MD's House of Winnerz

[Beelzebubzy]

I pounded Koch -120
went to play it at -140 and got lucky that the line changed

ok not really pounded but I hit it like I was Chris brown and it was snging about umbrellas

[mmaed]

I'm on the complete opposite side. I think Melancon's boxing is too sharp and he shouldn't be at a big wrestling disadvantage. He's been one of the most underrated guys for quite some time, but I'm surprised to see him open as a dog, especially such a big dog.

I had a feeling you might be on him. Gastelums striking isn't that great so if Melancon's striking is decent enough he could make it interesting. He might be a better bet with +3.5 points.

[Vaughany]

Pounding Koch!

[Vaughany]

And ye Melancon shouldnt be the dog

[MD]

Watched more tape, put more on Melancon at +130 just now. Seriously can't justify him being less than -150 here. He should definitely be favoured.

[Vaughany]

MelanCAN vs GasteBUM

Headlined by Bubba McCANiel

[PunisherIND]

Watched more tape, put more on Melancon at +130 just now. Seriously can't justify him being less than -150 here. He should definitely be favoured.

gastelum moving down from 185, isnt he? i think he will have enough of a wrestling edge to control where the fight goes.

[MD]

gastelum moving down from 185, isnt he? i think he will have enough of a wrestling edge to control where the fight goes.

Yup. Won't look much bigger than Melancon though, they're both very short and stocky. I give a considerable striking edge and a decent wrestling edge to Melancon. I think that if Melancon wants to take him down, he probably can. Gastelum's clearest route to victory is a tiring grindfest where he really tests Melancon's cardio, but I honestly don't know if he's good enough to do that. The degree to which Melancon is better should be far too much. It's not even a close fight on paper in my opinion, I think Gastelum's will, potential improvement, and willingness to really get in Melancon's face make the fight a lot closer than it should be.

[PunisherIND]

Yup. Won't look much bigger than Melancon though, they're both very short and stocky. I give a considerable striking edge and a decent wrestling edge to Melancon. I think that if Melancon wants to take him down, he probably can. Gastelum's clearest route to victory is a tiring grindfest where he really tests Melancon's cardio, but I honestly don't know if he's good enough to do that. The degree to which Melancon is better should be far too much. It's not even a close fight on paper in my opinion, I think Gastelum's will, potential improvement, and willingness to really get in Melancon's face make the fight a lot closer than it should be.

appreciate your thoughts, as usual. this is admittedly a bit of wikicapping, but i have trouble backing someone (melancon) who lost a decision to a 145lb fighter that i've never heard of (adam schindler). have you seen any footage of this fight?

[MD]

appreciate your thoughts, as usual. this is admittedly a bit of wikicapping, but i have trouble backing someone (melancon) who lost a decision to a 145lb fighter that i've never heard of (adam schindler). have you seen any footage of this fight?

Nope, never saw it. Not concerned with it to be honest. I really just think he's better in every single technical area than Gastelum is. Schindler isn't much smaller than Melancon by the way. They're the same height and they're both pretty thick guys. Calling Schindler a 145er is a bit misleading, he only had a couple of fights there, he looked awful in both of them and he immediately went back to 155. He was pretty much Rumblecutting to 145.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

appreciate your thoughts, as usual. this is admittedly a bit of wikicapping, but i have trouble backing someone (melancon) who lost a decision to a 145lb fighter that i've never heard of (adam schindler). have you seen any footage of this fight?

Sssshhhh! Quiet please! If MD wants to walk off the Melancon cliff, then let him. Gastelum is winning this fight and I plan on putting my $ where my mouth is. I guess we will find out who was right soon enough.

[PunisherIND]

Nope, never saw it. Not concerned with it to be honest. I really just think he's better in every single technical area than Gastelum is. Schindler isn't much smaller than Melancon by the way. They're the same height and they're both pretty thick guys. Calling Schindler a 145er is a bit misleading, he only had a couple of fights there, he looked awful in both of them and he immediately went back to 155. He was pretty much Rumblecutting to 145.

i'll respond with more wikicapping, but this schindler was tko'd by ronnie mann, who fights at 135. Wish I could see that fight though.

[MD]

Sssshhhh! Quiet please! If MD wants to walk off the Melancon cliff, then let him. Gastelum is winning this fight and I plan on putting my $ where my mouth is. I guess we will find out who was right soon enough.

