CFB 2012 (also NFL)

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  • Madison
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-16-11
    • 6445

    #1331
    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
    just home from bar. i was leaning Texans and under all day, but line move says i'm wrong on the side. war Schaub, UVA alum.

    will have to check out Welkers numbers.
    Boy just felt this beatdown comng. See if it holds. Disappointed I didn't listen for at 1U.
    Comment
    • jakeloftin2186
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-06-11
      • 595

      #1332
      how many drops screwed the over 22 completions
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #1333
        NFL Week Fourteen updated card
        3* Broncos/Raiders 1H under (2* under 24 +100, 1* under 24' -103) - WINNER
        3* Teaser: Broncos pk + Seahawks pk + Niners pk (-120) - WINNER
        2* Chiefs TT under 16 - WINNER
        2* Bengals -3 (-120) - LOSER
        2* Jaguars TT under 17' - WINNER
        1* Parlay: Stillers ML + Bucs 1Q ML + Bengals 1Q ML (+209) - LOSER
        1* Redskins TT over 24' - WINNER
        1* Matt Schaub completions over 22 (-120) - LOSER

        5-3 +6.4u

        53-46 +10.32u NFL season to date
        Comment
        • BiffTFinancial
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-29-09
          • 22670

          #1334
          Originally posted by jakeloftin2186
          how many drops screwed the over 22 completions
          good question. i just took a quick look and was not able to find it, but will have more time later now that i'm curious. pissed at myself for playing it period. should've walked away happy with a 5-2 week. oh well live and learn.
          Comment
          • BiffTFinancial
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-29-09
            • 22670

            #1335
            Originally posted by Madison
            Boy just felt this beatdown comng. See if it holds. Disappointed I didn't listen for at 1U.
            yeah, you were definitely right about your Pats last night. another easy winner for Pats 1H too.
            Comment
            • Madison
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-16-11
              • 6445

              #1336
              IMHO the upcoming NFL card is a VERY dangerous one at first glance.
              Comment
              • BiffTFinancial
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-29-09
                • 22670

                #1337
                2012-13 Bowls
                4* Vanderbilt -6'
                2* Utah St -10
                2* BYU -2'
                2* East Carolina/Louisiana Lafayette over 64'
                2* Washington/Boise State under 46
                1* Nevada +10
                Comment
                • BiffTFinancial
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-29-09
                  • 22670

                  #1338
                  this is a start on the bowls. the one other play that i might add before Christmas Eve is UCF/Ball State over. i will of course be considering the Hawaii Bowl over on Christmas Eve (a holiday tradition). will probably start jumping around with the plays that i book now, esp totals since i like some later totals, but i am always wary of booking sides early for later bowl games given how much can change.

                  here are my predicted scores of the games i've finished thus far, for bowl purposes and such in case anyone is interested.

                  Arizona, 50-44 (also thought about over here)
                  Utah State, 38-21
                  BYU, 27-17
                  UCF, 39-34
                  ULL, 41-31 (like over)
                  Boise, 20-17

                  then
                  Vandy, 34-16
                  Comment
                  • BiffTFinancial
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 22670

                    #1339
                    Originally posted by Madison
                    IMHO the upcoming NFL card is a VERY dangerous one at first glance.
                    if i can limit myself to an amount of plays that i can count on one hand, that will be a success. been playing too many games.
                    Comment
                    • BiffTFinancial
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 22670

                      #1340
                      my projected scores thus far:
                      Nevada (+10) vs Arizona (75) - Wildcats, 50-44 (NC)
                      Toledo (+10) vs Utah State (58) - Aggies, 38-21
                      BYU (-2') vs San Diego State (48') - Cougars, 27-17
                      Ball State (+7') vs Central Florida (61') - Knights, 39-34 (NC)
                      East Carolina (+6) vs Louisiana Lafayette (64') - Ragin' Cajuns, 41-31
                      Washington (+5) vs Boise State (46) - Broncos, 20-17 (NC)
                      SMU (+12) vs Fresno State (59') - Bulldogs, 40-31 (NC)
                      Central Michigan (+5) vs Western Kentucky (59) - Hilltoppers, 28-24 (NC)
                      Bowling Green (+7') vs San Jose State (47) - Falcons, 23-22 (U)
                      Cincinnati (-7') vs Duke (59) - Bearcats, 37-33 (NC)
                      Baylor (pk) vs UCLA (79) - Bruins, 54-48
                      Ohio U (+7') vs Louisiana Monroe (60) - Warhawks, 40-36 (NC)
                      Rutgers (+2') vs Virginia Tech (41') - Hokies, 24-16
                      Minnesota (+12') vs Texas Tech (57) - Red Raiders, 30-24 (NC)
                      Air Force (-1) vs Rice (61.5) - Owls, 33-32 (U)
                      North Carolina State (+6') vs Vanderbilt (52) - Commodores, 34-16
                      Wisconsin (+6') vs Stanford (47') - Cardinal, 21-17 (NC)
                      Louisville (+13) vs Florida (45') - Gators, 28-10

