Ya tbh I haven't really understood the over the top love for Miranda. I get it if you liked him at the earlier numbers but ppl still think he's a steal at current lines?!?
Comment
illmatick
SBR Hall of Famer
01-05-09
5456
#108
why not, he arguably has the edge in every aspect of mma
better wrestler, wayyy better bjj, stand-up is close to even imo
Comment
ThisGuy
SBR Wise Guy
03-12-10
517
#109
How strong is his chin though? Has he faced a similar opponent? I try to look for value in large dogs if there's much in the way of the unknown. If I don't come up with a clear cut strong play/lean on the handicap of a fight I look for possible value in the line. Miranda might smoke him but I bet a lot of dogs
Comment
Educ8d Degener8
SBR MVP
01-12-10
3177
#110
The only value I could see in Loiseau is if Miranda decides to stand and trade. Technically, Miranda's striking looks pretty sound, but why play to Loiseau's best skill? He better get it to the mat
If Loiseau were a larger dog, I'd see some value there, but not at current odds (+195). For +195, there's more value in Kampmann imho.
Comment
ThisGuy
SBR Wise Guy
03-12-10
517
#111
Agreed, have a bet on him too. Prbly will lose both but it's a volume thing
Comment
illmatick
SBR Hall of Famer
01-05-09
5456
#112
Miranda wins by tko
bought back for .75 units on Dunham at +182
Comment
Educ8d Degener8
SBR MVP
01-12-10
3177
#113
Good sh*t.
Contemplating a late play on Dunham myself...
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#114
Originally posted by illmatick
Miranda wins by tko
bought back for .75 units on Dunham at +182
Nice gd work! Ive got Miranda in my big parlay...should of put him in a double with Wilks or Barry tho me thinks!
Comment
ThisGuy
SBR Wise Guy
03-12-10
517
#115
GG Bro, Dunham and Wiman still have me in the plus currently
Comment
illmatick
SBR Hall of Famer
01-05-09
5456
#116
damn, 9 seconds away from my decision prop
added one more straddle
Mirko +150 x1
Barry wins by 3 round decision +639 x.5
Comment
Educ8d Degener8
SBR MVP
01-12-10
3177
#117
That's a bad beat there Ill...
Unless Yvel/Rothwell or Barry/Cro Cop goes a full 3 standing, I'm hoping that first fight gets my FOTN prop bet
Comment
Kaladarus
SBR MVP
11-11-09
1876
#118
I made the same prop bet, that was a disaster.
Comment
Eccocide
SBR MVP
01-12-09
2126
#119
Woulda won 7 units on that decision. Unreal.
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#120
Glad Paddypower didnt allow prop bets on the prelims or Condit fight! Id have had all three of them goin to decision with the expectation tht at least two of them would of gone the 3 rounds!
Comment
POTVINSUX
SBR MVP
10-14-08
2423
#121
Thiago Alves will kick the shyt outa his opponent
Comment
Educ8d Degener8
SBR MVP
01-12-10
3177
#122
You're two events early there champ...
Comment
illmatick
SBR Hall of Famer
01-05-09
5456
#123
Originally posted by illmatick
11. insurance parlay x.25 Condit +125 James Wilks -355 Paulo Thiago -235 Rothwell/Yvel goes 3 round distance +320
hedge for this parlay
added Martin Kampmann +200 x1
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#124
Originally posted by POTVINSUX
Thiago Alves will kick the shyt outa his opponent
haha cool story bro!
