MLB System Strategies

**joeytunes** · 05-03-12, 12:19 AM

Free plays are 1-1 so far since may 1st CHW both win and loss... they closed at -120 so they

FP (1-1)
-20 YTD for every 100

**HoulihansTX** · 05-03-12, 07:13 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

_____________________________________
April 24 - Current
May 2nd
Overall
(14-17) -6.50Units

TPR
TX (+110) 2.5 L

April 24 - Current
Overall
(23-14) +6.65Units

May 3
Bullpen Proj Sys
Wash 4.17 (+105)
Atl 2.77 (-120)
CWS 1.92 (-120)

No Play
Angels 6.63 npTorW2
StL 2.16 np>-150
No records are official until May 15, or 20IP

_____________________________________
April 24 - Current
May 2nd
Overall
(14-18) -7.50Units

TPR
Atl 1.5 (-120)
Zona 1.5 (-115)

No Play
StL 3.2 np>-150
Tampa 1.5 np>-150

**joeytunes** · 05-03-12, 07:55 AM

FREE PLAY

Los Angeles Angels..Anthing under -130 is the play..if you hurry you can grab it...i like the play alot

**joeytunes** · 05-03-12, 07:56 AM

oak plus 165!!!!!

**ShivaBowl** · 05-03-12, 09:18 AM

S/A Plays went 1-4 yesterday
As of 04/27/12
7-10 –4.72 U

Today’s S/A plays; based on early lines.
CHC
STL If < -175
CLE If > +115

Pitching and Team H/A Power Plays
No Plays today

**ShivaBowl** · 05-03-12, 09:28 AM

Originally posted by joeytunes

FREE PLAY

Los Angeles Angels..Anthing under -130 is the play..if you hurry you can grab it...i like the play alot

Thanks JT, Just remember too make plays 15 - 20 minutes prior to start of any game.
Check to see if a majority of casinos are in agreement with M/L. NO PLAY if LAA > -130
BOL

**Tommygunn** · 05-03-12, 10:11 AM

Moneyline System

Yesterday (2/05/12) went 2-0 for 2.0 units (Phi never a play since ATl never got to +110 or >)

YTD April 24-Current - 9-3 for +6.46 units

Today's Plays (03/05/12)

Phi if Atl -115 or <

CWS if +140 to -150

Wash if +100 to -150

**Tommygunn** · 05-03-12, 10:15 AM

P/T System

Yesterday (2/05/12) went 0-1 for -0.55 units

YTD May 1st-Current - 2-3 for -0.38 units

Today's P/T System Plays (03/05/12)

Phi
CHC

NP if >-150

**freshguy222** · 05-03-12, 10:37 AM

hey tommy, check again please, st louis isnt a play, if so it would be pirates but we shall not wager on them because theyre on a 2game losing streak.

**Tommygunn** · 05-03-12, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by freshguy222

hey tommy, check again please, st louis isnt a play, if so it would be pirates but we shall not wager on them because theyre on a 2game losing streak.

Thanks Fresh. I adjusted

**cash$bro91** · 05-03-12, 11:15 AM

Tommy, although I don't like the line movement, looks like WAS would be a ML play also between +100 and -150 since their pitcher Detwiler actually has 22IP not the 8IP that ST listed.

**Tommygunn** · 05-03-12, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by cash$bro91

Tommy, although I don't like the line movement, looks like WAS would be a ML play also between +100 and -150 since their pitcher Detwiler actually has 22IP not the 8IP that ST listed.

Thanks Cash you are correct and I added it to the plays for today. It's super helpful that you guys are checking so closely. I will never have the time to double check every single stat sportrends posts.

**ShivaBowl** · 05-03-12, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by Tommygunn

Thanks Cash you are correct and I added it to the plays for today. It's super helpful that you guys are checking so closely. I will never have the time to double check every single stat sportrends posts.

Tommy gun I think you consider dropping PT and concentrate solely on the Moneyline system

**Tommygunn** · 05-03-12, 11:57 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Tommy gun I think you consider dropping PT and concentrate solely on the Moneyline system

I'll run both for now but if it becomes to overwhelming I will drop P/T. I did make a blunder on St.Louis this morning but that was just because it's early in the year and posting the M/L system is still a little new to me. I didn't include Wash because ST posted wrong IP. I didn't realize they posted incorrect stats and needed to be double checked. I will check them against MLB.com for the next couple weeks. After that just about all pitchers will be over 20IP and it shouldn't be a problem anymore.

