Vaughany's MMA Picks...

Vaughany · 04-09-11, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by thesox0311

Good luck tomorrow night V...still deciding on my picks, tough card

Originally posted by The HOFF

Love it. I played Chandler myself. Glad to see others on it.

Originally posted by Ladle

Solid bets. I've also made a play on Chandler.

Originally posted by ufcmma36

bol on your plays tonight bro. the weigh ins were crazy gonna be a great night of fights.

Cheers boys..GL tonight, looks like Chandler is the popular play of the night!

Vaughany · 04-09-11, 06:01 PM

Adding:

2.667 units on Mousasi by TKO/KO at +150 to win 4.001 units;

2.6 units on Not Mousasi by TKO/KO at +105 to win 2.73 units.

Vaughany · 04-09-11, 06:05 PM

Summary of Bellator 40 Plays:

6.5 units on Chandler at -114 to win 5.702 units;

2.5 units on Chandler at -118 to win 2.119 units;

5.496 units on Woodward at +120 to win 6.595 units.

Vaughany · 04-09-11, 06:10 PM

Summary of Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley Plays:

3.337 units on Diaz by Submission at +300 to win 10.011 units;

0.571 units on Diaz by decision at +700 to win 3.997 units;

1.7 units on Daley by TKO/KO at +250 to win 4.25 units;

2 units on Melendez by decision at +150 to win 3 units;

1.778 units on Mousasi by TKO/KO at +225 to win 4.001 units;

2.667 units on Mousasi by TKO/KO at +150 to win 4.001 units;

2.6 units on Not Mousasi by TKO/KO at +105 to win 2.73 units;

5 units on Mousasi/Jardine starts Rnd 2 at -145 to win 3.448 units;

2.5 units on Mousasi/Jardine ends in Rnd 1 at +200 to win 5 units;

0.459 units on Beerbohm by decision at +750 to win 3.442 units;

0.5 units on Aoki by Submission at +150 to win 0.75 units;

Parlay: 1.222 units on Davis, Douglas Lima, Askren, & Melendez to win 3.168 units;

Following parlay will go against UFC 129 plays:

Parlay: 0.611 units on Davis, Melendez/Kawajiri goes distance, & Aldo to win 0.895 units.

Vaughany · 04-09-11, 08:39 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Summary of Bellator 40 Plays:

6.5 units on Chandler at -114 to win 5.702 units;

2.5 units on Chandler at -118 to win 2.119 units;

5.496 units on Woodward at +120 to win 6.595 units.

Chandler takes the decision as expected...

Total stake: 14.496 units

Return: 16.821 units

Profit: +2.325 units

Vaughany · 04-09-11, 10:42 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Summary of Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley Plays:

3.337 units on Diaz by Submission at +300 to win 10.011 units;

0.571 units on Diaz by decision at +700 to win 3.997 units;

1.7 units on Daley by TKO/KO at +250 to win 4.25 units;

2 units on Melendez by decision at +150 to win 3 units;

1.778 units on Mousasi by TKO/KO at +225 to win 4.001 units;

2.667 units on Mousasi by TKO/KO at +150 to win 4.001 units;

2.6 units on Not Mousasi by TKO/KO at +105 to win 2.73 units;

5 units on Mousasi/Jardine starts Rnd 2 at -145 to win 3.448 units;

2.5 units on Mousasi/Jardine ends in Rnd 1 at +200 to win 5 units;

0.459 units on Beerbohm by decision at +750 to win 3.442 units;

0.5 units on Aoki by Submission at +150 to win 0.75 units;

Parlay: 1.222 units on Davis, Douglas Lima, Askren, & Melendez to win 3.168 units;

Parlay: 0.611 units on Davis, Melendez/Kawajiri goes distance, & Aldo to win 0.895 units.

Total stake: 24.945 units

Return: 19.418 units

Loss: -5.527 units

Had to happen eventually I guess!

xelance · 04-09-11, 10:56 PM

what?!?! you had a losing night?? NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!! 2012 is for real, pack your bags everyone and enjoy the rideee, doomsday is coming

LayingThe$Down · 04-09-11, 11:10 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Total stake: 24.945 units

Return: 19.418 units

Loss: -5.527 units

Had to happen eventually I guess!

Nobody can hit the ball out of the park every time, V. Stay solid and keep your head up, no doubt in my mind you will be back next time with a vengeance.

Talk to ya soon.

Poppa Catfish · 04-09-11, 11:13 PM

hahahahahaha

Don't jump Vaughany, you had one semi bad night, don't do it man think of all the good times bro!

people are talking like you are on the brink of total collapse.

Poppa Catfish · 04-09-11, 11:15 PM

I just posted that to get my daily sbr points, by the way

Vaughany · 04-09-11, 11:21 PM

Originally posted by Poppa Catfish

hahahahahaha

Don't jump Vaughany, you had one semi bad night, don't do it man think of all the good times bro!

people are talking like you are on the brink of total collapse.

