Eccocide's MMA Picks

**Vaughany** · 06-10-11, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Adding:

UFC 131:

Cerrone / Edwards-Stout Starts Round 3 2-fight parlay (-123) 3 units to win 2.44 units

UFC 131 Recap (So Far):

Maia (+105) 2 units to win 2.1 units
Carwin in Round 1 (+350) 1 unit to win 3.5 units
Carwin in Round 2 (640) 1 unit to win 6.4 units
Florian Inside the Distance (+185) 1.5 units to win 2.775 units
Edwards by Decision (+314) 1 unit to win 3.14 units
Weidman by Decision (+201) 1.25 units to win 2.5125 units
Cerrone / Edwards-Stout Starts Round 3 2-fight parlay (-123) 3 units to win 2.44 units

I'm honestly not in love with my card at all so far lol. I got sucked in with a lot of props which I have been trying to avoid as of late (and it has been working). But I love me some value and had to bite lol. FYI, a lot of money has come in on Carwin in Round 1 (down to +220) which has caused Carwin in Round 2 to skyrocket to +1200.....I should have seen this coming and waited to play it. Definitely regretting it now! I may have a couple more plays, but not loving anything at the moment.

U've got Edwards by dec and Weidman by decision at great value. U only need one to make a profit, and I think Edwards has a better chance of gettin a decision than those odds indicate. I'm not sure Florian will finish Nunes though, I think it will look a lot like the Huerta fight (and not just because Nunes looks a lot like Roger!).

**jesuseatsnubs** · 06-10-11, 02:39 PM

I just hope we don't see another Josh Grispi like upset when it comes to Cerrone lol

best of luck luck all .. weigh ins start live in about 1 hour and 20 minutes on ufc.com

**omalley21** · 06-10-11, 03:05 PM

Ya I doubt florian finishes nunes.. Zahabi seems to be content to win decisions.

**Eccocide** · 06-10-11, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by bogbat

I'm on Mia and Carwin too but just about the rest of the forum are on the other side. This card is a very hard card to predict in my opinion, if I wasn't such an action junkie for MMA I'd avoid wagering on it all together.

lol I hear ya Bog. GL this weekend.

Originally posted by Vaughany

U've got Edwards by dec and Weidman by decision at great value. U only need one to make a profit, and I think Edwards has a better chance of gettin a decision than those odds indicate. I'm not sure Florian will finish Nunes though, I think it will look a lot like the Huerta fight (and not just because Nunes looks a lot like Roger!).

ya, thats kinda what I am hoping for. I thought Edwards would be closed to +240ish by decision and Bongfeldt is no pushover to be finished. Hopefully I'll hit one.

Originally posted by omalley21

Ya I doubt florian finishes nunes.. Zahabi seems to be content to win decisions.

This is true. Zahabi is a win first, finish later kind of coach. But I also think that the strategy he will be professing to Ken will be to get in tight, use his size and work for the TD. That will not only put him in control, but I think he will be in a great position to finish. He has never been one to coast through a fight and I couldnt pass him up at that price when hes only won by decision 1 time in his career, and Nunes has some sizable holes in his game. We shall see though. It could be a very interesting fight!

**Eccocide** · 06-10-11, 04:46 PM

I tried to avoid this fight but If I dont add this prop I'll prolly hate myself later on...yes another prop lol.

Adding:

UFC 131:

Herman by TKO (+140) 1.5 units to win 2.1 units

UFC 131 Recap:

Maia (+105) 2 units to win 2.1 units
Carwin in Round 1 (+350) 1 unit to win 3.5 units
Carwin in Round 2 (640) 1 unit to win 6.4 units
Florian Inside the Distance (+185) 1.5 units to win 2.775 units
Edwards by Decision (+314) 1 unit to win 3.14 units
Weidman by Decision (+201) 1.25 units to win 2.5125 units
Cerrone / Edwards-Stout Starts Round 3 2-fight parlay (-123) 3 units to win 2.44 units
Herman by TKO (+140) 1.5 units to win 2.1 units

**Eccocide** · 06-11-11, 03:43 PM

I waited a while to try and hope to get Beltran around +150 but the line isnt moving very much and is actually moving down at some sites so I will bite at +135. And a couple props for FOTN.

