2012 Picks

hydrosmak · 06-05-12, 07:27 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

your boys suck NC.

They were so hyped this season. It will be an utter embarrassment if they don't win the division.

BigDofBA · 06-05-12, 07:58 PM

Your Houston pick is looking good. They're beating the shit out of my Cardinals.

Garcia always gets lit up by bad teams.

No coincidences · 06-05-12, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Your Houston pick is looking good. They're beating the shit out of my Cardinals.

Garcia always gets lit up by bad teams.

Garcia never wins at Houston. Ever.

No coincidences · 06-05-12, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

your boys suck NC.

No speed, no defense, no bullpen. I really don't like watching them play much to be honest.

Dexter · 06-05-12, 08:42 PM

unreal....cliff lee is on my fantasy team. what a joke of a game that was.

how does this guy have 0 wins so far...

No coincidences · 06-05-12, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

unreal....cliff lee is on my fantasy team. what a joke of a game that was.

how does this guy have 0 wins so far...

I honestly have no idea.

jlee · 06-05-12, 08:53 PM

pretty much every dog is winning tonight

No coincidences · 06-06-12, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Late $$$ on Atlanta and Chalk Landers on the Fish.

That bet's dead.

4-1, +4.56U today
203-193, +8.11U thread

BigDofBA · 06-06-12, 12:19 AM

Nice job. Had I played all my leans I would have killed it.

Instead it looks like I'm going to go 3-1 and hit a three team parlay.

I did a 10 team parlay for five bucks and so far the only two teams that lost were the Cardinals and Brewers. LOL. At least one or two big favorites lose every night.

I don't do parlays very often but they are fun once in a while. Favorites had been covering a lot so I thought it might be a good day to try one.

No coincidences · 06-06-12, 12:23 AM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Nice job. Had I played all my leans I would have killed it.

Instead it looks like I'm going to go 3-1 and hit a three team parlay.

I did a 10 team parlay for five bucks and so far the only two teams that lost were the Cardinals and Brewers. LOL. At least one or two big favorites lose every night.

I don't do parlays very often but they are fun once in a while. Favorites had been covering a lot so I thought it might be a good day to try one.

Nice work as well Big D. Leans are always golden.

Speaking of....for Wednesday:

StL -135
TOR -115
OAK +140

Not seeing much I like so far. A lot of shitty pitchers throwing tomorrow.

BigDofBA · 06-06-12, 12:32 AM

I like all of those.

No coincidences · 06-06-12, 05:28 PM

SD +114 (.5U to win .57)

detroitlionsfan · 06-06-12, 05:51 PM

what do you think of indians today nocoin ?

No coincidences · 06-06-12, 05:58 PM

StL -132 (2.64U to win 2)
WAS -151 (3.02U to win 2)
LAD -104 (2.08U to win 2)
TB +129 (1U to win 1.29)
CHC +190 (1U to win 1.9)

No coincidences · 06-06-12, 05:59 PM

Originally posted by detroitlionsfan

what do you think of indians today nocoin ?

Can't back or fade Scherzer. Who knows. Definitely wouldn't take Detroit at this point.

No coincidences · 06-06-12, 06:10 PM

BOS -1.5 (+125) (1U to win 1.25)

BigDofBA · 06-06-12, 06:38 PM

I took a lot of square plays today at -1 because I didn't want to pay the juice.

Why is Morrow -123? Seems too expensive.

I initially liked the Jays but Morrow always seems to get lit up when I bet him. I'm talking like 5-0 before you even blink your eye.

brahmabull117 · 06-06-12, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

StL -132 (2.64U to win 2)
WAS -151 (3.02U to win 2)
LAD -104 (2.08U to win 2)
TB +129 (1U to win 1.29)
CHC +190 (1U to win 1.9)

Taking the cubs to beat Greinke's home domination eh? I'll give you a ton of credit in the unlikely scenario that they can get it done

Dodgers and Red Sex will win though I think

BigDofBA · 06-06-12, 06:43 PM

Oh yeah, I took the Giants and then 5 minutes after I took them the line dropped from -128
to -118.

Pretty sure this play will lose regardless of the 3-0 lead they jumped out to.

Everytime the line moves against me like this it seems like I lose somehow.

brahmabull117 · 06-06-12, 06:51 PM

man baseball is such a bizarre sport, ain't it?

Dodgers get swept in a 4 games series at home against a very mediocre brewers team, then they go on the road and look like they might end up sweeping a 4 game series against a team that won nearly 100 games last year (I know they're not as good as the 2011 Phillies but they're still not a terrible team)

BigDofBA · 06-06-12, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

man baseball is such a bizarre sport, ain't it?

Dodgers get swept in a 4 games series at home against a very mediocre brewers team, then they go on the road and look like they might end up sweeping a 4 game series against a team that won nearly 100 games last year (I know they're not as good as the 2011 Phillies but they're still not a terrible team)

That's why you're better off just being selective with underdogs. If you go .500 you make money.

BigDofBA · 06-06-12, 07:07 PM

I caved and took the Blue Jays. God help us.

brahmabull117 · 06-06-12, 07:10 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

That's why you're better off just being selective with underdogs. If you go .500 you make money.

