Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[Vaughany]

V, at what point would you throw a small play on Nelson. He is at +155 on Bmaker

I've got him in an arb for 3.25 units profit so probably not gonna pull the trigger, although it is very enticing.

[Vaughany]

Money coming in on Starks...Herman down to -225 now on pinnacle

[Vaughany]

ha is tht the "Male Nurse" with Wonderboy

[Beelzebubzy]

KO of the Night

[BIGDAY]

Money coming in on Starks...Herman down to -225 now on pinnacle

Put .5 unit on him earlier at +260. He can bring it. Herman should not be -310 against him imo.

Mods didn't link my card over here tonight.

[Digo]

KO of the Night

[2] Amazing!

[Vaughany]

Summary of UFC 143 plays:


Parlay: 3.169 units on Brown Inside the Distance (-145), Not Caceres Inside the Distance (-352), Natal/Kuiper Over 1.5 Rounds (-120), Herman/Starks Over 1.5 Rounds (-165), Not Jorgensen by Submission (-3750), Not Pierce by Submission (-3750), Not Nelson by Submission (-2090), & Diaz/Condit Starts Round 2 (-480) to win 23.605 units;

Adding as a hedge to the above parlay:


3 units on Herman Inside the Distance at +106 to win 3.18 units.


A Herman finish after 2mins 30 of second round would be awesome!

[Vaughany]

Ah well, good decision to hedge out of that parlay! Herman might of screwed Poirier out of SOTN tho

[Vaughany]

Summary of UFC 143 plays:


Parlay (double): 6.315 units on Matt Brown (-300) & Nelson/Werdum to Go the Distance (+160) to win 15.58 units;

Arbing out of this double with:


5.294 units on Nelson/Werdum to Not Go the Distance at -117.65 to win 4.5 units;

3.036 units on Nelson/Werdum to Not Go the Distance at -120 to win 2.53 units.

[Vaughany]

6.378 units on Diaz/Condit to Go the Distance at +200 to win 12.756 units;


Arbing out of above play with:

7.401 units on Diaz/Condit to Not Go the Distance at -140 to win 5.287 units.


Cant rule out a stoppage from cuts or something.

[v1y]

looks like vaughny made a killing tonight?

[Beelzebubzy]

Deleted

[Vaughany]

looks like vaughny made a killing tonight?

Didn't do too badly!

[lovetobet]

Hey Vaughany, thanks for laying all your picks out each fight. I'd personally like to say IT IS VERY MUCH APPRECIATED!!!

I am a casul follower of MMA and occasionaly enjoy getting money down a million directions on fight nights like tonight. I'm limited to 5Dimes & Legends so couldn't make all your plays and some of the lines were considerably worse for me but I used my knowledge and leans tonight along with some of your plays and general feel from your picks and had a very nice night.

So my hats off to you don't know exactly how well you did but I'm sure it was pretty damn well. So congratulations and thanks for what you do on here, I certainly appreciate it

[Vaughany]

UFC 143 Review:

Summary of UFC 143 plays:


Parlay: 0.324 units on Woodley/Mein Over 2.5 Rounds, Evans (-140), Condit (+145), & Benson Henderson (+105) to win 4.107 units;


Parlay: 6.362 units on Maia/Weidman to Start Round 2 (-495), Sonnen/Bisping to Start Round 2 (-488), & Condit (+155) to win 17.135 units.


Parlay: 6.362 units on Evans/Davis to Start Round 2 (-371), & Condit (+155) to win 14.234 units.


Parlay: 1.62 units on Sonnen (-333.33), Nick Diaz (-150), & Ben Henderson (+110) to win 5.751 units;


6.378 units on Diaz/Condit to Go the Distance at +200 to win 12.756 units;


0.981 units on Diaz by Submission or Points to win 1.275 units;


0.083 units on Nelson KOTN at +2000 to win 1.66 units;

0.751 units on Nelson by TKO/KO or Points at +170 to win 1.277 units;


Parlay (double): 6.316 units on Koscheck/Pierce to Not go the Distance at +170 to win 10.737 units.