                      NC means fave doesn't cover; U means upset
                      Comment
                      • Madison
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-16-11
                        • 6445

                        #1341
                        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                        this is a start on the bowls. the one other play that i might add before Christmas Eve is UCF/Ball State over. i will of course be considering the Hawaii Bowl over on Christmas Eve (a holiday tradition). will probably start jumping around with the plays that i book now, esp totals since i like some later totals, but i am always wary of booking sides early for later bowl games given how much can change.

                        here are my predicted scores of the games i've finished thus far, for bowl purposes and such in case anyone is interested.

                        Arizona, 50-44 (also thought about over here)
                        Utah State, 38-21
                        BYU, 27-17
                        UCF, 39-34
                        ULL, 41-31 (like over)
                        Boise, 20-17

                        then
                        Vandy, 34-16
                        Just went to tail a few and at least 3 moved onto key #'s. Utah st -7 and BYU -3 for 2. When Biff talks the books listen (and fast)
                        Comment
                        • mbcoutinho
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 09-28-11
                          • 181

                          #1342
                          Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                          my projected scores thus far:
                          Nevada (+10) vs Arizona (75) - Wildcats, 50-44 (NC)
                          Toledo (+10) vs Utah State (58) - Aggies, 38-21
                          BYU (-2') vs San Diego State (48') - Cougars, 27-17
                          Ball State (+7') vs Central Florida (61') - Knights, 39-34 (NC)
                          East Carolina (+6) vs Louisiana Lafayette (64') - Ragin' Cajuns, 41-31
                          Washington (+5) vs Boise State (46) - Broncos, 20-17 (NC)
                          SMU (+12) vs Fresno State (59') - Bulldogs, 40-31 (NC)
                          Central Michigan (+5) vs Western Kentucky (59) - Hilltoppers, 28-24 (NC)
                          Bowling Green (+7') vs San Jose State (47) - Falcons, 23-22 (U)
                          Cincinnati (-7') vs Duke (59) - Bearcats, 37-33 (NC)
                          Baylor (pk) vs UCLA (79) - Bruins, 54-48
                          Ohio U (+7') vs Louisiana Monroe (60) - Warhawks, 40-36 (NC)
                          Rutgers (+2') vs Virginia Tech (41') - Hokies, 24-16
                          Minnesota (+12') vs Texas Tech (57) - Red Raiders, 30-24 (NC)
                          Air Force (-1) vs Rice (61.5) - Owls, 33-32 (U)
                          North Carolina State (+6') vs Vanderbilt (52) - Commodores, 34-16
                          Wisconsin (+6') vs Stanford (47') - Cardinal, 21-17 (NC)
                          Louisville (+13) vs Florida (45') - Gators, 28-10

                          NC means fave doesn't cover; U means upset
                          So, do you like the over for the Arizona/Nevada game?
                          Comment
                          • BiffTFinancial
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-29-09
                            • 22670

                            #1343
                            Originally posted by mbcoutinho
                            So, do you like the over for the Arizona/Nevada game?
                            yes, i just like Nevada +10 better.
                            Comment
                            • BiffTFinancial
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-29-09
                              • 22670

                              #1344
                              Originally posted by Madison
                              Just went to tail a few and at least 3 moved onto key #'s. Utah st -7 and BYU -3 for 2. When Biff talks the books listen (and fast)
                              haha, i wish!
                              Comment
                              • svenodds
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-12-09
                                • 1790

