MLB System Strategies

**HoulihansTX** · 08-25-12, 10:22 AM

May 15 - Current
Overall
(268-249) +20.15

August 25
Bullpen Proj Sys
Col (-105) 2.45
Brew (-105) 2.02

No Play
Wash npL2 6.19
Atl npL2 4.54
Rays np>-150 3.59
TX np>-150 2.97
Zona npSDW3 2.63
Sea npCWSW4 2.27
DetnpLAAW4 1.88
NYY np>-150 1.39

**ShivaBowl** · 08-25-12, 01:07 PM

H/A Over Plays went2-0 yesterday +200.00
22-13-3 +$770.00
SEA & CWS W
FLA & LAD W

ST Comp Play went 1-0 yesterday
PHI +107 W
Last Sixteen Plays 12-4 +$744.00

P/T Plays went 0-0 no plays yesterday
117-81 +$2,787.00

Today’s P/T Plays 08/25
All to win 50.00
SFO
NYY
LAD

Today’s H/A Plays
No Plays

**ShivaBowl** · 08-26-12, 07:12 AM

H/A Over Plays went 0-0 no plays yesterday
22-13-3 +$770.00

ST Comp Play dropped out DET > -110
Last Sixteen Plays 12-4 +$744.00

P/T Plays went 1-2 yesterday –113.00
118-83 +$2,674.00

Today’s P/T Plays 08/26
DET -135

Today’s H/A Plays
COL & CHC >?

Today’s Shiva Play
ATL (T Hudson) v SFO (T Lincecum)
ATL (T Hudson) +112
USD 200.00/212.00

Complimentary Selection for 8/26/2012

Take St Louis W/Wainwright over Cincinnati W/Bailey NO PLAY if STL > -140

**joeytunes** · 08-26-12, 07:43 AM

Ytd 123-92 +12.60

yest
sf-150 only np
Phl again W

today 8/26

Nyy
Det
Phl
Stl
Mil
Lad -150 only
Sf

**HoulihansTX** · 08-26-12, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(268-249) +20.15

August 25
Bullpen Proj Sys
Col (-105) 2.45 W
Brew (-105) 2.02 L

No Play

May 15 - Current
Overall
(269-250) +20.10

August 26
Bullpen Proj Sys
Det (-140) 4.69
StL (-130) 3.79
Atl (+100) 2.56
Col (-100) 1.99
Pitt (-135) 1.34

No Play
Sea npL2 5.03
TX np>-150 2.34
Balty NP>-150 1.43

**ShivaBowl** · 08-26-12, 03:11 PM

I'm going to pass on the Braves tonight.
ATL out, no play.

Cover with SFO -110
SFO $330 to win 630.00

**Tommygunn** · 08-26-12, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

I'm going to pass on the Braves tonight.
ATL out, no play.

Cover with SFO -110
SFO $330 to win 630.00

So your going 3 units on SF instead? How come the flip right around?

**ShivaBowl** · 08-26-12, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by Tommygunn

So your going 3 units on SF instead? How come the flip right around?

I apologize, only one unit on San Francisco I already have 200 in on AtlantaSo in order to cover I need to wager 220 on San Fran TL: 330

I just don't like betting against home teams on Sunday night. And I don't like the line movement on the game.
Thanks TG good luck

**ShivaBowl** · 08-26-12, 05:13 PM

Hey TG, it looks like the over on Chicago will go down the tubes today.
I wish to God their was a way to get out of a wager, when teams go into a delay.
I have not been on the right side of a rain delay in almost 2 ******* years now can you believe that?

**ShivaBowl** · 08-26-12, 05:41 PM

It all started last year when Texas had a day game at home and they were up big.The game went into a rain delay and eventually got canceled. The crazy thing about it was you couldn't get any information on why the game was canceld. Because the weather eventually cleared think the fix was in.

**The Dream** · 08-27-12, 12:20 AM

Want to say thanks for all of your work posting the Sportstrends stuff. Are you guys going to do a College football and NFL thread as well? Thanks again for delivering this great info everyday.

**ShivaBowl** · 08-27-12, 10:04 AM

H/A Over Plays went 0-0 yesterday
Col & Chc refunded
22-13-3 +$770.00

ST Comp Play went 1-0 yesterday +100.00
STL W
Last seventeen Comp Plays from ST 13-4 +$844.00

P/T Plays went 1-0 yesterday +100.00
Det W
119-83 +$2,774.00

No P/T or H/A plays today

Complimentary Selection for 8/27/2012

Take Tampa Bay W/Price over Texas W/Holland NO PLAY if TB > -130

**HoulihansTX** · 08-27-12, 10:07 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(269-250) +20.10

August 26
Bullpen Proj Sys
Det (-140) 4.69 W
StL (-130) 3.79 W
Atl (+100) 2.56 W
Col (-100) 1.99 L
Pitt (-135) 1.34 L

No Play

May 15 - Current
Overall
(272-252) +20.75

August 27
Bullpen Proj Sys
Zona (-105) 3.75
Pitt (+110) 2.63
Oak (-135) 2.39
Col (+150) 1.67
Brew (-130) 1.40

No Play
Sea npL3 2.94

**Tommygunn** · 08-27-12, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Hey TG, it looks like the over on Chicago will go down the tubes today.
I wish to God their was a way to get out of a wager, when teams go into a delay.
I have not been on the right side of a rain delay in almost 2 ******* years now can you believe that?