1.398 units on Koscheck/Pierce to Go the Distance at -110 to win 1.271 units;

1.732 units on Koscheck/Pierce to Go the Distance at -137.5 to win 1.26 units;

2.045 units on Koscheck/Pierce to Go Over 2.5 Rounds at -162.5 to win 1.258 units;

5 units on Koscheck by Decision at +150 to win 7.5 units;


2.036 units on Barao/Jorgensen to Go Over 2.5 Rnds at -162.5 to win 1.253 units;

1.724 units on Barao/Jorgensen to Go the Distance at -137.5 to win 1.254 units;

0.041 units on Jorgensen KOTN at +5000 to win 2.05 units;


Parlay: 6.317 units on Brown (-300), Poirier (-400), & Not Diaz Inside the Distance (-160) to win 10.791 units;


Parlay (double) : 3.75 units on Riddle (-333.33), & Poirier (-400) to win 2.344 units;


Parlay (double): 6.25 units on Poirier (-400), & Ellenberger (-250) to win 8.45 units;


Parlay (double): 10 units on Thompson (-250), & Ellenberger (-250) to win 9.6 units.


Parlay (double): 6.315 units on Matt Brown (-300) & Nelson/Werdum to Go the Distance (+160) to win 15.58 units;


Parlay (double): 0.947 units on Koscheck (-220) & Condit by Decision (+550) to win 8.009 units.


Parlay: 3.169 units on Brown Inside the Distance (-145), Not Caceres Inside the Distance (-352), Natal/Kuiper Over 1.5 Rounds (-120), Heman/Starks Over 1.5 Rounds (-165), Not Jorgensen by Submission (-3750), Not Pierce by Submission (-3750), Not Nelson by Submission (-2090), & Diaz/Condit Starts Round 2 (-480) to win 23.605 units;


Parlay: 0.634 units on Thompson/Stittgen Over 1.5 Rounds (+155), Brown/Cope Over 1.5 Rounds (-150), Koscheck/Pierce Starts Round 2 (-545), & Diaz/Condit Starts Round 2 (-480) to win 3.218 units;


Parlay: 6.338 units on Not Cope Inside the Distance (-650), Barao/Jorgensen Starts Round 2 (-540), Nelson/Werdum Starts Round 2 (-380), & Diaz/Condit Starts Round 2 (-480) to win 6.891 units;


4.9 units on Cope by Decision at +650 to win 31.85 units;

hedged with:

15 units on Matt Brown at -300 to win 5 units;


11.5 units on Figueroa at -115 to win 10 units;

hedged with:

3.326 units on Caceres by Decision at +310 to win 10.311 units;

0.374 units on Caceres by Decision at +350 to win 1.309 units.


0.5 units on Poirier SOTN at +1000 to win 5 units;

0.332 units Poirier by Submission at +400 to win 1.328 units;


0.374 units on Thompson by TKO/KO at +350 to win 1.309 units.

Adding:


10 units on Diaz/Condit FOTN at +125 to win 12.5 units;

0.417 units on Caceres/Figueroa FOTN at +1200 to win 5.004 units.

Adding as a hedge to the above parlay:


3 units on Herman Inside the Distance at +106 to win 3.18 units.


A Herman finish after 2mins 30 of second round would be awesome!

Arbing out of this double with:


5.294 units on Nelson/Werdum to Not Go the Distance at -117.65 to win 4.5 units;

3.036 units on Nelson/Werdum to Not Go the Distance at -120 to win 2.53 units.

Arbing out of above play with:

7.401 units on Diaz/Condit to Not Go the Distance at -140 to win 5.287 units.

Total stake: 136.442 units

Return: 214.763 units

Profit: +78.321 units (+80.938 units inc' arbs)


Have the following pending parlays going strong coming off of UFC 143:


Parlay: 6.25 units on Sonnen (-350), & Ellenberger (-250) to win 5 units;

Parlay (double): 6.25 units on Poirier (-400), & Ellenberger (-250) to win 4.669 units;

Parlay (double): 10 units on Thompson (-250), & Ellenberger (-250) to win 9.6 units;

Parlay: 0.324 units on Woodley/Mein Over 2.5 Rounds, Evans (-140), Condit (+145), & Benson Henderson (+105) to win 4.107 units.


"Dont take anything for granted when your fighting me. If you assume you have an edge here or that you're gonna dominate me there, you know you better think again man...Cause Im gonna F**K YOU UP!!!"