Comment
illmatick
SBR Hall of Famer
01-05-09
5456
#125
-1.5 units tonight, both of my decision props were off by less than a minute and Yves fuks me on one of my straddles
those were great value plays, sucks they didn't hit
Comment
illmatick
SBR Hall of Famer
01-05-09
5456
#127
Originally posted by Kaladarus
those were great value plays, sucks they didn't hit
should have been an easy 2-0, just wish Macdonald would have paced himself a little better
correction on my record for yesterday, I also had another small play on Crocop that i locked up last month, it's in my other ufc thread, should be only a -1.2 unit loss last night
should have been an easy 2-0, just wish Macdonald would have paced himself a little better
correction on my record for yesterday, I also had another small play on Crocop that i locked up last month, it's in my other ufc thread, should be only a -1.2 unit loss last night
Rory's got to work on his conditioning and strength. He was using a lot of energy just to keep Condit on the ground.
Comment
Chairib
SBR Wise Guy
03-08-10
917
#129
Originally posted by illmatick
tyson has some tree trunks, that's for sure, that's probably the only reason he didn't tap to that akward leg compression from DOS ANJOS, something would have probably snapped on an avg size quad
I just checked your twitter Charib, pretty cool that Joey left a few comments,
if you get a chance to ask him, find out what he was thinking on opening GSP at only -340, seems like an incredibly soft line to me.. that thing is going to get so much action, I would have expected something around -420
Yo I just noticed this comment illmatick and I'll drop Joey a PM about it. Get a twitter account man!
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#130
o im jacking that parlay
Comment
southmadejd
SBR MVP
08-27-09
1059
#131
Hey Ilmatik or anybody for that matter, what do you think the odds will be on varner vs. shalorus??? If that opens up with Shalorus as a dog I think I am going to make a big bet on him. I know Varner has a wrestling background but it seems as though Shalorus toys with even collegiate wrestlers and he seems to have a decent chin on him. Does anybody else think he could keep Varner on his back the whole fight? I would like some input from you guys.
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#132
Originally posted by southmadejd
Hey Ilmatik or anybody for that matter, what do you think the odds will be on varner vs. shalorus??? If that opens up with Shalorus as a dog I think I am going to make a big bet on him. I know Varner has a wrestling background but it seems as though Shalorus toys with even collegiate wrestlers and he seems to have a decent chin on him. Does anybody else think he could keep Varner on his back the whole fight? I would like some input from you guys.
Wrestled for GB and was top 10 in world at one point....wouldnt be surprised if he comes in at +200, might be worth a play
Comment
southmadejd
SBR MVP
08-27-09
1059
#133
Man, if he comes in at +200 that would be amazing. Would everybody put a play on him if he comes in at that number?
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#134
I probly would but I'm only guessing +200 on the basis that Varner is a much bigger name and former champ!
Comment
illmatick
SBR Hall of Famer
01-05-09
5456
#135
Tim Kennedy -130 x1.5
Comment
Educ8d Degener8
SBR MVP
01-12-10
3177
#136
Ill, any thoughts on fading Noons? He looked pretty lackluster in his return match against Dida -- Ring rust perhaps, but I've never been that impressed with Noons.
Although, I don't recall being very impressed the few times I've seen Heun either.
Comment
illmatick
SBR Hall of Famer
01-05-09
5456
#137
Originally posted by illmatick
Zaramoskis -200 x2
Santos +250 x.5 (sportsbook.com)
I think Heun is a perfect opp for Noons, sloppy standup and he lacks one punch power, best chance I give Heun is to use whatever type of cardio edge he may have and try and force KJ into a fast pace fight like the one he had against Gurgel.. only way I see Noons losing is if he gasses late
Comment
southmadejd
SBR MVP
08-27-09
1059
#138
I think this is one of those fight cards where all of the favorites take it except Lawler. I just think Babalu is way more well rounded, the only thing that scares me is Lawler's power.
Also Zaramoskis could get knocked out by Santos, lets hope that doesn't happen also.
Comment
illmatick
SBR Hall of Famer
01-05-09
5456
#139
I actually like Prangley tonight.. just waiting to see how far the line continues to move
all depends on what king of gas tank Prangley brings to the fight, I wish there was some type of prop bet where I could just bet him to win round 1.. if the line closes at +140 or better he will be my official play