CFB 2013 (and some NFL)

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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #386
    Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
    Possible heavy rain in Seattle today. Does that change anything for you?
    Not particularly from this play. But for the weather, i wouldn't be getting 35 and i'd be considering playing it bigger. Game over 64 was one of my favorite plays when i went through the card first time, and weather kept me off of game over and from going bigger than 2u for sure. Both teams very good at running the ball so wind doesn't impact as much if two passing teams.
    Comment
    • BiffTFinancial
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-29-09
      • 22670

      #387
      Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
      I'm fired up. My local has released every team total but one. Kentucky. My favorite play - how the hell does he know that. lol
      Comment
      • SilverTongueFox
        SBR MVP
        • 11-23-10
        • 2338

        #388
        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
        adding

        2* LSU team total over 29
        2* Iowa/Minnesota under 45' (-105)

        CFB Week Five updated card
        2* Notre Dame team total under 23'
        2* LSU TT over 29
        2* Iowa/Minnesota under 45' (-105)
        2* Washington TT over 35
        2* Kentucky TT under 18
        1* USU/SJSU under 62 (-105) - LOSER
        Come on man!!! You just hurt my feelings. Dawgs 38-31 and make us both happy
        Comment
        • Rick22
          SBR MVP
          • 01-29-09
          • 2200

          #389
          Hey Biff- good luck today. Looking forward to the game tonight. But I fear for the Badgers!
          Comment
          • Smutbucket
            SBR MVP
            • 03-14-08
            • 3996

            #390
            Good luck this weekend Biff, I really love notre dame team total under....nice eye on that one...tommy rees has one of the most inaccurate throws Ive ever seen in a starting college football qb,

            Ive been eyeing Wisconsin and the team total over 24.5.....seems real low to me....whats your take on it?
            Comment
            • BiffTFinancial
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-29-09
              • 22670

              #391
              Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
              Come on man!!! You just hurt my feelings. Dawgs 38-31 and make us both happy
              This isn't personal, this is business. Plus, TT over is not nearly as offensive as LSU +3 or ML.

              I was liking LSU a lot early, but have come off of that. I have something like 36-34 game, less than a FG either way. Can't wait to watch.
              Comment
              • BiffTFinancial
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-29-09
                • 22670

                #392
                Originally posted by Rick22
                Hey Biff- good luck today. Looking forward to the game tonight. But I fear for the Badgers!
                We shall see, Rick. I'm worried about Braxton Miller's mobility against the new and improved Badger defensive front. Two games where I will place no monetary stake today: Tribe at 1 pm, Buckeyes tonight. In fact, any Cleveland sports fan wouldn't even consider betting Tribe today.
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #393
                  Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                  We shall see, Rick. I'm worried about Braxton Miller's mobility against the new and improved Badger defensive front. Two games where I will place no monetary stake today: Tribe at 1 pm, Buckeyes tonight. In fact, any Cleveland sports fan wouldn't even consider betting Tribe today.
                  would today clinch you guys a playoff spot? i havnt paid much attention to baseball outside of cards..
                  Comment
                  • BiffTFinancial
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 22670

                    #394
                    adding

                    2* Akron team total over 19

                    CFB Week Five updated card
                    2* Akron TT over 19
                    2* Notre Dame TT under 23'
                    2* LSU TT over 29
                    2* Iowa/Minnesota under 45' (-105)
                    2* Washington TT over 35
                    2* Kentucky TT under 18
                    1* USU/SJSU under 62 (-105) - LOSER
                    Comment
                    • BiffTFinancial
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 22670

                      #395
                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                      would today clinch you guys a playoff spot? i havnt paid much attention to baseball outside of cards..
                      Tribe win and Rangers loss clinches. Tribe win regardless of Texas clinches at worst a three-way tie with Tribe holding tiebreaker. Bottom-line: Cleveland sports fan can't touch this with a ten-foot poll. I actually think betting Buckeyes is bad idea too.
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #396
                        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                        Tribe win and Rangers loss clinches. Tribe win regardless of Texas clinches at worst a three-way tie with Tribe holding tiebreaker. Bottom-line: Cleveland sports fan can't touch this with a ten-foot poll. I actually think betting Buckeyes is bad idea too.
                        nice..here's to a tribe/cards WS !!
                        Comment
                        • BiffTFinancial
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-29-09
                          • 22670

