Vaughany's MMA Picks...

xelance · 03-19-11, 10:15 PM

yup, I was on that too vaughany

Vaughany · 03-19-11, 10:32 PM

Damn, needed tht to go to decision for big profit....Miller is a beast tho, should have had more faith in his finishing ability.

Vaughany · 03-19-11, 10:50 PM

Good first round, FOTN lookin good so far!

xelance · 03-19-11, 11:07 PM

yeah...looks like it could take it, but I still really like Jones/ Shogun for FOTN

Vaughany · 03-19-11, 11:12 PM

Yeah as long as Shogun/Bones goes over 2-3 rounds it will probly get it.

Vaughany · 03-19-11, 11:41 PM

WOW amazing shit! Probly ruined my Schaub KO of the Night play tho

xelance · 03-19-11, 11:46 PM

I dont think so vaughany...they might even do two ko of the night bonuses. It def could happen!

Vaughany · 03-19-11, 11:51 PM

Yeah maybe, or if lucky give Bones/Shogun FOTN and Schaub KO of the Night!

xelance · 03-19-11, 11:53 PM

now that would be amazing lol. I will be happy though with Faber/ Wineland FOTN and Schaub KO of the night

!

Vaughany · 03-20-11, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by xelance

now that would be amazing lol. I will be happy though with Faber/ Wineland FOTN and Schaub KO of the night

!

ha yeah tht would be better for me as well actually!

Vaughany · 03-20-11, 12:30 AM

I've heard Koch, Schaub, Njokuani and Barboza got the bonuses.

Vaughany · 03-20-11, 12:46 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Final Summary of UFC 128 Plays:

5 units on Jon Jones at -160 to win 3.125 units;

1 unit on Shogun KO of the Night at +700 to win 7 units;

2 units on Shogun/Jones Fight of the Night at +333.33 to win 6.667 units;

2 units on Faber/Wineland Fight of the Night at +600 to win 12 units;

6.218 units on Faber Not Inside the Distance at +105 to win 6.529 units;

1.5 units on Faber Submission of the Night at +500 to win 7.5 units;

0.043 units on Wineland KO of the Night at +3300 to win 1.419 units;

0.086 units on Wineland by decision at +800 to win 0.688 units;

1 unit on Schaub by decision at +400 to win 4 units;

0.5 units on Schaub KO of the Night at +700 to win 3.5 units;

9.091 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at +110 to win 10 units;

9.8 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +160 to win 15.68 units;

10 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at Evens to win 10 units;

15 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +165 to win 24.75 units;

10 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at Evens to win 10 units;

5.981 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +165 to win 9.885 units

10 units on Marquardt by decision at +162.5 to win 16.25 units;

0.062 units on Marquardt KO of the Night at +2100 to win 1.302 units;

25 units on Miller/Shalorus to go the distance at +120 to win 30 units;

3 units on Miller/Shalorus to go the distance at +110 to win 3.3 units (also have a free bet worth 5 units on the fight going distance but won't include this on my record on here);

6.218 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +160 to win 9.949 units;

6.218 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +150 to win 9.327 units;

7.5 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +140 to win 10.05 units;

Parlay (double): 1 unit on Barboza & Pyle/Almeida to go the distance to win 1.222 units;

0.064 units on Pyle by TKO/KO at +1400 to win 0.896 units;

0.186 units on Barboza by submission at +1200 to win 2.234 units;

0.086 units on Barboza by submission at +1000 to win 0.86 units;

0.1 units on Barboza by decision at +400 to win 0.4 units;

0.2 units on Benavidez by decision at +300 to win 0.6 units;

0.013 units on Benavidez/Loveland fight will finish the quickest at +1600 to win 0.208 units.

