MD's House of Winnerz

[MD]

Where you cap mcdonald pickett at? Only things that worry me in that fight is picketts workrate and maybe an occasional takedown to steal rounds, even though he lands a low % of strikes judges always love a high output. However he is subpar defensively, lots of head movement but lacking footwork. He was tagged by right hand counters all night by wineland which is McDonald's bread and butter.

I'm all over mayday at -190, basically a better, younger, and more technical version of pickett IMO.

Mayday is pretty easy to take down, and he gasses pretty badly. Pickett's work rate is a huge concern. I 'capped Mayday at about where the line is. Maybe a bit lower.

I consider McDonald to be a far inferior version of Wineland, to be honest. He's worse in pretty much every area. The Wineland fight says a lot about how he'll do against Pickett.

[MD]

Rumble looked great at 170 in his fights...

I never said he didn't.

[more_betterness]

Interesting perspective, appreciate the reply.

Picketts work rate is definitely my main concern. McDonald doesn't have world class takedown defense by any means, but from what I've seen he has a serviceable sprawl, and although he hasn't always been able to fully execute, his instincts when it comes to TDD are actually very sound from a wrestling perspective and I expect his overall TDD to improve from last fight. All in all I don't see Pickett's takedowns being enough to threaten too much, and mayday's defensive guard when hes fresh has actually impressed me a lot.

Cardio definitely is a worry, but I think he controls distance with his jab and lands counter right hands in the exchanges consistently enough to take this one. Pickett's tendency to plant his feet and trade directly in front of his opponent without cutting angles will be his undoing in this one IMO.

I'm on the Reem and McGregor with you though

[mirinquads]

This is a prime candidate for a judges robbery imo.

On paper Mcdonald should win the fight, in the same way Wineland did. Thing is Wineland solidly outstruck Pickett and still ended up with a close split decision. Granted judge was Mark Smith who is just straight up awful or consistently paid off or whatever, but Pickets aggression could definitely get him and undeserved decision, or sway judges in a close fight. I also expect Pickett to be able to get takedowns later in the fight, if not right off the bat. Mcdonald aint no Wineland takedown defense wise.

Mcdonald is 12 years younger and evolving at a rabbit pace though and is a very good fighter and like I said, should win on paper.

Would bet fight goes the distance or starts 3. round instead though.

[Vaughany]

But man, hes a ginger kid.....hmmm IDK

lmao Felt the same bud, put me off right away. COuldnt take him seriously, and sounds like he's either in a lot of pain or putting on a fake voice!

[Beelzebubzy]

Best of luck md
like the plays. I have
5u Faber -240 -260
.5Chael, -145
.05 Chael ko +555 uber square and horrible line read by muah
4.6 Connor -230
1u hall lauzon -110 or something like that
.6 brown -145
2u -230 roids

No live betting for me. I'm at a shit hotel in upstate New York. Hotel has 6shopping network stations but no fox sports. Runners are cheap ass hippies and refuse to pay for hotels. This is how sad it is my hotel room has carpet. I know. I know. Big bro nunya is going to be upset with me.

[MD]

I just got infracted for posting my Twitter account. r u srs?

[NunyaBidness]

I just got infracted for posting my Twitter account. r u srs?

No one is to make money from SBR except for the overlords who encourage us to deposit onto sites that won't pay out.

There is no honor among thieves.

[MD]

No one is to make money from SBR except for the overlords who encourage us to deposit onto sites that won't pay out.

There is no honor among thieves.

I got a PM from SBR a few months ago saying that if I follow some Twitter account and let them know, they'd give me SBR points, but I can't post my Twitter where I give out free plays. Can't make this shit up.

[Vaughany]

I just got infracted for posting my Twitter account. r u srs?

welcome to the club, we've all been there!

[Kpn]

I got a PM from SBR a few months ago saying that if I follow some Twitter account and let them know, they'd give me SBR points, but I can't post my Twitter where I give out free plays. Can't make this shit up.

Absolute hypocrisy at it's finest, I'd love to hear how Twitter supposedly makes money.

[NunyaBidness]

Absolute hypocrisy at it's finest, I'd love to hear how Twitter supposedly makes money.

Huh?

[Kpn]

Huh?

Not Twitter itself as a company I'm referring to a single person's twitter account. SBR's policy for dishing out infractions via Twitter plugs.

[MD]

I have a small bet on Siler ITD +510. Value there. Not sure who I favour here, but I do think Brown is overvalued a bit.

