Christ like MMA betting

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  • Jesus Christ
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-25-11
    • 935

    #491
    YTD 28-32-1 +$2,198.40
    Several plays for tomorrow night...I respect y'all opinions and I've decided not to roll with Benoist especially in light of his recent tragedy.

    First play is on Buddy Roberts..Everything I have seen on Caio has lead me to believe his wrestling is not very good and he achieves his takedowns by basically out-sizing his opponents..this will not work on the 6'2 Roberts who I think fought as high as heavyweight..I also question Caio's cardio if he is getting sprawled constantly..Could Magalhaes hit a rolling ankle lock and tap him?Maybe...but I like the Jackson fight with more diverse striking to take it to him over the course of 3 rounds..I'll say Buddy Roberts win via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

    Second play is Eddie Wineland..I'll start by saying I'm just not a believer in Jorgenson's skills..his striking is slow and plodding and his takedowns are telegraphed and based solely on power..lucky for him he's a powerful dude and it's carried him thus far...Wineland got beat up on by Benavidez but there is no shame in that...he took the beating of a lifetime and still kept coming..he also stuffed a good deal of Faber's takedowns in the first portion of that fight...I think Wineland has an ever improving skill set and better wrestling than he's given credit for where as I think Jorgenson has already hit the top of his potential..I think this is Wineland's fight to lose...I'll say Wineland wins via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28. 29-28) *** I will also be playing Wineland +3.5 if it opens under -160.

    Third play is one that you might wanna take a picture of since it's prolly the biggest favorite I played since I've been on here. This is gonna be short explanation cause there's really only 2 ways this fight goes...I think Silva is much better than -185 hence the play..I think Silva will be too fast on the counters for Brenneman and catch him early and put him away...I'll say Erick Silva wins via KO (Knee and punches)

    Last play is on McCall...I'm going to make this play now because I really think this is gonna shift closer to a PICK as the week moves along..as for the analysis I made this same play 3 months ago and my feelings haven't changed after their first fight in which I feel strongly that McCall was jobbed out of...I'm going out a limb tho..I'll say Ian McCall wins via TKO(punches)

    Yea I even am giving exact score totals now ...I get super specific when I'm stoned it seems.











    Comment
    • Jesus Christ
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 05-25-11
      • 935

      #492
      Good luck everyone

      Comment
      • lucKO
        SBR High Roller
        • 12-14-11
        • 137

        #493
        Originally posted by Jesus Christ
        YTD 28-32-1 +$2,198.40
        Several plays for tomorrow night...I respect y'all opinions and I've decided not to roll with Benoist especially in light of his recent tragedy.

        First play is on Buddy Roberts..Everything I have seen on Caio has lead me to believe his wrestling is not very good and he achieves his takedowns by basically out-sizing his opponents..this will not work on the 6'2 Roberts who I think fought as high as heavyweight..I also question Caio's cardio if he is getting sprawled constantly..Could Magalhaes hit a rolling ankle lock and tap him?Maybe...but I like the Jackson fight with more diverse striking to take it to him over the course of 3 rounds..I'll say Buddy Roberts win via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

        Second play is Eddie Wineland..I'll start by saying I'm just not a believer in Jorgenson's skills..his striking is slow and plodding and his takedowns are telegraphed and based solely on power..lucky for him he's a powerful dude and it's carried him thus far...Wineland got beat up on by Benavidez but there is no shame in that...he took the beating of a lifetime and still kept coming..he also stuffed a good deal of Faber's takedowns in the first portion of that fight...I think Wineland has an ever improving skill set and better wrestling than he's given credit for where as I think Jorgenson has already hit the top of his potential..I think this is Wineland's fight to lose...I'll say Wineland wins via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28. 29-28) *** I will also be playing Wineland +3.5 if it opens under -160.

        Third play is one that you might wanna take a picture of since it's prolly the biggest favorite I played since I've been on here. This is gonna be short explanation cause there's really only 2 ways this fight goes...I think Silva is much better than -185 hence the play..I think Silva will be too fast on the counters for Brenneman and catch him early and put him away...I'll say Erick Silva wins via KO (Knee and punches)

        Last play is on McCall...I'm going to make this play now because I really think this is gonna shift closer to a PICK as the week moves along..as for the analysis I made this same play 3 months ago and my feelings haven't changed after their first fight in which I feel strongly that McCall was jobbed out of...I'm going out a limb tho..I'll say Ian McCall wins via TKO(punches)

        Yea I even am giving exact score totals now ...I get super specific when I'm stoned it seems.











        good call man. The Benoist fight is the only one I've done a decent amount of research on thus far- that advice comes with a fair bit of confidence.

