Hougigo's boxing/MMA picks

**hougigo** · 09-01-12, 08:49 AM

Definitely magomed. Mccline was sweating hamburger grease in his last fight

**dww123** · 09-01-12, 10:53 AM

Originally posted by hougigo

Adding 2 more (in a parlay with Golovkin)

Joyi over Rodriguez @ -450
Joyi is the best 105 fighter period. I'd take him over anybody.... Ioka, Yaegashi, Cuello....Joyi is the top. He might be fighting in Rodriguez's hometown, but there's no way he wins without a sever robbery.

Dzinzurik over Gonzalez @ -130
This is really a nail biter for me that could ruin my parlay. I'd take Dzinzurik any day of the week normally, but Gonzaelz came in 9 pounds overweight. That's ridiculous..... but he won't have the necessary speed to take out the razor. His experience and sharp jab will keep the inexperienced Gonzalez at bay and belt out a UD for him.... IMO. Gonzalez's weight could set him off and make him slower and gas out faster.
Then again, mr. tubby could win by KO.

I usually just bet MMA. If an MMA fighter came in 9 lbs over weight the line would go crazy and he would almost surely lose. Even 3 lbs over would be huge. It sounds like, to you, the fact that Gonzalez came in 9 lbs heavy is actually going to work to his advantage? Would this not mean Gonzalez is out of shape and will gas? Any thoughts?

**hougigo** · 09-01-12, 12:42 PM

Originally posted by dww123

I usually just bet MMA. If an MMA fighter came in 9 lbs over weight the line would go crazy and he would almost surely lose. Even 3 lbs over would be huge. It sounds like, to you, the fact that Gonzalez came in 9 lbs heavy is actually going to work to his advantage? Would this not mean Gonzalez is out of shape and will gas? Any thoughts?

to be honest. Apart from a few vids I saw of him, I don't know much about his body (no homo). I.e, if he's a fighter that's naturally big and drains like Chavez or hrs just lazy (always looking flabby). I think it's the latter since I heard he was cited with discipline problems in the past, but i never disregard the former. Im just worried about the power since that's all he has to rely on to win anyway. Dzin is a much better boxer

**BallaHolic777** · 09-01-12, 02:39 PM

Gonzalez fought his first 6 pro fights at 145 and fought light welter in the amateurs. He's been at 155 for 3 years now though, or at least had been till this fight ha. Yea anytime a guy who shouldnt have much of a problem getting down doesent make weight it makes me think that injury or something else kept him from doing his work in camp. Its a 10 round fight and I dont think he kos Dzinzurik and I dont think he out boxes him. Dzinurik has already been there and done that compared to Gonzalez.

**BallaHolic777** · 09-01-12, 02:59 PM

That guy Magomed is a monster! He trashed Byarm on FNF a couple months ago. In Mcclines last fight he lost a UD in poland to Arthur Szpilka, Mcline won a few rounds maybe and broke the kids jaw at some point but he didnt do much overall as usual for mcline. Szpilka is not close to Magomeds level yet. I do like Mcline though he seems to be a pretty smart guy and smart fighter. I'll put 9$ on him because I like to be able to say Ive got "9 on Mcline" haha I think that should be his new nickname because thats the most anybody should bet on him. I'll put that on him though for the action and because like I said he is a very smart fighter with alot of power and it only takes one cleverly placed shot from a guy like that to end your night.

**Mercersux** · 09-01-12, 10:17 PM

Golovkin is the real deal fellas... Why did it take him til 30 to get to the states? Middleweights on notice fo sho.

**JoshB** · 09-01-12, 11:52 PM

proksa was no match for sure

very suprised that joyi lost though, Big upset there.

**hougigo** · 09-02-12, 12:50 AM

Originally posted by JoshB

proksa was no match for sure

very suprised that joyi lost though, Big upset there.

of course he loses when he's last in my parlay. I knew I should have taken mthlane aylt better value.... Freaking joyi.

**JoshB** · 09-02-12, 10:04 AM

im hearing that it was a strange eding too, sounds like joyi may have quit. hmm.

**illmatick** · 09-03-12, 05:00 PM

Originally posted by Mercersux

Why did it take him til 30 to get to the states?

Legal dispute with Universum for the last 2 years. Only this year was he finally released from their contract.

Judging from his fight with Ouma, I'd say he's being slightly over hyped at this point, but I'd gladly pay to see him fight the winner of Chavez vs. Martinez.

**hougigo** · 09-08-12, 06:18 PM

Originally posted by JoshB

im hearing that it was a strange eding too, sounds like joyi may have quit. hmm.