[MexicanStallion]

Congrats on a great card. Nice work. Best of luck on the next.

[Eccocide]

Gj v.

[Tklane21]

Vaughany have you ever mentioned approximately how many books you lay bets on for these UFC events? I used to have a betting style much like yours that including hedging parlays or arb bets between multiple books but over time I kept getting my limits cut or just straight blacklisted if I slipped up and correlated a bet or two at the same place. I've gone from having accounts at about 8 books to only realistically betting at maybe 2-3 and it's making it increasingly difficult to play that kind of strategy.

[Vaughany]

Vaughany have you ever mentioned approximately how many books you lay bets on for these UFC events? I used to have a betting style much like yours that including hedging parlays or arb bets between multiple books but over time I kept getting my limits cut or just straight blacklisted if I slipped up and correlated a bet or two at the same place. I've gone from having accounts at about 8 books to only realistically betting at maybe 2-3 and it's making it increasingly difficult to play that kind of strategy.

Have accounts with numerous books, but I very rarely have a correlated bet at the same place...that is a sure way to getting blacklisted! I've been limited by most Euro books tho

[Vaughany]

Hey Vaughany, thanks for laying all your picks out each fight. I'd personally like to say IT IS VERY MUCH APPRECIATED!!!

I am a casul follower of MMA and occasionaly enjoy getting money down a million directions on fight nights like tonight. I'm limited to 5Dimes & Legends so couldn't make all your plays and some of the lines were considerably worse for me but I used my knowledge and leans tonight along with some of your plays and general feel from your picks and had a very nice night.

So my hats off to you don't know exactly how well you did but I'm sure it was pretty damn well. So congratulations and thanks for what you do on here, I certainly appreciate it

Cheers dude, glad u had a good night as well

[Vaughany]

Somebody was upset with the decision!... http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature...&v=ZVyJt94u_VU

[Beelzebubzy]

hahah wasnt me, Grabbed condit via live. I had him winning rounds 1,2,3 and 4 was close. Knew he could get a decision.

[Vaughany]

UFC on FUEL TV 1 play:


10.329 units on Herman at -117.65 to win 8.78 units;

7.51 units on Herman at -120 to win 6.258 units.


UFC on FUEL TV 2 play:


16.506 units on Stann at -250 to win 6.602 units.

[PunisherIND]

UFC on FUEL TV 1 play:


10.329 units on Herman at -117.65 to win 8.78 units;

7.51 units on Herman at -120 to win 6.258 units.


UFC on FUEL TV 2 play:


16.506 units on Stann at -250 to win 6.602 units.

damn mane, great line on stann. im sure u know 5dimes has sakara +300. are u planning to arb this outright or maybe a hedge on sakara by tko?

[Vaughany]

Might let it ride, or I'll arb out and play Stann by TKO/KO or Stann KO of the Night. I think Stann has too much power and will be able to take a couple punches from Sakara while I dont see Sakara taking too many from Stann.

[Beelzebubzy]

V up to what number would you play Herman

[GunShard]

Somebody was upset with the decision!... http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature...&v=ZVyJt94u_VU

lol, close fight but Condit really was the true winner.

http://blog.fightmetric.com/2012/02/condit-vs-diaz-official-ufc-statistics.html

[Vaughany]

V up to what number would you play Herman

Probably -125. Anything worse and I'd of just waited for Herman by TKO/KO prop

[Beelzebubzy]

Probably -125. Anything worse and I'd of just waited for Herman by TKO/KO prop

Thanks. Dont think kalikas will give me that

[Mr.Kitty]

UFC on FUEL TV 1 play: 10.329 units on Herman at -117.65 to win 8.78 units; 7.51 units on Herman at -120 to win 6.258 units. UFC on FUEL TV 2 play: 16.506 units on Stann at -250 to win 6.602 units.

Nice plays! Grabbed Stann at that price on Unibet in a parlay with Ellenberger. Awesome that Condit won, made my weekend! Felt a little bad for Diaz tho, hope he isnt serious about retiring.

[Vaughany]

[xelance]

what up V? You are a genius

[The Fobfather]

Fabricio kept trying to trick Roy. Funny stuff.

[Vaughany]

Chandler Blades?... http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature...&v=fHBMKOboqJQ

[Vaughany]