                          #397
                          Originally posted by Smutbucket
                          Good luck this weekend Biff, I really love notre dame team total under....nice eye on that one...tommy rees has one of the most inaccurate throws Ive ever seen in a starting college football qb,

                          Ive been eyeing Wisconsin and the team total over 24.5.....seems real low to me....whats your take on it?
                          Hey, what's up, Smut? I will admit that i didn't spend any time on that game because i knew that i wouldn't be betting it. i would have Wisconsin right around that number. At 23, i'd like it, but at 24', could be trouble. BOL whatever you decide. I do think that Wisky's offense is better than the Buckeye defense right now.
                          Comment
                          • BiffTFinancial
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-29-09
                            • 22670

                            #398
                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                            nice..here's to a tribe/cards WS !!
                            i just want Tribe in the postseason. i hope that i can start thinking about how far in the postseason tomorrow after a Saturday clinch, knock on wood and all that stuff.
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #399
                              Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                              i just want Tribe in the postseason. i hope that i can start thinking about how far in the postseason tomorrow after a Saturday clinch, knock on wood and all that stuff.
                              yea i guess being a cards fan i dont realize how much different this may feel from your end, lol...ill try to stop with the talk that may sound somewhat jinxy...
                              Comment
                              • BiffTFinancial
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-29-09
                                • 22670

                                #400
                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                yea i guess being a cards fan i dont realize how much different this may feel from your end, lol...ill try to stop with the talk that may sound somewhat jinxy...
                                naw, no worries, dude. just so thrilled to be having the conversation.
                                Comment
                                • Go Beavers
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-09-09
                                  • 153

                                  #401
                                  Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                  I think that if you like Utah State, take team total over 36. Lean Utah State side but think TT safest way to go. BOL whatever you decide.

                                  Would love to know your thoughts on Beavs vs Buffs tomorrow. Lean Buffs but always appreciate the thoughts of someone who follows a team.
                                  Good call on the Team Total last night. As far as Oregon State goes, I am still waiting for the defense to catch up to the offense that is clicking pretty well. Colorado comes in after 2 weeks off, 1 due to the flooding. This makes me wonder if they come out fresh or flat. I expect the Beavers passing attack to put plenty of points on the board. Although the total has come crashing down to 55.5. I like the over in this game.
                                  Comment
                                  • steveq
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-22-12
                                    • 661

                                    #402
                                    thanks for the plays tailin workin to much to payattention
                                    hope your well gl
                                    Comment
                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-29-09
                                      • 22670

                                      #403
                                      adding

                                      2* Navy -3 (-130)

                                      can certainly understand taking -3' at lower juice. i feel strongly that Navy will win and don't want to get hooked.

                                      CFB Week Five updated card
                                      2* Navy -3 (-130)
                                      2* Notre Dame team total under 23'
                                      2* LSU TT over 29
                                      2* Iowa/Minnesota under 45' (-105)
                                      2* Washington TT over 35
                                      2* Kentucky TT under 18
                                      1* USU/SJSU under 62 (-105) - LOSER
                                      Comment
                                      • SilverTongueFox
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-23-10
                                        • 2338

                                        #404
                                        Biff - give me your expert opinion when looking at team totals vs game totals. I'll use LSU/UGA as my example.
                                        UGA team total 32.5 at -125
                                        LSU team total 29.5 at -125
                                        Game total 61.5 -110

                                        Both team totals juiced to the over yet game total doesn't align. Would this play a part in getting you off the over bc game total is not moving and has actually dropped? Or would it make you lean more towards the over bc you can get a better number? I know you use your model and don't chase lines but I also know you have a lot of experience in sports betting so curious to get your thoughts. i could be over thinking and probably nothing to this train of thought.

                                        Much respect and appreciate anything you could add as I'm always looking to improve at this shit.

                                        UCF came to play today. SCarolina lucky to be down only 10. I don't see SCarolina coming back.

                                        Akron about to kick off. Get them points boys.

