Cougar Bait's College Football Plays 2010

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  • Cougar Bait
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-04-07
    • 18282

    #36
    Originally posted by sweetjones55
    VT is the play. Ryan Matthews ran for like 300 yards vs BSU last year and Ryan Williams is just as good if not better with a better OLline. Fresno gave up 50 points though, VT will not. 60% of the public on Boise and line goes from VT +2 to -2.
    I agree with this analysis SJ, weird line movement, but gonna make V Tech a play if Navy cashes. Good luck tonight boys.
    Comment
    • sweetjones55
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-07-09
      • 5257

      #37
      Originally posted by Cougar Bait

      I agree with this analysis SJ, weird line movement, but gonna make V Tech a play if Navy cashes. Good luck tonight boys.
      Personally don't think you should just take a team just because another team wins. If VT is worth a play then they are worth a play regardless if you've hit your last 5 or lost you're last 5 games. I don't think the movement is weird. I just think the bigger smart money was pounding on the nice VT moneyline while it was around +115-120 driving the line to -2.5 now.
      Scared money don't make money

      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
      Comment
      • Cougar Bait
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-04-07
        • 18282

        #38
        Originally posted by sweetjones55
        Personally don't think you should just take a team just because another team wins. If VT is worth a play then they are worth a play regardless if you've hit your last 5 or lost you're last 5 games. I don't think the movement is weird. I just think the bigger smart money was pounding on the nice VT moneyline while it was around +115-120 driving the line to -2.5 now.
        Well everyone has their own way of doing things. I hope Tech wins either way because I am sick of the Boise hype. I don't want to see them win one real game then play a bunch of posers and end up in the BCS Championship game.
        Comment
        • OverUnder
          SBR MVP
          • 12-31-09
          • 3126

          #39
          Navy is off to a slow start, but they look good on offense. Hopefully they can make this a shootout.
          Comment
          • Cougar Bait
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-04-07
            • 18282

            #40
            Originally posted by OverUnder
            Navy is off to a slow start, but they look good on offense. Hopefully they can make this a shootout.
            Navy is getting worked over right now.
            Comment
            • OverUnder
              SBR MVP
              • 12-31-09
              • 3126

              #41
              Gotta score right here
              Comment
              • Cougar Bait
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-04-07
                • 18282

                #42
                Originally posted by OverUnder
                Gotta score right here
                Boo-yah! Needed that score, these guys can light it up, just hope they can make a few stops, I think Maryland will tire come the second half.
                Comment
                • OverUnder
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-09
                  • 3126

                  #43
                  4 red zone visits and 7 points
                  Comment
                  • Cougar Bait
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-04-07
                    • 18282

                    #44
                    Originally posted by OverUnder
                    4 red zone visits and 7 points
                    Yeah I hear ya, missed FG was frustrating, always hate to see easy points missed
                    Comment
                    • OverUnder
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-09
                      • 3126

                      #45
                      Navy will roll in the second half they are more disciplined and Maryland is notoriously bad in the 4th quarter.
                      Comment
                      • OverUnder
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-31-09
                        • 3126

                        #46
                        Navy -4.5 (-120) for the 2nd half.
                        Comment
                        • Cougar Bait
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-04-07
                          • 18282

                          #47
                          I am counting on the D to tire as the game progresses, it was part of how I capped this game.

                          Let's hope you are right O/U
                          Comment
                          • sweetjones55
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-07-09
                            • 5257

                            #48
                            Originally posted by Cougar Bait

                            Well everyone has their own way of doing things. I hope Tech wins either way because I am sick of the Boise hype. I don't want to see them win one real game then play a bunch of posers and end up in the BCS Championship game.
                            DITTOOOO. I don't think it will happen, that just wouldn't be right.
                            Scared money don't make money

                            182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                            37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                            Comment
                            • OverUnder
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-31-09
                              • 3126

                              #49
                              Last three Navy possessions, fumble on the 2, fumble on the 6, and a fumble on the 1
                              Comment
                              • HoldEmHook!!
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-08-09
                                • 2962

                                #50
                                Hey Coug, I was in another in game thread.......Navy should be dominating, Dobbs must have a dime on Maryland
                                Comment
                                • NostraDanUS
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-02-09
                                  • 665

                                  #51
                                  the 2nd half always belongs to the wishbone.
                                  Comment
                                  • Cougar Bait
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-04-07
                                    • 18282

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                    DITTOOOO. I don't think it will happen, that just wouldn't be right.


                                    Originally posted by OverUnder
                                    Last three Navy possessions, fumble on the 2, fumble on the 6, and a fumble on the 1
                                    Yeah, unreal it shouldn't even be a game right now...