Yeah I got stuck with it too

**ShivaBowl** · 08-27-12, 05:14 PM

I'm going to try to follow up on yesterday's disaster with the Atlanta braves, if that's possible.

With a play tonight on Oakland with Anderson -136
To win 200.00

The New York Mets celebration yesterday over the lowly Houston Astro's was a total disgrace.

**joeytunes** · 08-27-12, 05:48 PM

Ytd 128-92 +17.80

yest 5-0
sf-150 only np
Phl again W

today 8/26

Nyy W
Det W
Phl W
Stl W
Mil W
Lad -150 only NP

Today 8/27
Oak
Stl
Sea-145 to -150

**ShivaBowl** · 08-27-12, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by The Dream

Want to say thanks for all of your work posting the Sportstrends stuff. Are you guys going to do a College football and NFL thread as well? Thanks again for delivering this great info everyday.

Thanks for the kind words The Dream and yes we will be doing college football in the NFL this year.
I will post links here as soon as I have everything organized okay thank you take care

**bigelv** · 08-27-12, 06:08 PM

I'm new to these forums but all you guys info has been very helpful. Thanks keep up the great work. Can't wait for the football

**ShivaBowl** · 08-27-12, 07:19 PM

Originally posted by bigelv

I'm new to these forums but all you guys info has been very helpful. Thanks keep up the great work. Can't wait for the football

Hey bigely,
I'm honored to be your first post on SBR if you have any questions
please let us know. I do have posts from last year for football, just click on my posts next to my username and you will find them.
I'm thinking of starting new threads for this year or just posting the plays in a new thread every weekend.

I got the Oakland play in 50 minutes before game start because I just had to be sure they were going to get the game in on time.
BOL

**bigelv** · 08-28-12, 01:24 AM

What system is joeytunes using? His picks are pretty good

**ShivaBowl** · 08-28-12, 07:04 AM

H/A Over plays no plays yesterday
22-13-3 +$770.00

P/T Plays no plays yesterday
119-83 +$2,774.00

ST Comp Play went 0-1 yesterday –110.00
TB L
Last Eighteen Plays, from ST 13-5 +$733.00

Shiva Plays went 1-0 yesterday +200.00
40-29 +$1,601.94

08/26
ATL +112 W
200.00/224.00
SFO –110 L
330/300

08/27
OAK –136 W
272/200

**ShivaBowl** · 08-28-12, 07:10 AM

Originally posted by bigelv

What system is joeytunes using? His picks are pretty good

Yes its on fire!

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Major League Baseball: Projected Money
One of the most important tasks the handicapper undertakes is that of analyzing line movement -- when is it moving, how much and most importantly, why? Let's break it down into three categories: early, normal, and very late moves.
The first people to get a crack at the early or opening lines are big time bettors. They generally act as a good indicator of which direction lines will continue to move, allowing the educated bettor to get the best lines available.
Next we have the normal line moves, which occur from the end of the early period, until perhaps an hour or two before game time. These moves again occur exclusively because of money, but it is a different type of money. This is where the public is influential – Normal line moves are very important to track, because they offer a decent indicator of which side the public is betting on.
Late line moves are those in the timeframe immediately preceding game time and are influenced by "Betting Syndicates" or so called “Wiseguys”. When lines move off of key numbers, somebody knows something about this game that is not necessarily available to the general public.
Often very late line moves go in the opposite direction of earlier moves. These are moves that we generally respect and pay very close attention to.
Quite often if the line moved a point or more towards the side you like, it is too late. The value is already gone from that side, and the house beats the player more often than not.
Even though issues such as power rankings, trends and injuries are an important part of the handicapping process, there is no more significant factor than anticipating where the money will go on any particular game.
When handicapping baseball you are always looking for value - is the price on today's game worthy of a selection. Quite often the inexperienced handicapper does not recognize value and always seems to jump on the wrong side. It is the oddsmaker's job to confuse the general public into thinking he is getting a good team at a cheap price, when in fact the public has been duped into playing a team where the ML is way out of line. Obviously there are situations and circumstances surrounding such teams and players that are not readily made available to the general public and that is why at times lines look so enticing. It is therefore important to compare our projected ML to the oddsmaker's posted lines before making any plays.

When comparing our projected money lines to the oddsmaker's posted lines there needs to be at least a 25-cent differential or overlay in which the oddsmakers ML's are moving in the opposite direction to our lines.
· Make sure each pitcher has pitched at least 20 innings.
· Never bet on a team favorite in which you must lay over -175.
· Never bet on teams that are on a 2 game or more losing streak.
· Never bet against a team on a 2 game winning streak or more.
Try to stay away from teams traveling long distances in their first game.