UFC 128 Results:

Total stake: 138.866 units

Total returns: 160.997 units

Total profit: +22.131 units

Another solid night, would of been a whole lot better had one of my FOTN props worked out and had Miller/Shalorus gone to decision. Will do a breakdown of my results tomorrow as it's 6am over here now and I'm fuuuuuuuuuucked!

xelance · 03-20-11, 12:07 PM

yep, schaub did get the KO of the night bonus with koch

and barboza-nj FOTN unfortunately

Decent night overall for me, not good not bad. Great job again vaughany

Vaughany · 03-20-11, 01:08 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

UFC 128 Results:

Total stake: 138.866 units

Total returns: 160.997 units

Total profit: +22.131 units

Another solid night, would of been a whole lot better had one of my FOTN props worked out and had Miller/Shalorus gone to decision. Will do a breakdown of my results tomorrow as it's 6am over here now and I'm fuuuuuuuuuucked!

Record Review:

Since Bellator 26 (August 26th):

Bellator 26: +0.45 units
UFC 118: +6.11 units
MFC Retribution: -1.6 units
UFC Fight Night 22: +5.55 units
UFC 119: +1.5 units
WEC 51: +1.07 units
Cage Warriors 38: +11 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Noons 2: +2.417 units
UFC 120: -0.589 units
UFC 121: +9.011 units
WEC 52: -1.274 units
UFC 122: +17.355 units
Strikeforce Challengers 12: +0.865 units
UFC 123: +1.609 units
TUF 12 Finale: +9.556 units
K1 Grand Prix 2010 Review: +1.1 units
UFC 124: +5.135 units
WEC 53: +0.059 units
Sengoku Soul of Fight & Dream Dynamite: +1.354 units
UFC 125: +3.095 units
UFC Fight for the Troops 2: +3.961 units
UFC 126: +24.577 units
Strikeforce: Fedor vs Silva: +0.941 units
MFC 28 Supremacy: +8.594 units
BAMMA 5: +0.84 units
UFC 127: +10.945 units
UFC Live on Versus 3: +11.622 units
Strikeforce Columbus: -1.4 units
UFC 128: +22.131 units

Total Profit since Aug 26th 2010: +155.983 units

bjpenn85 · 03-20-11, 03:31 PM

The jon jones of betting!

Vaughany · 03-20-11, 04:13 PM

UFC 129 Plays:

19.8 units on GSP/Shields to go the distance at -114 to win 17.325 units;

6.157 units on GSP/Shields NOT going the distance at +205 to win 12.622 units;

6.157 units on on GSP/Shields NOT going the distance at +175 to win 10.775 units.

Vaughany · 03-21-11, 10:30 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

The jon jones of betting!

ha cheers, but Im about a 10th as flashy as Bones!

Ladle · 03-21-11, 11:17 AM

What's up man? Just dropping by to say that I've been following your thread for a while and I'm a big fan. Particularly loving your use of arbitrage bets which is something I'm currently trying to incorporate more into my own betting. I'm actually thinking of starting up a thread here myself.

The jon jones of betting!

I'd say he's more of a Jon Fitch. All of these boring, risk-free bets.

But seriously, awesome work!

Vaughany · 03-21-11, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by Ladle

What's up man? Just dropping by to say that I've been following your thread for a while and I'm a big fan. Particularly loving your use of arbitrage bets which is something I'm currently trying to incorporate more into my own betting. I'm actually thinking of starting up a thread here myself.

I'd say he's more of a Jon Fitch. All of these boring, risk-free bets.

But seriously, awesome work!

haha yeah Fitch seems more apt! Cheers bro...u should create a thread for sure... always good to have dudes who show their bets and keep a record.

Ladle · 03-21-11, 12:23 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

haha yeah Fitch seems more apt! Cheers bro...u should create a thread for sure... always good to have dudes who show their bets and keep a record.

I'll create one now.

FightFightFight · 03-21-11, 08:27 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

UFC 129 Plays:

19.8 units on GSP/Shields to go the distance at -114 to win 17.325 units;

6.157 units on GSP/Shields NOT going the distance at +205 to win 12.622 units;

6.157 units on on GSP/Shields NOT going the distance at +175 to win 10.775 units.

Where are you getting these lines!??!? The distance props for Miller-Shalorus and Marquardt-Miller you got too are insane!!! Somewhere they are pulling numbers out of a hat, rather than hiring linesmakers. I need to get me some of those.

youngbutgood · 03-21-11, 09:22 PM

Originally posted by FightFightFight

Where are you getting these lines!??!? The distance props for Miller-Shalorus and Marquardt-Miller you got too are insane!!! Somewhere they are pulling numbers out of a hat, rather than hiring linesmakers. I need to get me some of those.