                                    Originally posted by HoldEmHook!!
                                    Hey Coug, I was in another in game thread.......Navy should be dominating, Dobbs must have a dime on Maryland
                                    All good, and I hear ya, let's just get this money

                                    Originally posted by NostraDanUS
                                    the 2nd half always belongs to the wishbone.
                                    That's how I capped it, but all these mistakes have really blown a hole in my theory...could be close
                                    Comment
                                    • OverUnder
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-31-09
                                      • 3126

                                      #53
                                      Between this game and the LSU game I feel like quitting
                                      Comment
                                      • Cougar Bait
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-04-07
                                        • 18282

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by OverUnder
                                        Between this game and the LSU game I feel like quitting
                                        The thing is this one we capped right, it's just the final doesn't reflect it. You're gonna have games like this all year. 3 fumbles inside the 10? No way to cap that. Navy did everything you thought they were gonna do except capitalize on those drives. If they do, it's not even close.
                                        Comment
                                        • Chuck Sims
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-29-05
                                          • 3072

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by OverUnder
                                          Navy -4.5 (-120) for the 2nd half.
                                          Matchbook had Navy -4.5 +101.
                                          Comment
                                          • Cougar Bait
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-04-07
                                            • 18282

                                            #56
                                            Adding:

                                            Vriginia Tech ML +105 (1 to win 1.05)
                                            Comment
                                            • Cougar Bait
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-04-07
                                              • 18282

                                              #57
                                              Bad day today 0-2

                                              4-4 on the year -.36 units YTD

                                              On to next week, and I should really stick to my idea of not playing games that are questionable. Got hooked into wanting action tonight. Still, could be worse I guess. But I let a profit on the week slip by because of an inability to tame my need for action.
                                              Comment
                                              • OverUnder
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-31-09
                                                • 3126

                                                #58
                                                2-6-1 for the first week down 11 units. Well, at least its a long season Cougar I liked my picks this weekend just had some bad breaks.
                                                Comment
                                                • Cougar Bait
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-04-07
                                                  • 18282

                                                  #59
                                                  O/U you are a good capper and will bounce back
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GiveMeaBJ
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-08-09
                                                    • 8449

                                                    #60
                                                    Tough day today Cougar bounce back next week.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • OverUnder
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-31-09
                                                      • 3126

                                                      #61
                                                      Got any week 2 leans yet? I like:

                                                      Miss St. +2
                                                      S. Carolina -2.5
                                                      Army -2.5
                                                      FLA -16.5
                                                      Vandy +10.5
                                                      Oklahoma -9.5
                                                      Notre Dame -4
                                                      Ohio State -9.5
                                                      Tennessee +13
                                                      Comment
                                                      • OverUnder
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                        • 3126

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by Cougar Bait
                                                        O/U you are a good capper and will bounce back
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Cougar Bait
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-04-07
                                                          • 18282

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by OverUnder
                                                          Got any week 2 leans yet? I like: Miss St. +2 S. Carolina -2.5 Army -2.5 FLA -16.5 Vandy +10.5 Oklahoma -9.5 Notre Dame -4 Ohio State -9.5 Tennessee +13
                                                          I am all over a bunch of bad teams this week. No idea why.

                                                          Central Michigan +8
                                                          Marshall +13.5
                                                          ECU -12
                                                          Idaho +29
                                                          Louisiana Tech +19.5
                                                          Buffalo +16.5
                                                          Central Florida -3

                                                          Just at a first glance. I will be playing some of these, just have to narrow it down. It usually changes quite a bit by the end of the week. We'll see.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • paste_me
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-11-09
                                                            • 1832

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by OverUnder
                                                            Got any week 2 leans yet? I like:

                                                            Miss St. +2
                                                            S. Carolina -2.5

                                                            Army -2.5
                                                            FLA -16.5
                                                            Vandy +10.5
                                                            Oklahoma -9.5
                                                            Notre Dame -4
                                                            Ohio State -9.5
                                                            Tennessee +13
                                                            wow, i was leaning totally on the opposite side of most of those plays
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Cougar Bait
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-04-07
                                                              • 18282

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by paste_me
                                                              wow, i was leaning totally on the opposite side of most of those plays
                                                              I have been mulling over a play on Michigan but can't pull the trigger. I think I will pass on most of the big games this week.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • OverUnder
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-31-09
                                                                • 3126

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by paste_me

                                                                wow, i was leaning totally on the opposite side of most of those plays
                                                                I was 2-6-1 last week so do not take my word for it lol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • OverUnder
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-31-09
                                                                  • 3126

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Like UCF Cougar, like them alot.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Cougar Bait
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-04-07
                                                                    • 18282

                                                                    #68
                                                                    For Thursday:

                                                                    Central Michigan +7.5 -107 (1 to win .93)
                                                                    Mississippi State +2.5 -105 (1 to win .95)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PsychicSports
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 04-21-10
                                                                      • 204

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Best of luck CB! Got ya 14 points. hopefully I can remember to keep getting on here. lol. Sorry bro.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • OverUnder
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                                        • 3126

                                                                        #70
                                                                        On Mississippi State as well
                                                                        Comment
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