        Like your other plays too
        Comment
        • Jesus Christ
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 05-25-11
          • 935

          #494
          I dunno if it's a good or bad sign of things to come that I even got the score totals right
          Comment
          • Vaughany
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 03-07-10
            • 45563

            #495
            haha good start jesus
            Comment
            • Ghenghis Kahn
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 19735

              #496
              well done jesus.

              tailed you on silva. that kid is gonna be a champ one day. he is a fuckin beast!!!!!
              Comment
              • Vaughany
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 03-07-10
                • 45563

                #497
                Congrats Jesus..great night
                Comment
                • MMAbetMASTA
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-24-11
                  • 1931

                  #498
                  you the man tonight, congrats... McCall wins I think this is one of the biggest profits in one event I've seen in this forum RESPECT!
                  Comment
                  • Vitooch
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-26-11
                    • 3470

                    #499
                    Ok Jesus, you had your fun for tonight. It's time for Demetrious to get the W!
                    Comment
                    • Jesus Christ
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 05-25-11
                      • 935

                      #500
                      Well I can't complain tonight...Demetrious really took it to McCall..I was really impressed.
                      Comment
                      • Jesus Christ
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-25-11
                        • 935

                        #501
                        I appreciate the kind words boys.....on to the next UFC which I'll be attending in AC
                        Comment
                        • Jesus Christ
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 05-25-11
                          • 935

                          #502
                          YTD 31-33-1 +$3,098.40

                          Betting some boxing tonight..I really think Pac Man finishes Bradley tonight..Bradley doesn't have the power to slow down Manny..I think Bradley will succumb to Pac's pressure and the ref will stop in in the 8th round or so.

                          I'll be putting $250 on Manny inside at +145 and $150 on under 9.5 at +200 when I return home...I'm having a problem using my mobile to bet with 5dimes for some reason.
                          Comment
                          • gabe
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-12-11
                            • 7405

                            #503
                            I have the over locked in a lot of parlays and really need it to cash!!
                            Comment
                            • Wanna Bet On It?
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-17-11
                              • 1032

                              #504
                              Originally posted by Jesus Christ
                              YTD 31-33-1 +$3,098.40

                              Betting some boxing tonight..I really think Pac Man finishes Bradley tonight..Bradley doesn't have the power to slow down Manny..I think Bradley will succumb to Pac's pressure and the ref will stop in in the 8th round or so.

                              I'll be putting $250 on Manny inside at +145 and $150 on under 9.5 at +200 when I return home...I'm having a problem using my mobile to bet with 5dimes for some reason.
                              Maybe because it's 5Dimes???

                              Their mobile site is atrocious. I've switched back and forth from mobi.5dimes.eu and 5dimes.tv. Just a heads up if the mobile site is crapping out: often the .tv site has bailed me out (although loading times can be brutal).

                              Anyways, congrats on your night last night. Excellent job. I share your approach of +EV betting (usually of live dogs).

                              Best of luck tonight.
                              Comment
                              • Jesus Christ
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-25-11
                                • 935

                                #505
                                Worst dec I've seen in my lifetime.....AT LEASt 118-110
                                Comment
                                • Jesus Christ
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 05-25-11
                                  • 935

                                  #506
                                  YTD 31-35-1 +$2,698.40
                                  Pac won that fight IMO but I lost regardless....seems corrupt as shit to me but what do I know..I'll stay away from now on...thank you Wanna Bet On It you are right the 5dimes site doesn't work on my mobile but I was able to use Sportbet for some reason.

                                  Comment
                                  • fosho14
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-25-12
                                    • 554

                                    #507
                                    I'm badly rattled, had 1200 on pacquiao by decision. F*k my life. This is even worse than losing a bet on shogun in machida vs shogun 1, actually much worse because pacquiao completely dominated tonight! WTF.
                                    Comment
                                    • Jesus Christ
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 05-25-11
                                      • 935

                                      #508
                                      Originally posted by fosho14
                                      I'm badly rattled, had 1200 on pacquiao by decision. F*k my life. This is even worse than losing a bet on shogun in machida vs shogun 1, actually much worse because pacquiao completely dominated tonight! WTF.
                                      Holy shit man...I was beyond pissed after that fight lol...after I heard 48-47 across the board I know I lost my moneys..I think I had 200 on Shogun at +250...but those were the shit days at SportsInteraction before I discovered 5dimes.
                                      Comment
                                      • fosho14
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-25-12
                                        • 554

                                        #509
                                        had pacquiao in a few large parlays that were on their last leg (just needed pacman to hit) as well. Ahhh the wonderful risks of gambling.
                                        Comment
                                        • MMAbetMASTA
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-24-11
                                          • 1931

                                          #510
                                          Originally posted by fosho14
                                          I'm badly rattled, had 1200 on pacquiao by decision. F*k my life. This is even worse than losing a bet on shogun in machida vs shogun 1, actually much worse because pacquiao completely dominated tonight! WTF.
                                          damn bud sorry, sucks for you too JC... That's gotta burn worse than actually losing, that shitt had to be fixed.