Originally posted by Poppa Catfish

I just posted that to get my daily sbr points, by the way

Yeah I think I'll wait and see how 129 pans out before poppin any pills!

Poppa Catfish · 04-09-11, 11:23 PM

PLEASE DON'T. WE LOVE YOU BRO. THINK OF THE CHILDREN

so, yeah, I bet nothing but favorites tonight and it was spectacular

/rubbing it in

Vaughany · 04-09-11, 11:23 PM

Originally posted by xelance

what?!?! you had a losing night?? NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!! 2012 is for real, pack your bags everyone and enjoy the rideee, doomsday is coming

Originally posted by LayingThe$Down

Nobody can hit the ball out of the park every time, V. Stay solid and keep your head up, no doubt in my mind you will be back next time with a vengeance.

Talk to ya soon.

haha Cheers guys, will just mean being slightly more conservative with 129...can be good to have a wake-up call sometimes tho I guess!

Vaughany · 04-09-11, 11:24 PM

Originally posted by Poppa Catfish

PLEASE DON'T. WE LOVE YOU BRO. THINK OF THE CHILDREN

so, yeah, I bet nothing but favorites tonight and it was spectacular

/rubbing it in

haha yeah I should of just done a Cesar Gracie/Scrap-pack double for safety!

Poppa Catfish · 04-09-11, 11:25 PM

but I did have to sweat that Mousasi abortion out. I thought I was smarter than that, to put money on a heavily favored Mousasi. Anyways, if I ever make a thread about betting an underdog, please slap me.

Vaughany · 04-09-11, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by Poppa Catfish

but I did have to sweat that Mousasi abortion out. I thought I was smarter than that, to put money on a heavily favored Mousasi. Anyways, if I ever make a thread about betting an underdog, please slap me.

I will! Im just gonna bet on whoever has the longer reach in future!

Poppa Catfish · 04-09-11, 11:30 PM

The HOFF · 04-10-11, 12:49 AM

Every one has a bad night. You've had what 3 or 4 EVER? You'll make it back double at 129. Speaking of UFC, there are only 2 events in the next 2 and half months. WTF?

Vaughany · 04-10-11, 03:59 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Every one has a bad night. You've had what 3 or 4 EVER? You'll make it back double at 129. Speaking of UFC, there are only 2 events in the next 2 and half months. WTF?

Cheers bro, yeah not been many and never tend to do too well with Strikeforce events but at least the Chandler play came through. Yee only 2 events until end of May but thn there's like 5 in the space of a 5 weeks from UFC130 to beginning of July!

rafa martin · 04-10-11, 07:12 AM

vaughany you are a master in this kind of betting!,, so next time you will be even stronger, i will be along in yr bets,,,best of luck

sirchadwick1 · 04-10-11, 09:30 AM

When you do as much prop betting as you do V, you're bound to hit walls. I am actually surprised you hit as many as you do.
I stayed away from the props on this one and had a pretty solid night thanks to Diaz, Melendez, and Chandler. That Mousasi/Jardine decision was utter bs and lowered my return on 4 parlays. Enjoyed the card though, good fights!

Vaughany · 04-10-11, 09:38 AM

Originally posted by sirchadwick1

When you do as much prop betting as you do V, you're bound to hit walls. I am actually surprised you hit as many as you do.
I stayed away from the props on this one and had a pretty solid night thanks to Diaz, Melendez, and Chandler. That Mousasi/Jardine decision was utter bs and lowered my return on 4 parlays. Enjoyed the card though, good fights!

Yeah that's it... Diaz by sub at +300 and Mousasi by Tko/KO at +225 were too good to pass up on just because of their value...another night at least one of them would of hit. I just overestimated Daley's stand-up defence, I thought he'd use a lot of head movement and circle a lot, instead he kept backing up against the fence and lettin Diaz tee-off on him. Gd job with the Diaz, Melendez and Chandler plays bro....shame about Mousasi tho

snake11eyes · 04-10-11, 09:46 AM

Originally posted by sirchadwick1

When you do as much prop betting as you do V, you're bound to hit walls.

That's the thing with prop betting. You could pick the winners of 4 fights go 4-0, but lose money on all 4 fights. It's going to happen once in a while. Having said that, you do an excellent job at it.

p.s. I probably had something to do with this by saying I don't think you'll have a losing night anymore.

rafa martin · 04-10-11, 09:54 AM

just a little too complicated for an andaluz ja ja,,, but will manage to understand.. so 1 unit equals 10 euros right?.... and what about those fight with special props most books do not show them.. are they so important to betv in order to achieve the deired goals,,,,none of my books show those bets....and the one you told me,, is rated c,,, i do not trust them,, had an awful relationship with mi apuesta.com

suerte man!!!,,will like to see you at marbella when you come in the summer,, regards.

xelance · 04-10-11, 12:53 PM

of course the almighty V will be back at UFC 129 with a vengeance

Vaughany · 04-11-11, 08:29 AM

Originally posted by rafa martin

just a little too complicated for an andaluz ja ja,,, but will manage to understand.. so 1 unit equals 10 euros right?.... and what about those fight with special props most books do not show them.. are they so important to betv in order to achieve the deired goals,,,,none of my books show those bets....and the one you told me,, is rated c,,, i do not trust them,, had an awful relationship with mi apuesta.com

suerte man!!!,,will like to see you at marbella when you come in the summer,, regards.