I am reluctant to drop the P/T since it did make some money last year and is good in conjunction with the other systems. If anything I think the TPR is the system that we should consider dropping.

**ShivaBowl** · 05-03-12, 05:12 PM

No we will not drop PT we would just hand it off to someone else I have people that want to do work. I just would like you put all your your efforts in two the Moneyline system.
As you have mentioned these systems can be overwhelming so just let us know

**Tommygunn** · 05-03-12, 09:57 PM

Yeah, if someone else wants to take over P/T that would be great. I will just focus on the M/L system.

**joeytunes** · 05-04-12, 07:04 AM

Free plays (1-2)
-150 ytd
5/4

miami marlins anything under -120

**HoulihansTX** · 05-04-12, 07:52 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

April 24 - Current
Overall
(23-14) +6.65Units

May 3
Bullpen Proj Sys
Wash 4.17 (+105) W
Atl 2.77 (-120) L
CWS 1.92 (-120) L

No records are official until May 15, or 20IP

_____________________________________
April 24 - Current
May 2nd
Overall
(14-18) -7.50Units

TPR
Atl 1.5 (-120) L
Zona 1.5 (-115) L

April 24 - Current
Overall
(24-16) +5.30Units

May 4
Bullpen Proj Sys
Atl 5.11 (-115)
Cubs 4.16 (+125)
Cincy 1.44 (-135)
Det 1.34 (-110)

No Play
TX 3.70 npL2
Angels 3.35 npTorW3
SD 2.11 npMiaW3
Oak 1.70 npTampaW5
Wash 1.55 np>-150
Mets 1.35 npL3

No records are official until May 15, or 20IP

_____________________________________
Overall
(14-20) -9.85Units

TPR
Dodgers 1.3 (-135)
Atl 1.0 (-115)

No Play
Tampa 2.2 np>-150
StL 1.4 npHouW3
TX 1.3 npL2
Bos 1.1 npL2

**ShivaBowl** · 05-04-12, 07:57 AM

S/A Plays went 1-1 yesterday –0.29
As of 04/27/12
8-11 –5.01u

Today’s S/A plays; based on early lines.
LAD
DET if < -106
CIN If < 143
BAL
TOR

Pitching and Team H/A Power Plays
No Plays today

**joeytunes** · 05-04-12, 08:47 AM

Free plays since 4-27 lost -320 or -3.2 units....
so updated totals are 1-5
-440 or -4.4 units

**ShivaBowl** · 05-04-12, 08:56 AM

Originally posted by joeytunes

Free plays since 4-27 lost -320 or -3.2 units....
so updated totals are 1-5
-440 or -4.4 units

JT can post all the free plays from 4-27-12 to YTD.
Also, what happened with last nights free play? W or L
Thanks

**joeytunes** · 05-04-12, 10:03 AM

Their first play was 4/27

Its was Minny np>-120 which lost @ (-110)
4/28 Mets np <+130 closed (+125) and won, but does not count
4/29 Oak np<+115 closed (-110) L, but does not count
4/30 Balty np <+155 closed +165 L
5/1 CWS np>-130 closed (-140) W, but does not count
5/2 CWS np>-130 Closed -110 L
5/3 Angels np >-130 closed -135 L, but does not count

**ShivaBowl** · 05-04-12, 10:26 AM

Originally posted by joeytunes

Their first play was 4/27

Its was Minny np>-120 which lost @ (-110)
4/28 Mets np <+130 closed (+125) and won, but does not count
4/29 Oak np<+115 closed (-110) L, but does not count
4/30 Balty np <+155 closed +165 L
5/1 CWS np>-130 closed (-140) W, but does not count
5/2 CWS np>-130 Closed -110 L
5/3 Angels np >-130 closed -135 L, but does not count

Nice work JT thank you

4/28 Mets np <+130 closed (+125) and won, but does not count

The Mets were a winner on 4/28 Mets +135 Win
FP YTD
1-3
-185.00u

PT is open, you can work with myself or TG if your interested?
I think it would be a good system for you, let me know.
Thanks

**Tommygunn** · 05-04-12, 10:48 AM

Moneyline System

Yesterday (3/05/12) went 1-1 for -0.11 units (Phi never a play since ATl never got to -115 or <)

YTD April 24-Current - 10-4 for +6.35 units

Today's Plays (04/05/12)

Det if +110 to -150

Cinn if Pitt +125 or > (np if >-150)

Hou if +145 to -150

**joeytunes** · 05-04-12, 10:49 AM

ok ill do it if u want skipper!