                                          There was big money coming in on BRadley just before the fight and there are reports of people hitting the +45000 live odds going into the last round. Such BS and a shame for combat sports.

                                          I feel for everyone that got robbed of their hard earned money. Vegas made a fuckkkload of cash and a few people are sitting back grinning.
                                          Comment
                                          • fosho14
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-25-12
                                            • 554

                                            #511
                                            There's a lot of corruption in this world, and a lot of questions. No answers though...
                                            Comment
                                            • Jesus Christ
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 05-25-11
                                              • 935

                                              #512
                                              YTD 31-35-1 +$2,698.40
                                              3 plays tonight on the card....excited about this one since I will be attending it

                                              My first play is on Matt Brown..he is tough grinder and I think he is a bad match up for Ramos...I expect him to wear on Ramos and eventually score a tko..Ramos is Nova Uniao fighter and a good grappler but he has not transferred his grappling into MMA that successively..Brown will stuff take downs and work some hard shots on a gassed Ramos...I'll say Matt Brown wins via TKO Round 2

                                              Second play is on TJ Waldburger....TJ is an excellent grappler who can chain submission attempts for days...Ebersole puts him self in a lot of very questionable positions while on the ground and has been able to survive so far against Lytle, Hallman, and Patrick..I just think that TJ has too many ways to finish this fight and he will eventually catch Ebersole...I'll say TJ Waldburger wins via submission(triangle-choke) 1st round

                                              Last play is Cub Swanson...Swanson is more than competent standing and is a better grappler than Pearson...I may be alone in this but I think Ross has a very questionable chin...I see this playing exactly like Ross's fight with Cole Miller..a lot of close exchanges until one puts Ross down and finishes with a choke...I'll say Cub Swanson wins vis submission (rear-naked choke) 2nd round




                                              Good Luck



                                              Comment
                                              • Beelzebubzy
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 06-06-11
                                                • 6995

                                                #513
                                                I'll with ou on 2 out of three
                                                im on hairow

                                                Beelzebub and Jc teaming up here
                                                Last edited by Beelzebubzy; 06-22-12, 10:49 AM.
                                                Comment
                                                • Vitooch
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-26-11
                                                  • 3470

                                                  #514
                                                  Im on Tj as well. Good to see im not the only one!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jacktheknife
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-25-10
                                                    • 1217

                                                    #515
                                                    You're aware that Ross got blitzed by Miller after a freak knee injury when Miller jumped gaurd, right?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Beelzebubzy
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-06-11
                                                      • 6995

                                                      #516
                                                      Damnit, didnt get home in time to make the play on brown
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Nick Papageorgio
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-07-12
                                                        • 2396

                                                        #517
                                                        Nice call on Brown JC, lets go get this card!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • getlucky2win
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-14-12
                                                          • 1118

                                                          #518
                                                          brown fight went down just like u said. i was tempted to fade brown. glad i didnt. gl
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Beelzebubzy
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-06-11
                                                            • 6995

                                                            #519
                                                            Here we go
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jesus Christ
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 05-25-11
                                                              • 935

                                                              #520
                                                              Decent night....very close to a huge night.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jesus Christ
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 05-25-11
                                                                • 935

                                                                #521
                                                                Originally posted by jacktheknife
                                                                You're aware that Ross got blitzed by Miller after a freak knee injury when Miller jumped gaurd, right?
                                                                Watch some of Ross's previous fights...specifically his fight with Warburton.....he can be hit and hurt bad by almost anyone.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vaughany
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                                  • 45563

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Originally posted by Jesus Christ
                                                                  Watch some of Ross's previous fights...specifically his fight with Warburton.....he can be hit and hurt bad by almost anyone.
                                                                  Yeah and check out tht Swanson fight...oh shiit wait
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Beelzebubzy
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 06-06-11
                                                                    • 6995

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Great night Jc

                                                                    Would have been a near perfect night if ebersole finished for mr
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bak_ones
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 06-17-10
                                                                      • 26

                                                                      #524
                                                                      Any picks for today jesus?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Jesus Christ
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 05-25-11
                                                                        • 935

                                                                        #525
                                                                        YTD 33-36-1 +$3,548.40
                                                                        2 plays tonight on a weak card on paper...but some times they turn out to be the best.

                                                                        First play is on Hacran Dias...short and sweet analysis...Dias is a more powerful wrestler and I expect him to take down Alcantara rinse and repeat...I'll say Hacran Diaz wins via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

                                                                        Second play is on Rich Franklin....everyone loves Wandy but his chin is shot and while he will prolly have his moments one solid shot and he is cooked...think Liddell v Franklin....I'll say Rich Franklin wins by KO Round 1





                                                                        Let's carry over some momentum from last night...Good luck.

                                                                        Comment
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