Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[Vaughany]

GSP blown acl will be out for 10 months. Now Condit vs Diaz for the interim welterweight title on Feb 4th in Las Vegas!! -

[Vulcan300]

on the plays

[more_betterness]

Vaughany, who you have in the Watson vs Jabouin fight? I wanna like Watson at +170 but am tentative after seeing how well Jabouin dealt with Pablo Garza's reach (73" compared to Watson's 75") before the flying triangle. I've been impressed by Watson's ground game too but can't pull the trigger for some reason. Thoughts?

[Vaughany]

Vaughany, who you have in the Watson vs Jabouin fight? I wanna like Watson at +170 but am tentative after seeing how well Jabouin dealt with Pablo Garza's reach (73" compared to Watson's 75") before the flying triangle. I've been impressed by Watson's ground game too but can't pull the trigger for some reason. Thoughts?

I will be taking Watson if he reaches +200 and wouldn't knock anybody from playing him at +150 or better. The gap between them isn't that great - Jabouin will be the better technical striker but Watson should be able to hold his own but I do have concerns about his defence - tends to drop his hands and leave his chin out there, and Jabouin should have success with leg kicks. He should have advantage on the ground - just not sure if he will actively seek to take it to the mat or if he even can take Jabouin down if that is his gameplan.

[Beelzebubzy]

“Okami is ready to go get that belt. Once he returns from Rio, we can truly say 'he went to Hell and back' to get it.

http://chaelsonnensaidso.com/

[Beelzebubzy]

Yeah playing a lot of faves can always be problematic as it can take just one upset to ruin your profits from the rest. Thing is, how can Machida beat Jones? Is he going to be able to out point him for 5 rounds? I highly doubt it. Is he going to be able to sub him? Even more unlikely. I guess a TKO/KO is only possibility for me and if he does catch Jones and finish him he'll most likely be getting KOTN which you'll be able to get at +750 or better I should think.

The only problem is Jones by KO is -200 at Bookmaker same goes for Murrrr

[Vaughany]

Adding:


10 units on Attonito at -215 to win 4.651 units.

[Vaughany]

Miguel Torres released by UFC after rape tweet!...

http://mma-boxing.si.com/2011/12/08/dana-white-responds-to-rashad-evans-miguel-torres-media-miscues/

[Vaughany]

Summary of UFC 140 plays so far:


6.25 units on Jones/Machida to End by TKO/KO at -125 to win 5 units;

10.483 units on Jones/Machida to End by TKO/KO at -162.5 to win 6.451 units;


10 units on Mir by TKO/KO or DQ at +475 to win 47.5 units;

0.236 units on Mir by TKO/KO at +550 to win 1.298 units;

Parlay: 1.859 units on Nelson by TKO/KO (+140), Benson Henderson (-230), & Mir (-260) to win 7.006 units;


8.286 units on Antonio Rogerio Nogueira at -161 to win 5.147 units;

7.5 units on Antonio Rogerio Nogueira at -150 to win 5 units;

1.783 units on Nogueira/Ortiz to Go the Distance at -137.5 to win 1.297 units;


17.903 units on Mark Hominick at -280 to win 6.394 units;

8.033 units on Hominick by TKO/KO or DQ at +375 to win 30.124 units;

0.343 units on Hominick by TKO/KO at +400 to win 1.372 units;


1.568 units on Ebersole/Patrick to Go the Distance at -120 to win 1.307 units;


10 units on Soszynski at -205 to win 4.878 units;


10 units on Attonito at -215 to win 4.651 units.

[Lick496]

I really like Jones+ Hominick inside distance

[Jhyun]

Man, watching you having availability to all these great odds makes me wish I was living outside U.S. I'm stuck with Bodog until I get money on 5dimes. Great picks though, enjoyed reading them.

[Vaughany]

Added:


1 unit on Mir KOTN at +900 to win 9 units;

0.242 units on Big Nog KOTN at +4000 to win 9.68 units;


0.625 units on Hominick/Korean Zombie FOTN at +800 to win 5 units;


0.312 units on Jon Jones SOTN at +1600 to win 4.992 units;


1.568 units on Mir/Big Nog Under 2.5 Rounds at -120 to win 1.307 units;

1.933 units on Mir/Big Nog to Not Go the Distance at -150 to win 1.289 units.

[Vaughany]

Summary of UFC 140 Plays:


6.25 units on Jones/Machida to End by TKO/KO at -125 to win 5 units;

10.483 units on Jones/Machida to End by TKO/KO at -162.5 to win 6.451 units;

4.167 units on Jones by TKO/KO at +120 to win 5 units;

5 units on Not Jones Inside the Distance at +151 to win 7.55 units;

0.312 units on Jon Jones SOTN at +1600 to win 4.992 units;


10 units on Mir by TKO/KO or DQ at +475 to win 47.5 units;

0.236 units on Mir by TKO/KO at +550 to win 1.298 units;

Parlay: 1.859 units on Nelson by TKO/KO (+140), Benson Henderson (-230), & Mir (-260) to win 7.006 units;

1.568 units on Mir/Big Nog Under 2.5 Rounds at -120 to win 1.307 units;

1.933 units on Mir/Big Nog to Not Go the Distance at -150 to win 1.289 units;

