Pags' Plays 8/30

The HOFF · 08-13-08, 04:37 PM

AWESOME! Glad to see your picks! Going to get them right now!

pags11 · 08-13-08, 04:41 PM

thanks hoff...it's good to be back...GL to you brother...

The HOFF · 08-13-08, 04:46 PM

Not that it matters, but I believe the SMU game is Friday. Best of luck this year! I'm so excited for the season to start.

pags11 · 08-13-08, 04:51 PM

hoff,

you are correct sir...I'll go fix that right now...

shrax4 · 08-13-08, 06:16 PM

Have been waiting for this thread since January... very happy its here.

Pags, do you bet everything at Bookmaker? I'm indecisive about moving my bankroll there to take advantage of the early lines... cause I love getting great odds at matchbook. Thanks bud.

pags11 · 08-13-08, 07:49 PM

shrax,

I use strictly bookmaker and matchbook...I make half my plays each week at bookmaker and half at matchbook...in addition to my wagers, I manage money for a group of "investors"...my deal with them is that they get the -110 bets, I get the even money (or better) bets...I take the better numbers, they get the worse numbers...they have never complained...for the sake of posting, I post my bookmaker plays here usually...

ZBOIZ · 08-13-08, 10:33 PM

Originally posted by pags11

shrax,

I use strictly bookmaker and matchbook...I make half my plays each week at bookmaker and half at matchbook...in addition to my wagers, I manage money for a group of "investors"...my deal with them is that they get the -110 bets, I get the even money (or better) bets...I take the better numbers, they get the worse numbers...they have never complained...for the sake of posting, I post my bookmaker plays here usually...

Pags11 my P.O.D for the 30th is LSU-23 I hear that your a pretty good capper for football! It's a pleasure to meet you knowing the fact that I'm great at handicapping football and I met a guy that is great! That will help me probably double my profit for football!

and actually Illinois was one of my other plays I was researching the other day! I was leaning that way.

pags11 · 08-13-08, 10:36 PM

zboiz,

thanks for stopping by...I appreciate the kind words...I did get a chance to read your write-up and definitely agree that a Les Miles' coached LSU squad is definitely a good bully...glad also to hear that you are leaning to Illinois...

onlooker · 08-13-08, 11:56 PM

Welcome back Pags. Good luck this year.

pags11 · 08-14-08, 12:22 AM

thanks onlooker...I appreciate it...

onthewhat · 08-14-08, 12:25 AM

thanks for posting these pags...i appreciate it.

good luck on the season buddy

i know you assign different units on plays, im assuming you are waiting to get a better feel for the teams before making multi-unit plays?

pags11 · 08-14-08, 01:24 AM

onthewhat,

that is correct...no matter how many preseason magazines we read and how much research we do, the beginning of the season is still very unpredictable...I increase my unit size of my plays as the season goes on...

thanks for the well wishes...best of luck to you this season as well...

Dazzez · 08-14-08, 08:12 AM

Originally posted by pags11

Fri.
1/2 unit play

SMU +3

Sat.
All plays for one unit...

New Mexico +7
Memphis +8.5
Illinios +8.5
Idaho +27
La. Tech +8.5
Cal -5

I will be adding one more play for Saturday but am waiting at this point...

So I guess we can assume that unless you specifically state otherwise all your plays are at -110 and will be graded that way for your official record?

Absolute best of luck to you, pags. I will be rooting for you.

odusmykal · 08-14-08, 10:05 AM

Nice picks Pags.. Best of luck to you all season..

SECfan23 · 08-14-08, 12:00 PM

Just FYI, I got La tech and Memphis at +9 at beted.

pags11 · 08-14-08, 03:29 PM

dazzez,

without going into great detail as to how I place wagers for myself and my investors, and mainly for the sake of ease of record keeping, all plays are kept as even money bets...this will be reflected in my record as the season goes on...thanks...

odu,

thanks bud...best of luck to you this season as well...

secfan,

good to hear, congrats...I'm not sure we will see 10 again in either of those games and the next key number for me was 8.5 so I grabbed them...good luck to you...

accuscoresucks · 08-14-08, 05:13 PM

so here is the pags11

gl bud kill em this year

pags11 · 08-14-08, 10:08 PM

acc,

yep, glad you found me...thanks very much...good luck to you as well...