That pissed me off.... .last leg in my parlay.
Took the count on a knee I'm hearing... FML that my last fighter quit

Also, I'm going to take John Monlina Jr. tonight against Demarco. This is a toss up fight and they are going to go to war tonight. I'll take it at + odds.

John Molina over Demarco @ +255

MMA/Boxing record: 24-16-1

**hougigo** · 09-08-12, 09:23 PM

Wow... Molina got crushed..... no clue why he didn't take a knee.... maybe it would've lasted more than 45 seconds...
SMH
At least it was only half a unit... but jesus....

MMA/Boxing record: 24-17-1

**hougigo** · 09-08-12, 10:23 PM

Wow.... so the weight drain affected Dawson far more than I thought. He just didn't have any energy at all to do anything..... he was more lifeless there than he was against Pascal. I just could not fathom this ever happening had Dawson not dropped down to 168..... i'm just bamboozled that he got KO'd.....

Matthysse won... but the over didn't hit.....

MMA/Boxing record: 25-18-1

**Mercersux** · 09-08-12, 11:35 PM

Ward v dawson....poor dawson took the chance dropping weight and what's he get for his trouble? A complete beatdown in every sense of the word. Unfortunate because this is far from the fighter Dawson really is.

**BallaHolic777** · 09-09-12, 01:12 AM

Screw Dawson he is now a quiter, you dont take a knee get right up and quit man, no heart at all. 19 seconds left in the 10th. He didnt want to get KO by a super middle. He'll probably give Hopkins dumbass a rematch for the LHW belts now or something ha. If he rematches Pascal I hope he gets KOd for real. Dawson dont know how to keep his hands up mainly his right he took the same left hook at least a hundred times, doesent get any worse then that. I love Scully too man but im sorry I think he was a shit trainer tonight as well.

**hougigo** · 09-11-12, 02:34 PM

Damn.... sorry guys, i've been getting slaughtered lately.... gahhhh
I knew Dawson was going to be weight drained... but I didn't think it'd kill him that much.
I don't care what people say, as somebody who had to drain weight before, it takes a toll depending on how much you lose. Just because it wasn't a catchweight, doesn't mean it wasn't bad.
I knew Ajose vs Matthysse wouldn't go the distance, but that Nigerian is one tough damn cookie. He's probably going to have brain damage now, but his chin is alright in my book after taking all those shots.
As for Molina vs Demarco.... screw that shit. He should've taken a knee instead of eating all those shots.... that was just idiotic

**hougigo** · 09-11-12, 02:54 PM

I have some ideas for this weekend (none involving Sergio/Martinez or Lopez vs Canelo.... both too risky in the system and matchup)
But a CW battle between Hernandez and Ross and the week after that, Diablo vs Palacios.

**Mercersux** · 09-11-12, 10:24 PM

Originally posted by hougigo

I have some ideas for this weekend (none involving Sergio/Martinez or Lopez vs Canelo.... both too risky in the system and matchup)
But a CW battle between Hernandez and Ross and the week after that, Diablo vs Palacios.

Remember you also got that fnf special going off on thursday. Haven't really checked the lines or anything but could be some value somewhere. Also think you might be overlooking martinez. You'd definitely be laying some juice but I see martinez outclassing chavez day. Id also probably throw some on martinez ITD. Imo Chavez should be exposed this weekend.

**hougigo** · 09-12-12, 10:20 AM

Originally posted by Mercersux

Remember you also got that fnf special going off on thursday. Haven't really checked the lines or anything but could be some value somewhere. Also think you might be overlooking martinez. You'd definitely be laying some juice but I see martinez outclassing chavez day. Id also probably throw some on martinez ITD. Imo Chavez should be exposed this weekend.

Yea, forgot about that. I'm more concerned about Thursday Night Football though... my Bears are playing.
As for that fight.... I need to watch more Martinez. His record isn't very gleaming... but neither is Vargas's.
Also FNF (or in this case Thursday) is a battleground for upsets. If I knew more about Martinez, I'd be able to form an opinion.
As for Martinez vs. JCC. My opinion is that too and Martinez wins inside the distance. I think this fight will be marred with some sort of controversy.
If I had to make a pick though, I'd say the fight ends inside the distance with it being able to go to either man.
JCC Jr. Can pressure Martinez all he wants and could be dangerous against the ropes.. but Chavez is so damn open that he'll be taking major punishment just trying.
Whatever the case.... this goes to a KO.

