Pags' Plays 10/11

**themajormt** · 10-07-08, 08:29 AM

Originally posted by SportNut

Oh sorry about this is the link.
http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...cks-vegas.html

I wasnt "touting" FBJ picks at all, I saw he was on a nice run and was trying to get in on the run but the guy is a joke. He emailed me a pick and says its his BEST BET, it loses, he then sends out a generic email to all of his "clients" and says my BEST BET cashes, which was a completely different game. He is a joke and I am glad I didnt send him money for his picks...

I am only 25 and have done ok in my few years but what I learn from this site on a daily basis is like going back to college!

I will stick to following some of the great cappers on here and seeing how they break down games, this is how you really learn something...

Thanks for the great picks Pags! It really opens my eyes when I read your thoughts and then I look at the games you picked and Even other ones... I am sure I can speak for everyone and say we truly appreciate your work!

**Lout84** · 10-07-08, 09:20 AM

pags, glad to see we are both on Tulsa! I am highly debating LSU now that it is up to +6.

**Godsmack** · 10-07-08, 09:24 AM

pags,fantastic job!!!! one request from you,what are your thoughts on my dreaded badgers playing at home vs p state?the last 2 weeks they have fell in the tank,but really could be very easilly 5-0 with a play or 2 differential.i realize joe pa has his team rolling,but i have a feeling badgers will play them very tough,and hopefully,not only cover,but get the W as well. any input would be appreciated

**DrLuck** · 10-07-08, 10:53 AM

great job pags...appreciate all your hard work

**VegasDave** · 10-07-08, 11:00 AM

I'm on Tulsa as well Lout! Looks like it is a capper's dream, haha.

Pags, I disagree with or see holes in every pick but the Tulsa one. Unlike last week I was with you on a few and considering the others, this week we are apparently seeing things totally differently.

I'm very excited to see how you do... I hope you do well. If you win on most of these games I'm shaking my head about, I'll definitely give you

for seeing the edge where I couldn't. Good luck this week, lets kill it again.

**Mr Handicapable** · 10-07-08, 11:12 AM

Tulsa should be ranked...that QB is the real deal....very accurate & strong arm!

Pags,

I'm riding w/you 100% this week & we'll see what happens! I can put my ego aside if the bankroll requires it....although I did go 7-1 two weeks ago! Thanks again!!

**Mr Handicapable** · 10-07-08, 11:57 AM

Pags,

I'm considering a big play on Houston -18/UAB on Thursday! Houston just hammered East Carolina on the road 41-24 with a unbelievable total yd advantage of 621-275! Houston has great team speed and Hurricane Ike threw them off their schedule leading to a 1-3 record coming into the EC game! UAB has only won 1 game (Alabama St. Div.2) with a 1 man gang (QB Joe Webb) on offense and a very weak defense! They've played on the road 3 times losing by 15 to FAU, by 32 to Tenn., and by 13 to South Carolina! All 3 of those teams have offensive problems although Tenn & S. Carolina obviously have better defenses than Houston! I know college kids can be inconsistent but anything close to that EC effort blows out UAB! I see a 51-23 type of game! Any thoughts....or do you avoid mid-week games in general? Thanks in advance for your feedback!

PS- Houston hasn't played since Sept. 27th....UAB just played last Thursday!

**avssakic** · 10-07-08, 12:57 PM

If you guys haven't gotten USC -25 yet you better hurry. The line is moving and should keep moving especially since ASU's QB Carpenter may not start, he just got hurt in practice yesterday

**Biff Webster** · 10-07-08, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by avssakic

If you guys haven't gotten USC -25 yet you better hurry. The line is moving and should keep moving especially since ASU's QB Carpenter may not start, he just got hurt in practice yesterday

The line I have has been at 27 all day. I still think this is a good pick especially with Carpenter possibly out

**Jayy** · 10-07-08, 02:24 PM

pags, what sportsbook are u using?

**etothep** · 10-07-08, 02:25 PM

Originally posted by Jayy

pags, what sportsbook are u using?

I believe he has said all posted picks come via matchbook. But I could always be wrong.

**SportsLockPicks** · 10-07-08, 03:06 PM

Pag's, Who do you like in Troy vs. FAU?

If you were to lean on tonights game, who would you take?
Troy -4 or FAU +4...