Adding:

UFC 131:

Beltran (+135) 1.5 units to win 2.025 units
Stout/Edwards FOTN (+575) 0.5 units to win 2.875 units
Poirier/Young FOTN (+1100) 0.25 units to win 2.75 units
Florian/Nunes FOTN (+650) 0.25 units to win 1.625 units

UFC 131 Recap:

Maia (+105) 2 units to win 2.1 units
Carwin in Round 1 (+350) 1 unit to win 3.5 units
Carwin in Round 2 (640) 1 unit to win 6.4 units
Florian Inside the Distance (+185) 1.5 units to win 2.775 units
Edwards by Decision (+314) 1 unit to win 3.14 units
Weidman by Decision (+201) 1.25 units to win 2.5125 units
Cerrone / Edwards-Stout Starts Round 3 2-fight parlay (-123) 3 units to win 2.44 units
Herman by TKO (+140) 1.5 units to win 2.1 units
Beltran (+135) 1.5 units to win 2.025 units
Stout/Edwards FOTN (+575) 0.5 units to win 2.875 units
Poirier/Young FOTN (+1100) 0.25 units to win 2.75 units
Florian/Nunes FOTN (+650) 0.25 units to win 1.625 units

GL tonight everyone!

**Vaughany** · 06-11-11, 03:52 PM

GL bro. At least 5 fights that have potential to be FOTN tonight... Poirier/Young is defo one of them, I don't think Poirier will dominate him like many expect.

**Eccocide** · 06-11-11, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

GL bro. At least 5 fights that have potential to be FOTN tonight... Poirier/Young is defo one of them, I don't think Poirier will dominate him like many expect.

Yeah, I think a lot will depend on Poiriers strategy for the fight. I think it has a good shot, especially at that price. GL tonight bud...I havent had a lot of time to post in other threads but I like your Herman/Einemo not going the distance - crazy price you got it at!!

**Brian891** · 06-11-11, 05:51 PM

poirier looks tentative. why was he such a big fav?

**Brian891** · 06-11-11, 06:05 PM

poirier is another golden boy loser. looks like crap. killing my parlay dammit.

**Brian891** · 06-11-11, 06:15 PM

closer than i thought but ill take it.

**Eccocide** · 06-11-11, 07:44 PM

Impressive ko by stout. That's what I get for betting against the Canadian. I don't understand all the love for eimeno. Very surprised the price got this low on Herman.

Herman (-149) 3.725 units to win 2.5 units.

Out for the night. Gl.

**Eccocide** · 06-12-11, 09:56 AM

Well that was terrible lol. The props kicked my ass. I got too cheeky with the value...

UFC 131 Results: -4.125 units

**urge2kill** · 06-12-11, 10:47 AM

Props killed me too. I was 0-6 for the night.

**Eccocide** · 06-16-11, 10:47 AM

WOOOOOOOOOOOHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !

Just had to get that outta tha way!

**Eccocide** · 06-16-11, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by urge2kill

Props killed me too. I was 0-6 for the night.

Lets hope we gettem back this weekend urge!!

Strikeforce Overeem vs Werdum:

Heun (+150) 2 units to win 3 units

**ddream1** · 06-16-11, 12:35 PM

like heun alot, putting him on my card with wilcox.

**Eccocide** · 06-17-11, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by ddream1

like heun alot, putting him on my card with wilcox.

Think I am gunna stay away from the Wilcox/JZ fight...tough call for me! GL this weekend bud.

Adding:

Strikeforce Overeem vs Werdum:

Noons/Masival goes 3 Round Distance (-155) 3.1 units to win 2 units

**Vaughany** · 06-17-11, 12:37 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Think I am gunna stay away from the Wilcox/JZ fight...tough call for me! GL this weekend bud.

Adding:

Strikeforce Overeem vs Werdum:

Noons/Masival goes 3 Round Distance (-155) 3.1 units to win 2 units

Solid play

**Eccocide** · 06-17-11, 01:28 PM

Tnx V. I like Noons as well, but I dunno if I wanna tangle with 2 plays within one fight lol.