**Mercersux** · 09-13-12, 09:30 PM

End up nabbing anything on the fnf card? You know, the more I just kind of think about the martinez/chavez jr. fight, I still have a solid lean towards martinez but I almost find it necessary to hedge against some bs chavez jr decision. thoughts?

**hougigo** · 09-13-12, 10:52 PM

Originally posted by Mercersux

End up nabbing anything on the fnf card? You know, the more I just kind of think about the martinez/chavez jr. fight, I still have a solid lean towards martinez but I almost find it necessary to hedge against some bs chavez jr decision. thoughts?

I didn't, the only one I liked was Vargas over Martinez... but the odds were way too high.
Nice upset on the card though, Felix beat Cruz and Cruz was almost an -800 favorite... so I imagine Felix was at +500.
I couldn't have called that... he was an uknown that I didn't expect to win.

**hougigo** · 09-14-12, 08:57 PM

warning. This is just my gut feeling right now. I'm not placing the bet yet, but I'm going to wait until the weigh in tomorrow

OMG.... I'm going to take Sergio inside the distance on this one.
They weighed in today and Sergio was 159 while Chavez Jr. was 158

Dude looks like he went through a concentration camp for his training camp. I don't expect him to have any energy in the later rounds where sergio gets stronger.

Martinez wins inside the distance @ +248
Martinez wins by KO-TKO-DQ @ +259

All half a unit as I could a little buttfudged last week.
IMO, Chavez Jr. is in the same state as when he fought Rubio this year. He was forced to lose all that weight before weigh in (like 10+ the day before) and it showed in the later rounds. Same here, He was 172 earlier this week (I think as soon as Monday or Tuesday) and will most likely not be able to carry his pressure into the later rounds... where Sergio gets stronger.
Junior just looks like a damn Zombie. He'll most likely bloat up again which will play into Sergio's favor if he stays off the ropes and keeps moving. Junior will get tired and either get stopped by the ref or by Sergio's punches

MD · 09-15-12, 12:16 AM

Jesus Christ, Chavez looks terrible.

**JamesKim** · 09-15-12, 12:26 AM

I was shocked at how fired up Martinez was. Chavez looks really intimidated, like he's actually just trying to pretend he's not scared. He looks like a big kid in a playground who used to beat up the little kids, and now is playing tough against the older brothers who came to kick his ass. You know what I mean? Martinez looks intense though, like really fired up. He looks like he wants to really ruin Chavez. I had a moderate play on him by KO already, but I think I'm gonna go huge on it. Martinez by KO within 6, but I will give Chavez's chin the benefit of the doubt and play ITD.

**Imsmarterthanu** · 09-15-12, 07:25 PM

Chavez looked like he had a bad cut

**hougigo** · 09-15-12, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by Imsmarterthanu

Chavez looked like he had a bad cut

I'm thinking this goes down in the later rounds

**SATERSTYLE** · 09-15-12, 08:36 PM

martinez is going to kill him

**Mercersux** · 09-15-12, 10:31 PM

Martinez v. Chavez Jr. bout to start...LET'S DO THIS !!!

**walv89** · 09-16-12, 12:33 AM

chavez amlost pulled an upset, but thank god he didn't. cant believe he almost kO'd Martinez in the 12th

**BallaHolic777** · 09-16-12, 01:13 AM

Yep now we get to see a rematch based on 1 punch. Chavez was so happy with himself ha. I'll probably be playing Martinez by dec next time

**AdamB** · 09-16-12, 07:09 AM

Anyone watch the Canelo v Lopez fight? Holy shit what a beatdown.

**Vaughany** · 09-16-12, 11:24 AM

yeah big time

**Mercersux** · 09-17-12, 08:27 PM

So whats the next big fight? Pac vs marquez again...? Hope marquez finally takes him out and doesn't get robbed again. I'm personally looking forward to Cotto v. Trout. Fully expect Trout to take him out and elevate to top p4p status.

**hougigo** · 09-24-12, 11:29 PM

Originally posted by AdamB

Anyone watch the Canelo v Lopez fight? Holy shit what a beatdown.

The 154 champ did good beating down on the 140 kid.
And the funniest part is, they're targeting Maidana next and using the excuse that nobody wants to fight him...

**v1y** · 09-25-12, 08:07 AM

Originally posted by Mercersux

So whats the next big fight? Pac vs marquez again...? Hope marquez finally takes him out and doesn't get robbed again. I'm personally looking forward to Cotto v. Trout. Fully expect Trout to take him out and elevate to top p4p status.

Nishioka/Donaire, Moreno/Mares and Cotto/Trout.

JMM/Pac 4 is a joke.