It's not any easier to win 50% with dogs than win 65% with -150 lines though

If it was, everybody would play dogs

BigDofBA · 06-06-12, 07:15 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

It's not any easier to win 50% with dogs than win 65% with -150 lines though

If it was, everybody would play dogs

Are you the guy that chased the Dodgers against the Brewers and lost four games in a row that were like -160, -140, -130, -130? I vaguely remember because I took the Brewers in one of those games and you jumped in my thread asking how in the world I could take such a big underdog. You said the Dodgers should be like -200 and were the play of the year. DODGERS lost that game!

Every once in a while I will play a team that is juiced but I pretty much never lay more than -150 in bases.

I'm not going to explain why because we already had a discussion and you didn't understand how you would be down money betting the Dodgers in this scenario.

Dodgers -140 (Win)
Dodgers -147 (Win)
Dogers -210 with Kershaw (loss)

I think you're comment was, "How would you be down money, you won two out of three!"

It would suck to hit 66.6% and still be losing money.

I like hitting around 50% and making money.

brahmabull117 · 06-06-12, 07:22 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Are you the guy that chased the Dodgers against the Brewers and lost four games in a row that were like -160, -140, -130, -130? I vaguely remember because I took the Brewers in one of those games and you jumped in my thread asking how in the world I could take such a big underdog. You said the Dodgers should be like -200 and were the play of the year. DODGERS lost that game!

Every once in a while I will play a team that is juiced but I pretty much never lay more than -150 in bases.

I'm not going to explain why because we already had a discussion and you didn't understand how you would be down money betting the Dodgers in this scenario.

Dodgers -140 (Win)
Dodgers -147 (Win)
Dogers -210 with Kershaw (loss)

I think you're comment was, "How would you be down money, you won two out of three!"

It would suck to hit 66.6% and still be losing money.

I like hitting around 50% and making money.

Alright you really gotta stop rubbing in your wins. It's a very f*cking annoying habit and just makes you look like an arrogant jackass

Regardless of the fact, it's sports betting, any bet can lose no matter how awesome it looks before the game starts. All you can try to do is win over the long term

Also you're supposed to do flat betting. Bet 200 dollars on each game, not 210 dollars on the higher juiced line, then 140 on the lower juiced line. If you did flat betting, you would have been up on these 3 games

BigDofBA · 06-06-12, 07:30 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

Alright you really gotta stop rubbing in your wins. It's a very f*cking annoying habit and just makes you look like an arrogant jackass

Regardless of the fact, it's sports betting, any bet can lose no matter how awesome it looks before the game starts. All you can try to do is win over the long term

Also you're supposed to do flat betting. Bet 200 dollars on each game, not 210 dollars on the higher juiced line, then 140 on the lower juiced line. If you did flat betting, you would have been up on these 3 games

Who flats bets $200 regardless of the spread?

Most people bet to win one unit.

So you're willing to risk $200 to win less than $100 basically all the time?

As for me acting like a jackass, I usually only do that when people act like I'm a complete idiot before the game for taking the underdog and they end up winning.

brahmabull117 · 06-06-12, 07:32 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Who flats bets $200 regardless of the spread?

Most people bet to win one unit.

Soyou're willing to risk $200 to win less than $100 basically all the time?

Huh? I hate playing anything over - 150. I did it today for the brewers cause of how putrid the cubs are and how dominant Greinke has been at home

my last 4 baseball plays were + 140, +110, - 150 and -210

BigDofBA · 06-06-12, 07:51 PM

The Giants will lose against the Padres. Just watch.

They keep getting nice leads but for some reason the Padres keep scoring. Line movement always beats me. I'm just waiting to lose in the 9th inning or something.

No coincidences · 06-06-12, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

BOS -1.5 (+125) (1U to win 1.25)

Nice offensive effort by the Sawx. This is why you don't chase late steam, which I did here.

No coincidences · 06-06-12, 09:02 PM

LAA RL +125 (1U to win 1.25)
LAA over 4 -125 (1.25U to win 1)

stevex · 06-06-12, 09:07 PM

Good luck with your picks Coin...

Is Baltimore for real or do you think they'll come back down to earth in a couple weeks?

No coincidences · 06-07-12, 12:12 AM

Not exactly sure what the Angels were doing tonight. It looked like they were trying to lose.

Anyway....

4-5, +2.5U today
207-198, +10.61U thread

Notice my initial leans last night.

No coincidences · 06-07-12, 12:14 AM

Originally posted by stevex

Good luck with your picks Coin...

Is Baltimore for real or do you think they'll come back down to earth in a couple weeks?

They're for real in that they play good team ball together and do a lot of little things right -- like the Indians. Tigers could learn a lot from both of them.

Adam Jones is a star. Just don't think their pitching will hold up.

BigDofBA · 06-07-12, 12:15 AM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I like all of those.

Damn, I was right. Your leans kicked ass.

Tomorrow I'm taking:

Tigers -117
Nationals +110
Padres +132

It's funny because Brahma AND Brock are on the exact opposite sides. Are they the same person?? LOL. Has this ever happened before? Is this a sign I should parlay these and go all-in?

No coincidences · 06-07-12, 12:21 AM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Damn, I was right. Your leans kicked ass.

Tomorrow I'm taking:

Tigers -117
Nationals +110
Padres +132

It's funny because Brahma AND Brock are on the exact opposite sides. Are they the same person?? LOL. Has this ever happened before? Is this a sign I should parlay these and go all-in?

Wow really? I do like the Nats and maybe the Tigers. Cubs perhaps as well? Not crazy about SD, but I'll have to consider it....