                                #1345
                                thanks biff
                                Comment
                                • BiffTFinancial
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-29-09
                                  • 22670

                                  #1346
                                  Originally posted by svenodds
                                  thanks biff
                                  anytime pal. hope that the info proves helpful.
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #1347
                                    NFL Week Fifteen
                                    2* Bengals first half -3 (-115)

                                    BOL to all tonight.
                                    Comment
                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-29-09
                                      • 22670

                                      #1348
                                      2* Bengals 1H -3 (-115) - LOSER

                                      Andy Dalton's Larry Fine impression is not funny.
                                      Comment
                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-29-09
                                        • 22670

                                        #1349
                                        final projected scores for bowls (for pool purposes)
                                        Nevada (+10) vs Arizona (75) - Wildcats, 50-44 (NC)
                                        Toledo (+10) vs Utah State (58) - Aggies, 38-21
                                        BYU (-2’) vs San Diego State (48’) - Cougars, 27-17
                                        Ball State (+7’) vs Central Florida (61’) - Knights, 39-34 (NC)
                                        East Carolina (+6) vs Louisiana Lafayette (64’) - Ragin' Cajuns, 41-31
                                        Washington (+5) vs Boise State (46) - Broncos, 20-17 (NC)
                                        SMU (+12) vs Fresno State (59’) - Bulldogs, 40-31 (NC)
                                        Central Michigan (+5) vs Western Kentucky (59) - Hilltoppers, 28-24 (NC)
                                        Bowling Green (+7’) vs San Jose State (47) - Falcons, 23-22 (U)
                                        Cincinnati (-7’) vs Duke (59) - Bearcats, 37-33 (NC)
                                        Baylor (pk) vs UCLA (79) - Bruins, 54-48
                                        Ohio U (+7’) vs Louisiana Monroe (60) - Warhawks, 40-36 (NC)
                                        Rutgers (+2’) vs Virginia Tech (41’) - Hokies, 24-16
                                        Minnesota (+12’) vs Texas Tech (57) - Red Raiders, 30-24 (NC)
                                        Air Force (-1) vs Rice (61’) - Owls, 33-32 (U)
                                        Navy (+14’) vs Arizona State (56) – Sun Devils, 31-21 (NC)
                                        West Virginia (-4) vs Syracuse (73’) - Neers, 44-43 (NC)
                                        Oregon State (+2) vs Texas - (57) - Longhorns, 36-33 (U)
                                        TCU (+2’) vs Michigan State (41) - Sparty, 17-16 (U)
                                        North Carolina State (+6’) vs Vanderbilt (52) - Commodores, 34-16
                                        Georgia Tech (+10) vs USC (64) - Trojans, 38-24
                                        Iowa State (-1) vs Tulsa (52) - Cyclones, 29-21
                                        Clemson (+4) vs LSU (58’) - Bayou Bengals, 33-21
                                        Purdue (+16’) vs Oklahoma State (70) - Pokes, 48-31
                                        Northwestern (+2’) vs Mississippi State (51’) - Mildcats, 26-20 (U)
                                        Michigan (+5’) vs South Carolina (48) - Cocks, 21-20 (NC)
                                        Nebraska (+10) vs Georgia (60) - Dawgs, 28-24 (NC)
                                        Wisconsin (+6’) vs Stanford (47’) - Cardinal, 21-17 (NC)
                                        Northern Illinois (+12’) vs Florida State (58’) - Noles, 41-24
                                        Louisville (+13) vs Florida (45’) - Gators, 28-10
                                        Kansas State (+9’) vs Oregon (75’) - Ducks, 37-34 (NC)
                                        Texas A&M (-4’) vs Oklahoma (71’) - Aggies, 43-37
                                        Pittsburgh (+3’) vs Ole Miss (52) - Rebels, 28-17
                                        Arkansas State (-4’) vs Kent State (61) - Golden Flashes, 31-28 (U)
                                        Alabama (-9’) vs Notre Dame (42) - Roll Tide, 24-14
                                        Comment
                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-09
                                          • 22670

                                          #1350
                                          adding NFL

                                          3* Stillers -1'
                                          2* Broncos team total over 25'

