple official videos to commemorate 1/29/13.

              Comment
              • DennisGreen
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-27-08
                • 18369

                #917
                First half 0-7 start, second half live bet recovery.

                Comment
                • DennisGreen
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-27-08
                  • 18369

                  #918
                  Comment
                  • DennisGreen
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-27-08
                    • 18369

                    #919
                    When the dust finally settled on 1/29/13:

                    3-8 -$415 on the night.

                    2013 Record

                    24-31-2 -$1126.50

                    LIVE BETS: 7-5 +$692.50
                    ML: 3-2 +$136
                    TWO TEAMERS: 3-4
                    -$69
                    TOTALS: 3-2-1 -$243
                    TTs: 1-3-1 -$379
                    1ST PERIOD: 7-15 -$1264

                    $50
                    1-3 -$47.50


                    18-18-1 +$251


                    4-8-1 -$970


                    0-1 -$360


                    1-1 $0


                    Ugly, ugly so far. Definitely not giving up, been in this situation many times before. Will just have to get back to work and grind out of it as usual. Exercise EXTREME CAUTION if you choose to tail me. I would recommend not too until I right the ship.

                    Comment
                    • hockey216
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-20-08
                      • 4583

                      #920
                      Originally posted by DennisGreen
                      When the dust finally settled on 1/29/13:

                      3-8 -$415 on the night.

                      2013 Record

                      24-31-2 -$1126.50

                      LIVE BETS: 7-5 +$692.50
                      ML: 3-2 +$136
                      TWO TEAMERS: 3-4
                      -$69
                      TOTALS: 3-2-1 -$243
                      TTs: 1-3-1 -$379
                      1ST PERIOD: 7-15 -$1264

                      $50
                      1-3 -$47.50


                      18-18-1 +$251


                      4-8-1 -$970


                      0-1 -$360


                      1-1 $0


                      Ugly, ugly so far. Definitely not giving up, been in this situation many times before. Will just have to get back to work and grind out of it as usual. Exercise EXTREME CAUTION if you choose to tail me. I would recommend not too until I right the ship.

                      your 1st period overs are burning you. Overs are for public betters. switch to betting unders. Accounts for more than all of your losses. Switch to betting unders or stop betting the 1st period totals entirely.

                      just some advice to a fellow gambler. If you like it, take it. If not, discard it.
                      Comment
                      • DennisGreen
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-27-08
                        • 18369

                        #921
                        Originally posted by hockey216
                        your 1st period overs are burning you. Overs are for public betters. switch to betting unders. Accounts for more than all of your losses. Switch to betting unders or stop betting the 1st period totals entirely.

                        just some advice to a fellow gambler. If you like it, take it. If not, discard it.
                        I'm okay with constructive criticism. Thanks good advice. The numbers don't lie it's true the 1st period plays are killing me. I did bet one 1st period under play but lost 7 minutes in

                        I think it's more the quick action and win or loss within 30 minutes of puck drop that I am addicted too. Will try to ween myself off these a bit at a time.
                        Comment
                        • hockey216
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-20-08
                          • 4583

                          #922
                          and statistically speaking, i don't know as much with hockey, but in pretty all other major sports, the public "square" betters love favorites and they love overs. Lines are often over adjusted by a tad. Dog betters and under betters do better in long run than over betters and public favorite betters. Like i said, i don't know if it's as big of a rule in hockey as in other sports... but in the 3 other major professional sports, it's the case. You usually want to bet against the public. Public gets burnt repeatedly betting favorites and overs. I usually lean to unders more often. but like i said im not gonna tell you what to bet. It's obviously your thread and up to you. But if you'd like some constructive advice, you're getting killed on 1st period overs. If you really want the action for the 1st 20min, try to maybe bet the side in the 1st period, or the under. If you really hate betting unders, maybe try to bet the side instead of the total. Betting the side instead of the total might help you on your 1st period plays. You'd be profitable this season without the 1st period overs. You're down 1264 from just the 1st period plays. and onlyu down 1126.5 for season. If you take away the big $1,264 losses from the 1st period overs, you'd be up $137 instead of down $1,126.5. If you bet all your plays this year without the 1st period ones, you'd be getting a free check in the mail right now for $1,264

                          Just some constructive advice. How long are you gonna keep getting burnt on 1st period overs before you slow down?

                          usually the public gets burnt in sports. They get burnt particularly because they love betting favorites and they love betting overs.

                          Don't mean to sound like an asshole. I hate when people tell me what to do. So you can certainly do what you want. but "Slow down on the 1st period overs" is my advice. If you like it, take it. If not, discard it.
                          Comment
                          • PuckIt
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-11-12
                            • 9416

                            #923
                            Unders ONLY if you're not gonna watch the game. That's my rule. They're SO boring.