                                        im about to call my guy and ask why that Kentucky team total is not up yet. May have to make a deposit at 5dimes.
                                        Comment
                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-09
                                          • 22670

                                          #405
                                          Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                                          Biff - give me your expert opinion when looking at team totals vs game totals. I'll use LSU/UGA as my example.
                                          UGA team total 32.5 at -125
                                          LSU team total 29.5 at -125
                                          Game total 61.5 -110

                                          Both team totals juiced to the over yet game total doesn't align. Would this play a part in getting you off the over bc game total is not moving and has actually dropped? Or would it make you lean more towards the over bc you can get a better number? I know you use your model and don't chase lines but I also know you have a lot of experience in sports betting so curious to get your thoughts. i could be over thinking and probably nothing to this train of thought.

                                          Much respect and appreciate anything you could add as I'm always looking to improve at this shit.

                                          UCF came to play today. SCarolina lucky to be down only 10. I don't see SCarolina coming back.

                                          Akron about to kick off. Get them points boys.

                                          im about to call my guy and ask why that Kentucky team total is not up yet. May have to make a deposit at 5dimes.
                                          Not sure that i have an expert opinion but will offer the ones that i do have, heh heh.

                                          If it's Pinny doing it, I'd read more into it than if your local is doing it. That said, yeah, those lines definitely look shaded to me, and if i like the game over, i'm well-pleased. I guess that a good way to put it is, those lines make me happy if i'm already on LSU TT over/UGA TT over, and happy if i'm considering game over. Does that make sense.

                                          Shaw injury changed complexion of SCarolina/UCF, but yeah, Gamecocks in real trouble.

                                          Go Zips! Tribe in rain delay.
                                          Comment
                                          • SilverTongueFox
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-23-10
                                            • 2338

                                            #406
                                            Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                            Not sure that i have an expert opinion but will offer the ones that i do have, heh heh.

                                            If it's Pinny doing it, I'd read more into it than if your local is doing it. That said, yeah, those lines definitely look shaded to me, and if i like the game over, i'm well-pleased. I guess that a good way to put it is, those lines make me happy if i'm already on LSU TT over/UGA TT over, and happy if i'm considering game over. Does that make sense.

                                            Shaw injury changed complexion of SCarolina/UCF, but yeah, Gamecocks in real trouble.

                                            Go Zips! Tribe in rain delay.
                                            i liked the over all week so I'm on it at 61.5.

                                            Thanks for your input. FYI local moved team totals to UGA 33 & LSU to 30 yet game total still clinging to 61.5.

                                            i will probably be on the over something in the Bama/Ole Miss game. Bama team total over 34 or game total over 54.5.
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #407
                                              Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                                              i liked the over all week so I'm on it at 61.5.

                                              Thanks for your input. FYI local moved team totals to UGA 33 & LSU to 30 yet game total still clinging to 61.5.

                                              i will probably be on the over something in the Bama/Ole Miss game. Bama team total over 34 or game total over 54.5.
                                              i like that over myself..on bama -7 1st half and -13.5 gm also..
                                              Comment
                                              • SilverTongueFox
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-23-10
                                                • 2338

                                                #408
                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                i like that over myself..on bama -7 1st half and -13.5 gm also..
                                                bank - gamecocks finally woke up. Went to the run game behind that big OL and took over the ball game. Good for my teaser. Just need gators back 6 or more.
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #409
                                                  Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                                                  bank - gamecocks finally woke up. Went to the run game behind that big OL and took over the ball game. Good for my teaser. Just need gators back 6 or more.
                                                  i hammered scary 2nd half so now the cover just icing ,,,didnt know wtf i was watching 1st half? ol ball coach hates to just out physical a team unless he has to i guess,..looks like they covering for sure now
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2daBank
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                    • 88966

                                                    #410
                                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                    i hammered scary 2nd half so now the cover just icing ,,,didnt know wtf i was watching 1st half? ol ball coach hates to just out physical a team unless he has to i guess,..looks like they covering for sure now
                                                    oh fuk me, backdoor open again..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #411
                                                      god damn what a shitty backdoor that waws,, thank goodness for 2nd half and live betting..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SilverTongueFox
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-23-10
                                                        • 2338

                                                        #412
                                                        My soft ass local still doesn't have team total up for Kentucky. I'm about to paste his ass on Bama/Ole Miss. I'm thinking over both team totals (Bama 34 / Ole Miss 20) and over game total 54.