1 unit on Mir KOTN at +900 to win 9 units;

0.242 units on Big Nog KOTN at +4000 to win 9.68 units;


8.286 units on Antonio Rogerio Nogueira at -161 to win 5.147 units;

7.5 units on Antonio Rogerio Nogueira at -150 to win 5 units;*

1.783 units on Nogueira/Ortiz to Go the Distance at -137.5 to win 1.297 units;


17.903 units on Mark Hominick at -280 to win 6.394 units;

8.033 units on Hominick by TKO/KO or DQ at +375 to win 30.124 units;

0.343 units on Hominick by TKO/KO at +400 to win 1.372 units;

0.625 units on Hominick/Korean Zombie FOTN at +800 to win 5 units;


1.568 units on Ebersole/Patrick to Go the Distance at -120 to win 1.307 units;


10 units on Soszynski at -205 to win 4.878 units;


10 units on Attonito at -215 to win 4.651 units;


Parlay: 3.197 units on Not Jabouin by Submission (-1580), Not Makdessi by Submission (-5430), Hamman/Philippou Starts Round (-308), Not Korean Zombie by TKO/KO (-2100), Not Ebersole by Submission (-825), Not Ortiz by Submission (-2825), Not Mir by Submission (-1035), Not Machida by Submission (-5550), & Overeem/Lesnar to Not go the Distance (-600) to win 4.067 units;


Parlay: 1.599 units on Makdessi/Hallman Over 1.5 Rounds (-190), Hominick/Korean Zombie Starts Round 2 (-275), Ortiz/Nogueira Starts Round 2 (-525), Jones/Machida Starts Round 2 (-315), & Overeem/Lesnar to Not Go the Distance (-600) to win 4.489 units.


*Have an arb as back-up my Lil Nog plays. Will make 6.809 units if Ortiz wins (+190) or stake back if Lil Nog wins (-162.5). Also have an arb with Mir/Nog - will make 2.828 units profit if fight goes the distance, or 0.412 units if it doesn't go distance.

[Vitooch]

I like all of these picks alot BOL

[Vaughany]

Adding:


1.391 units on Bocek at -145 to win 0.959 units.

[Vaughany]

Adding:


Parlay: 6.394 units on Ebersole/Patrick to Start Round 2 (-470), Not Ortiz by Submission (-4100), Jones/Machida to Start Round 2 (-315), & Overeem/Lesnar to Not Go the Distance (-600) to win 5.804 units.

[Vaughany]

Adding:


6.394 units on Hominick/Korean Zombie Starts Round 2 (-265), Jones/Machida Starts Round 2 (-315), & Overeem/Lesnar to Not Go the Distance (-600) to win 7.143 units.

[NeverBackDown]

[Vaughany]

Wow tht was amazing! Lost a lot of money but almost worth it just to see my favourite fighter in Mir pull off one of the most ridiculous comebacks ever!

[Vaughany]

Buffer called it TKO!

[ReBEL`LiON]

U got lucky on that vaughany. I pretty much won close to 2000$ today, and i put the entire winnings on nogueira and lost. All and all i broke even.

But u gotta admit, everyone counted Nogueira out and he almost had frank there.

[bogbat]

Buffer called it TKO!

How did your book grade it? That's ridiculous if they grade a blatant submission a TKO. He'll probably even win submission of the night lol

[Vaughany]

All the Eurobooks have graded it as a submission

[Vaughany]

Amir Khan vs Peterson fight is excellent so far

[NunyaBidness]

Amir Khan vs Peterson fight is excellent so far

A little too excellent! I'm on the over. . .

[Vaughany]

A little too excellent! I'm on the over. . .

ha

[NunyaBidness]

ha

Whew, ok, Now Peterson can knock him out.

[Vaughany]

ha Nice one

[Vaughany]

Mir Sub of the Night, Korean Zombie KO of the Night, & Jones/Machida FOTN...this night just got even worse!

[The HOFF]

Wow tht was amazing! Lost a lot of money but almost worth it just to see my favourite fighter in Mir pull off one of the most ridiculous comebacks ever!

Best comeback in UFC history, IMO.

[sirchadwick1]

Best comeback in UFC history, IMO.

I'm still partial to the Kongo comeback vs. Barry. But this one was close. Mir wasn't near as rocked as Kongo was though.

[Vaughany]

Yeah but it was because he subbed Nog as well. It would of been a HUGE shock if he'd of gone out there and subbed Nog with ease, but to get pretty much knocked out then recover and pull that off...it's just

But yeah Kongo is obviously unbelievable as well

[GunShard]

There was a lot of value on the Korean Zombie. I had a feeling he would win as a big underdog.

[Vaughany]

Nog's x-ray...

[Beelzebubzy]

Dont understand the Takedown concerns here.

Zombie is a small 145er and Hominick is near Aldo size in my opinion. Fluke KO here or a perfect gameplan by Zombie are the only chances of him losing. Roop fought fine post Tompkins death, I expect the same or even a better performance from Hominick

Attonito's chin worries me

I grabbed 1.4u on Attonito at -170. His boxing is decent and his wrestlign should be efficient enough to take this down if need be

Havent seen the fights yet, but seemed like the event was crazy. Congrats to all of the dog backers.

141 Castillo, Pearson, Nunes and the Mauler