                            Just blindly throw money at the DAL U1.5 (1st) (unless they're playing tampa/wpg/pens/chi/sjs/etc)
                            Comment
                            • hockey216
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-20-08
                              • 4583

                              #924
                              Originally posted by DennisGreen
                              First half 0-7 start, second half live bet recovery.

                              Uma Thurman! Ever seen Pulp Fiction?

                              You know what the call a quarter pounder with cheese in France?

                              A Royal.

                              I was watching the bruins on friday night and the NESN in-game commentator said that. He said, "You know what they call a quarter pounder with cheese in France? A Royal. A little pulp fiction quote." It was hilarious i was like hell yea the bruins announcer said that in the middle of the game? he's cool as shit.

                              Tarantino is the man. Reservoir Dogs was good too.
                              Comment
                              • bobbyk1133
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-05-10
                                • 2245

                                #925
                                Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                Exercise EXTREME CAUTION if you choose to tail me. I would recommend not too until I right the ship.

                                Chasing is obviously bad even though it's helped you so far, but what you said above is uber-bad advice. You're just going through normal variance, no need for you or anyone else to overreact. You'll go on a big win streak that will balance things and where will be your tailers? On the sidelines cuz you parked them there.

                                Keep betting. Keep tailing. It will come.
                                Comment
                                • hockey216
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-20-08
                                  • 4583

                                  #926
                                  @Puckit

                                  You think it's boring, but i think there is nothing sexier than cashing a ticket.

                                  I love watching and just staring at the clock counting down going "tick, tick, tick"

                                  With each "tick, tick, tick"... in my head i hear, "cha-ching, cha-ching, cha-ching"
                                  Comment
                                  • PuckIt
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-11-12
                                    • 9416

                                    #927
                                    Originally posted by hockey216
                                    I love watching and just staring at the clock counting down going "tick, tick, tick"
                                    pretty sure there's medication for that
                                    Comment
                                    • DennisGreen
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-27-08
                                      • 18369

                                      #928


                                      The NHL has far less public burials IMO than other major sports.

                                      There's a lot more variance in hockey for sure with favorites losing but public over bets don't always go under from my experience.

                                      Anyways thanks for the advice/encouragement boys
                                      Comment
                                      • DennisGreen
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-27-08
                                        • 18369

                                        #929
                                        Originally posted by hockey216
                                        Uma Thurman! Ever seen Pulp Fiction?

                                        You know what the call a quarter pounder with cheese in France?

                                        A Royal.

                                        I was watching the bruins on friday night and the NESN in-game commentator said that. He said, "You know what they call a quarter pounder with cheese in France? A Royal. A little pulp fiction quote." It was hilarious i was like hell yea the bruins announcer said that in the middle of the game? he's cool as shit.

                                        Tarantino is the man. Reservoir Dogs was good too.
                                        Love all Tarantino movies
                                        Comment
                                        • mlb
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-04-09
                                          • 10509

                                          #930
                                          Keep ticking and picking, your too good to chase. Good luck going forward
                                          Comment
                                          • a4u2fear
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-29-10
                                            • 8147

                                            #931
                                            Wow last night sucked, what are the Pens doing?
                                            Comment
                                            • DennisGreen
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-27-08
                                              • 18369

                                              #932
                                              Originally posted by mlb
                                              Keep ticking and picking, your too good to chase. Good luck going forward
                                              TY sir appreciate it.
                                              Comment
                                              • DennisGreen
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-27-08
                                                • 18369

                                                #933
                                                Originally posted by a4u2fear
                                                Wow last night sucked, what are the Pens doing?
                                                They were getting out worked bad from what I saw. It's like they expected the goals to just come to them without fighting for them.

                                                Their PP was an absolute mess. No one was assertive out there at all. Kept trying to get video game goals. Perfect example late second on the PP Malkin drives hard to the goal yet passes to Kunitz from the crease pretty much who wasn't expecting a pass at all. When Malkin's on his game he doesn't hesitate and roofs it there.

                                                Teams heart is the big problem right now. Guess they're not motivated enough yet to stomp teams like they usually do.
                                                Comment
                                                • PuckIt
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-11-12
                                                  • 9416

                                                  #934
                                                  Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                                  They were getting out worked bad from what I saw. It's like they expected the goals to just come to them without fighting for them.

                                                  Their PP was an absolute mess. No one was assertive out there at all. Kept trying to get video game goals. Perfect example late second on the PP Malkin drives hard to the goal yet passes to Kunitz from the crease pretty much who wasn't expecting a pass at all. When Malkin's on his game he doesn't hesitate and roofs it there.