                                          NFL Week Fifteen updated card
                                          3* Stillers -1'
                                          2* Bengals 1H -3 (-115) - LOSER
                                          2* Broncos TT over 25'
                                          Comment
                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-29-09
                                            • 22670

                                            #1351
                                            lean Nevada TT over 35 -120 but probably pass and stay with 1* Nevada +10, 2* USU -10 for the day. BOL today, boys. bowl season is here!
                                            Comment
                                            • R.P. McMurphy
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-15-12
                                              • 9654

                                              #1352
                                              Leaning Nevada myself Biff. One question though judging by your projected score don't you see plenty of value in the ov as well GL today!
                                              Comment
                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-29-09
                                                • 22670

                                                #1353
                                                adding

                                                2* Packers team total over 23

                                                NFL Week Fifteen updated card
                                                3* Stillers -1'
                                                2* Bengals 1H -3 (-115) - LOSER
                                                2* Broncos TT over 25'
                                                2* Packers TT over 23
                                                Comment
                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                  • 22670

                                                  #1354
                                                  Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
                                                  Leaning Nevada myself Biff. One question though judging by your projected score don't you see plenty of value in the ov as well GL today!
                                                  i do like over, just feel as if i missed good number. that's one of the reasons i'm mulling UNR TT over. i don't like to play side and total in same game (and dog and over arguably not correlated), but tempted here and still might.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                    • 22670

                                                    #1355
                                                    there are some strong over trends for the New Mexico Bowl:

                                                    Play OVER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (ARIZONA) - in a game involving two excellent offensive teams (>=440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games. 37-8 over the last 10 seasons.)
                                                    Rich Rodriguez (ARIZONA) is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in all games he has coached since 1992.
                                                    ARIZONA is 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                                                    ARIZONA is 13-1 OVER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=200 rushing yards/game since 1992.
                                                    ARIZONA is 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) the 1rst half total vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game since 1992.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • R.P. McMurphy
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-15-12
                                                      • 9654

                                                      #1356
                                                      Good stuff Biff .. thanks and BOL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                        • 22670

                                                        #1357
                                                        adding

                                                        1* Nevada team total over 35'

                                                        damn my eyes for not getting over 35 -120 a little while ago (or 33 earlier this week).

                                                        2012-13 Bowls
                                                        4* Vanderbilt -6'
                                                        2* Utah St -10
                                                        2* BYU -2'
                                                        2* East Carolina/Louisiana Lafayette over 64'
                                                        2* Washington/Boise State under 46
                                                        1* Nevada +10
                                                        1* Nevada TT over 35'

                                                        BOL to all today.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-29-09
                                                          • 22670

                                                          #1358
                                                          Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
                                                          Good stuff Biff .. thanks and BOL
                                                          BOL to you too.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • fly fisher
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-25-10
                                                            • 2587

                                                            #1359
                                                            good luck Biff. Glad to see your are on my USU Aggies.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-29-09
                                                              • 22670

                                                              #1360
                                                              Originally posted by fly fisher
                                                              good luck Biff. Glad to see your are on my USU Aggies.
                                                              thanks, fly. glad to see that you are on them too. i always figure that fans know their team best. BOL to you today.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-09
                                                                • 22670

                                                                #1361
                                                                holy shit what a game to start bowl season. cash both 1* plays on Nevada TT over, Nevada +10.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                                  • 22670

                                                                  #1362
                                                                  cash 2* Utah State -10. 3-0 +4u start to the bowls, woot.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SilverTongueFox
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-23-10
                                                                    • 2338

                                                                    #1363
                                                                    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                                    cash 2* Utah State -10. 3-0 +4u start to the bowls, woot.
                                                                    Biff - good start to the bowl season!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                                      • 22670

                                                                      #1364
                                                                      Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                                                                      Biff - good start to the bowl season!!
                                                                      thanks!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                                        • 22670

                                                                        #1365
                                                                        adding

                                                                        2* Rams -2' (-115)

                                                                        tailing Bank on his team. also like Vikes TT under 17' +105 here.

                                                                        NFL Week Fifteen updated card
                                                                        3* Stillers -1'
                                                                        2* Bengals 1H -3 (-115) - LOSER
                                                                        2* Broncos TT over 25'
                                                                        2* Packers TT over 23
                                                                        2* Rams -2' (-115)
                                                                        Comment
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