new ufc welterweight champ 4-30-11

[phillybadboy]

rick story+174

[phillybadboy]

frank mir-117

[phillybadboy]

brian stann-117

[tat1980]

No running fine for me

[phillybadboy]

How's things, a little off-topic but is anybody able to inform me if they are receiving a timeout error when they first come to this websites home page? best wishes

don't think so

[phillybadboy]

pactricky friere-115

[phillybadboy]

hugo ruiz-130

[jin2daj]

im not sure about rick story but i guess theres definately value to found at +175.

alves has fought sooooo many wrestlers in the past that i just see story having a hard time. also story is strong as an ox....but thiago is probably just as strong?

[phillybadboy]

im not sure about rick story but i guess theres definately value to found at +175. alves has fought sooooo many wrestlers in the past that i just see story having a hard time. also story is strong as an ox....but thiago is probably just as strong?

yeah i'm not that confident about this one

[phillybadboy]

pactricky friere-115

loss ,got kicked in the nuts three times

[phillybadboy]

hugo ruiz-130

win

[phillybadboy]

hopkins+money may 21-11 solid

wins

[phillybadboy]

demetrious johnson-110

[phillybadboy]

rick story+174

wins

[phillybadboy]

brian stann-117

wins

[phillybadboy]

demetrious johnson-110

wins

[phillybadboy]

frank mir-117

wins

[Hannibal]

bravo!

now you just need a new thread, with a new title :P

[phillybadboy]

hah,i was a little lazy to start a new one

[Vrakas]

mir fought a smart fight.story is now one of the top guys.

[Kaladarus]

Nice job, got them all. It was a good night of betting for most people.

[phillybadboy]

thanks guys

[phillybadboy]

anthony johnson+145

[phillybadboy]

anthony pettis-145

[phillybadboy]

mark munoz-112

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

you're playing wat too many favs, remember to play underdogs to win long term

[bjpenn85]

Long term is about evaluate risks corrcetly, not underdog vs favourite. G.tibau wins 8 out of 10 times against oliveira, mackens semerzier wins 8 or 9 times out of 10 against alex bruce leeroy and so on. I dont believe that you need to bet underdogs at all. I rarely do and i have never won more money in my life at this point.

[phillybadboy]

i do think underdogs is the way to go,long term

[phillybadboy]

Long term is about evaluate risks corrcetly, not underdog vs favourite. G.tibau wins 8 out of 10 times against oliveira, mackens semerzier wins 8 or 9 times out of 10 against alex bruce leeroy and so on. I dont believe that you need to bet underdogs at all. I rarely do and i have never won more money in my life at this point.

i think a bad run can really hurt you, i was doing good with faves until my bad run, now it's mostly dogs

[bjpenn85]

Sure. i have had bad nights. There is often less value betting the favourites in fight for the belts for instance where the level of both fighters are often very high. Then everything can happen, for instance bj penn vs frankie edgar. Its easy to get carried away. But if you choose a proven fighter against a guy that have proven to not stand a chance against ufc caliber fighter, i can easly go all in 10 times as i know i will win 8 or 9 times, i know i will win the lost money back next time. The dumbest thing you can do is to stop betting, because you had a bad run one night. Nothing is 100%, but you will win in the long run if you understand your chances. I do not deny picking underdogs as often as i can. I love dogs. bark.

[phillybadboy]

bjpenn what do you think of the fabio maldonado kylle kingsburry fight? what was the odds on it?

[bjpenn85]

The odds as far as i am concerned is not out yet. I think it might be a three round fight where kyle kingsbury grind maldonado. Kyle kingsbury usually win either by KO or decision, mostly decision. Maldonado as i have written before, has a lot of KO wins, actually 12 out of his 18 wins has comed by KO Maldonado is a former boxer therefor his high KO rate may not come as a surprise. Hib boxinng record is even better, 21 KO out of 22 fights. But most of this fight have been in brasilia and sao paulo, and i do not know anthing about the level down there. However, he fought a rejuvinated mcsweeney, and clearly lost the first round. This was because mcsweeney moved around a maldonado that is not very mobile and like to come charging forward. The brit more or less picked his shots, stood on the outside, and won that round. I dont know the reason why but after 10 secounds out in the secound round, mcsweeney is done. He is gassed out, as he got an asthma attack. His face is red. It didnt help much when maldonado later hit him in the stomach. after that mcswenney went down as a result of the punch, and got dominated the rest of that round visbily hurt. If it was from the stomach punch or a fractured rib i dont know, but it was something joe rogan commented as well. The third round maldonado showed his boxing skills against a fighter that couldnt do anything but defend and peppered that ugly brit to the canvas. conclusion: It is no possible to evaluate maldonados ground skills considering his last match because mcswenney is crappy on the ground, a wounded mcsweeney cant be better than i am, and i havent went for a bjj class in my life. his manager said he sucks on the ground and that this is his weak point. Standing up, he hold his hands very low, ala matt hamill, but his chin is ******* awsome. He taunted mcsweeney every time he got nailed. He is not quick. he doesnt kick. he doesnt check them either. If kingsbury use his athletic abilities, quickly come inside, take maldonado down, i dont think maldonado has the bjj skills to submit kingsbury of his back. I dont think it will be a good idea for kingsbury to stand toe to toe with a proven boxer with a granite chin. If Kingsbury comes in with the same game plan he had against hamman, i think he will win.

[phillybadboy]

nice write up

[phillybadboy]

carl froch wins 12 round decision -150

[phillybadboy]

sam stout-156