**ShivaBowl** · 08-28-12, 07:58 AM

Today’s P/T Plays
No Plays

Today’s H/A Plays
No Plays

Shiva Plays 08/28
OAK (T Milone) v CLE (McAllister)
OAK (T Milone) -117
USD 150/126

CIN (J Cueto) v ARI (W Miley)
CIN (J Cueto) -110
USD 150/136

Comp Selection from ST 8/28/2012
Take Philly W/Worley over NY Mets W/Young NO PLAY if PHI > -140

**joeytunes** · 08-28-12, 08:00 AM

MONEYLINE SYSTEM ON A TEAR!

Ytd 131-92 +20.80

YESTERDAY 3-0

Oak w
Stl w
Sea-145 to -150 w

TODAY 8/28

Phl as usual
Min -120 to -150

**joeytunes** · 08-28-12, 08:01 AM

Originally posted by bigelv

What system is joeytunes using? His picks are pretty good

Projected Money Line

**bigelv** · 08-28-12, 08:52 AM

Originally posted by joeytunes

Projected Money Line

You guy and these systems are all great!!! Can't wait to put them into effect next season for the entire season

**HoulihansTX** · 08-28-12, 10:56 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(272-252) +20.75

August 27
Bullpen Proj Sys
Zona (-105) 3.75 L
Pitt (+110) 2.63 L
Oak (-135) 2.39 W
Col (+150) 1.67 W
Brew (-130) 1.40 W

No Play

May 15 - Current
Overall
(275-254) +22.15

August 28
Bullpen Proj Sys
Tor (+200) 3.71
Sea (+120) 2.94
Oak (-110) 2.19
Balty (+130) 2.06
Col (+150) 1.55
Bos (+170) 1.28

No Play
Atl np>-150 3.48
Zona npL4 2.87
Wash npL4 1.91
Philly npMetsW2 1.88
Brew np>-150 1.54
Hou npL2 1.47

**joeytunes** · 08-28-12, 11:57 AM

Originally posted by bigelv

You guy and these systems are all great!!! Can't wait to put them into effect next season for the entire season

LOL u need em..u cant just b a dumb asshole who picks up the paper sunday n says i like them bc there good!!

**ShivaBowl** · 08-28-12, 04:37 PM

I'm adding St. Louis tonight I think they just have to much firepower for PittsburghAnd I like the price on St. Louis. Due to McDonald's good numbers at home and his record against St. Louis.

STL -115
150/130

As of right now it looks like Philadelphia is going to drop out for the free play
but check the lines later you never know.

**Tommygunn** · 08-28-12, 06:07 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

I'm adding St. Louis tonight I think they just have to much firepower for PittsburghAnd I like the price on St. Louis. Due to McDonald's good numbers at home and his record against St. Louis.

STL -115
150/130

As of right now it looks like Philadelphia is going to drop out for the free play
but check the lines later you never know.

Thanks Shiva. I would call Phi Free play a go closing at -138 pinny, -139 dimes

**ShivaBowl** · 08-28-12, 07:38 PM

STL So much for that game plan, this is why I hate doing write ups or posting what I think. Not only do you lose the game but you look like a ******* dumbass. And that's what I love about baseball.
I was worried about the run support in this game shit

Now I have to worry about ******* dusty great.

**Tommygunn** · 08-28-12, 09:37 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

STL So much for that game plan, this is why I hate doing write ups or posting what I think. Not only do you lose the game but you look like a ******* dumbass. And that's what I love about baseball.
I was worried about the run support in this game shit

Now I have to worry about ******* dusty great.

Don't worry about it Shiva your plays have been great all year. Keep posting them everyone appreciates it

**dvb02** · 08-28-12, 11:02 PM

Originally posted by Tommygunn

Don't worry about it Shiva your plays have been great all year. Keep posting them everyone appreciates it

Couldn't have said it better myself!!!!!!!!!!!!!

**ShivaBowl** · 08-29-12, 08:52 AM

Thanks guys!

ST Comp Play went 0-1 yesterday –139.00
PHI L
Last 19 Plays from ST 13-6 +$594.00

Shiva Plays went 2-1 yesterday +112.00
42-30 +$1,713.94
OAK W
CIN W
STL L

Today’s P/T Plays 08/29
No Plays
IP > 25

Today’s H/A Plays
No Plays

Shiva Plays 08/29
OAK (T Blackley) v CLE (C Kluber)
OAK (T Blackley) -135
135/100

DET ( A Sanchez) v KAN (B Chen)
DET ( A Sanchez) -135
135/100

Working on CWS & BAL

MLB 2012 Premium Internet Service Plays 129 - 81 ( + 41.55 Units )

Complimentary Selection for 8/29/2012

Take St Louis W/Kelly over Pittsburgh W/Rodriguez NO PLAY if STL > -120

**ShivaBowl** · 08-29-12, 09:00 AM

FYI;
I did not do a work up today on Oakland & Cleveland , we are just riding the bandwagon with lefties, against Cleveland's lineup. thanks