Good logic.

i'll respond with more wikicapping, but this schindler was tko'd by ronnie mann, who fights at 135. Wish I could see that fight though.

At featherweight, where he looked awful. Rumblecut bro.

[PunisherIND]

At featherweight, where he looked awful. Rumblecut bro.

fair enough. i'd still be concerned about it, however.

[MD]

fair enough. i'd still be concerned about it, however.

I always appreciate input, especially from someone whom I consider sharp. Thanks for your thoughts buddy.

Here's a crazy one: I think Barao is being wildly overvalued. Thoughts?

[PunisherIND]

I always appreciate input, especially from someone whom I consider sharp. Thanks for your thoughts buddy.

Here's a crazy one: I think Barao is being wildly overvalued. Thoughts?

i'm not ready to opine on that one, unfortunately. speaking off the cuff, i'd have to agree that he's being overvalued. not sure about "wildly overvalued" though.

[MD]

i'm not ready to opine on that one, unfortunately. speaking off the cuff, i'd have to agree that he's being overvalued. not sure about "wildly overvalued" though.

I 'capped him at about -250. Even that might be a little bit of a stretch.

Although, I 'capped Tavares over McDaniel at like -1700, so what do I know.

[PunisherIND]

I 'capped him at about -250. Even that might be a little bit of a stretch.

Although, I 'capped Tavares over McDaniel at like -1700, so what do I know.

lol. you have a lean on the o/u for tavares?

[MD]

lol. you have a lean on the o/u for tavares?

I'll PM you about it. Sec.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

I always appreciate input, especially from someone whom I consider sharp. Thanks for your thoughts buddy.

Here's a crazy one: I think Barao is being wildly overvalued. Thoughts?

Here's 2 more points. That makes 6. 5 more to go.

[MD]

Well, you're a man of your word at least. That Pouyasophy guy stiffed me hard.

[MD]

King Krule's debut album is coming out in less than two weeks, and has already leaked I think. Very talented guy. You should all listen.

[mmaed]

I 'capped him at about -250. Even that might be a little bit of a stretch.

Although, I 'capped Tavares over McDaniel at like -1700, so what do I know.

Yeah barao isnt overwhelming standing. Wineland has more power. I think he could have some trouble landing on barao with his punches. It took michael mcdonald a while to land a big shot and renan recoverd well. Winelands takedown defense is solid as well. I just wonder if wineland will gas after four or five rounds. If he does i think he is dead meat. Could be another late round submission win for barao. I think he is much much better on the ground.

[MD]

For those who have been asking, tweeted some plays.

TheMDMMA

[Sacrelicious]

King Krule's debut album is coming out in less than two weeks, and has already leaked I think. Very talented guy. You should all listen.

First I've heard of him, this is fantastic.

[MD]

First I've heard of him, this is fantastic.

Kid is really talented. Check out the song Easy Easy if you like The Clash.

[Sacrelicious]

I'm listening to what is posted of him on Youtube as we speak, kids talented as penetrate.

[MD]

Out Getting Ribs is a f-cking amazing song and he wrote it when he was like 16. Unreal.

[Sacrelicious]

This is penetrating awesome:

[Sacrelicious]

This shits penetrating fantastic, thank you so much for the reccomend my man.

[Grabaka]

But man, hes a ginger kid.....hmmm IDK

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Out Getting Ribs is a f-cking amazing song and he wrote it when he was like 16. Unreal.

There's 8. 3 more to go.

[more_betterness]

For those who have been asking, tweeted some plays.

https://twitter.com/TheMDMMA

Where you cap mcdonald pickett at? Only things that worry me in that fight is picketts workrate and maybe an occasional takedown to steal rounds, even though he lands a low % of strikes judges always love a high output. However he is subpar defensively, lots of head movement but lacking footwork. He was tagged by right hand counters all night by wineland which is McDonald's bread and butter.

I'm all over mayday at -190, basically a better, younger, and more technical version of pickett IMO.

[gabe]

Good logic.



At featherweight, where he looked awful. Rumblecut bro.

Rumble looked great at 170 in his fights...

[MD]

F-CKING SKELETON WHEELS IN THE PAINTED WORLD.

What the F-CK.