Me too im interested in which books you were able to get these plays at.

omalley21 · 03-21-11, 10:21 PM

He gets them at Paddypower and other euro books. I need to get a residence there asap lol.

thesox0311 · 03-22-11, 06:50 AM

nice night the other night!! Lets have another this weekend.

sirchadwick1 · 03-22-11, 08:03 AM

Vaughany has quite the group of followers right now and rightfully so. Great job V!
Impressive overall plays on the year. I just really wish I could get in the euro books for those ridiculous opening lines.
Sucks being limited to the available US books. 5dimes is really the best option for us.

thesox0311 · 03-22-11, 01:07 PM

who do you have for Saturday night?

Vaughany · 03-22-11, 03:27 PM

Originally posted by thesox0311

nice night the other night!! Lets have another this weekend.

Originally posted by thesox0311

who do you have for Saturday night?

Big on Davis by decision and like Morecraft, Semerzier and Lentz a lot...just waiting for 5dimes/Sportbet or Bookmaker to release the damn lines!

xelance · 03-22-11, 03:35 PM

just went small on Leonard Garcia -115 vs korean zombie, what side would you be on if you were betting it Vaughany? In my opinion, I dont think this fight will be as exciting as the first, and Garcia should win this one again in a rather convincing fashion.

Vaughany · 03-22-11, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by xelance

just went small on Leonard Garcia -115 vs korean zombie, what side would you be on if you were betting it Vaughany? In my opinion, I dont think this fight will be as exciting as the first, and Garcia should win this one again in a rather convincing fashion.

Not sure, neither fighter impresses me much! Korean Zombie has been training with Team Alpha Male, maybe he'll fight smarter in this one and look for takedowns but never know. No way it will be as exciting as first, will probly actually be a big anti-climax. I'd be more inclined to wait and play the fight to go to decision rather than bet on either fighter as it's pretty much a coin-toss!

Ladle · 03-22-11, 04:16 PM

Jung's resilience to getting hit in the face may have lessened after eating that George Roop head kick. Combine that with the fact that he's a massive defensive liability in every way imaginable, and I think Garcia has a shot at knocking him out.

With that said, if everything unfolds similarly to the first fight, I like Jung to win by decision. One tendency we see in rematches of controversial fights - especially in boxing - is judges end up erring on the side of caution, scoring rounds for the "wronged" guy in the first fight. I suspect the judges will give close rounds to Jung.

99Boxster · 03-22-11, 04:16 PM

Very impressive record Vaughany.

Vaughany · 03-23-11, 04:48 PM

UFC Fight Night 24 Play:

10 units on Semerzier at -205 to win 4.878 units.

I'm loathe to play anybody at worse than -200 when they are not a high-level wrestler with a big advantage in that area, however as was the case with Hominick against Roop, I will make an exception, as I just don't see where Bruce Leroy has an advantage in this one. Semerzier is bigger, stronger, has better striking, probably better wrestling and has subbed Wagney Fabiano! Of course, if he goes to ground and gets sloppy/complacent with top control he could get triangled or something, but I doubt that will happen. Moreover, as well as having the experience advantage, this is a must win fight for Da Menace otherwise he will be cut so there shouldn't be any complacency or casualness involved.

xelance · 03-23-11, 07:56 PM

how can you go against a guy that looks like this? Hes got soul power!!! Just look at that fro pick, hes a true black panther

urge2kill · 03-23-11, 08:47 PM

I like Bruce LeRoy, but I don't think he can compete in the UFC.

Vaughany · 03-24-11, 02:41 PM

Summary of UFC Fight Night 24 Plays so far:

15.919 units on Davis/Nogueira to go the distance at -120 to win 13.266 units;

8.131 units on Davis by decision at +175 to win 14.229 units;

0.1 units on Lil Nog Submission of the Night +3300 to win 3.3 units;

10 units on Semerzier at -205 to win 4.878 units.