**Eccocide** · 06-18-11, 10:15 AM

Adding:

Barnett/Rogers Over 1.5 Rounds (-115) 1.725 units to win 1.5 units
Vallie-Flagg (+118) 1.25 units to win 1.475 units

Strikeforce Overeem vs Werdum Recap:

Heun (+150) 2 units to win 3 units
Noons/Masvidal goes 3 Round Distance (-155) 3.1 units to win 2 units
Barnett/Rogers Over 1.5 Rounds (-115) 1.725 units to win 1.5 units
Vallie-Flagg (+118) 1.25 units to win 1.475 units

Might have 1 more play but that is all for now.

**sag3000** · 06-18-11, 12:28 PM

I'm liking your Heun play as well. He has faced better competition and Almeida so far has been mostly early submissions. Will be interesting to see how he will fare against Conor who is no slouch on the ground. I think he will get the best of the standup, predicting a ko/tko for the Hurricane. Best of luck

**Eccocide** · 06-18-11, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by sag3000

I'm liking your Heun play as well. He has faced better competition and Almeida so far has been mostly early submissions. Will be interesting to see how he will fare against Conor who is no slouch on the ground. I think he will get the best of the standup, predicting a ko/tko for the Hurricane. Best of luck

Ya I really think Heun will be able to dictate where the fight takes place. As long as he doesnt get too aggressive, I think its his fight. Gl tonight!

One last add:

A. Overeem inside the distance / V.Overeem-Griggs Doesnt Start Round 3 2-fight parlay (-120) 2.4 units to win 2 units

Strikeforce Overeem vs Werdum Recap:

Heun (+150) 2 units to win 3 units
Noons/Masvidal goes 3 Round Distance (-155) 3.1 units to win 2 units
Barnett/Rogers Over 1.5 Rounds (-115) 1.725 units to win 1.5 units
Vallie-Flagg (+118) 1.25 units to win 1.475 units
A. Overeem inside the distance / V.Overeem-Griggs Doesnt Start Round 3 2-fight parlay (-120) 2.4 units to win 2 units

**Eccocide** · 06-18-11, 08:43 PM

2-0 on undercard. 2 very close fights. Tempted to buy back or hedge on the others because I feel like I'm tempting fate lol. Anyways, not gunna add anything. GL tonight everyone!

**Eccocide** · 06-19-11, 09:58 AM

Strikeforce Overeem vs Werdum Results: +2.35 units

Definitely could have been a little better. Overeem not finishing flopper cost me a bit.

**NickDiaz209** · 06-19-11, 10:05 AM

im tired of floppers! soccer players, basketball players, and now the vancouver canucks, koscheck and submission fighters like werdum and thales leites

**Eccocide** · 06-19-11, 10:56 AM

Originally posted by NickDiaz209

im tired of floppers! soccer players, basketball players, and now the vancouver canucks, koscheck and submission fighters like werdum and thales leites

lol I hear ya. With last week and Rocha, and this week with Werdum my frustration level is getting pretty high!

**Eccocide** · 06-19-11, 10:57 AM

Adding:

UFC on Versus 4:

Kongo (-155) 4.65 units to win 3 units

**Vaughany** · 06-19-11, 11:28 AM

Gd to see u on Kongo as well Ecco...gonna be VERY SHOCKED if he f**ks this one up!

**Eccocide** · 06-19-11, 09:06 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Gd to see u on Kongo as well Ecco...gonna be VERY SHOCKED if he f**ks this one up!

lol ya I will be surprised if he loses this one. I was just waiting to try and get the best price. I dont see it getting much better.

**snake11eyes** · 06-19-11, 09:20 PM

Damn it, I hate to see all you guys so sure on Kongo. The more that bet him makes me want to. I know he should win easy too, but my instinct telling me not to play this one.

**bjpenn85** · 06-20-11, 03:57 AM

just hedge it then. Its not like barry wil win a decision after grinding kongo for three rounds?

**Eccocide** · 06-23-11, 11:18 AM

Attonito (-115) 2.3 units to win 2 units

**Eccocide** · 06-23-11, 02:12 PM

Oliviera (-170) 3.4 units to win 2 units

**Eccocide** · 06-23-11, 02:14 PM

Larkin (-140) 2.1 units to win 1.5 units