UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw - January 19th
Collapse
X
-
Hugo de NaranjaSBR Posting Legend
- 04-14-16
- 14140
#71Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#72Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
-
Hugo de NaranjaSBR Posting Legend
- 04-14-16
- 14140
#74I like the predictions this guy makes. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fBo4aDTDPnMComment -
ThrillaSBR Posting Legend
- 03-10-15
- 13809
#77Heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier previews the Fight Night Brooklyn main event matchup between flyweight champion Henry Cejudo and bantamweight champion TJ Dillashaw.
Presented by Toyo Tires, bantamweight champion TJ Dillashaw shows he's just like us and talks all things superheros, fighting a clone of himself, and his not so glamorous first job.Comment -
TeemSBR Sharp
- 04-11-17
- 343
#78Do you guys think ESPN will start some sort of fantasy pickem thing that the UFC website used to have? I'm not seeing any news of one but I miss doing that with friends.Comment -
praisebuddhaSBR Hustler
- 10-25-11
- 56
#81Cejudo looking to be in the shape of his life!
Comment -
Hugo de NaranjaSBR Posting Legend
- 04-14-16
- 14140
#83I've always really enjoyed Cowboy's fights. Hopefully he gets another win next weekend.Comment -
qxcydxSBR Rookie
- 01-14-19
- 2
#84Anyone know how dillashaws training clips and pics have affected the line? Is it swinging at all? Embedded is about to give people yet more reason to like cejudo, dillashaw is about to fail the eye test for most, especially those on the fence and people who have no idea how truly brilliant this weight drop has been for dillashaw. I see great value in a lot of markets on this fight and will post my picks but my main focus is on the movement of the line, I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if we were able to get tj as a dog in the final 6 hours, unlikely of course but far from impossible. Thoughts ?Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#85Anyone know how dillashaws training clips and pics have affected the line? Is it swinging at all? Embedded is about to give people yet more reason to like cejudo, dillashaw is about to fail the eye test for most, especially those on the fence and people who have no idea how truly brilliant this weight drop has been for dillashaw. I see great value in a lot of markets on this fight and will post my picks but my main focus is on the movement of the line, I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if we were able to get tj as a dog in the final 6 hours, unlikely of course but far from impossible. Thoughts ?
Failing to make weight will def alter the line, line movement will be proportional to pounds failed. Considerable fail , considerable line movement!Comment -
Hugo de NaranjaSBR Posting Legend
- 04-14-16
- 14140
#86Anyone know how dillashaws training clips and pics have affected the line? Is it swinging at all? Embedded is about to give people yet more reason to like cejudo, dillashaw is about to fail the eye test for most, especially those on the fence and people who have no idea how truly brilliant this weight drop has been for dillashaw. I see great value in a lot of markets on this fight and will post my picks but my main focus is on the movement of the line, I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if we were able to get tj as a dog in the final 6 hours, unlikely of course but far from impossible. Thoughts ?
Also, I don’t think they do Embedded for non-PPVs (though this May change under the ESPN deal). Not sure how Dillashaw will “fail the eye test for most” since he’s looking shredded.Comment -
ichiro4thehallSBR High Roller
- 12-02-09
- 244
#87Anyone know how dillashaws training clips and pics have affected the line? Is it swinging at all? Embedded is about to give people yet more reason to like cejudo, dillashaw is about to fail the eye test for most, especially those on the fence and people who have no idea how truly brilliant this weight drop has been for dillashaw. I see great value in a lot of markets on this fight and will post my picks but my main focus is on the movement of the line, I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if we were able to get tj as a dog in the final 6 hours, unlikely of course but far from impossible. Thoughts ?
I disagree with your weight cut theory, too. I should say I used to agree with your point and it's a moot point anyway imo because TJ is a super pro like McGrgor and always makes weight.
In the last couple of years, we've seen a lot of fighters miss weight by a lot. I believe they miss weight by a lot becasue they quit they cut early knowing they can't make weight and would rather accept the percentage purse loss and not kill their chances of winning the fight. Fighters who try until the end to make weight and fail are double losers if you like, they harm their fight chances and lose 30 percent of the purse.
This is shown in numbers, too. In 2018 fighters who missed weight were 7-2. The Till missed cut for the Thompson fight was the best example of the new school thinking of missing weight. Till missed weight by a large chunk. I bet he quit his cut early. For missing weight he lost 30 percent of his purse. However, he wins the fight, gets his title shot and prob made 5x his previous purse in the title shot. Had he killed himself to make weight it's doubtful he would have had the great cardio he had in the Thompson fight and might have lost it. He made the right decision.
Incidentally, that's why I have heard a few fighters calling for far harsher penalties for missing weight and for some fighters like Woodley refusing to fight opponents should they not make weight.Comment -
CasaBonitaSBR High Roller
- 11-09-18
- 122
#88No way TJ is gonna be a dog, and if he dosent make weight JB is gonna step in i guess, worthless to make a fight with out the belt on the line...
Im big on TJ also have Cerrone Dec, Bermudez, Hardy and couple props good luck everyone!
PS: Where do u guys usually live bet b365 o 5dimes?Comment -
UncleChaelSBR MVP
- 10-30-13
- 3979
-
ThrillaSBR Posting Legend
- 03-10-15
- 13809
#90T.J. Dillashaw Bets He'll 'Make Weight Easier' Than Henry Cejudo Before UFC Brooklyn.
At a media lunch Monday in Los Angeles, T.J. Dillashaw discusses his flyweight title fight against Henry Cejudo at UFC on ESPN+ 1, cutting down to 125 pounds to compete, having the bout switched from pay-per-view to streaming and more.
Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#91At almost 2-1 odds I might go with Henry^^^
Dill probably wins by decision though would be my normal thinking but Henry is working hard and improving. Has he arrived we'll see?Comment -
ShagdogySBR MVP
- 06-16-10
- 3564
#92What's up everyone... disappeared for a while. Poking my head back in. Of course I have nothing to offer. Been through most of these fights and finding this card a pretty terrible one at least with regards to MLs so far.
Anyone take a close look at PVZ vs. Ostovich? PVZ is one of the very few who move up in weight and don't have immediate success. Seems like the only reason Ostovich is dog odds is the name value of PVZ. Not a fight i'm particularly confident picking, but think there's some line value with Ostovich.Comment -
RussianMikeSBR Sharp
- 03-20-10
- 292
#93What part of his fight game has Henry improved even a bit in the past say 2-3 years? He's looked like the same fighter in that octagon for almost a decade now, far as I'm concerned. Not knocking him, just think he's been polished for a long time now, and pretty much you know what you gonna get with him a a fighter in there. Just don't think he has a level in him that can compete with TJ.Comment -
firekillexSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-18-13
- 6420
#94What part of his fight game has Henry improved even a bit in the past say 2-3 years? He's looked like the same fighter in that octagon for almost a decade now, far as I'm concerned. Not knocking him, just think he's been polished for a long time now, and pretty much you know what you gonna get with him a a fighter in there. Just don't think he has a level in him that can compete with TJ.
regardless TJ going to maul him on the feet IMOComment -
Hugo de NaranjaSBR Posting Legend
- 04-14-16
- 14140
#95What part of his fight game has Henry improved even a bit in the past say 2-3 years? He's looked like the same fighter in that octagon for almost a decade now, far as I'm concerned. Not knocking him, just think he's been polished for a long time now, and pretty much you know what you gonna get with him a a fighter in there. Just don't think he has a level in him that can compete with TJ.
I'm on TJ here too but Cejudo has very obviously improved if you've actually watched his fights.Comment -
Unwritten LawSBR MVP
- 10-31-13
- 2532
#96I agree Cejudo's striking has improved a lot. Will it be enough to sustain against TJ? I think Cejudo will need to rely on his wrestling to win on points like he did vs DJ. I don't think he'll outstrike TJ on the feet. This is champion vs champion, so who knows who the judges will favor since the "challenger" would need to definitively win the fight.
I still would take TJ in this one though.Comment -
RussianMikeSBR Sharp
- 03-20-10
- 292
#97Ok, maybe not a decade, what I just meant is I really don't see what he is doing now that is in any way different from what he was doing when he lost to Benevitez. Don't see a different fighter in that Octagon. And don't really think he was fighting any differently even before that. Just see the same guy, just maybe better fight IQ, less lunges.
Not knocking him, just think he's as technically sound in his strike game now as he has always been. Where's the evolution?
Anyways, anybody else looking at taking fliers against Hardy simply due to the fact that name recognition is def inflating that line?Last edited by RussianMike; 01-16-19, 01:56 PM.Comment -
HurlSweatPantsSBR Wise Guy
- 07-28-15
- 951
#98Ok, maybe not a decade, what I just meant is I really don't see what he is doing now that is in any way different from what he was doing when he lost to Benevitez. Don't see a different fighter in that Octagon. And don't really think he was fighting any differently even before that. Just see the same guy, just maybe better fight IQ, less lunges.
Not knocking him, just think he's as technically sound in his strike game now as he has always been. Where's the evolution?
Anyways, anybody else looking at taking fliers against Hardy simply due to the fact that name recognition is def inflating that line?
As far as Hardy, I got the line in the high -200's and used it as a small parlay, but last I looked, he and Gillespes numbers are way too inflated to put $ on. I might even put a small amount on Crowder to minimize any upset damage, Hardy is still a work in progress despite his athleticism and heavy hands. I just dont know if Crowder is the guy to expose him or not.Comment -
HurlSweatPantsSBR Wise Guy
- 07-28-15
- 951
#99p.s. good to see BJ back, this forum needs more MMA and less BS politics.Comment -
UncleChaelSBR MVP
- 10-30-13
- 3979
#100TJ's gonna get his ass kicked! He's gets taken down by a high school wrestler!Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#102People seem to think his striking has greatly improved because of the Reis fight, should be on display against T.J. so we'll see. I moreso agree with you, that he has figured his range and has a better IQ on when to change levels. Maybe this fight will offer more on his stand up, where I believe Killishaw has a huge advantage.
As far as Hardy, I got the line in the high -200's and used it as a small parlay, but last I looked, he and Gillespes numbers are way too inflated to put $ on. I might even put a small amount on Crowder to minimize any upset damage, Hardy is still a work in progress despite his athleticism and heavy hands. I just dont know if Crowder is the guy to expose him or not.
The first 3 min will be too brutal for most lower level heavyweights, Crowder should take him down, but the UFC didnt book any top level wrestler, they book Crowder. Crowder is 100% not that guy.
Only playable line here is maybe under 1.5 rounds. Even the 1.round prop is down to 1.43.Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#103
I see some like cejudo for a KO win. Its not out of the realm of possibility. I think Cejudo has power. He put a lot of force into his punches sometimes.
Wrestling not a huge problem i think. I think TJ wins a 5 round fight, not so much if clipped. I therefor took a sprinkle on that TKO at +900 por favor!!Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
SBR Contests
Collapse
Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
Collapse
#1 BetMGM
4.8/5 BetMGM Bonus Code
#2 FanDuel
4.8/5 FanDuel Promo Code
#3 Caesars
4.8/5 Caesars Promo Code
#4 DraftKings
4.7/5 DraftKings Promo Code
#5 Fanatics
#6 bet365
4.7/5 bet365 Bonus Code
#7 Hard Rock
4.1/5 Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
#8 BetRivers
4.1/5 BetRivers Bonus Code