SBR Lou · 08-14-08, 10:10 PM

Great to see Pags posting plays!

Welcome back and best of luck this foots year.

pags11 · 08-14-08, 10:54 PM

thank you crazyl...I appreciate your continued support in helping moderate my threads...

apmartin28 · 08-15-08, 09:20 AM

pags,

brand new here. Look forward to these picks each week. I would ask what people post that helped you leave before, but I think I would rather not know since most people are stupid.

Hope you get the chance to stay the whole year and thanks for posting your picks.

BuddyBear · 08-15-08, 02:15 PM

what a great start to the season Coach! Lines are already moving your way. Keep up the good work.....

pags11 · 08-15-08, 02:53 PM

apmartin,

thank you sir...that is my hope as well and in talking with Bill I feel confident, for the most part, that my threads will be more regularly moderated...that way I can stick around for the entire season...good to have you on board and best of luck to you...

buddy,

thanks partner...I look forward to our continued discussions throughout the season...

xyzky · 08-15-08, 05:34 PM

Pags,
Thanks for the early picks; I am still trying to get through Steel's mag.

babaoriley · 08-15-08, 06:22 PM

Nice to have you back pags. Good luck with this card. Really like the Memphis & La. Tech plays. I'm on them as well.

pags11 · 08-15-08, 06:22 PM

thanks xyzky...it's worth finding the magazine, he's amazing with the information he compiles...

pags11 · 08-15-08, 06:25 PM

baba,

good to hear that we are on those two plays together...I wish you a lot of luck this season...

onthewhat · 08-16-08, 11:32 AM

Illinois moved to +9 on Bookmaker.

Hey pags, do you recommend buying Idaho to +28 or is the +27 number good enough?

DrLuck · 08-16-08, 12:14 PM

GL pags

Do you see many points in that Memphis game was looking at the under? Of course need a line first...

pags11 · 08-16-08, 06:15 PM

onthewhat,

I noticed that...I'm sure some of it was over the news of the Illinois DE getting injured (as well as WR Cumberland)...next key number in that game is 10, not sure we will see it but I could be wrong...I rarely recommend paying extra juice ever, and this would not be a time...if I played the game at +27, that should tell you what you need to know...

drluck,

I'm the last guy you want to ask regarding totals, as I haven't played a total in about five years...I'm not sure either defense is that great, but offenses sometimes sputter in the first game of the year too...GL with what you decide...

onthewhat · 08-16-08, 11:45 PM

Pags I'm hearing Kentucky looks real bad in practice and scrimmages, what do you think of Louisville at home seeking revenge from last years loss?

jimmythesaint · 08-17-08, 01:51 PM

Pags,

Former lurker who wanted to post and say thanks for the picks.

What do you think about Utah +3.5? Utah is solid, and RR has absolutely no one on offense at Michigan.

GatorFan · 08-17-08, 11:01 PM

Originally posted by pags11

Fri.
1/2 unit play

SMU +3

Sat.
All plays for one unit...

New Mexico +7
Memphis +8.5
Illinios +8.5
Idaho +27
La. Tech +8.5
Cal -5

I will be adding one more play for Saturday but am waiting at this point...

I am so happy to see your post again, Pags. And, of course I always wait for your write-up of your picks because of outstanding analysis of why you made your picks. Thanks, Sir

pags11 · 08-18-08, 01:59 AM

onthewhat,

I've heard similiar reports regarding Kentucky...I'm just not sure that I can get interested in laying points in a rivalry game with so many question marks...

jimmy,

I really don't see much value right now in Utah...I thought the original line of 6ish was closer to what I think the line should be...does this mean I'd take Michigan at this point?...no...that will just be a game I sit back and watch and learn for future weeks...

gatorfan,

thank you very much for that...I will indeed provide a write-up for these picks before week one...best of luck to you this season...