                                                        Biff & bank, what do you think? I see a 41-24/27 type game.

                                                        What the fuk Akron? 14pts in first qtr and nil since. Need a garbage 7 to cash that over. Come on Zips!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-29-09
                                                          • 22670

                                                          #413
                                                          Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                                                          My soft ass local still doesn't have team total up for Kentucky. I'm about to paste his ass on Bama/Ole Miss. I'm thinking over both team totals (Bama 34 / Ole Miss 20) and over game total 54.

                                                          Biff & bank, what do you think? I see a 41-24/27 type game.

                                                          What the fuk Akron? 14pts in first qtr and nil since. Need a garbage 7 to cash that over. Come on Zips!
                                                          Ugh, sorry didn't respond earlier. Akron was a real kick in the pills, and my late Navy add was straight fkn stupid. Bad judgment turned a 3-0 day into 3-2 day. Like USC/ASU under 48'/USC TT under 22' for late play. Also like Wazzu but figure fading USC offense is the way to go for tonight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-29-09
                                                            • 22670

                                                            #414
                                                            adding

                                                            2* Washington State +9 (-105)
                                                            2* USC team total under 22'

                                                            CFB Week Five updated card
                                                            2* Navy -3 (-130) - LOSER
                                                            2* Akron TT over 19 - LOSER
                                                            2* Notre Dame team total under 23' - WINNER
                                                            2* LSU TT over 29 - WINNER
                                                            2* Iowa/Minnesota under 45' (-105) - WINNER
                                                            2* Washington TT over 35
                                                            2* Kentucky TT under 18 - WINNER
                                                            2* Wazzu +9 (-105)
                                                            2* USC TT under 22'
                                                            1* USU/SJSU under 62 (-105) - LOSER
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-29-09
                                                              • 22670

                                                              #415
                                                              should have passed on UW TT due to weather. more bad judgment.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • steveq
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-22-12
                                                                • 661

                                                                #416
                                                                nice plays biff wtg
                                                                bought the LSU up to 5 and hit it hard
                                                                talk about back and forth
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                                  • 22670

                                                                  #417
                                                                  CFB Week Five final card
                                                                  2* Navy -3 (-130) - LOSER
                                                                  2* Akron TT over 19 - LOSER
                                                                  2* Notre Dame team total under 23' - WINNER
                                                                  2* LSU TT over 29 - WINNER
                                                                  2* Iowa/Minnesota under 45' (-105) - WINNER
                                                                  2* Washington TT over 35 - LOSER
                                                                  2* Kentucky TT under 18 - WINNER
                                                                  2* Wazzu +9 (-105) - LOSER
                                                                  2* USC TT under 22' - LOSER
                                                                  1* USU/SJSU under 62 (-105) - LOSER

                                                                  4-6 -4.35u

                                                                  Damn my eyes on the late adds (0-4 on the Saturday). Quadruple bah.

                                                                  CFB YTD: 26-28 -8.08u

                                                                  Bad September, still digging out from that 0-9 Saturday in Week Three where dropped like 18u
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                                    • 22670

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Originally posted by steveq
                                                                    nice plays biff wtg
                                                                    bought the LSU up to 5 and hit it hard
                                                                    talk about back and forth
                                                                    thanks, pal. what a great game. LSU/UGA and Bama/A&M are two great examples of how NFL can't match college excitement when CFB is at its best. of course, to be fair, CFB lows are lower (e.g., UVA/Pitt, Navy/WKU after Navy QB went out yesterday).
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pacocn
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 07-05-10
                                                                      • 12934

                                                                      #419
                                                                      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                                      thanks, pal. what a great game. LSU/UGA and Bama/A&M are two great examples of how NFL can't match college excitement when CFB is at it's best. of course, to be fair, CFB lows are lower (e.g., UVA/Pitt, Navy/WKU after Navy QB went out yesterday).
                                                                      Ditto for college hoops
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                                        • 22670

                                                                        #420
                                                                        Originally posted by pacocn
                                                                        Ditto for college hoops
                                                                        Exactly. NBA can't touch great March Madness match-ups, Big East tourney at MSG, Butler/Indiana game from last December, but I played in a pick-up game Friday morning that was as entertaining as when the directional Michigans or the dregs of the Horizon meet.
                                                                        Comment
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