                                                  Teams heart is the big problem right now. Guess they're not motivated enough yet to stomp teams like they usually do.
                                                  this.

                                                  If every game ended in a shootout they'd win every time. Team of all-stars with incredible talent, they're just not communicating right now, and for some reason they don't have the heart we usually see from them.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Seeing Stars
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-19-13
                                                    • 1272

                                                    #935
                                                    Originally posted by PuckIt
                                                    Unders ONLY if you're not gonna watch the game. That's my rule. They're SO boring.

                                                    Just blindly throw money at the DAL U1.5 (1st) (unless they're playing tampa/wpg/pens/chi/sjs/etc)

                                                    HA HA, that's it..gotta start thinking OVER in all TB games
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Vegas39
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 09-22-11
                                                      • 30686

                                                      #936
                                                      Well DG appears Lou in Goal tonight. Hope it doesn't go to a shootout
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hockey216
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-20-08
                                                        • 4583

                                                        #937
                                                        Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                                                        HA HA, that's it..gotta start thinking OVER in all TB games
                                                        TB has great offense but they improved their goaltending. Their goalie is blocking everything right now. they are a sleeper team in the east this year. might have value at 30/1 or whatever they're at.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bhattman
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 01-06-12
                                                          • 480

                                                          #938
                                                          last lockout with shortened season 6.5 was avg # of goals scored.....unders aren't locks. I've been burned on a crapload of unders this yr actually!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DennisGreen
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-27-08
                                                            • 18369

                                                            #939
                                                            Wednesday Play

                                                            VAN Over 2.5 (-144)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Redman3693
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-30-12
                                                              • 1312

                                                              #940
                                                              Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                                              Wednesday Play

                                                              VAN Over 2.5 (-144)

                                                              Go get 'em DG

                                                              I wanted to take the night off as well but threw in a shits 'n giggles parlay for $10 (just could not resist )


                                                              Hello, my name is Redman. I'm a degenerate gambler...

                                                              287290682-1

                                                              9
                                                              2:46pm 30-Jan-13 Parlay 4-Team Parlay. 10.00 106.72 Pending
                                                              1. 30-Jan-13 Hockey/NHL OT Incl (Money Line) Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators for Game ( 1.645) Pending
                                                              2. 30-Jan-13 Hockey/NHL OT Incl (Total Goals) Chicago Blackhawks/Minnesota Wild (O 5.5) for Game ( 2.150) Pending
                                                              3. 30-Jan-13 Hockey/NHL OT Incl (Money Line) Edmonton Oilers vs Phoenix Coyotes for Game ( 2.100) Pending
                                                              4. 30-Jan-13 Hockey/NHL OT Incl (Money Line) Colorado Avalanche vs Vancouver Canucks for Game ( 1.571) Pending

                                                              Best O'Luck Mate
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DennisGreen
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-27-08
                                                                • 18369

                                                                #941


                                                                Impossible to take nights off if you're a degenerate. Scale back the amount of $ and plays maybe, but very hard to sit out completely
                                                                Comment
                                                                • swordsandtequila
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-23-12
                                                                  • 9757

                                                                  #942
                                                                  Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                                                  Wednesday Play

                                                                  VAN Over 2.5 (-144)
                                                                  Looked at this, decided I like Phoenix over 2.5 (-135) a little better. Took Chicago over 2.5 also. Crawford standing on his head as I type. Good luck, break the bank!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • gvo
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 10-14-09
                                                                    • 280

                                                                    #943
                                                                    Tough break last night DG but I know you'll bounce back. Good luck with Van tonight, I took 'em in reg
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DennisGreen
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-27-08
                                                                      • 18369

                                                                      #944
                                                                      Kassian for Rocket Richard!

                                                                      1-0 +$200 on the day.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DennisGreen
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-27-08
                                                                        • 18369

                                                                        #945
                                                                        1-0 +$200 on the night.

                                                                        2013 Record

                                                                        25-31-2 -$926.50

                                                                        LIVE BETS: 7-5 +$692.50
                                                                        ML: 3-2 +$136
                                                                        TWO TEAMERS: 3-4
                                                                        -$69
                                                                        TTs: 2-3-1 -$179
                                                                        TOTALS: 3-2-1 -$243
                                                                        1ST PERIOD: 7-15 -$1264

                                                                        $50
                                                                        1-3 -$47.50


                                                                        18-18-1 +$251


                                                                        5-8-1 -$770


                                                                        0-1 -$360


                                                                        1-1 $0
                                                                        Comment
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