**masr** · 10-07-08, 04:19 PM

Hey Pags....

nice picks, Like USC !feels good knowing your backing home team here USC is going to start to roll!!
Also likin LSU, at 6...and Kansas
Good luck this week

**Lout84** · 10-07-08, 09:01 PM

Mark Sanchez is listed day-to-day and may not play with a knee injury. Also, the ASU QB Carpenter is listed questionable with an ankle injury.

**pags11** · 10-07-08, 10:00 PM

jacey,

glad we are on LSU together...

rich,

glad you agree with the Hawaii play...

...I have no opinion on the Vandy vs. MSU game...

yisman,

I know it can be a bit confusing, but I'm not messing with anything right now due to my superstitiousness...

king,

I will elaborate further in my write-up on Thursday, but have you gotten a chance to watch these teams play much lately?...if you have you might better understand the play...

madworld,

thank you...glad we will be on those two together...

panther,

thanks bud...

tpowell,

that's definitely part of it, although I feel Hawaii is starting to play a lot better...

diogee,

gyno has already posted my plays in his thread...if you wouldn't mind going back and editing the thread you may have started and take them off, I would greatly appreciate it...the last time a thread was started by someone over there with my picks in it I had a losing week. I'm extremely superstitious...thanks for understanding...

the majormt,

I appreciate it very much...

lout,

glad we will be on Tulsa together...let me know what you decide with LSU...

godsmack,

thank you very much...the PSU vs. Wisconsin screams no-play to me...

drluck,

thank you sir...

usckingsfan,

glad we are on Tulsa together...you'll have to read my write-up this Thursday to get my insight on the other games...

mrhandicapable,

thank you...I think you are a good capper but am glad we will be on many of these games together...I like the Houston QB, but I'm not interested in that game at all...

avssakic,

actually Carpenter was injured in the fourth quarter of the Cal game and left the stadium in cruches, but you are onto the injury situation...nice work...

biff,

I agree that at 27 it's still a fair number...

jayy,

online I play with bookmaker and matchbook..although I do live in a state that allows legalized gambling and ocasionally make a trip down there if there's a better number available...

etothep,

that is correct, I have posted mainly matchbook numbers this week with the exception of the TCU play...

sport,

sorry I didn't get to this in time regarding teh Troy vs. FAU game...

masr,

I always appreciate your support...glad we will be on those three games together...

lout,

Mitch Mustain, USC's number two QB, can fill in nicely for Sanchez although listening to Pete Carroll's press conference today I anticipate that Sanchez will play...

**Kingctb27** · 10-07-08, 10:02 PM

I actually haven't Pags.... Just looking at stats of the two teams games.... Either way, I'll probably be on it with you as well

**pags11** · 10-07-08, 10:21 PM

king,

understood...I definitely think stats are a worthy part of a capping method, but at this point in the season I tend to go over a lot of what my eyes have seen, if that makes sense...

**MattyBoy** · 10-07-08, 10:25 PM

Pags,

Do you have any thoughts on the Arkansas St/LA Monroe game (-13)? ARK st has a pretty good running game and are at home v. LA Monroe ranked last in the nation in run defense. Luv the TCU game as well!!!

**pags11** · 10-07-08, 11:30 PM

mattyboy,

to be very honest with you I don't follow the Sun Belt very closely, so no I don't have an opinion on that game...glad you like TCU, I'm sure it will be a bit dicey with them being a double digit road favorite, but I still feel they are the play...

**stk911** · 10-07-08, 11:56 PM

hi paggs,
i just want to drop in to congratulate you on your outstanding picks and sharing with all of us.....keep up the great work!

**Kingctb27** · 10-08-08, 12:11 AM

Originally posted by pags11

king,

understood...I definitely think stats are a worthy part of a capping method, but at this point in the season I tend to go over a lot of what my eyes have seen, if that makes sense...

Got cha. Line is down to +1.5 now.

**diogee** · 10-08-08, 12:25 AM

Understandable Pags...didn't realize Gyno had them in his thread. I didn't actually start a thread but did put the picks in another thread for someone who was looking for them. I'll have a mod delete them. Sorry about that and good luck.

**WSU_Tbone** · 10-08-08, 12:47 AM

Pags11 thanks for your insight week in and week out...your hard work is appreciated...

You follow the Pac-10 closely at all? How bout dem Cougars...lol..