**Tommygunn** · 05-04-12, 10:56 AM

I'll post P/T today until everyone decides what they want to do.

P/T System

Yesterday (3/05/12) went 1-1 for +0.11 units

YTD May 1st-Current - 3-4 for -0.27 units

Today's P/T System Plays (04/05/12)

LAD
Cinn 1/2

NP if >-150

**ShivaBowl** · 05-04-12, 02:29 PM

Originally posted by joeytunes

ok ill do it if u want skipper!

Tommygunn could send joeytunes all the info for PT?
THANKS

**ShivaBowl** · 05-04-12, 02:34 PM

FP YTD
1-3
-185.00u

05/04/12
FP

Take Miami W/Johnson over San Diego W/Bass NO PLAY if MIA > -120

15 - 20 minutes prior to start of any game check to see if, a majority of casinos, are in agreement with M/L.

**Tommygunn** · 05-04-12, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Tommygunn could send joeytunes all the info for PT?
THANKS

Shiva, i just sent him a breakdown. Thanks

**joeytunes** · 05-04-12, 03:52 PM

just got em thks..lol

**cash$bro91** · 05-04-12, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by Tommygunn

Moneyline System

Yesterday (3/05/12) went 1-1 for -0.11 units (Phi never a play since ATl never got to -115 or <)

YTD April 24-Current - 10-4 for +6.35 units

Today's Plays (04/05/12)

Det if +110 to -150

Cinn if Pitt +125 or > (np if >-150)

Hou if +135 to -150

Tommy, I think HOU would be a ML play at +145 to -150 since their Proj ML was 170.

**Tommygunn** · 05-04-12, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by cash$bro91

Tommy, I think HOU would be a ML play at +145 to -150 since their Proj ML was 170.

Yes just a typo I fixed

**HoulihansTX** · 05-05-12, 08:26 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

April 24 - Current
Overall
(24-16) +5.30Units

May 4
Bullpen Proj Sys
Atl 5.11 (-115) W
Cubs 4.16 (+125) W
Cincy 1.44 (-135) W
Det 1.34 (-110) W

No records are official until May 15, or 20IP
___________________________________
Overall
(14-20) -9.85Units

TPR
Dodgers 1.3 (-135) L
Atl 1.0 (-115) W

April 24 - Current
Overall
(28-16) +9.55Units

May 5
Bullpen Proj Sys
Atl 5.03 (-115)
Cubs 4.31 (N/A)
Minny 2.76 (+185)
Det 2.69 (-130)
Wash 1.20 (-125)

No Play
TX 2.47 npL4
SD 2.19 npMiaW4
Mets 1.98 npL4
SF 1.20 npL4

No records are official until May 15, or 20IP
___________________________________
Overall
(15-21) -10.20Units

TPR
Tampa (-150) 2.3 W6 consecutive
Cincy (+100) 1.1

No Play
StL 1.4 npL2
TX 1.2 npL3
Dodgers 1.1 npL2

I have been fading TPR, and betting BP. When ML, and BP agree its an Auto-bet.

**ShivaBowl** · 05-05-12, 08:38 AM

[QUOTE=HoulihansTX;14656170
I have been fading TPR, and betting BP. When ML, and BP agree its an Auto-bet.[/QUOTE]

That's a good strategy TX:TPR struggled last year and it looks like it's having a hard time this year I think it's due to run production.
Up until the year before last it was a decent system I have no idea what's going on with it.

**HoulihansTX** · 05-05-12, 08:46 AM

Do not fade today's TPR.

But when BP has one side, and TPR has the other. BP is the bet. Tampa is not a fade today. They are streaking.