No worries, can be complicated no matter where u are from...confuses me sometimes as well, especially due to the amount of bets and arbs I do! 1 unit equals £10, and with regards to the props I get most of them at paddypower and sportbet. They are important for me as I use them even more than staight up bets (moneyline) and do a lot of arbs with them, but by no means are they vital to gettin positive results. Ah right so Miapuesta is the Spanish Sportingbet.com then...I've not really used them too much, mostly for boxing arbs, such as I've got Pacquiao by decision on ther at +110 currently. I've not had any issues with them yet as far as I'm aware.

Vaughany · 04-11-11, 11:40 AM

UFC 129 Play:

0.5 units on Aldo by decision at +800 to win 4 units;

0.61 units on Aldo by submission at +1200 to win 7.326 units.

These will act as hedges to Aldo by TKO/KO or Aldo KO of the Night.

sirchadwick1 · 04-11-11, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

UFC 129 Play:

0.5 units on Aldo by decision at +800 to win 4 units.

This will be a hedge to Aldo by TKO/KO or Aldo KO of the Night & Aldo Submission of the Night.

+800? Makes me sick... I thought I had a great bet on Aldo at +399 for decision.
I did take a chance on Aldo by sub at +1200 also.... Hominick has been prone to RNC's.

I definitely see Machida going balls to the wall and TKO'ing Randy. Just b/c the judges are always screwy and favor Randy, I threw down .2u on the fight to go to a draw also at +4500.

Vaughany · 04-11-11, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by sirchadwick1

+800? Makes me sick... I thought I had a great bet on Aldo at +399 for decision.
I did take a chance on Aldo by sub at +1200 also.... Hominick has been prone to RNC's.

I definitely see Machida going balls to the wall and TKO'ing Randy. Just b/c the judges are always screwy and favor Randy, I threw down .2u on the fight to go to a draw also at +4500.

Yeah Eurosites are big on Aldo to win by TKO/KO...-225 on Skybet so the decision prop is juicy! The sub prop at +1200 is decent value for sure, just added that as well!

xelance · 04-11-11, 12:05 PM

wow...with all those bets V, you must really like Aldo in this one. What is your reasoning on liking Aldo so much? I placed a small wager on Hominick just for fun..I actually like his chances.

Vaughany · 04-11-11, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by xelance

wow...with all those bets V, you must really like Aldo in this one. What is your reasoning on liking Aldo so much? I placed a small wager on Hominick just for fun..I actually like his chances.

Im a big Hominick fan and think he will be Aldo's toughest test yet as it's true Aldo hasn't faced a high level striker and a high level fighter who will come forward like Hominick. Nonetheless, as much as I like Hominick, he hasn't beaten great competition. Savant Young, Caraway, Jabouin, Garcia and Roop are not at the level of guys like Faber and Brown, Gamburyan, Swanson and Brookins - all of whom Aldo walked through comfortably. Moreover, Hominick despite being a great boxer doesn't have nasty leg kicks and also doesn't have elite level defence. IMO, the Jabouin fight is a good indicator of how this fight could go (but with Hominick not gettin a sweep and TKO!). Jabouin was able to land numerous leg kicks and body kicks in the first round and took the round. And in the second round, Jabouin who was able to drop Hominick with a counter punch when backed in to the cage during their fight after taking a mean body shot, and yes Hominick showed a great chin and composure as he was able to recover almost immediately and sweep Jabouin due to Yves' limited ground game, but without a doubt if a similar situation occurs in the Aldo fight, Aldo will be able to finish with a sub or GnP.

The EPIC Hominick vs Jabouin fight can be seen here...

http://www.pancrase.org/mark-hominick-vs-yves-jabouin-wec-49/06-22-2010/

ufcmma36 · 04-11-11, 12:32 PM

hopefully we can see a bit of a back an forth slugfest with a split decision!

xelance · 04-11-11, 03:08 PM

thanks V for your analysis, I never saw that fight....for some reason the link is not working either

Vaughany · 04-11-11, 03:36 PM

!

Originally posted by xelance

thanks V for your analysis, I never saw that fight....for some reason the link is not working either

If u click play thn pause and wait for a few minutes thn press play again it should work!

Vaughany · 04-12-11, 03:30 PM

Brian Foster out of fight with Pierson due to a brain hemorrhage

He'll be devastated, his younger brother died on 29th April so would of meant a lot to him to fight on tht card.

Edit*** Holy Shiiiiiiit he had to have a testicle removed after a groin shot as well!... http://www.mixedmartialarts.com/news...s-of-testicle/