**pags11** · 10-08-08, 01:19 AM

stk911,

appreciate you stopping by and saying that...glad to hear you are enjoying the plays...

king,

yeah, I saw that line move...interesting...

diogee,

that would be great if you could could get that done...thanks bud...

wsu_tbone,

thanks very much for saying that...yeah, I saw they held scout team QB tryouts this week, open to everyone on campus...ouch...

**xyzky** · 10-08-08, 11:14 AM

Hey Pag's,

Are you not on Vandy this week because it is a potential let down game for them?

**bearmz** · 10-08-08, 12:32 PM

Like the NW pick and it's down to +1' now.
Agree with Sooner as well on OkST.
Why is IaSt a dog to Baylor?????? and Army now a dog to EMich as well???
Few more I'm liking/looking at: WF, Mem, SCar, WM, TAM, and Temp.
Sorry to clutter.
Continued great picking.

**GoSooners** · 10-08-08, 01:15 PM

Hey Pags...I like the plays this week. Kansas I'm still undecided on. Colorado is technically the "running dogs" in that game. But as we discusssed, the O-Line and the CU team is general is pretty worn down from a tough schedule. I like your LSU play..LSU is the running dogs in that game. Northwestern is also the running dogs..I'll send you my full list later today or just give you a call on a few more games I have on my radar....Good luck buddy...Have a great week.

**Dbldown11** · 10-08-08, 01:28 PM

Originally posted by bearmz

Like the NW pick and it's down to +1' now.
Agree with Sooner as well on OkST.
Why is IaSt a dog to Baylor?????? and Army now a dog to EMich as well???
Few more I'm liking/looking at: WF, Mem, SCar, WM, TAM, and Temp.
Sorry to clutter.
Continued great picking.

Eastern Michigan is one of my favorite picks this week. Army is brutal.

**MaurySline** · 10-08-08, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by themajormt

I wasnt "touting" FBJ picks at all, I saw he was on a nice run and was trying to get in on the run but the guy is a joke. He emailed me a pick and says its his BEST BET, it loses, he then sends out a generic email to all of his "clients" and says my BEST BET cashes, which was a completely different game. He is a joke and I am glad I didnt send him money for his picks...

I am only 25 and have done ok in my few years but what I learn from this site on a daily basis is like going back to college!

I will stick to following some of the great cappers on here and seeing how they break down games, this is how you really learn something...

Thanks for the great picks Pags! It really opens my eyes when I read your thoughts and then I look at the games you picked and Even other ones... I am sure I can speak for everyone and say we truly appreciate your work!

major, DID YOU EVER PAY FOR any picks from Fball jesus?? All you got was free picks then man, so why you complaining? EVERY week i have paid for picks from Fball jeus , i came out a head -EVERY week. even this last week when he had a bad saturday, he FINISHED BIG sunday and monday and was UP 4 bets for the week.

Lots of guys like pags and Jesus do good work, lets win with em

**White_Tiger** · 10-08-08, 02:37 PM

GL Pags,
I like TCU, USC, Hawaii and NW there.
I will go against you on LSU bet which I think FL will be a good spot tis week.

WT.

**daneblazer** · 10-08-08, 04:44 PM

I'm extremely superstitious...

Me too, that's why I'm wishing you good luck again this week

**shrax4** · 10-08-08, 05:42 PM

I hope LSU wins outright. Would shut up those Gator fans for a bit... That should be a fun game to watch this weekend. Do you watch all the games you bet on Saturdays?

BOL pags.

**alexda[]** · 10-08-08, 06:05 PM

good luck this week pags

**jagermeister1** · 10-08-08, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by MaurySline

major, DID YOU EVER PAY FOR any picks from Fball jesus?? All you got was free picks then man, so why you complaining? EVERY week i have paid for picks from Fball jeus , i came out a head -EVERY week. even this last week when he had a bad saturday, he FINISHED BIG sunday and monday and was UP 4 bets for the week.

Lots of guys like pags and Jesus do good work, lets win with em

Sorry, but I hear a lot of sales pitch in the words from your posts and others on the other thread posted above. When guys are saying "he's so cool," "it was worth it," "football jesus is money," "it was easy," "i made 2000 monday alone!"... it really starts sounding like a BS infomercial.

If it's not a promotion, then why are you guys pushing it so hard? Especially from guys without reps on this site.

no offense intended, just sharing my impression of the situation.

**jagermeister1** · 10-08-08, 06:50 PM

By the way, good luck, pags. I'm with you big on Tulsa.