I like Geale tonight by the way. I have Geal decision +120.

$$$

[Beelzebubzy]

Added brown ko

ill hit you with 2 points tomorrow homie

[sorinnn]

what limits do you have on 5D if it's not a secret?
I can only win 100max pe bet:-(

[MD]

what limits do you have on 5D if it's not a secret?
I can only win 100max pe bet:-(

I'm not limited for MMA on 5D at the moment. Not so lucky on some other books.

[MD]

Finished down on my Twitter bets, and didn't do much better for the night myself. Pretty much broke even and only profited for the day because of boxing. I think I got screwed on that 'Reem bet, it should seriously have been stopped when he dropped Travis multiple times and Travis wasn't responding to his punches. I was definitely wrong about that Hall bet, though. Incredibly awful, probably the worst bet I've made all year.

[more_betterness]

Penetrating reem... Perfect night for me if not for him.

[Dwil125]

I don't understand what hall was even doing out there. After he lost the second round and it was 1-1 he should have started to take the fight seriously. He wasn't even tired and had tons of energy from the slow pace, and he didn't even use it to win the third round and secure the fight. He's 6ft tall with an 80inch reach and couldn't beat a guy whose 5'7??

[MD]

Yeah, it was baffling. My problem with how I 'capped the fight isn't with his skills, because I think I 'capped his skills just fine; he obviously had what it took to beat Doomsday. The problem is that while I say his performance was baffling, he is a baffling guy with a lot of mental holes. That's incredibly important and something I should have put a lot more thought into. It doesn't matter how sure I am that Hall could have circled around him and destroyed him at range all night, if Hall is just going to decide to grapple and take breaks during rounds. He's beginning to remind me of Akiyama.

[Vaughany]

what limits do you have on 5D if it's not a secret?
I can only win 100max pe bet:-(

For anything or just props?

[sorinnn]

For anything...and I'm talking about a friend who just made an account actually and I asked him what his limits are before he even started to play. So I assumed those are the standard limits.
My personal account is limited to about 5$ or less.
So you have more than 100 limit even for early MMA lines?

[mirinquads]

Yeah, it was baffling. My problem with how I 'capped the fight isn't with his skills, because I think I 'capped his skills just fine; he obviously had what it took to beat Doomsday. The problem is that while I say his performance was baffling, he is a baffling guy with a lot of mental holes. That's incredibly important and something I should have put a lot more thought into. It doesn't matter how sure I am that Hall could have circled around him and destroyed him at range all night, if Hall is just going to decide to grapple and take breaks during rounds. He's beginning to remind me of Akiyama.

Was a lot of that going on yesterday, Lauzon just walking around like a zombie comes to mind.. penetrating hard sport to cap when people take opioides before their fights

[Vaughany]

For anything...and I'm talking about a friend who just made an account actually and I asked him what his limits are before he even started to play. So I assumed those are the standard limits.
My personal account is limited to about 5$ or less.
So you have more than 100 limit even for early MMA lines?

Always 100 for openers, thn can put more on nearer fight time. Usually to win 250 on faves, rsik 250 on dogs

[gabe]

Lauzon def did not look like himself. Worst fight I've ever seen him in. Guess he's done being exciting and going for finishes.

Dude was actually content to strike and get whooped. I assumed he would be looking for a takedown from the opening bell.

[gabe]

Also, Hall looked awful but I thought he won the fight

[PunisherIND]

Lauzon def did not look like himself. Worst fight I've ever seen him in. Guess he's done being exciting and going for finishes.

Dude was actually content to strike and get whooped. I assumed he would be looking for a takedown from the opening bell.

gabe dont they give you a free premium membership?

[MD]

Always 100 for openers, thn can put more on nearer fight time. Usually to win 250 on faves, rsik 250 on dogs

It's 250 for openers on straight lines, 100 for props. Goes up to 500+ closer to fight time.

Also, Hall looked awful but I thought he won the fight

Same, barely. Thought he clearly won R1, clearly lost R2, scraped out R3. I would have been just as unhappy if he had won, though. Wrong side is wrong side.

[sideloaded]

gabe dont they give you a free premium membership?

LOL

[MD]

Worst striking defence of the year, early frontrunners: Tokudome, Erik Perez, Anderson Silva.

[gabe]

gabe dont they give you a free premium membership?

huh?

[gabe]

It's 250 for openers on straight lines, 100 for props. Goes up to 500+ closer to fight time.



Same, barely. Thought he clearly won R1, clearly lost R2, scraped out R3. I would have been just as unhappy if he had won, though. Wrong side is wrong side.

I wouldn't be just as unhappy. I would be thrilled. lol-- busted my parlays

[gabe]

LOL

loser.

[sideloaded]

loser.

Pretty sure you're the loser brah!